Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Saturday - May 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (6/4/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/2/5)-(6/4/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/2/5)-(6/4/2/5)-(6/4/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/4/2/5)-(1/4/3/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/4/2/5)-(1/4/3/7)-(8/7) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
CT-2   WIN (1/4/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/3/7)-(1/4/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/3/7)-(1/4/3/7)-(1/4/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/4/3/7)-(8/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/4/3/7)-(8/7)-(6/4/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CT-3   WIN (8/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (8/7)-(8/7/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/7)-(8/7/6/3)-(8/7/6/3) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (8/7)-(6/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (8/7)-(6/4/5)-(10/2/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
CT-4   WIN (6/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/5)-(6/4/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/4/5)-(6/4/5/3)-(6/4/5/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/4/5)-(10/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/4/5)-(10/2/5)-(1/10/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-5   WIN (10/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (10/2/5)-(10/2/5/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/2/5)-(10/2/5/3/6)-(10/2/5/3/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (10/2/5)-(1/10/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (10/2/5)-(1/10/4)-(8/7) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
CT-6   WIN (1/10/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/10/4)-(1/10/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/10/4)-(1/10/4/3)-(1/10/4/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/10/4)-(8/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/10/4)-(8/7)-(7/3/9) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
CT-7   WIN (8/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (8/7)-(8/7/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/7)-(8/7/1/5)-(8/7/1/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (8/7)-(7/3/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
CT-8   WIN (7/3/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/9)-(7/3/9/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/3/9)-(7/3/9/1)-(7/3/9/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   05/20/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($29.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALL ROADS TO DENIS         (jackson ange)MORALES KELVIN 116 15.00    
  (by DENIS OF CORK out of ROAD TO ZANZIBAR by QUALITY ROAD)
2  HARLEY SIOUX Apr29 Apr06 Mar16 Jan28 Dec17 (straugh)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 8.00 11% 8.50    
  (by DENIS OF CORK out of CARLY SIOUX by INDIAN CHARLIE)
3  MYLASHURRAH         (collyer jamie)ADAMS L 117 15.00    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of WAVERLY COTT by GRAEME HALL)
4  BIG BAD BRASS         (runco jeff )MENDEZ MARSHALL 116 4.00 14% 6.20    
  (by IRISH WAR CRY out of SOUTHERN BRASS by DOMESTIC DISPUTE)
5  B. J. MOOSE Apr29 Mar16 Jan28 Nov09 Oct20 (kopecki e)PELTROCHE F 124 6.00 9% 10.20    
  (by RULER KING out of CADET CAT by MIDSHIPMAN)
6  DUNCAN IDAHO Apr22         (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 116 0.60 46% 1.20    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of HOLY POW WOW by INDIAN CHARLIE)
7  WINDSOR'S STAR Mar24 Jan06 Dec14 Nov05 Oct12 (comi w)RODRIGUEZ V 116 12.00    
  (by WINDSOR CASTLE out of LIANA STAR by LINE OF DAVID)
 
CT-2   05/20/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ELVIRUS Apr27 Apr07 Mar11 Feb24 Feb01 (gazzier kri)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 2.50 41% 1.40    
2  MI GUSTO ES May06 Apr21 Mar30 Mar17 Feb23 (sandoval mi)RAMGEET R 124 10.00    
3  MUCHACHO MACHO Apr14 Apr06 Mar11 Feb10 Jan22 (perri g)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 6.00 12% 7.30    
4  UNCAPTURED KING May13 Apr22 Mar31 Mar11 Jan27 (murdock stephen)ACOSTA D 122 2.00 13% 6.60    
5  SPRING THE BEAST May06 Apr06 Mar17 Mar05 Feb12 (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 122 8.00    
6  MAKE THE WAY CLEAR May06 Apr27 Apr14 Apr01 Mar23 (pennella m)CECIL Y 122 30.00    
7  INDIANA RED Feb01 Jan12 Nov10 Oct21 Oct07 (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 122 3.50 12% 7.50    
8  MONGOLIAN HERO Jan27 Jan12 Dec10 Dec01 Nov19 (jones mic)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 15.00    
 
CT-3   05/20/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ELEANORS JACK Apr14         (jackson an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 8.00    
2  ROCKING TO HOME Apr14 Mar10 Jan12 Dec16 Nov16 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 122 20.00    
3  SPECTACULO Apr22 Mar25 Feb16 Feb08 Jan07 (mangual)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 3.50 ★    
4  TICKLING SPRINGS Feb18         (tobin l)LARROSA G 122 15.00    
SCR  WELL EQUIPPED Apr27 Mar10 Feb08 Jan06 Dec08 (brown ro)BUTTERFLY L 122 4.00    
6  JEFFERSON SECURITY Apr22 Apr06 Mar02 Jan11 Sep24 (grams c)BOCACHICA O 122 6.00 ★    
7  HE'S ON THE LINE May14 Mar16       (racanelli mar)SIMPSON JASON 120 20.00 18% 4.50    
8  DOC ELM Apr21 Mar10 Feb18 Feb02 Nov16 (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 122 2.50 49% 1.00    
9  BEAR'S ESTATE Mar10 Feb02 Jan12 Dec14 Nov26 (knoblauch-pere)RIOS-CONDE A 122 5.00    
 
CT-4   05/20/2023 5610ft DIRT RC9 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($21.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AKINGISALWAYSKING May06 Nov29 Nov24 Nov02 Oct12 (murtaugh j)CECIL Y 120 30.00    
SCR  HOT N SPICY LOVE Apr29 Apr06 Mar24 Feb10 Jan22 (magana j)ARAUJO DENIS 124 8.00    
3  LOKOYA ROAD May05 Mar31 Aug23 Aug09 Mar25 (jones e)BOCACHICA O 120 20.00 ★    
4  WELLING May05 Apr21 Apr08 Jan08 Dec04 (magee kier)ALMODOVAR GERALD 124 1.40 19% 4.20    
5  VELVET GHOST Apr29 Apr06 Mar17 Feb25 Feb19 (corrales jo)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 122 6.00 15% 5.50    
6  JAYJAYDEE May05 Apr08 Mar22 Mar01 Feb08 (kreiser t)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.60 45% 1.20    
SCR  FLAT CAT May06 Apr22 Jun04 May14 Apr29 (brown r)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 12.00    
8  MASTER THIS Apr14 Mar25 Feb10 Jan25 Jan13 (butts e)LARROSA G 120 15.00    
 
CT-5   05/20/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SO RED THE ROSE Apr29 Apr08 Mar18 Feb24 Jan18 (obed-letts ke)ADAMS L 115 30.00    
2  FLOATING BY Apr29 Mar24 Mar04 Sep21 Sep01 (hurley jack)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 2.50 19% 4.40    
3  MAE SAI PRINCESS Mar18 Jan21 Dec02 Nov10 Oct22 (brown keit)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 3.50 ★    
4  SEEDS OF TIME Apr29 Mar17 Feb25 Feb04 Jan18 (davis b)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 20.00    
5  MISS WILD Apr29 Mar24 Jan25 Dec02 Oct19 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 122 12.00 17% 5.00    
6  LIGHTFOOT MISS Apr29 Mar17 Feb11 Jan14 Jan06 (davis billy)RODRIGUEZ V 120 20.00 ★    
7  LIFE IN FLASH Apr07 Mar17 Feb24 Feb04 Jan13 (harting chr)BOCACHICA ABNEL 112 8.00    
8  UPSY DAISY DO Apr13 Mar02 Jan13 Dec03 Nov18 (aylor willia)MARRERO CARLOS 122 30.00    
9  STORMI CAT LADY Apr29 Apr20 Apr07 Feb26 Jan22 (shanley timothy)CECIL Y 120 20.00    
10  EMMA AND I Nov23 Oct12 Sep22 Sep03 Aug27 (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 1.60 41% 1.40    
SCR  STYLISH PAINT Apr29 Apr08 Feb25 Feb04 Dec10 (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 122 3.00    
 
CT-6   05/20/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($19.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RIVER REWARDS RVF Mar09 Feb18 Sep22 Aug06 Jun10 (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 124 2.50 42% 1.40    
2  SEEMS TO WHISPER May06 Nov13 Oct29 Oct09 Aug20 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 10.00    
3  TIZBIT Apr28 Apr06 Mar18 Mar02 Feb01 (gillesp)NUNEZ ANAHI 122 15.00 ★    
4  KATALIMA Apr28 Apr06 Mar18 Feb25 Feb04 (hanagan le)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 6.00 8% 10.80    
5  RATIONALMILLENNIAL May07 Apr20 Mar25 Feb12 Feb03 (corrales)BUTTERFLY L 120 10.00    
SCR  MISS LAUREN Apr13 Mar09 Jan05 Dec03 Nov02 (grams timo)ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 4.50    
SCR  ARROWWOOD Apr28 Apr06 Feb24 Feb01 Dec10 (runco jeff )BOCACHICA ABNEL 114 6.00    
8  COFFEE BEAN Apr15 Apr02 Mar12 Feb26 Feb20 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 20.00    
9  REVEIRS MINUTE Apr06 Mar04 Feb25 Jan19 Dec10 (hess g)MORALES KELVIN 120 10.00    
10  BAYLIS STREET Mar17 Feb20 Jan28 Jan08 Dec11 (joy j)ACOSTA D 118 5.00 29% 2.50    
 
CT-7   05/20/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($30.5K) 3UP M/F PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COUSIN WINNIE May04 Feb25 Jan25 Dec15 Nov19 (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 10.00 ★    
2  TIMELY SECRET Apr14 Mar09 Feb15 Jan25 Jan01 (jackson l)CULLUM W 116 15.00    
3  TIMETOGETUP May04 Apr21 Mar25 Mar10 Feb08 (petty kristy)LARROSA G 124 6.00    
4  BREADMAN'S ROSEBUD Mar09 Feb01 Nov30 Nov02 Oct08 (jackson )BUTTERFLY L 124 15.00    
5  BAYS CASTLE Apr06 Mar09 Feb25 Feb01 Jan19 (graci kimber)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 4.50 ★    
6  SHE'S MYBUDDYBUDDY Apr28 Feb09 Jan13 Dec08 Nov17 (haynes erne)RAMGEET R 118 15.00    
7  CHANGE THE WORLD Apr15 Dec08 Nov16 Oct08 Sep10 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 2.50 36% 1.80    
8  HESSICA May04 Oct08 Sep15 Aug18 Jul23 (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 124 1.60 40% 1.50    
 
CT-8   05/20/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP M/F PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADY GANGSTER Apr29 Apr07 Mar16 Jan18 Jan01 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 124 12.00 ★    
2  LAURA'S GRAND Apr28 Apr07 Mar23 Mar01 Feb22 (pyke joseph)SIMPSON JASON 122 20.00    
3  CLOUD MOVER Apr29 Apr07 Mar17 Feb08   (johnson ja)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 118 3.50 5% 17.60    
SCR  JUST HAVE FAITH Apr29 Apr07       (collins t)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 4.00 7% 13.20    
5  ONLY ROMANCE Apr20 Mar23 Mar02 Feb11 Jan26 (jones micha)BOCACHICA ABNEL 108 20.00    
6  SUNSET QUEEN Apr29 Apr20 Mar04 Feb11 Dec09 (lucas anthony)BOCACHICA O 124 20.00    
7  JUJU ON DA BEAT Mar23 Mar04 Feb22 Jan18 Dec09 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 1.20 60% 0.70    
8  TRACE ESTATE Apr20 Mar23 Aug19 Jul28 Jul07 (collyer jamie)ADAMS L 117 20.00    
9  TAPTAP Apr28 Apr07 Mar01 Nov24 Nov03 (pyke joseph)LOPEZ ANTONIO 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
10  BANK CARD Apr20 Apr13 Mar04 Feb22 Feb02 (pickett cry)RAMGEET R 122 15.00    
SCR  GATTOLOTTASPARKLE May04 Feb22 Feb02 Jan11 Dec15 (mcclure )BUTTERFLY L 124 30.00    
SCR  SHOWTHEMONEYHONEY May04 Apr13 Mar02 Feb04 Jan21 (reynolds j)ALMODOVAR GERALD 118 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.