Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Lone Star Park
Saturday - April 29, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LS-1   WIN (5/8/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/4/3)-(5/8/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/8/4/3)-(5/8/4/3)-(5/8/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/8/4/3)-(5/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
LS-2   WIN (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/3)-(5/3/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3)-(5/3/1/2)-(5/3/1/2) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/3)-(1/7/3/4)-(3/7/9/8) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
LS-3   WIN (1/7/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/3/4)-(1/7/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/3/4)-(1/7/3/4)-(1/7/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/7/3/4)-(3/7/9/8)-(1/4/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LS-4   WIN (3/7/9/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/9/8)-(3/7/9/8/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/7/9/8)-(3/7/9/8/4)-(3/7/9/8/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    PK3 (3/7/9/8)-(1/4/8)-(4/6/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LS-5   WIN (1/4/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/8)-(1/4/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/8)-(1/4/8)-(1/4/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (1/4/8)-(4/6/8)-(8/7/1/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LS-6   WIN (4/6/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/8)-(4/6/8/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/8)-(4/6/8/5/3)-(4/6/8/5/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LS-7   WIN (8/7/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/7/1/4)-(8/7/1/4/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/7/1/4)-(8/7/1/4/2)-(8/7/1/4/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LS-8   WIN (8/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (8/3)-(8/3/9) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (8/3)-(8/3/9)-(8/3/9) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    PK3 (8/3)-(7/9/10)-(6/9/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LS-9   WIN (7/9/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/9/10)-(7/9/10/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/9/10)-(7/9/10/6/5)-(7/9/10/6/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (7/9/10)-(6/9/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
LS-10   WIN (6/9/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/9/4/1)-(6/9/4/1/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/9/4/1)-(6/9/4/1/8)-(6/9/4/1/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LS-1   04/29/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  AARON'S SPIRIT Apr16 Mar12 Feb19 Dec16 Nov22 (broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 118 6.00    
2  RED BIRD'S STORM Apr08 Mar24 Mar10 Feb17 Jan13 (g)DE CRUZ 124 15.00    
3  FEDERAL HILL (ARG) Mar04 Feb19 Jan08 Nov05 Oct15 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 10.00 6% 14.70    
4  RUSH THE COLORS Jan22 Jan05 Nov11 Jul17 Jul08 (calhoun b)ELLIOTT S 124 3.50 10% 9.40    
5  UNION DATA Feb25 Jan28 Jan07 Dec02 Mar16 (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 124 1.80 49% 1.00    
6  MALIBU THUNDER Feb18 Jan15 Nov19 Oct27 Aug26 (eoff terry)WETHEY JR 124 8.00    
7  BRAHMS BOY Mar31 Mar11 Feb10 Apr28 Mar25 (lloyd an)MORA GERARDO 124 15.00    
8  CHIEF BRADY Mar31 Jul22 Jun24 May14 Mar26 (keen dallas)BARANDELA SOFIA 119 4.50 11% 7.90    
 
LS-2   04/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STANS HOME RUN Mar17 Jul24 Jun23 May29 Apr28 (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 120 12.00 ★    
2  WILL THE THRILL Apr14 Mar17 Feb25 Feb03 Jan22 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 124 1.60 ★    
3  HELLO HELLO MISTER Apr16 Apr02       (voorhees i)JUDE JOHN 124 4.50 16% 5.40    
4  TEXAS GOLD RUSH Mar31 Mar10 Feb12 Dec21 Dec09 (kotar)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 115 30.00    
5  VILLAGE WAY Mar17 Feb10 Jan28 Jan08 Sep08 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 118 2.00 59% 0.70    
SCR  POPEYES HEART Feb02 Dec22 Nov19 Oct15 Sep18 (winslow j)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 120 15.00    
7  LUCKY PROMISE Apr14 Mar17 Jan21 Dec07 Nov05 (broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 122 5.00    
 
LS-3   04/29/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3 F PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VIVACIOUSLY Feb17 Dec31 Nov26     (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 2.00 39% 1.60    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of TERRA PROMESSA by CURLIN)
SCR  BOBBIE O Apr07 Mar17 Jul09     (willis mind)WETHEY JR 122 15.00    
  (by MOHAYMEN out of MILLENIA by UNFUWAIN)
3  CONFLICTING TALES Mar19         (calhoun willi)CABRERA DAVID 122 4.00 14% 6.10    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of OH FLO by UNCLE MO)
4  MIZ CALI Jan27 Jan13 Dec14 Nov25 Nov19 (silva miguel)MORA GERARDO 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of MIZ LIZ by STORMY ATLANTIC)
5  GUN RUNNIN GIRL Feb03         (asmussen ste)ALVAREZ L 122 8.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of CLEARTAP by TAPIT)
SCR  NUBILITY Apr14 Mar17 Feb09     (davi)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 12.00    
  (by VIOLENCE out of WIDE RANGE by MINESHAFT)
7  PIVOSKY Mar25 Mar16 Mar05 Feb24 Jan29 (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 122 3.50 18% 4.50    
  (by CONNECT out of PRINCESSE RAFAELA by SKY MESA)
8  LO PROFILE Apr14 Mar17 Mar03     (rossi lee )ERAMIA E 122 10.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT STORM out of GO GO LOLO by AWESOME AGAIN)
 
LS-4   04/29/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BROADWAY DISH Mar28 Mar14       (smith a)DIEGO V 119 6.00    
2  HAILEY'S JEWEL Apr15 Mar19 Feb17 Jan15 Nov26 (g)DE CRUZ 119 12.00    
3  PIECE OF ME Apr13 Feb16 Feb02 Jan07 Dec10 (govea cesar)BARANDELA SOFIA 119 3.00 32% 2.10    
4  LADAWN Jan15 Dec07 Nov08 Oct20 Sep09 (smith a)JUDE JOHN 124 20.00 ★    
5  ITA Mar19 Mar10       (chacaltana )OLIVEROS CHARLE 119 20.00    
6  GLITZ AND GLAMOUR Apr15 Mar19 Feb25 Jan22 Jul04 (broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 119 3.50    
7  LEPRECHAUN CHARM Apr14 Feb22       (cappellucci )FUENTES A 119 6.00 16% 5.20    
8  RUN FOR MRS RIGGS         (padilla c)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 124 15.00 12% 7.10    
9  TEQUILA EMPIRE Apr14 Mar03 Feb10 Dec30 Nov17 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 119 4.00 15% 5.60    
10  MAGICALSTORM Apr14 Apr01 Mar11 Feb11   (hjort donna)PIVARAL GERBER 119 10.00    
 
LS-5   04/29/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLING'S BELLWETHER Apr08 Mar25 Mar03 Feb18 Jan20 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 120 2.50 26% 2.80    
2  BRICKBAT Apr01 Mar11 Feb10 Jan08 Dec13 (ashford)GONCALVES R 120 6.00    
SCR  BUXTERHOOTER Apr01 Dec02 Nov12 Oct22 Aug14 (broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 120 2.00 20% 4.10    
4  BIG POWER RED Apr14 Mar24 Dec02 Nov14 Nov02 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 5.00 11% 8.50    
5  THE GRAY BLUR Mar22 Mar01 Feb16 Jan26 Jan05 (hirdes john)BARANDELA SOFIA 115 20.00    
6  REACH THE CIRCLE Mar27 Mar13 Feb11 Dec15 Dec03 (gomez j)PIVARAL GERBER 120 20.00    
7  CONGA BOY Feb28 Feb01 Dec14 Nov12 Oct07 (diodoro robe)FUENTES A 120 6.00    
8  DOBBINS G Mar10 Jan08 Dec08 Nov02 Oct21 (gustafson au)ALVAREZ L 120 8.00 9% 10.50    
 
LS-6   04/29/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG ROJO Mar18 Feb22 Feb02 Jan21 Dec16 (torrez jeren)ALVAREZ L 124 15.00    
2  RESOLVE NOW Apr14 Feb03 Jan08 Dec14 Nov18 (eoff terry)BARANDELA SOFIA 119 10.00    
3  FOREVAMO Apr14 Mar24 Feb19 Jan08 Dec10 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 124 15.00 ★    
4  FRA MAURO Apr14 Mar24 Mar10 Feb26 Feb10 (gustafson )ERAMIA E 124 2.50 61% 0.60    
5  HECOULDGOALLTHEWAY Apr14 Apr02 Mar24 Feb26 Feb10 (castellanos)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 6.00 ★    
6  LOUIS LE GRANDE Apr14 Mar18 Mar04 Jan20 Jan06 (broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 124 3.50 7% 12.70    
7  EYES ON RED Apr14 Feb26 Feb10 Jan14 Dec15 (eoff terry)WETHEY JR 124 12.00    
8  KENTUCKY PEERLESS Apr14 Mar28 Mar21 Jan10 Nov14 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 124 10.00 6% 16.60    
9  CADDO FOX Apr13 Mar11 Feb18 Jan20 Apr09 (payne dan)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 124 15.00    
10  HOLY EMPEROR Apr22 Feb28 Jan19 Dec17 Nov17 (bryant george )MORA GERARDO 124 8.00    
 
LS-7   04/29/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VALDINA DREAMS Apr13 Mar24 Mar03 Feb19 Feb03 (payne w)MORA GERARDO 124 4.50 14% 6.30    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of PATA FRESCA by INDIAN CHARLIE)
2  BULLS IN THE BRONX Feb25 Jan27 Jul22 May15 Mar24 (bravenec )CONTRERAS ALFREDO 124 5.00 ★    
  (by COURT VISION out of CAPE TOWN BRIDE by CAPE TOWN)
3  GOLD CAPO Apr13 Apr07 Feb17 Jan13 Jul09 (echever)GONCALVES R 124 20.00    
  (by BETA CAPO out of SATIN GOLD by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
4  GOD'S GOLD Apr07 Feb19 Feb03 Sep07 Aug19 (martin jame)BARANDELA SOFIA 119 10.00 12% 7.60    
  (by MIRACULOUSMO out of GOLDEN LEGS by GOULDINGS GREEN)
SCR  FLYING G Mar19 Mar11 Feb12 Jan16 Dec07 (pish danny)OLIVEROS CHARLE 118 15.00    
  (by EARLY FLYER out of GALILEA by CAPE BLANCO (IRE))
6  PUNTO RAFFA VOLO Apr16 Mar11 Feb11 Jan21 Jan07 (cravens ronni)CABRERA DAVID 118 20.00    
  (by FAST ANNA out of SERGEANT SUE by PROUD CITIZEN)
7  IBERIAN RUNNER Apr13 Apr07 Mar24 Apr01 Mar23 (g)DE CRUZ 124 3.50 19% 4.10    
  (by EL KINGDOM out of LIL PRECIOUS by FORESTRY)
8  BAY BE GONE Apr13 Mar19 Feb26 Feb12 Feb03 (garz)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 118 1.60 31% 2.20    
  (by KLIMT out of O'HEAT by UNUSUAL HEAT)
9  KING ARTHUR RIDGE Apr07 Mar12 Feb25 Feb03 Jan13 (kotara ronald)DIAZ RENE 124 20.00    
  (by RONRIDGE WILL out of COWGIRL COOL by RARE BRICK)
 
LS-8   04/29/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WITT'S TAQUITO Apr20 Mar03 Feb10 Dec07 Nov05 (lloyd an)MORA GERARDO 120 8.00    
SCR  QUARTERBACK DAK Apr13 Mar25 Feb18 Jan20 Nov12 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 124 2.50 14% 6.10    
3  NAUTICAL MOON Apr01 Mar03 Feb10 Jan08 Dec16 (bravo franci)ALVAREZ L 124 8.00 12% 7.40    
4  VANGILDER Apr08 Mar24 Feb24 Jan28 Jan08 (davidson s)ERAMIA E 120 20.00    
5  GOLD ACCOUNT Mar31 Feb25 Oct08 Sep22 Sep10 (eoff )MANRRIQUE JOSE 124 15.00    
6  SAMURAI CAUSE Apr21 Mar18 Mar03 Feb24 Feb05 (tuley rhonda)SANCHEZ M 120 6.00    
7  LAB RAT Apr15 Mar24 Feb17 Jan21 Nov14 (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 120 12.00    
8  FREDONIAN Feb15 Jan13 Dec17 Dec01 Nov21 (broberg karl)FUENTES A 122 4.50 45% 1.20    
9  DEANOS CAPE Apr14 Apr01 Mar10 Feb26 Feb10 (broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 124 3.50 ★    
SCR  PUNCH EM Mar27 Mar13 Nov21 Nov02 Oct07 (ashford)GONCALVES R 120 15.00 ★    
 
LS-9   04/29/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHE'S AN ANGEL Feb10 Dec15 Nov19 Oct27 Oct14 (gomez j)JUDE JOHN 124 30.00    
SCR  ITS A GEE THING Apr22 Feb24 Feb04 Jun19 May22 (broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 124 15.00    
3  IMA SKY TRAVELER Mar05 Feb04 Jan13 Aug19 Jun19 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 4.50    
4  BLING ON THE LIGHT Mar19 Mar10 Sep14 Jul22 Jul03 (scholl kevi)WETHEY JR 124 15.00    
5  JAN'S TURN TO WIN Apr13 Mar26 Feb19 Jan29 Jan20 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 124 6.00 ★    
6  MISS DISTINCTIVE Apr16 Feb24 Feb04 Jan01   (broberg karl)FUENTES A 124 3.00 ★    
7  SUMMER LIGHTNING Apr02 Feb24 Feb04 Jan08 Nov04 (rangel raul)DIEGO V 124 5.00 31% 2.20    
SCR  JAN'S BABY Apr25 Dec03 Nov03 Sep02 Feb25 (padilla carlos)MORA GERARDO 124 12.00    
9  AUSTIN CITY GIRL Mar05 Jan13 Nov14 May30 Apr29 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 124 3.50 23% 3.30    
10  THINKITASADONATION Apr02 Feb22 Feb03 Dec15 Oct26 (govea cesar)BARANDELA SOFIA 119 8.00 21% 3.70    
 
LS-10   04/29/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PROPERLY CONNECTED Apr16 Mar11 Feb04 Jan20 Dec20 (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 118 8.00 10% 9.00    
  (by CONNECT out of UPANDTOTHERIGHT by CREATIVE CAUSE)
2  CAROLINA PARTISAN         (montano wil)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 30.00    
  (by THE LADY'S GROOM out of CAROLINA ROSA by A. P. WARRIOR)
3  TITO Apr13 Feb19 Jan13 Jul22   (chaparro ga)BARANDELA SOFIA 119 30.00    
  (by MY GOLDEN SONG out of PETE'S FIVE by ARCH)
4  STASIS Feb10 Mar12       (brav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 2.00 17% 4.80    
  (by HALF OURS out of WELLOFAPRIZE by PURE PRIZE)
SCR  LIVINGSTON         (broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 118 15.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of MAY NIGHT by GULCH)
6  WAGON TRAIN Apr07 Mar04       (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 124 4.50 31% 2.20    
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of DEVILISH LADY by TEXAS CITY)
7  VINDICATO Apr02 Mar03 Feb17 Feb04 Jan16 (moriarty p)JUDE JOHN 124 30.00    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of ATLANTIQUE by STORMY ATLANTIC)
8  DRAG MALIBU Mar12 Feb17 Jan06 Dec11 Nov30 (villa)MANRRIQUE JOSE 124 6.00 ★    
  (by HIT IT A BOMB out of CORINZIA by CORINTHIAN (IRE))
9  KELL'S BELLS Mar31 Feb26 Aug26     (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 118 3.50 20% 3.90    
  (by MO TOWN out of UNBRIDLED APPEAL by UNBRIDLED)
10  TEXAS PHAROAH Mar09 Feb20       (keithan ra)ERAMIA E 124 20.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of TWIXY ROLL by ROLL HENNESSY ROLL)
SCR  FREEPORT Apr16 Apr07 Mar12     (c)DE CRUZ 118 15.00    
  (by UNCAPTURED out of SCARLETT'S IMAGE by YES IT'S TRUE)
SCR  SEEMS RIGHT Dec01         (willis mind)WETHEY JR 124 15.00    
  (by THE HUNK out of CALL FOR ROZES by CHITOZ)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.