Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Evangeline Downs
Wednesday - April 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
EVD-1   04/12/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:30
See original race card.
:232 :473 1:141     1:273   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MRS. NECAISE 6 5 6 22   2½ 16 (ladner herm)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 8.00 9.50  
11  ANIME DAY 9 4 2nk 12   1½ 26 (gonzal)GUERRERO ANDRES 123 5.00 26% 2.80 6.00 P
STOP SHOP N DROP 3 3 4 33   3 3 (castille rickey )FUSILIER C 120 15.00 11.60 S
CAJUN ACES 4 2 5 6   4 4 (wilson melton)GREEN AUBRIE 120 6.00 16% 5.20 11.00  
RYAN'S GRACE 1 9 7 8   7 5 (flint steve)MCMAHON J 123 3.00 16% 5.20 1.30  
MYLIES STAR 2 6 32 7   55 610½ (dussette a)ALBERT S 115 4.00 12% 7.50 3.90  
DARING DARIAN 8 7 9 54   66 716½ (charles jon)BALTHAZAR JARED 120 20.00 56.00  
SARATOGA KAREN 5 8 8 9   810½ 821½ (cox edward )MELANCON JANSEN 123 12.00 27.10  
VODKA SUNRISE 7 1 1nk 4   914½ 932¾ (landry ray)STOKES J 115 12.00 7.10  
SCR  GALAXY AFFAIR               (latour nicho)BARRERA J 115 20.00    
SCR  TENPINS TEMPEST               (thomas lee)POMPELL L 120 20.00    
 
EVD-2   04/12/2023 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($33K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:57
See original race card.
:224 :462 :591     1:053   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SNOWBALL 2 6 6 5   21 1 (breaux samu)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 2.00 18% 4.60 2.20 W
HEI HEI CUSTIVITY 3 5 5 4   32 2 (richards coral)GREEN AUBRIE 117 5.00 4.80  
SWEET TEMPERAMENT 5 1 1½ 1½   11 3 (bourgeo)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 117 2.50 42% 1.40 1.20 S
LASTCHANCEFORLOVE 1 4 2½ 2½   5 46 (calhoun william)MCMAHON J 120 1.80 17% 4.90 3.20  
LADY HOPPER 4 3 4 3   4 5 (ludwig b)THORNTON G 117 15.00 40.50  
BROKE FINANCING 6 2 31 64   6 612 (jackso)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 10.00 63.40  
 
EVD-3   04/12/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:24
See original race card.
:223 :463 1:131     1:20   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JERSEY HOTTIE 5 8 7 4   15 15 (cox l)MCMAHON J 117 2.00 2.30  
STORM BREACH 4 7 8 7   25 25 (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 8.00 7.20  
SUFFRAGETTE 8 9 9 8   5 3 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 120 20.00 22.30  
BEYOND D'ORO 6 5 6 6   6 413¾ (simon lester)ROSENDO J 117 15.00 6% 16.40 23.80  
COSTANARMANDALEG 9 1 4¼ 22   37 514¼ (broberg karl)THORNTON G 120 4.50 15% 5.70 4.20  
BETISON 2 3 1nk 5   710¾ 620¾ (brinkman bre)BARRERA J 112 10.00 8% 11.90 4.70  
PRINCESS TRINA 3 4 2nk 12   47 721½ (chatters benard)STOKES A 120 2.50 42% 1.40 7.70  
BIND ON EARTH 7 2 3.2 32   814¾ 826½ (west henry)RIVERA JOSEAN 117 6.00 3.70  
CANDY'S PRIDE 1 6 5 9   922¾ 941¼ (morrell cyn)BALTHAZAR JARED 117 20.00 78.30  
 
EVD-4   04/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:51
See original race card.
:24 :484 1:151 1:283   1:421   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOOLISH DREAMS 3 6 8 6 3½ 1½ 1 (schwandt emi)BARRERA J 118 8.00 9% 10.60 2.40 W
GENERAL EISENHOWER 7 4 5 4¾ 1nk 2½ 2 (fuselier jonah)STOKES J 123 20.00 20.00  
GOTTATAKEHIMTO 4 9 7 7 52 3 36 (ramirez edu)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 12.00 6.60  
MONITOR MILLS 8 3 2nk 1nk 2nk 4 410¾ (chatters benard)STOKES A 123 3.00 9.40  
10  HOPE FOR CHANGE 9 8 9 9 8 78 513¼ (milburn )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 123 20.00 23.10  
GRAHAM 'S CRUISER 2 1 3 2nk 41 5 614 (roberts kenneth)MCMAHON J 123 2.50 28% 2.60 2.80  
STONE ALLIANCE 5 5 6 5 6 6 716¼ (cuccia j)ALBERT S 118 3.50 31% 2.20 6.00  
JOEY'S LIGHTENING 6 7 4 3.2 7 811 819½ (averett ronn)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 15.00 37.20  
THE THREE KS 1 2 1nk 8 9 919 940 (williams m)MELANCON G 123 6.00 4.80  
SCR  JUJU NINETEEN               (savoie sherm)NIEVES EMANUEL 123 15.00 9% 10.70    
 
EVD-5   04/12/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:18
See original race card.
:224 :471 :60     1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MUCHMORETHANREADY 6 8 85 6   22 12 (jeansonne justi)ROSENDO J 118 2.00 67% 0.50 0.80 W
  (by TOM'S READY out of ASTARTE by STREET SENSE)
10  DAT GUITAR 9 3 2½ 1nk   12 22 (derousselle p)VARGAS P 118 20.00 6.70  
  (by STAR GUITAR out of CAT WHO DAT by FIRE SLAM)
TWO JET 4 5 7 4   3 3 (delhomme jerry)THORNTON G 118 15.00 4.50  
  (by DAAHER out of TOMMEYESGOLD by GOLD MARKET)
REMEMBERIN RONALD 7 9 3 3.2   43 4 (robins)GUERRERO ANDRES 123 5.00 5% 19.00 6.20  
  (by TAKEOVER TARGET out of STREET BLUSH by STREET BOSS)
SCARLET STORM 2 7 9 8   65 511¾ (courville )MARQUEZ L 123 4.00 11.70  
  (by COURT VISION out of SCARLET HALL by GRAEME HALL)
12  TIME TO CLOSE 10 1 42 5   55 612¼ (celestine )ALBERT S 118 12.00 33.30  
  (by CLOSING ARGUMENT out of TIME TO EMBRACE by HALF OURS)
BLUERIDGEBALLERINA 8 2 5 7   8 717¾ (toups brent)STOKES J 123 20.00 88.10  
  (by DAAHER out of DANCING DEER by DEERHOUND)
TARKINGTON GIRL 5 4 1½ 2nk   7 824¾ (ali anc)GREEN AUBRIE 123 15.00 14.10  
  (by ASTROLOGY out of OPEN RATE by INTEREST RATE)
QUEEN'S SOLDIER 3 10 10 10   912¼ 928¾ (averett ron)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 20.00 44.60  
  (by SADIE'S SOLDIER out of BLACK MARIAH by DEVIL HIS DUE)
OCEAN FLEET 1 6 6 9   1012¼ 1033½ (averett ronn)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 20.00 64.40  
  (by OCEAN KNIGHT out of WILL BE FLEET by NORTHERN AFLEET)
SCR  BEAT THE DOUBLE               (zeno benjamin)STOKES A 123 20.00    
  (by IDE LIKE A DOUBLE out of YOUJUSTCANTBETER by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
SCR  BLESSED ASSURANCE               (dison m)POMPELL L 118 6.00 5% 18.70    
  (by ZONG out of SOCIETY DOLL by THEATRICAL (IRE))
SCR  LONG SHOT LOUISE               (dodson cliff)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 15.00    
  (by SASSICAIA out of IN COMMAND by SIPHON)
SCR  VIVI DID IT               (thomas lee)BARRERA J 113 8.00    
  (by CUSTOM FOR CARLOS out of MISS DUN DONE IT by DUNKIRK)
 
EVD-6   04/12/2023 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($30K) Purse ($27K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:46
See original race card.
:241 :482 1:123 1:251   1:374   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEER CROSSING 7 5 64 6 7 5 1¼ (delhomme)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 6.00 4.40  
11  PEACOCK KITTEN 10 6 54 5 5 31 2¼ (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 118 3.00 32% 2.10 5.40 P
10  LIKE MIKE 9 7 8 8 6 7 3½ (broberg karl)THORNTON G 115 20.00 5% 19.00 32.00 S
MORE THAN BLESSED 1 8 9 9 8 8 4½ (cascio andrew)VARGAS P 118 8.00 6.70  
CITY PARK 5 2 42 4 4 4 5¾ (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 115 12.00 8.80  
OH MY ACHING ARCH 8 3 31 3 3.2 1nk 6 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 4.00 6% 14.60 6.50  
MINNESOTA MIRACLE 3 1 1½ 1nk 2nk 2nk 75 (segura kearney)STOKES J 118 15.00 9.00  
SCORING DRIVE 2 9 109 10 9 9 8 (richards coral)GREEN AUBRIE 115 15.00 28.90  
FREEDOM FACTOR 4 4 2½ 2nk 1nk 6 9 (govea cesar)LOZADA CARLOS 120 2.50 13% 6.60 2.00  
NATE'S ATTACK 6 10 75 7 10 10 1014 (briley lon)ALBERT S 113 20.00 54.30  
SCR  BALLINONABUDJET               (reeves jeffery )MCMAHON J 117 2.50 19% 4.20    
SCR  ELUSIVE D'ORO               (fogarty desm)NIEVES EMANUEL 118 20.00    
 
EVD-7   04/12/2023 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($35K) 3 ALL PT- 9:13
See original race card.
:22 :454 :581     1:044   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOLY BAYOU 4 1 21 2nk   14 1 (klanfer alan)FUSILIER C 117 20.00 3.20  
COMANCHE WARRIOR 2 3 33 32   24 2 (terre d)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 1.60 41% 1.40 2.40 P
GOLDENLUTE 6 5 45 44   46 3 (noel dane)VARGAS P 120 5.00 6% 15.00 4.70 S
HOOSIER 5 6 5 5   57 411½ (mouton chadwick)MCMAHON J 117 3.50 9% 10.10 3.10  
GEAUX SUGAR 3 2 11 1nk   35 512¼ (david b)THORNTON G 120 8.00 3.20  
ALL OF US 1 4 6 6   613 625¾ (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 15.00 43.10  
SCR  MANLY DEEDS               (chatters benard)STOKES A 120 2.50 21% 3.90    
 
EVD-8   04/12/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3 F PT- 9:40
See original race card.
:223 :464       1:001   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TDZ WHAT A DEAL 6 3 31 22   22 1 (roberts kenne)VARGAS P 120 4.00 26% 2.80 0.70 W
MARINA 5 1 11 12   12 2 (silva walter)LOZADA CARLOS 120 20.00 10.70  
PAYTON'S INDIAN 2 2 21 4   34 3 (breaux samuel)STOKES J 120 15.00 8.90 S
11  TROSKA 10 7 55 5   44 4 (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 5.00 11.90  
LOVE CREED 1 5 66 6   68 5 (jeansonne justi)ROSENDO J 120 1.60 38% 1.60 5.00  
NIKLAUSIA 4 4 9 9   79 611¼ (broussard )ALBERT S 120 20.00 ######  
CAT B CAUSE 7 11 1111¼ 1110¾   1111¼ 711¾ (modica oscar)MCMAHON J 120 10.00 9.20  
10  SING THE NOTES 9 9 8 7   8 811¾ (dison m)POMPELL L 120 20.00 ######  
12  NATURALBORNSENDER 11 6 43 33   56 912¼ (terre d)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 12.00 26.20  
ALL AMERICAN PAT 8 8 7 8   910 1013½ (sam w)STOKES A 120 15.00 43.10  
GRACE'S SOLDIER 3 10 10 10   1011 1113¾ (zenon shelton)MELANCON G 120 20.00 53.30  
SCR  WHORL GIRL               (roberts roy)BARRERA J 115 8.00 13% 6.40    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.