The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Lonestar Park
Saturday - April 22, 2023

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LS-1   04/22/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
:23 :463 :591     1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG TICKET 4 4 2nk 2nk   1½ 1(jacks )VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 118 2.50 7% 13.00 2.40 W
FIND NEW ROADS 3 5 42 3   32(calhoun willia)ALVAREZ L 124 2.00 52% 0.90 1.30 P
WINGS FOR ENO 1 2 1nk 1nk   2½ 3(payne danny)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 124 4.50 11% 7.80 6.70 S
GOLD DECLARATION 7 7 7 54   43 4(eoff terry)BARANDELA SOFIA 119 6.00 8.00  
NEVER OVER ME 2 6 3½ 43   5513½ (jacks e)DIEGO V 124 5.00 13.00  
TWELVE PACK 8 1 5 6   67 619 (harrison rebecca)MORA GERARDO 124 20.00 12.90  
BRILLIANT COLORS 5 8 8 810½   8723 (young e)WETHEY JR 118 10.00 5% 19.00 14.40  
GREYSTOKE 6 3 6 7   78 824½ (whitton mar)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 124 15.00 17.50  
 
LS-2   04/22/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:03
:224 :46 :59     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DARE TO WISH 1 5 11 12   14 1(asmussen steven )MORA GERARDO 118 10.00 4.90  
I AM UP 5 2 43 22   24 2(calhoun willi)WETHEY JR 124 3.50 6.30  
GATHER THE FACTS 3 3 31 45   4316 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 124 1.80 47% 1.10 2.40 S
POWER TO PLAY 4 1 21 33   38 417¾ (calhoun willia)ALVAREZ L 124 1.20 30% 2.40 1.00  
SOLECITA 2 4 54 5   5520 (bustama)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 113 15.00 6.60  
SCR  COPELANDER               (cunningham ca)BARANDELA SOFIA 119 20.00    
 
LS-3   04/22/2023 3300ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:31
:22 :454       :59   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HALE'S ANGEL 1 2 1nk 1½   13 12 (villafranco f)WETHEY JR 124 3.50 16% 5.20 3.20 W
PAISLEY CROSS 7 4 4 42   23 22 (gustafs)MANRRIQUE JOSE 124 1.80 27% 2.70 2.50 P
COSTANARMANDALEG 2 5 5 55   46 34 (broberg karl)FUENTES A 124 12.00 6.30  
SOUL SET FREE 5 3 3.2 3½   35 4(tuley rhonda)SANCHEZ M 124 12.00 8.40  
IGNIS 6 7 6 610   612½ 511½ (crumley jevon)ALVAREZ L 124 3.00 21% 3.70 4.00  
METALLIC SILVER 4 1 2nk 2½   5616¼ (roubio)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 4.50 5.60  
SALACIOUSACUSATION 3 6 710¼ 717   727½ 7100 (mejia jacobo)DIAZ RENE 124 20.00 7.60  
SCR  JUS MY IMAGINATION               (bro)DE CRUZ 124 10.00 9% 10.10    
 
LS-4   04/22/2023 5280ft TURF FIRM Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:59
:243 :492 1:14 1:26   1:374   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EASTER SNAP 2 3 21 2nk 11 11 1½ (cravens iii)DIEGO V 120 4.50 4.70  
10  VIOLIN MAKER 7 6 5 5 56 42½ (broberg karl)FUENTES A 124 2.50 22% 3.60 1.50 P
FLIP THE COIN JAN 4 2 31 4 42 31 31 (castellanos)TRIANA JR 124 10.00 7% 12.90 4.80 S
MISHKO 3 5 4 3 3 21 4(silva miguel)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 12.00 10.40  
HOLY EMPEROR 6 1 11 1nk 21 54 5(bryant al)MORA GERARDO 120 15.00 8.20  
F J'S GEM 5 7 6 6 68 67 67 (govea cesar)BARANDELA SOFIA 115 20.00 12.40  
CONVICTION TRADE 1 4 7 7 720 717 725¼ (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 120 5.00 3.80  
SCR  ANALYZE THIS JET               (eoff terry)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 120 20.00    
SCR  FREDONIAN               (broberg karl)FUENTES A 122 2.50 18% 4.70    
SCR  GUITAR SLIM               (bryant)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 2.00 24% 3.10    
SCR  NEW YEAR               (montano wilfrido)SANCHEZ M 120 30.00 6% 14.50    
SCR  VANGILDER               (davidson sa)TRIANA JR 120 10.00    
 
LS-5   04/22/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($33.5K) 3 F PT- 4:27
:232 :472 1:124     1:193   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WAVING BYE 3 2 1½ 11   12 1(bravo francis)WETHEY JR 122 1.60 38% 1.70 1.20 W
MY PATRIOTIC GIRL 2 6 4 42   22 2(cruz edua)GONCALVES R 122 4.00 7% 13.50 4.30 P
FAST TRACK 6 1 2½ 21   44 36 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 4.50 24% 3.10 4.40 S
CANDY BEE 7 4 3 3   347 (silva miguel)MORA GERARDO 122 3.50 11% 8.20 4.50  
THE NEXT BIG BLING 5 5 53 5   5514 (jacks e)DIEGO V 122 15.00 10.70  
MOLA MIA 1 7 7 6   611 616½ (davidso)MANRRIQUE JOSE 122 15.00 15.00  
SKY TIZZY 4 3 6 7   716 742¼ (bryant george)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 10.00 12.60  
 
LS-6   04/22/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:55
:232 :48 1:002     1:064   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KELLEY SAID READY 4 1 11 1   15 1(caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 124 2.50 41% 1.50 1.90 W
JIBE 1 4 32 3   42(asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 124 1.40 25% 3.00 2.70 P
ITS A GEE THING 3 8 7 6   63(broberg karl)FUENTES A 124 4.50 4.10 S
STILL OF THE NIGHT 5 6 42 4   25 4(craven)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 5.00 5% 19.00 5.90  
MAZI 6 7 8 7   55(bravo francis)WETHEY JR 124 15.00 13.60  
HEAD OVER BOOTS 7 3 5 55   77 6(echeverria )CONTRERAS ALFREDO 124 20.00 10.60  
A SONG FOR MICKEY 2 2 21 2   35 710¼ (bustamante ray)MORA GERARDO 124 20.00 14.60  
GREY HALO 8 5 6 810¼   817 820¾ (echeverria he)BARANDELA SOFIA 119 20.00 17.60  
 
LS-7   04/22/2023 4950ft TURF FIRM Allowance Purse ($33.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:23
:231 :471 1:121 1:25   1:312   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAPITS KASH 1 2 11 1nk   1½ 11 (hebert matt)DIEGO V 124 1.40 23% 3.30 0.80 W
CINCO RICHIE 2 1 21 2nk   3½ 21 (broberg karl)FUENTES A 120 10.00 5.20 P
COWBOY RIDGE 6 3 3 3   2½ 31 (kotara rona)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 120 20.00 22.70  
MOROLICIOUS 8 9 8 7   54(gustafs)MANRRIQUE JOSE 124 3.50 9% 9.60 6.60  
TEXAS HOLDEM 3 7 44 44   44 5(silva miguel)MORA GERARDO 124 20.00 8.90  
FANDO 4 4 6 55   66 6(uriega)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 20.00 28.50  
PHARME'S PHAITH 7 6 7 6   77 7(jacks karen)TRIANA JR 120 8.00 12.60  
10  MR B QUIET 9 5 910½ 912¼   8820½ (bryant george)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 20.00 26.50  
LEGAL EAGLE 5 8 5 810¾   99 922 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 118 15.00 8.60  
SCR  EUROROCKSTAR               (rossi j)ALVAREZ L 120 4.50    
SCR  STANS HOME RUN               (gustafs)MANRRIQUE JOSE 120 2.50 43% 1.30    
 
LS-8   04/22/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3 F PT- 5:51
:223 :47 :594     1:062   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALMOST DIALED OUT 1 6 6 4   2nk 12 (calhoun willia)ALVAREZ L 122 3.50 24% 3.20 3.00 W
ACCELERATE JUDY 8 4 5 5   422 (willis mind)TRIANA JR 122 12.00 5% 17.70 12.40 P
OUR PASTOR 4 2 1½ 1½   1nk 33 (castellanos j)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 2.00 29% 2.40 1.50 S
SAN MATEO KAT 3 1 31 3   52 4(calhoun willia)FUENTES A 122 6.00 8.80  
CHOJO 5 3 2½ 2½   31 5(offolter s)MORA GERARDO 122 15.00 10.90  
THEREFORE I AM 7 5 7 6   66(asmussen m)DIAZ RENE 122 5.00 14% 6.20 6.60  
DAPHNE'S FIRE 2 7 4 7   714½ 729 (villafranco f)WETHEY JR 122 15.00 17.30  
BELLE ELENA 6 8 814¾ 8   822½ 837 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 4.00 6.10  
 
LS-9   04/22/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:19
:232 :481 1:01     1:143   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHEZA CAT 4 5 4 4   32 11 (pish danny)DIAZ RENE 124 8.00 1.00  
IRISH WRIT 3 2 1nk 1nk   1nk 21 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 118 4.00 15% 5.60 2.10 P
VALLEY VERDE 2 3 3½ 2nk   2nk 3(smith paul )TRIANA JR 124 15.00 4.80  
ROSITA LA CARINOSA 5 1 2nk 3.2   45 411¼ (padilla car)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 124 20.00 8.30  
PERSONAL ISSUES 1 4 5 512¼   520 520½ (russell rac)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 124 20.00 5% 19.00 5.60  
SCR  I'M ALL SHOOK UP               (hebert matt)DIEGO V 124 2.00 22% 3.50    
SCR  MENDI'S GIRL               (you)DE CRUZ 118 5.00    
SCR  SLIM CAUSEWAY               (mitchell stephen)SANCHEZ M 118 20.00    
SCR  SPARKLING ROSE               (jacks )VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 118 2.50 37% 1.70    
 
LS-10   04/22/2023 5280ft TURF FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($36.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:47
:232 :471 1:112 1:232   1:36   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SINGAPORE FLASH 2 3 2 2½ 2nk 2nk 1¼ (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 120 3.00 42% 1.40 1.60 DQ↓3
CAIRO WARRIOR 4 2 44 4 4 32 2¼ (craven)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 4.50 4.10  
CARLEA'S DREAM 3 5 33 3½ 1nk 1nk 3½ (jacks karen)TRIANA JR 122 15.00 9.00  
10  LOGICAL MYTH 8 7 75 7 7 542 (davis sha)GONCALVES R 120 12.00 6.40  
GO SPEED RACER GO 7 6 65 6 5 65(sch)DE CRUZ 120 20.00 9.90  
U S NAVY CROSS 5 8 89 8 8 810¼ 6(broberg karl)FUENTES A 122 12.00 9.00  
TATANKA 1 4 1 1½ 3 45 7(calhoun willia)ALVAREZ L 120 6.00 6.40  
TRULY DANZIG 6 1 5 52 6 786 (willis mindy)WETHEY JR 122 12.00 9.30  
SCR  BIZZY LEGS               (davidson brent)ELLIOTT S 122 8.00    
SCR  DON'TASK DON'TTELL               (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 120 4.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  FLASH OF MISCHIEF               (broberg karl)FUENTES A 122 2.00 33% 2.00    
SCR  MOUNT KENYA               (govea cesar)BARANDELA SOFIA 115 15.00    
SCR  RISK MANAGER               (davidson sarah)PIVARAL GERBER 124 5.00    
SCR  SONNEMAN               (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 120 3.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.