Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Lone Star Park
Saturday - April 22, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LS-1   WIN (3/1/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/4/5)-(3/1/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/4/5)-(3/1/4/5)-(3/1/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/1/4/5)-(4/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
LS-2   WIN (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/5)-(4/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (4/5)-(8/7/1)-(10/7) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
LS-3   WIN (8/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/7/1)-(8/7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/7/1)-(8/7/1)-(8/7/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (8/7/1)-(10/7)-(3/6/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LS-4   WIN (10/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (10/7)-(10/7) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (10/7)-(3/6/7/2)-(4/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LS-5   WIN (3/6/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/7/2)-(3/6/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/7/2)-(3/6/7/2)-(3/6/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/6/7/2)-(4/1/5)-(1/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LS-6   WIN (4/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/5)-(4/1/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/1/5)-(4/1/3/5)-(4/1/3/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
LS-7   WIN (1/9) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/9)-(1/9/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/9)-(1/9/3)-(1/9/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
LS-8   WIN (4/1/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/7/8)-(4/1/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/7/8)-(4/1/7/8)-(4/1/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/1/7/8)-(4/1)-(3) 8 $0.50 $4.00 
LS-9   WIN (4/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/1)-(4/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/1)-(3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
LS-10   WIN (3) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (3)-(3/7/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI (3)-(3/7/1)-(3/7/1) 2 $0.50 $1.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LS-1   04/22/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WINGS FOR ENO Mar17 Jan27 Sep27 Sep06 Aug15 (payne dan)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 124 4.50 11% 7.80    
2  NEVER OVER ME Mar11 Sep08 Jul31 Jun26 Jun11 (jacks e)DIEGO V 124 5.00    
3  FIND NEW ROADS Mar05 Jan28 Nov21     (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 124 2.00 52% 0.90    
4  BIG TICKET Mar12 Feb18 Feb04 Jan27   (jack)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 118 2.50 7% 13.00    
5  BRILLIANT COLORS Mar31 Mar12 Feb17 Jan20 Jan06 (young scott)WETHEY JR 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  GREYSTOKE Apr14 Mar11 Feb10 Jul22 Jul02 (whitton m)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 124 15.00    
7  GOLD DECLARATION Feb03 Nov19 Oct15 Feb18 Jan30 (eoff terry)BARANDELA SOFIA 119 6.00    
8  TWELVE PACK Mar11 Jun23 May22 Feb17 Feb05 (harrison rebec)MORA GERARDO 124 20.00    
 
LS-2   04/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  COPELANDER         (cunningham )BARANDELA SOFIA 119 20.00 ★    
  (by OUTLASH out of SCROFA by UNUSUAL HEAT)
2  DARE TO WISH Mar25 Feb18       (asmussen steve)MORA GERARDO 118 10.00    
  (by GIRVIN out of GRAND WISH by LEROIDESANIMAUX (BRZ))
3  SOLECITA         (busta)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 113 15.00    
  (by LIAISON out of DUBAIDORA by E DUBAI)
4  GATHER THE FACTS Mar18 Aug19 Jun24 Apr30   (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 124 1.80 47% 1.10    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of SISTER SUPERIOR by PULPIT)
5  POWER TO PLAY Dec10 Oct26 Jul10     (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 124 1.20 30% 2.40    
  (by BERNARDINI out of ADOPT ME by STREET CRY (IRE))
6  I AM UP Mar08 Jan19 Mar10 Feb19 Jan23 (calhoun wil)WETHEY JR 124 3.50    
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of CALI THIRTY SEVEN by ESKENDEREYA)
 
LS-3   04/22/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HALE'S ANGEL Mar12 Feb19 Jan22 Jan06 Nov30 (villafranco)WETHEY JR 124 3.50 16% 5.20    
2  COSTANARMANDALEG Apr12 Jan22 Dec09 Nov23 Nov09 (broberg karl)FUENTES A 124 12.00    
3  SALACIOUSACUSATION Mar10 Feb04 Oct27 Sep20 Aug29 (mejia jacobo)DIAZ RENE 124 20.00    
4  METALLIC SILVER Feb12 Nov17 Jun17 May30 May07 (roub)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 4.50    
5  SOUL SET FREE Apr07 Feb11 Jan06 Dec15 Nov26 (tuley rhonda)SANCHEZ M 124 12.00    
SCR  JUS MY IMAGINATION Feb04 Jan19 May07 Mar11 Feb26 (b)DE CRUZ 124 10.00 9% 10.10    
7  IGNIS Mar18 Jul03 Jun04 Apr01 Feb18 (crumley)ALVAREZ AMADOR 124 3.00 21% 3.70    
8  PAISLEY CROSS Dec30 Nov19 Mar05 Jan20 Jan08 (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 124 1.80 27% 2.70    
 
LS-4   04/22/2023 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CONVICTION TRADE Mar11 Feb17 Oct27 Jun17 Jun09 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 120 5.00    
SCR  GUITAR SLIM Feb04 Dec30 Dec10 Nov17 Oct27 (brya)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 2.00 24% 3.10    
3  EASTER SNAP Mar25 Mar10 Feb18 Jan28 Jan08 (cravens ii)DIEGO V 120 4.50    
SCR  NEW YEAR Feb17         (montano wilfrid)SANCHEZ M 120 30.00 6% 14.50    
5  MISHKO Apr14 Jan26 Jan05 Nov24 Nov07 (silva migue)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 12.00    
SCR  ANALYZE THIS JET Mar10 Feb19 Jun04 May14   (eoff terr)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 120 20.00    
7  FLIP THE COIN JAN Apr01 Mar18 Mar04 Jul23 Jun26 (castellan)TRIANA JR 124 10.00 7% 12.90    
8  F J'S GEM Apr14 Mar05 Feb16 Jan27 Dec30 (govea cesar)BARANDELA SOFIA 115 20.00    
9  HOLY EMPEROR Feb28 Jan19 Dec17 Nov17 Oct08 (bryant george )MORA GERARDO 120 15.00    
10  VIOLIN MAKER Mar11 Feb17 Nov07 Oct07 Sep14 (broberg karl)FUENTES A 124 2.50 22% 3.60    
SCR  FREDONIAN Feb15 Jan13 Dec17 Dec01 Nov21 (broberg karl)FUENTES A 122 2.50 18% 4.70    
SCR  VANGILDER Apr08 Mar24 Feb24 Jan28 Jan08 (davidson )TRIANA JR 120 10.00    
 
LS-5   04/22/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($33.5K) 3 F PT- 4:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOLA MIA Mar12 Feb26 Jan22 Jan06   (david)MANRRIQUE JOSE 122 15.00    
2  MY PATRIOTIC GIRL Apr02 Jan27 Jan06     (cruz ed)GONCALVES R 122 4.00 7% 13.50    
3  WAVING BYE Mar25 Mar05 Feb18 Jan28 Jan07 (bravo franc)WETHEY JR 122 1.60 38% 1.70    
4  SKY TIZZY Mar05 Jan28 Jan06 Nov02 Oct22 (bryant geor)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 10.00    
5  THE NEXT BIG BLING Apr02 Mar19 Feb26 Jan27 Jan07 (jacks e)DIEGO V 122 15.00    
6  FAST TRACK Apr02 Mar05 Jan28 Jun05 May14 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 4.50 24% 3.10    
7  CANDY BEE Apr02 Mar05 Feb11 Jan27 Jul10 (silva miguel)MORA GERARDO 122 3.50 11% 8.20    
 
LS-6   04/22/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JIBE Apr02 Feb04 Jan13 Dec03 Sep12 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 124 1.40 25% 3.00    
2  A SONG FOR MICKEY Jan14 Jul23 Jun09 Apr30 Feb24 (bustamante ray)MORA GERARDO 124 20.00    
3  ITS A GEE THING Feb24 Feb04 Jun19 May22 May13 (broberg karl)FUENTES A 124 4.50 ★    
4  KELLEY SAID READY Mar25 Feb04 Jul09 Jun17 May15 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 124 2.50 41% 1.50    
5  STILL OF THE NIGHT Apr02 Feb04 Nov04 Oct14 Sep23 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 5.00 5% 19.00    
6  MAZI Apr02 Mar10 Feb04 Jan13 Dec15 (bravo franc)WETHEY JR 124 15.00    
7  HEAD OVER BOOTS Apr13 Mar10 Feb26 Feb04 Aug27 (echeverri)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 124 20.00    
8  GREY HALO Apr14 Apr02       (echeverria )BARANDELA SOFIA 119 20.00    
 
LS-7   04/22/2023 4950ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($33.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAPITS KASH Mar31 Mar03 Feb03 Apr01 Feb19 (hebert matt)DIEGO V 124 1.40 23% 3.30    
SCR  EUROROCKSTAR Mar17 Mar03 Feb11 Jan15 Feb12 (rossi j)ALVAREZ L 120 4.50 ★    
3  CINCO RICHIE Feb26 Jan27 Nov30 Nov05 Oct22 (broberg karl)FUENTES A 120 10.00 ★    
4  TEXAS HOLDEM Mar24 Mar12 Feb25 Feb03 Jan13 (silva miguel)MORA GERARDO 124 20.00    
5  FANDO Mar31 Mar11 Jul22 May29 May08 (uriegas hen)HAMILTON WESTON 120 20.00    
6  LEGAL EAGLE Mar25 Mar11 Feb26 Jan16 Nov25 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 118 15.00    
7  COWBOY RIDGE Apr02 Mar11 Mar03 Jan27 Jan14 (kotara ro)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 120 20.00    
8  PHARME'S PHAITH Mar31 Mar03 Feb20 Jan27 Sep27 (jacks kar)TRIANA JR 120 8.00    
9  MOROLICIOUS Mar31 Mar12 Feb25 Feb19 Feb03 (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 124 3.50 9% 9.60    
10  MR B QUIET Feb28 Feb03 Nov23 Oct08 Sep20 (bryant geor)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 20.00    
SCR  STANS HOME RUN Mar17 Jul24 Jun23 May29 Apr28 (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 120 2.50 43% 1.30    
 
LS-8   04/22/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3 F PT- 5:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALMOST DIALED OUT         (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 122 3.50 24% 3.20    
  (by DIALED IN out of SO FANCY by TAPIT)
2  DAPHNE'S FIRE Mar18 Feb25       (villafranco)WETHEY JR 122 15.00    
  (by WICKED STRONG out of THUNDER SHOWER by TIZNOW)
3  SAN MATEO KAT Mar19         (calhoun will)FUENTES A 122 6.00    
  (by WEST COAST out of RUN AWAY'S SIS by CITY ZIP)
4  OUR PASTOR Mar26 Mar03       (castellanos)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 2.00 29% 2.40    
  (by HALF OURS out of PASTOR PAIGE by FAYREGAMMO)
5  CHOJO Mar18         (offolter s)MORA GERARDO 122 15.00    
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of RATHVILLY by GRAND SLAM)
6  BELLE ELENA Mar26 Feb09 Dec30 Nov10 Oct12 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 4.00    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of BELLE OF PERINTOWN by DEHERE)
7  THEREFORE I AM Mar26 Feb15       (asmussen m)DIAZ RENE 122 5.00 14% 6.20    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of SEA OF SHOWERS by SEATTLE SLEW)
8  ACCELERATE JUDY         (willis mi)TRIANA JR 122 12.00 5% 17.70    
  (by ACCELERATE out of MERRYLAND MONROE by ALLEN'S PROSPECT)
 
LS-9   04/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PERSONAL ISSUES         (russell r)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  VALLEY VERDE Mar19 Mar07 Jan31 Dec15 Dec01 (smith pau)TRIANA JR 124 15.00    
SCR  I'M ALL SHOOK UP Apr07 Mar18 Jan20 Dec10   (hebert matt)DIEGO V 124 2.00 22% 3.50    
4  IRISH WRIT Apr01 Mar10 Feb05     (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 118 4.00 15% 5.60    
5  SHEZA CAT Apr01 Mar16 Feb10 Jan22 Dec30 (pish danny)HAMILTON WESTON 124 8.00    
SCR  SPARKLING ROSE Mar26 Jul31 Jul01     (jack)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 118 2.50 37% 1.70    
7  ROSITA LA CARINOSA Mar03 Jan27 Nov12 Oct22   (padilla c)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 124 20.00    
SCR  MENDI'S GIRL Mar11 Feb17 Jan13 Dec14 Nov02 (y)DE CRUZ 118 5.00 ★    
SCR  SLIM CAUSEWAY Apr07 Mar19       (mitchell stephe)SANCHEZ M 118 20.00    
 
LS-10   04/22/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($36.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TATANKA Apr08 Mar05 Oct20 Sep25 Aug20 (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 120 6.00 ★    
SCR  DON'TASK DON'TTELL Feb24 Jan20 Nov08 Oct27 Oct12 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 120 4.00 5% 19.00    
3  SINGAPORE FLASH Mar25 Mar05 Feb18 Jan22 Feb19 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 120 3.00 42% 1.40    
4  CARLEA'S DREAM Mar05 Jan20 Oct27 Sep25 Aug06 (jacks kar)TRIANA JR 122 15.00    
5  CAIRO WARRIOR Feb24 Jan20 Jan06 Sep25 Sep15 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 4.50    
SCR  RISK MANAGER Mar25 Mar05 Jan28 Dec26 Nov18 (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 124 5.00    
7  U S NAVY CROSS Jan28 Jan08 Dec17 Dec01 Sep25 (broberg karl)FUENTES A 122 12.00 ★    
8  TRULY DANZIG Mar25 Feb18 Jan07 Oct06 Sep15 (willis mind)WETHEY JR 122 12.00    
9  GO SPEED RACER GO Feb24 Jan07 Nov08 Oct27 Oct20 (scholl kevi)HAMILTON WESTON 120 20.00    
10  LOGICAL MYTH Jan28 Dec17 Nov22 Oct27 Sep25 (davis s)GONCALVES R 120 12.00    
SCR  BIZZY LEGS Mar31 Jan28 Jan06 Nov19 Nov08 (davidson brent)ELLIOTT S 122 8.00    
SCR  MOUNT KENYA Mar22 Feb24 Jan28 Dec22 Jul03 (govea cesar)BARANDELA SOFIA 115 15.00    
SCR  FLASH OF MISCHIEF Mar18 Jan28 Dec10 Nov05 Sep25 (broberg karl)FUENTES A 122 2.00 33% 2.00    
SCR  SONNEMAN Mar24 Mar03 Feb11 Sep28 Sep01 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 120 3.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.