Handicappers' Racing Form

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Louisiana Downs
Sunday - May 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

LAD-1   Win (4/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
LAD-2   Win (1/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
LAD-3   Win (5/4/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
LAD-4   Win (6/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
LAD-5   Win (8/10) 2 $2.00 $4.00
LAD-6   Win (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00
LAD-7   Win (8/9/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
LAD-8   Win (3/1/6/2/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
LAD-1   05/21/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.75K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROYAL BONUS Apr28 Apr15 Nov30 Nov05 Oct05 (espinoza)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 15.00    
BEAUTIFULANDWILD Apr21 Mar05 Feb05 Jan05 Nov25 (zenon charles)SUAREZ ANGEL 119 12.00    
WENDY WILECAT Apr20 Mar23 Feb26 Jan26 Dec18 (thomas lee)LOZADA CARLOS 119 2.00 13% 6.80    
MARY JACK May04 Apr13 Feb20 Jan22   (jeansonne justin)ROSENDO J 122 2.50 52% 0.90    
SAINT KENNEDY Sep19 Aug29 Aug08 Jul17 Jun12 (antwine michae)BARRERA J 117 8.00 9% 10.30    
SUFFRAGETTE Apr29 Apr12 Apr01 Mar17 Mar10 (larrosa a)GREEN AUBRIE 122 3.50    
 
LAD-2   05/21/2023 3300ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($20K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:33
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LILLIE DELL Feb03 Aug08 Jul12 Jun16   (duhon o)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 3.50 44% 1.30    
SUMMER LIGHTNING Apr29 Apr02 Feb24 Feb04 Jan08 (rangel rau)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 4.50 26% 2.90    
STILL OF THE NIGHT Apr22 Apr02 Feb04 Nov04 Oct14 (cravens ronnie )VARGAS P 122 4.00    
LA SMOOCHIE Feb09 Dec07 Aug26 Jul16 Jun18 (larrosa a)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 10.00    
SUZY DOLL'S READY Feb23 Dec09 Nov22 Nov02 Oct08 (ward ronnie)SUAREZ ANGEL 114 8.00    
ALYS EPISODE Feb22 Feb09 Dec16 Nov26 Nov10 (beavin j)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 12.00    
BLUEBIRD SING Feb03 Dec07 Aug08 Jun13 May16 (duhon o)LOZADA CARLOS 122 2.50 5% 17.50    
FOLLOW THE SAINT Feb24 Feb11 Jan04 Dec08 Nov10 (cascio j)GREEN AUBRIE 119 5.00    
DERBY DAY LASSIE Apr30 Mar24 Feb12 Jan22 Dec17 (milligan allen)MEDELLIN ERICK 122 15.00    
 
LAD-3   05/21/2023 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:01
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PLAY MASTER May06 Apr21 Feb22 Dec14 Dec01 (mojica a)BARRERA J 116 3.00 15% 5.50    
ROSIE'S BOY May05 Feb03 Jan21 Jan01   (hornsby ta)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 12.00    
CURLIN EDGES Dec04 Oct26 Sep26 Aug21 Jul03 (wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 6.00 11% 7.80    
HOWL YEAH May05 Apr07 Mar12 May08 Apr10 (wilson melton)LOZADA CARLOS 124 3.50 16% 5.40    
BELLA'S GATSBY Jan19 Dec19 Nov22 Sep18 Jul23 (gomez a)TORRES HUGO 116 2.50 34% 1.90    
MO HAWK MAN May03 Apr13 Mar18 Feb20 Feb09 (rangel raul)HERNANDEZ V 124 10.00    
DEPUTY KNIGHT Apr26 Apr05 Mar13 Feb19 Dec17 (lorefice matt)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 8.00    
 
LAD-4   05/21/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:29
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TROPHY DADDY May13 Apr20 Feb12 Jan27 Dec30 (antwine michael)TORRES HUGO 117 10.00    
EUROEXIT Apr02 Mar18 Sep07 Aug19 Jul09 (duhon paul)LOZADA CARLOS 122 15.00 23% 3.40    
SCR  SY MICHAEL Feb18 Dec17 Nov02 Aug30 Aug03 (gibson jonas)BURNINGHAM J 119 3.50    
TEMPRANO May08 Feb18 Jan28 Jan19 Jan07 (beavin judy)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 119 8.00    
EGO Apr15 Mar26 Mar02 Feb10 Jan08 (gibson j)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 2.50 26% 2.90    
TURN ON THE MAGIC May08 Apr14 Mar24 Mar11 Mar03 (duhon paul)GREEN AUBRIE 122 2.00 28% 2.60    
OKUDAH Mar05 Jan22 Jan01 Dec11 Sep24 (savoie sherman)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 6.00    
 
LAD-5   05/21/2023 5280ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:57
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HUSHED COURT ROOM Apr01 Mar18 Feb20 Feb12 Nov07 (broberg karl)VARGAS P 119 8.00    
MY ALIBI Mar15 Sep25 Aug28 Aug08 Jul18 (duhon o)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 5.00    
MARCIAMARCIAMARCIA Sep26 Aug09 Jul18 Jul04 Jun12 (adcock charles)FUSILIER C 122 12.00    
FADED MEMORIES Apr01 Mar17 Mar05 Feb20 Jan07 (duhon paul)GREEN AUBRIE 122 8.00    
CHROME SAVAGE Apr21 Jan07 Nov30 Nov03 Aug24 (nelson r)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 12.00    
ABBY THE BULL DAWG May05 Apr21 Mar30 Feb26 Feb05 (hornsby ta)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 20.00    
WATCH THIS MUNNY Apr07 Mar19 Feb26 Feb05 Dec31 (dixon ti)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 4.50    
MADAM HENNY Feb03 Dec08 Jul18 Jun26 May31 (duhon o)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 3.50 69% 0.40    
DEROUTANTE Feb20 Sep25 Jul24     (meaux h)LOZADA CARLOS 119 4.00    
10  ROYA Apr08 Mar08 Feb09 Dec04 Nov20 (govea cesar)SINGH R 122 15.00 7% 12.80    
SCR  HONORARY GUEST Apr28 Feb24 Jan19 Aug14 Jul23 (delany sarah)FUSILIER C 122 20.00    
 
LAD-6   05/21/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GIRL THIRSTY Feb11 Jan28 Jan13 Dec16 Dec02 (ward ronni)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 10.00    
FORT POLK Mar26 Mar04 Feb04 Dec10 Nov18 (mouton patrick)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 1.80 43% 1.30    
AVERI EVER AFTER Mar17 Feb17 Jan28 Dec08 Nov19 (duke steven)GREEN AUBRIE 122 8.00    
OUR LITTLE GIRL May05 Apr08 Mar15 Feb17 Feb04 (mojica a)BARRERA J 117 4.00    
MEDLEY Apr28 Mar26 Mar15 Feb17 Jan28 (asmussen steve)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 2.50 34% 2.00    
MISS KENNEDY Mar08 Feb20 Jan22 Dec31 Dec03 (duke steven)LOZADA CARLOS 122 6.00    
 
LAD-7   05/21/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($16.25K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:53
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HEREWECOMETOGETYOU Mar02 Feb03 Jan06 Nov26 Sep12 (schmidt denise)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 3.50    
BRIMESTONE KID Jun04 May06 Apr21 Mar27 Mar10 (tillis e)LOZADA CARLOS 122 15.00 8% 11.10    
GILDERSLEEVE Apr29 Mar08 Jan27 Jan11 Dec09 (ward ronnie)STOKES J 124 10.00    
ONE TOUGH CHARLIE Apr29 Apr14 Mar26 Oct15 Aug20 (duke steven)BARRERA J 117 12.00    
SOUTH AL SPARKY May07 Feb09 Jan27 Jan13 Dec08 (beavin judy)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 122 6.00    
SHARP CHARLIE Apr20 Mar11 Feb16 Dec27 Nov30 (thomas lee)GREEN AUBRIE 122 8.00 8% 11.70    
MY HEAVY SON Mar16 Feb21 Dec17 Nov26 Sep24 (mouton patrick)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 15.00    
BANKROLL Apr22 Mar26 Mar02 Feb17 Jan28 (courville ricky)MELANCON G 122 3.00 46% 1.20    
CHROMPTON May08 Mar26 Mar05 Feb10 Jan27 (wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 4.50 16% 5.40    
10  MAGIC LIGHTNING Feb17 Jan08 Dec01 Aug09 Jun07 (foster jos)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 20.00    
 
LAD-8   05/21/2023 4950ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:21
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ATHENAIS Mar23 Feb15 Jan12 Oct17 Sep22 (breaux sam)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 4.00 21% 3.80    
CHARTREUSE Apr15 Feb12 Jan14 Dec30 May01 (witt ii)GREEN AUBRIE 124 12.00 6% 16.70    
REAUX BINA May13 Apr22 Mar30 Mar16 Feb26 (dixon ti)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 3.50 39% 1.60    
OLD SCHOOL FLASH Apr30 Mar30 Mar19 Feb24 Jan27 (villafranco mart)SUAREZ ANGEL 119 6.00    
HIGH DONNA May05 Apr21 Feb26 Feb12 Jan20 (escobar alison)BARRERA J 114 8.00    
SISTER SEEK May10 Mar08 Sep18 Aug29   (duhon o)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 2.50 8% 11.10    
MO WANNA GO Apr22 Feb19 Jan28 Dec30 Dec09 (rhea sherry)LOZADA CARLOS 124 15.00    
REGAL STANCE Sep27         (diodoro robert)MEDELLIN ERICK 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
MONTASTICAL Feb11         (asmussen steve)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.