The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Evangeline Downs
Wednesday - April 12, 2023

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EVD-1   04/12/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:30
:232 :473 1:141     1:273   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MRS. NECAISE 6 5 6 22   2½ 16 (ladner herman)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 8.00 9.50  
11  ANIME DAY 9 4 2nk 12   1½ 26 (gonzalez)GUERRERO ANDRES 123 5.00 26% 2.80 6.00 P
STOP SHOP N DROP 3 3 4 33   33(castille n)FUSILIER C 120 15.00 11.60 S
CAJUN ACES 4 2 5 6   44(wilson melton)GREEN AUBRIE 120 6.00 16% 5.20 11.00  
RYAN'S GRACE 1 9 7 8   75(flint steve)MCMAHON J 123 3.00 16% 5.20 1.30  
MYLIES STAR 2 6 32 7   55 610½ (dussette alv)ALBERT S 115 4.00 12% 7.50 3.90  
DARING DARIAN 8 7 9 54   66 716½ (charles jonat)BALTHAZAR JARED 120 20.00 56.00  
SARATOGA KAREN 5 8 8 9   810½ 821½ (cox l)MELANCON JANSEN 123 12.00 27.10  
VODKA SUNRISE 7 1 1nk 4   914½ 932¾ (landry ray)STOKES J 115 12.00 7.10  
SCR  GALAXY AFFAIR               (latour nichola)BARRERA J 115 20.00    
SCR  TENPINS TEMPEST               (thomas lee)POMPELL L 120 20.00    
 
EVD-2   04/12/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($33K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:57
:224 :462 :591     1:053   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SNOWBALL 2 6 6 5   21 1(breaux samuel)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 2.00 18% 4.60 2.20 W
HEI HEI CUSTIVITY 3 5 5 4   32 2(richards corale )GREEN AUBRIE 117 5.00 4.80  
SWEET TEMPERAMENT 5 1 1½ 1½   11 3(bourgeois)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 117 2.50 42% 1.40 1.20 S
LASTCHANCEFORLOVE 1 4 2½ 2½   546 (calhoun b)MCMAHON J 120 1.80 17% 4.90 3.20  
LADY HOPPER 4 3 4 3   45(ludwig b)THORNTON G 117 15.00 40.50  
BROKE FINANCING 6 2 31 64   6612 (jackson )GUERRERO ANDRES 120 10.00 63.40  
 
EVD-3   04/12/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:24
:223 :463 1:131     1:20   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JERSEY HOTTIE 5 8 7 4   15 15 (cox l)MCMAHON J 117 2.00 2.30  
STORM BREACH 4 7 8 7   25 25 (ramirez eduard)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 8.00 7.20  
SUFFRAGETTE 8 9 9 8   53(govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 120 20.00 22.30  
BEYOND D'ORO 6 5 6 6   6413¾ (simon lester)ROSENDO J 117 15.00 6% 16.40 23.80  
COSTANARMANDALEG 9 1 4¼ 22   37 514¼ (broberg karl)THORNTON G 120 4.50 15% 5.70 4.20  
BETISON 2 3 1nk 5   710¾ 620¾ (brinkman brett)BARRERA J 112 10.00 8% 11.90 4.70  
PRINCESS TRINA 3 4 2nk 12   47 721½ (chatters benard)STOKES A 120 2.50 42% 1.40 7.70  
BIND ON EARTH 7 2 3.2 32   814¾ 826½ (west henry)RIVERA JOSEAN 117 6.00 3.70  
CANDY'S PRIDE 1 6 5 9   922¾ 941¼ (morrell cynth)BALTHAZAR JARED 117 20.00 78.30  
 
EVD-4   04/12/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:51
:24 :484 1:151 1:283   1:421   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOOLISH DREAMS 3 6 8 6 3½ 1½ 1(schwandt emile)BARRERA J 118 8.00 9% 10.60 2.40 W
GENERAL EISENHOWER 7 4 5 4¾ 1nk 2½ 2(fuselier jonah)STOKES J 123 20.00 20.00  
GOTTATAKEHIMTO 4 9 7 7 52 336 (ramirez eduar)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 12.00 6.60  
MONITOR MILLS 8 3 2nk 1nk 2nk 4410¾ (chatters benard)STOKES A 123 3.00 9.40  
10  HOPE FOR CHANGE 9 8 9 9 8 78 513¼ (milburn ka)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 123 20.00 23.10  
GRAHAM 'S CRUISER 2 1 3 2nk 41 5614 (roberts kenneth)MCMAHON J 123 2.50 28% 2.60 2.80  
STONE ALLIANCE 5 5 6 5 6 6716¼ (cuccia j)ALBERT S 118 3.50 31% 2.20 6.00  
JOEY'S LIGHTENING 6 7 4 3.2 7 811 819½ (averett ronnie)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 15.00 37.20  
THE THREE KS 1 2 1nk 8 9 919 940 (williams m)MELANCON G 123 6.00 4.80  
SCR  JUJU NINETEEN               (savoie sherman)NIEVES EMANUEL 123 15.00 9% 10.70    
 
EVD-5   04/12/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:18
:224 :471 :60     1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MUCHMORETHANREADY 6 8 85 6   22 12 (jeansonne justin)ROSENDO J 118 2.00 67% 0.50 0.80 W
10  DAT GUITAR 9 3 2½ 1nk   12 22 (derousselle pet)VARGAS P 118 20.00 6.70  
TWO JET 4 5 7 4   33(delhomme jerry)THORNTON G 118 15.00 4.50  
REMEMBERIN RONALD 7 9 3 3.2   43 4(robinsjr)GUERRERO ANDRES 123 5.00 5% 19.00 6.20  
SCARLET STORM 2 7 9 8   65 511¾ (courville ri)MARQUEZ L 123 4.00 11.70  
12  TIME TO CLOSE 10 1 42 5   55 612¼ (celestine ch)ALBERT S 118 12.00 33.30  
BLUERIDGEBALLERINA 8 2 5 7   8717¾ (toups brent)STOKES J 123 20.00 88.10  
TARKINGTON GIRL 5 4 1½ 2nk   7824¾ (ali ancil)GREEN AUBRIE 123 15.00 14.10  
QUEEN'S SOLDIER 3 10 10 10   912¼ 928¾ (averett ronni)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 20.00 44.60  
OCEAN FLEET 1 6 6 9   1012¼ 1033½ (averett ronnie)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 20.00 64.40  
SCR  BEAT THE DOUBLE               (zeno benjamin)STOKES A 123 20.00    
SCR  BLESSED ASSURANCE               (dison mar)POMPELL L 118 6.00 5% 18.70    
SCR  LONG SHOT LOUISE               (dodson cliffor)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 15.00    
SCR  VIVI DID IT               (thomas lee)BARRERA J 113 8.00    
 
EVD-6   04/12/2023 5280ft TURF FIRM Optional Claiming ($30K) Purse ($27K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:46
:241 :482 1:123 1:251   1:374   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEER CROSSING 7 5 64 6 7 51¼ (delhomme j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 6.00 4.40  
11  PEACOCK KITTEN 10 6 54 5 5 31 2¼ (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 118 3.00 32% 2.10 5.40 P
10  LIKE MIKE 9 7 8 8 6 73½ (broberg karl)THORNTON G 115 20.00 5% 19.00 32.00 S
MORE THAN BLESSED 1 8 9 9 8 84½ (cascio j)VARGAS P 118 8.00 6.70  
CITY PARK 5 2 42 4 4 45¾ (ramirez eduard)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 115 12.00 8.80  
OH MY ACHING ARCH 8 3 31 3 3.2 1nk 6(wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 4.00 6% 14.60 6.50  
MINNESOTA MIRACLE 3 1 1½ 1nk 2nk 2nk 75 (segura kearney)STOKES J 118 15.00 9.00  
SCORING DRIVE 2 9 109 10 9 98(richards corale )GREEN AUBRIE 115 15.00 28.90  
FREEDOM FACTOR 4 4 2½ 2nk 1nk 69(govea cesar)LOZADA CARLOS 120 2.50 13% 6.60 2.00  
NATE'S ATTACK 6 10 75 7 10 101014 (briley lonni)ALBERT S 113 20.00 54.30  
SCR  BALLINONABUDJET               (reeves a)MCMAHON J 117 2.50 19% 4.20    
SCR  ELUSIVE D'ORO               (fogarty desmon)NIEVES EMANUEL 118 20.00    
 
EVD-7   04/12/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($35K) 3 ALL PT- 9:13
:22 :454 :581     1:044   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOLY BAYOU 4 1 21 2nk   14 1(klanfer alan)FUSILIER C 117 20.00 3.20  
COMANCHE WARRIOR 2 3 33 32   24 2(terre dav)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 1.60 41% 1.40 2.40 P
GOLDENLUTE 6 5 45 44   46 3(noel dane)VARGAS P 120 5.00 6% 15.00 4.70 S
HOOSIER 5 6 5 5   57 411½ (mouton j)MCMAHON J 117 3.50 9% 10.10 3.10  
GEAUX SUGAR 3 2 11 1nk   35 512¼ (david b)THORNTON G 120 8.00 3.20  
ALL OF US 1 4 6 6   613 625¾ (larrosa juan )DEL-CID VICENTE 117 15.00 43.10  
SCR  MANLY DEEDS               (chatters benard)STOKES A 120 2.50 21% 3.90    
 
EVD-8   04/12/2023 3300ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3 F PT- 9:40
:223 :464       1:001   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TDZ WHAT A DEAL 6 3 31 22   22 1(roberts kenneth)VARGAS P 120 4.00 26% 2.80 0.70 W
MARINA 5 1 11 12   12 2(silva walter)LOZADA CARLOS 120 20.00 10.70  
PAYTON'S INDIAN 2 2 21 4   34 3(breaux samuel)STOKES J 120 15.00 8.90 S
11  TROSKA 10 7 55 5   44 4(larrosa juan )DEL-CID VICENTE 120 5.00 11.90  
LOVE CREED 1 5 66 6   68 5(jeansonne justin)ROSENDO J 120 1.60 38% 1.60 5.00  
NIKLAUSIA 4 4 9 9   79 611¼ (broussard ja)ALBERT S 120 20.00 ######  
CAT B CAUSE 7 11 1111¼ 1110¾   1111¼ 711¾ (modica oscar)MCMAHON J 120 10.00 9.20  
10  SING THE NOTES 9 9 8 7   8811¾ (dison mar)POMPELL L 120 20.00 ######  
12  NATURALBORNSENDER 11 6 43 33   56 912¼ (terre dav)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 12.00 26.20  
ALL AMERICAN PAT 8 8 7 8   910 1013½ (sam w)STOKES A 120 15.00 43.10  
GRACE'S SOLDIER 3 10 10 10   1011 1113¾ (zenon shelton)MELANCON G 120 20.00 53.30  
SCR  WHORL GIRL               (roberts roy)BARRERA J 115 8.00 13% 6.40    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.