The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Louisiana Downs
Sunday - May 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

LAD-1   Win (3/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $22.20 $22.20 16.20
    Exacta (3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 5-4 2 1 $29.30 $29.30 23.30
    Trifecta (3/4/5)-(3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 5-4-3 3 1 $27.40 $27.40 24.40
LAD-2   Win (1/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $4.60 $4.60 -1.40
    Exacta (1/2/7)-(1/2/3/7/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 1-2 2 1 $9.40 $9.40 -2.60
    Trifecta (1/2/7)-(1/2/3/7/9)-(1/2/3/7/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00 1-2-4 3 0 $32.25 $0.00 -18.00
    Daily Double (3/4/5)-(1/2/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 5-1 2 1 $27.20 $27.20 18.20
LAD-3   Win (1/3/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $15.60 $15.60 7.60
    Exacta (1/3/4/5)-(1/3/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 3-5 2 1 $26.10 $26.10 14.10
    Trifecta (1/3/4/5)-(1/3/4/5)-(1/3/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 3-5-7 3 0 $81.70 $0.00 -12.00
    Daily Double (1/2/7)-(1/3/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 1-3 2 1 $21.00 $21.00 9.00
    Pick Three (3/4/5)-(1/2/7)-(1/3/4/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 5-1-3 3 1 $97.55 $97.55 79.55
LAD-4   Win (2/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $4.20 $4.20 -1.80
    Exacta (2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 6-7 2 0 $11.90 $0.00 -6.00
    Trifecta (2/5/6)-(2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 6-7-4 3 0 $34.85 $0.00 -3.00
    Daily Double (1/3/4/5)-(2/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 3-6 2 1 $19.00 $19.00 7.00
    Pick Three (1/2/7)-(1/3/4/5)-(2/5/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 1-3-6 3 1 $27.05 $27.05 9.05
LAD-5   Win (8/10) 2 $2.00 $4.00 8 1 1 $6.80 $6.80 2.80
    Exacta (8/10)-(2/4/7/8/10) 8 $1.00 $8.00 8-1 2 0 $16.50 $0.00 -8.00
    Trifecta (8/10)-(2/4/7/8/10)-(2/4/7/8/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00 8-1-2 3 0 $96.10 $0.00 -12.00
    Daily Double (2/5/6)-(8/10) 6 $1.00 $6.00 6-8 2 1 $11.10 $11.10 5.10
    Pick Three (1/3/4/5)-(2/5/6)-(8/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00 3-6-8 3 1 $38.90 $38.90 26.90
LAD-6   Win (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2 1 1 $2.60 $2.60 -1.40
    Exacta (2/5)-(2/4/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 2-1 2 0 $10.20 $0.00 -4.00
    Trifecta (2/5)-(2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 4 $0.50 $2.00 2-1-5 3 0 $14.25 $0.00 -2.00
    Daily Double (8/10)-(2/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 8-2 2 1 $6.30 $6.30 2.30
    Pick Three (2/5/6)-(8/10)-(2/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 6-8-2 3 1 $7.15 $7.15 1.15
LAD-7   Win (2/6/8/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $5.80 $5.80 -2.20
    Exacta (2/6/8/9)-(1/2/6/8/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 6-8 2 1 $9.00 $9.00 -7.00
    Trifecta (2/6/8/9)-(1/2/6/8/9)-(1/2/6/8/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 6-8-3 3 0 $45.90 $0.00 -24.00
    Daily Double (2/5)-(2/6/8/9) 8 $1.00 $8.00 2-6 2 1 $5.60 $5.60 -2.40
    Pick Three (8/10)-(2/5)-(2/6/8/9) 16 $0.50 $8.00 8-2-6 3 1 $9.70 $9.70 1.70
LAD-8   Win (1/2/3/6/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 6 1 1 $22.20 $22.20 12.20
    Exacta (1/2/3/6/8)-(1/2/3/6/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 6-1 2 1 $39.60 $39.60 19.60
    Trifecta (1/2/3/6/8)-(1/2/3/6/8)-(1/2/3/6/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 6-1-2 3 1 $77.95 $77.95 47.95
    Daily Double (2/6/8/9)-(1/2/3/6/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 6-6 2 1 $21.30 $21.30 1.30
    Pick Three (2/5)-(2/6/8/9)-(1/2/3/6/8) 40 $0.50 $20.00 2-6-6 3 1 $19.40 $19.40 -0.60

Simulator Race results

 
LAD-1   05/21/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.75K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:05
:24 :472 1:132     1:262   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAINT KENNEDY 5 3 2½ 31   2½ 1¼ (antwine michae)BARRERA J 117 8.00 9% 10.30 10.10 W
MARY JACK 4 2 31 2½   1½ 2¼ (jeansonne justin)ROSENDO J 122 2.50 52% 0.90 1.50 P
WENDY WILECAT 3 6 5 42   31 3½ (thomas lee)LOZADA CARLOS 119 2.00 13% 6.80 2.40 S
SUFFRAGETTE 6 5 4 63   63 4(larrosa a)GREEN AUBRIE 122 3.50 10.00  
BEAUTIFULANDWILD 2 4 6 52   52 5(zenon charles)SUAREZ ANGEL 119 12.00 5.40  
ROYAL BONUS 1 1 1½ 1½   42 68 (espinoza)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 15.00 4.40  
 
LAD-2   05/21/2023 3300ft TURF GOOD Claiming ($20K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:33
:214 :443       :563   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LILLIE DELL 1 3 11 1   13 1(duhon o)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 3.50 44% 1.30 1.30 W
SUMMER LIGHTNING 2 5 52 4   34 2(rangel rau)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 4.50 26% 2.90 3.70 P
LA SMOOCHIE 4 4 3 33   23 39 (larrosa a)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 10.00 10.20  
BLUEBIRD SING 7 7 7 66   5410½ (duhon o)LOZADA CARLOS 122 2.50 5% 17.50 9.20  
FOLLOW THE SAINT 8 9 9 910   6512¼ (cascio j)GREEN AUBRIE 119 5.00 14.20  
ALYS EPISODE 6 2 21 2   44 612¼ (beavin j)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 12.00 40.80  
STILL OF THE NIGHT 3 8 8 8   78 713¾ (cravens ronnie )VARGAS P 122 4.00 6.30  
SUZY DOLL'S READY 5 6 6 77   812 824¼ (ward ronnie)SUAREZ ANGEL 114 8.00 9.90  
DERBY DAY LASSIE 9 1 4 55   913½ 928¾ (milligan allen)MEDELLIN ERICK 122 15.00 13.60  
 
LAD-3   05/21/2023 5490ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:01
:251 :50 1:15 1:411   1:452   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CURLIN EDGES 3 5 4 3.2 2nk 2½ 1(wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 6.00 11% 7.80 6.80 W
BELLA'S GATSBY 5 4 3 5 4 1½ 2(gomez a)TORRES HUGO 116 2.50 34% 1.90 1.00 P
DEPUTY KNIGHT 7 3 21 2nk 1nk 32 3(lorefice matt)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 8.00 16.20  
ROSIE'S BOY 2 1 6 7 6 56 410 (hornsby ta)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 12.00 21.30  
PLAY MASTER 1 7 7 6 7 7511¾ (mojica a)BARRERA J 116 3.00 15% 5.50 4.20  
MO HAWK MAN 6 2 11 1nk 32 44 614 (rangel raul)HERNANDEZ V 124 10.00 49.50  
HOWL YEAH 4 6 5 4 5 6714¼ (wilson melton)LOZADA CARLOS 124 3.50 16% 5.40 2.40  
 
LAD-4   05/21/2023 5490ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:29
:25 :492 1:141 1:404   1:45   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TURN ON THE MAGIC 4 3 22 2½ 1nk 1½ 1(duhon paul)GREEN AUBRIE 122 2.00 28% 2.60 1.10 W
OKUDAH 5 2 12 1½ 2nk 3½ 2(savoie sherman)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 6.00 3.70  
TEMPRANO 2 1 5 53 5 41 3(beavin judy)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 119 8.00 16.30  
EGO 3 5 44 4 3.2 2½ 4(gibson j)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 2.50 26% 2.90 1.80  
EUROEXIT 1 4 34 31 4 56 519¾ (duhon paul)LOZADA CARLOS 122 15.00 23% 3.40 6.90  
SCR  SY MICHAEL               (gibson jonas)BURNINGHAM J 119 3.50    
SCR  TROPHY DADDY               (antwine michael)TORRES HUGO 117 10.00    
 
LAD-5   05/21/2023 5280ft TURF GOOD Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:57
:224 :473 1:124 1:252   1:374   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MADAM HENNY 8 4 4 4 42 21 1(duhon o)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 3.50 69% 0.40 2.40 W
HUSHED COURT ROOM 1 1 32 21 21 11 2(broberg karl)VARGAS P 119 8.00 3.60  
MY ALIBI 2 6 76 75 7 43(duhon o)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 5.00 21.90 S
CHROME SAVAGE 5 10 9 9 8 63 4(nelson r)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 12.00 25.90  
10  ROYA 10 5 6 6 53 53 5(govea cesar)SINGH R 122 15.00 7% 12.80 20.90  
DEROUTANTE 9 8 8 86 95 77 6(meaux h)LOZADA CARLOS 119 4.00 4.10  
WATCH THIS MUNNY 7 3 11 11 11 32 7(dixon ti)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 4.50 7.70  
FADED MEMORIES 4 7 54 5 6 98(duhon paul)GREEN AUBRIE 122 8.00 8.50  
MARCIAMARCIAMARCIA 3 2 21 32 32 898 (adcock charles)FUSILIER C 122 12.00 9.60  
ABBY THE BULL DAWG 6 9 1010½ 1010 1010 1019¾ 1023¼ (hornsby ta)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 20.00 13.80  
SCR  HONORARY GUEST               (delany sarah)FUSILIER C 122 20.00    
 
LAD-6   05/21/2023 5490ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:25
:244 :484 1:133 1:392   1:434   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FORT POLK 2 3 21 21 21 12 1(mouton patrick)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 1.80 43% 1.30 0.30 W
GIRL THIRSTY 1 2 5 3 33 32(ward ronni)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 10.00 22.50  
MEDLEY 5 1 11 11 11 22 38 (asmussen steve)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 2.50 34% 2.00 3.50 S
MISS KENNEDY 6 5 4 4 43 43 413¼ (duke steven)LOZADA CARLOS 122 6.00 12.30  
AVERI EVER AFTER 3 4 31 5 56 5516½ (duke steven)GREEN AUBRIE 122 8.00 34.10  
OUR LITTLE GIRL 4 6 6 69 67 66 620¾ (mojica a)BARRERA J 117 4.00 11.80  
 
LAD-7   05/21/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($16.25K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:53
:231 :462 :583     1:051   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHARP CHARLIE 6 1 11 11   11 1(thomas lee)GREEN AUBRIE 122 8.00 8% 11.70 1.90 W
BANKROLL 8 3 21 21   21 2(courville ricky)MELANCON G 122 3.00 46% 1.20 2.30 P
GILDERSLEEVE 3 8 9 97   65 3(ward ronnie)STOKES J 124 10.00 24.10  
CHROMPTON 9 6 42 4   34(wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 4.50 16% 5.40 3.50  
HEREWECOMETOGETYOU 1 10 108 10   87 5(schmidt denise)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 3.50 14.50 DH
ONE TOUGH CHARLIE 4 2 32 3   45(duke steven)BARRERA J 117 12.00 8.10 DH
BRIMESTONE KID 2 4 6 53   54 7(tillis e)LOZADA CARLOS 122 15.00 8% 11.10 36.50  
10  MAGIC LIGHTNING 10 7 5 64   77 811¼ (foster jos)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 20.00 22.70  
MY HEAVY SON 7 9 85 8   9911¾ (mouton patrick)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 15.00 29.70  
SOUTH AL SPARKY 5 5 74 76   109 1016 (beavin judy)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 122 6.00 33.90  
 
LAD-8   05/21/2023 4950ft TURF GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:21
:224 :47 1:124     1:312   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SISTER SEEK 6 1 2nk 2½   1½ 1hd (duhon o)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 2.50 8% 11.10 10.10 W
ATHENAIS 1 8 9 8   42hd (breaux sam)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 4.00 21% 3.80 2.80 P
CHARTREUSE 2 4 5 67   53(witt ii)GREEN AUBRIE 124 12.00 6% 16.70 4.00 S
REGAL STANCE 8 9 8 9   84(diodoro robert)MEDELLIN ERICK 119 10.00 5% 19.00 9.20  
HIGH DONNA 5 3 31 31   3½ 58 (escobar alison)BARRERA J 114 8.00 21.70  
MO WANNA GO 7 2 1nk 1½   2½ 6(rhea sherry)LOZADA CARLOS 124 15.00 15.30  
MONTASTICAL 9 5 4 44   6710¼ (asmussen steve)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 12.00 3.80  
REAUX BINA 3 7 7 56   7813 (dixon ti)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 3.50 39% 1.60 3.50  
OLD SCHOOL FLASH 4 6 6 78   9914¼ (villafranco mart)SUAREZ ANGEL 119 6.00 34.70  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.