The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Lonestar Park
Saturday - April 29, 2023
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LS-1   04/29/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
:224 :463 :584     1:053   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  CHIEF BRADY 7 2 2nk 11   13 16¼ (keen dallas)BARANDELA SOFIA 119 4.50 11% 7.90 4.20 W
5  UNION DATA 4 4 4¾ 53   44½ 26¼ (calhoun willia)ALVAREZ L 124 1.80 49% 1.00 1.00 P
3  FEDERAL HILL 2 7 73½ 42½   34 36¾ (craven)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 10.00 6% 14.70 11.20 S
2  RED BIRD'S STORM 1 6 63¼ 63½   55 49¾ (gov)DE CRUZ 124 15.00 7.80  
4  RUSH THE COLORS 3 3 3½ 21   23 516½ (calhoun bre)ELLIOTT S 124 3.50 10% 9.40 7.10  
6  MALIBU THUNDER 5 5 1nk 32   69 619½ (eoff terry)WETHEY JR 124 8.00 5.30  
7  BRAHMS BOY 6 1 53¼ 74   711 720 (lloyd ann)MORA GERARDO 124 15.00 12.50  
SCR  AARON'S SPIRIT               (broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 118 6.00    
 
LS-2   04/29/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($33.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:03
:233 :473 :60     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STANS HOME RUN 1 4 52¾ 3½   1nk 13¾ (gustafs)MANRRIQUE JOSE 120 12.00 ★ 12.90  
5  VILLAGE WAY 5 1 1nk 1nk   2nk 23¾ (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 118 2.00 59% 0.70 2.20 P
2  WILL THE THRILL 2 3 32½ 52¼   32 34¼ (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 124 1.60 ★ 1.40 S
7  LUCKY PROMISE 6 5 2nk 4¾   54½ 48½ (broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 122 5.00 6.20  
3  HELLO HELLO MISTER 3 2 42¾ 2nk   43½ 510¾ (voorhees i)JUDE JOHN 124 4.50 16% 5.40 3.80  
4  TEXAS GOLD RUSH 4 6 65¾ 66¾   616½ 622 (kotara )CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 115 30.00 10.60  
SCR  POPEYES HEART               (winslow jan)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 120 15.00    
 
LS-3   04/29/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3 F PT- 3:43
:241 :482 1:134     1:271   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  CONFLICTING TALES 2 1 1½ 1½   1½ 11 (calhoun william)CABRERA DAVID 122 4.00 14% 6.10 3.50 W
1  VIVACIOUSLY 1 2 52½ 55½   33½ 21 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 2.00 39% 1.60 2.00 P
7  PIVOSKY 5 5 3½ 2½   2½ 32 (gustafs)MANRRIQUE JOSE 122 3.50 18% 4.50 3.00 S
4  MIZ CALI 3 4 63 65½   48 49¼ (silva miguel)MORA GERARDO 122 5.00 5% 19.00 8.00  
8  LO PROFILE 6 6 41½ 44½   511 515½ (rossi j)ERAMIA E 122 10.00 8.00  
5  GUN RUNNIN GIRL 4 3 2½ 33   618 637¼ (asmussen steve)ALVAREZ L 122 8.00 3.80  
SCR  BOBBIE O               (willis mindy)WETHEY JR 122 15.00    
SCR  NUBILITY               (davis )VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 12.00    
 
LS-4   04/29/2023 3300ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:11
:231 :48       1:014   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BROADWAY DISH 1 3 1nk 1nk   1½ 1¼ (smith a)DIEGO V 119 6.00 11.00  
7  LEPRECHAUN CHARM 7 6 77¼ 77¾   56 2¼ (cappellucci di)FUENTES A 119 6.00 16% 5.20 4.90 P
3  PIECE OF ME 3 2 32½ 33   43½ 32½ (govea cesar)BARANDELA SOFIA 119 3.00 32% 2.10 4.40 S
4  LADAWN 4 4 44½ 45½   33½ 42½ (smith a)JUDE JOHN 124 20.00 ★ 17.70  
6  GLITZ AND GLAMOUR 6 1 2nk 2nk   2½ 53 (broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 119 3.50 3.20  
2  HAILEY'S JEWEL 2 10 912¾ 911¾   66½ 66¾ (gar)DE CRUZ 119 12.00 14.00  
9  TEQUILA EMPIRE 9 8 1013 1013¼   810¼ 79¼ (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 119 4.00 15% 5.60 4.10  
8  RUN FOR MRS RIGGS 8 9 64¾ 55¾   76¾ 89¼ (padilla car)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 124 15.00 12% 7.10 19.70  
10  MAGICALSTORM 10 7 87¾ 810¼   1013¾ 922 (hjort donna)PIVARAL GERBER 119 10.00 6.80  
5  ITA 5 5 54¾ 66¾   912¼ 1022¼ (chacalt)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 119 20.00 15.70  
 
LS-5   04/29/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:51
:243 :492 1:152 1:281   1:412   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  DOBBINS G 7 6 31 3½ 2nk 12 11¾ (gustafson aust)ALVAREZ L 120 8.00 9% 10.50 3.80 W
2  BRICKBAT 2 2 42 41 32 22 21¾ (ashford h)GONCALVES R 120 6.00 4.20  
7  CONGA BOY 6 5 1½ 1nk 1nk 34 37¼ (diodoro robert)FUENTES A 120 6.00 5.20  
4  BIG POWER RED 3 7 62½ 51½ 55 46½ 48¼ (craven)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 5.00 11% 8.50 3.80  
1  BLING'S BELLWETHER 1 3 76½ 75 67 68½ 59¾ (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 120 2.50 26% 2.80 3.00  
5  THE GRAY BLUR 4 1 2½ 2nk 43 57 613¾ (hirdes john)BARANDELA SOFIA 115 20.00 6.20  
6  REACH THE CIRCLE 5 4 52½ 62 78½ 718½ 742¼ (gomez j)CABRERA DAVID 120 20.00 13.40  
SCR  BUXTERHOOTER               (broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 120 2.00 20% 4.10    
 
LS-6   04/29/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:19
:24 :482 1:143     1:273   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG ROJO 1 10 109 74   21½ 11½ (torrez jerenes)ALVAREZ L 124 15.00 10.00  
4  FRA MAURO 4 5 1nk 12½   11½ 21½ (gustafson au)ERAMIA E 124 2.50 61% 0.60 4.30 P
3  FOREVAMO 3 7 62¾ 42¾   32 32¼ (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 124 15.00 ★ 12.60 S
6  LOUIS LE GRANDE 6 9 94 85½   56 43½ (broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 124 3.50 7% 12.70 3.00  
5  HECOULDGOALLTHEWAY 5 2 73 52¾   44½ 53¾ (castellanos j)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 6.00 ★ 5.80  
2  RESOLVE NOW 2 8 83 32½   66½ 67¼ (eoff terry)BARANDELA SOFIA 119 10.00 13.30  
8  KENTUCKY PEERLESS 8 3 31½ 63   710 710 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 124 10.00 6% 16.60 6.20  
10  HOLY EMPEROR 10 4 42½ 97½   810½ 812¼ (bryant al)MORA GERARDO 124 8.00 6.50  
7  EYES ON RED 7 1 2nk 22½   913 915¼ (eoff terry)WETHEY JR 124 12.00 14.90  
9  CADDO FOX 9 6 52¾ 108   1028 1036¾ (payne danny)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 124 15.00 12.50  
 
LS-7   04/29/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:59
:241 :491 1:162 1:30   1:434   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  BAY BE GONE 7 8 78¾ 65¼ 43½ 22 1¼ (garza )VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 118 1.60 31% 2.20 4.00 W
7  IBERIAN RUNNER 6 1 21½ 2nk 1nk 12 2¼ (gov)DE CRUZ 124 3.50 19% 4.10 2.60 P
9  KING ARTHUR RIDGE 8 7 89¼ 88¼ 55½ 44½ 32 (kotara ronald)DIAZ RENE 124 20.00 8.70  
2  BULLS IN THE BRONX 2 6 66¾ 75¾ 78 67½ 45 (bravenec da)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 124 5.00 ★ 4.20  
4  GOD'S GOLD 4 5 42½ 3.2 31½ 34 55 (martin james )BARANDELA SOFIA 119 10.00 12% 7.60 5.20  
6  PUNTO RAFFA VOLO 5 4 11½ 1nk 2nk 56 611 (cravens ronnie )CABRERA DAVID 118 20.00 10.20  
1  VALDINA DREAMS 1 3 31½ 41¾ 67½ 710½ 712½ (payne w)MORA GERARDO 124 4.50 14% 6.30 6.10  
3  GOLD CAPO 3 2 52¾ 54¾ 811 820½ 834½ (echeverri)GONCALVES R 124 20.00 13.70  
SCR  FLYING G               (pish danny)OLIVEROS CHARLE 118 15.00    
 
LS-8   04/29/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:27
:241 :483 1:152 1:282   1:412   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  DEANOS CAPE 8 5 32 32½ 2nk 13½ 14¼ (broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 124 3.50 ★ 2.80  
4  VANGILDER 3 7 76¾ 75¾ 62¼ 54¾ 24¼ (davidson sar)ERAMIA E 120 20.00 7.20  
1  WITT'S TAQUITO 1 6 64¼ 44 52¼ 33½ 34¼ (lloyd ann)MORA GERARDO 120 8.00 7.80  
6  SAMURAI CAUSE 5 8 88¼ 86¼ 41¼ 43¾ 45¼ (tuley rhonda)SANCHEZ M 120 6.00 7.80  
7  LAB RAT 6 1 12 12½ 1nk 23½ 57 (davidson sarah)PIVARAL GERBER 120 12.00 5.70  
5  GOLD ACCOUNT 4 4 54¼ 65¼ 84¾ 69¾ 610½ (eoff te)MANRRIQUE JOSE 124 15.00 11.30  
3  NAUTICAL MOON 2 3 22 22½ 3.2 710¼ 713¼ (bravo francisc)ALVAREZ L 124 8.00 12% 7.40 3.10  
8  FREDONIAN 7 2 44 54¼ 73¼ 817¼ 824 (broberg karl)FUENTES A 122 4.50 45% 1.20 6.30  
SCR  PUNCH EM               (ashford h)GONCALVES R 120 15.00 ★    
SCR  QUARTERBACK DAK               (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 124 2.50 14% 6.10    
 
LS-9   04/29/2023 3300ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:55
:231 :472       1:00   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  IMA SKY TRAVELER 2 6 2nk 2nk   1½ 1½ (craven)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 4.50 7.50  
6  MISS DISTINCTIVE 5 7 73¾ 54¼   52½ 2½ (broberg karl)FUENTES A 124 3.00 ★ 5.80 P
4  BLING ON THE LIGHT 3 2 32 41¾   2½ 31¼ (scholl kevin)WETHEY JR 124 15.00 13.60  
10  THINKITASADONATION 8 3 42¼ 31½   31 42¼ (govea cesar)BARANDELA SOFIA 119 8.00 21% 3.70 11.00  
7  SUMMER LIGHTNING 6 5 63¼ 64¾   64½ 55 (rangel raul)DIEGO V 124 5.00 31% 2.20 3.20  
9  AUSTIN CITY GIRL 7 8 84 75¾   76½ 68 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 124 3.50 23% 3.30 4.50  
5  JAN'S TURN TO WIN 4 4 52¼ 85¾   88 712¾ (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 124 6.00 ★ 2.80  
1  SHE'S AN ANGEL 1 1 1nk 1nk   41½ 815¼ (gomez j)JUDE JOHN 124 30.00 6.80  
SCR  ITS A GEE THING               (broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 124 15.00    
SCR  JAN'S BABY               (padilla a)MORA GERARDO 124 12.00    
 
LS-10   04/29/2023 3300ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:23
:231 :47       :592   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  KELL'S BELLS 8 5 1nk 1nk   13½ 14 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 118 3.50 20% 3.90 1.40 W
6  WAGON TRAIN 5 9 62¼ 53½   34 24 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 124 4.50 31% 2.20 4.10 P
4  STASIS 4 1 3.2 31½   23½ 36 (braven)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 2.00 17% 4.80 4.20 S
1  PROPERLY CONNECTED 1 2 4¼ 42   55 410 (davidson sarah)PIVARAL GERBER 118 8.00 10% 9.00 12.10  
8  DRAG MALIBU 7 3 2nk 2nk   44 511 (villafr)MANRRIQUE JOSE 124 6.00 ★ 9.40  
7  VINDICATO 6 4 72½ 74¾   68 611¼ (moriarty pat)JUDE JOHN 124 30.00 18.40  
3  TITO 3 6 86½ 88¼   79½ 714 (chaparro gayl)BARANDELA SOFIA 119 30.00 14.00  
10  TEXAS PHAROAH 9 8 51¾ 63¾   89¾ 818½ (keithan rach)ERAMIA E 124 20.00 14.50  
2  CAROLINA PARTISAN 2 7 913½ 915¼   924¾ 936¼ (montano wilfr)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 30.00 12.00  
SCR  FREEPORT               (cra)DE CRUZ 118 15.00    
SCR  LIVINGSTON               (broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 118 15.00    
SCR  SEEMS RIGHT               (willis mindy)WETHEY JR 124 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.