Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Evangeline Downs
Wednesday - April 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

EVD-1   WIN (11/1/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (11/1/4/2)-(11/1/4/2/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (11/1/4/2)-(11/1/4/2/3)-(11/1/4/2/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (11/1/4/2)-(5/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (11/1/4/2)-(5/2/1)-(3/9/2/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
EVD-2   WIN (5/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/1)-(5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/1)-(3/9/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/2/1)-(3/9/2/6)-(6/2/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
EVD-3   WIN (3/9/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/9/2/6)-(3/9/2/6/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/9/2/6)-(3/9/2/6/5)-(3/9/2/6/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/9/2/6)-(6/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/9/2/6)-(6/2/4)-(6/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
EVD-4   WIN (6/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/4)-(6/2/4/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/2/4)-(6/2/4/9)-(6/2/4/9) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/2/4)-(6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/2/4)-(6/7)-(11/4/9/10) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
EVD-5   WIN (6/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/7)-(6/7/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (6/7)-(6/7/2)-(6/7/2) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (6/7)-(11/4/9/10) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/7)-(11/4/9/10)-(2/6/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
EVD-6   WIN (11/4/9/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (11/4/9/10)-(11/4/9/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (11/4/9/10)-(11/4/9/10)-(11/4/9/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (11/4/9/10)-(2/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (11/4/9/10)-(2/6/7)-(1/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
EVD-7   WIN (2/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/7)-(2/6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/7)-(2/6/7)-(2/6/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/7)-(1/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
EVD-8   WIN (1/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/7)-(1/7/12/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/7)-(1/7/12/2)-(1/7/12/2) 12 $0.50 $6.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
EVD-1   04/12/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RYAN'S GRACE Mar26 Feb24 Feb01 Jan20 Dec21 (flint steve)MCMAHON J 123 3.00 16% 5.20    
MYLIES STAR Mar11 Feb23 Jan27 Jan19 Jan06 (dussette a)ALBERT S 115 4.00 12% 7.50    
STOP SHOP N DROP Feb24 Feb02 Jan07 Dec15 Nov03 (castille rickey )FUSILIER C 120 15.00    
CAJUN ACES Mar11 Jan19 Jan07 Nov18 Oct12 (wilson melton)GREEN AUBRIE 120 6.00 16% 5.20    
SCR  TENPINS TEMPEST Mar15 Feb28 Jan28 Jan14 Jan05 (thomas lee)POMPELL L 120 20.00    
SARATOGA KAREN Feb22 Jan26 Jan04 Dec19 Oct26 (cox edward )MELANCON JANSEN 123 12.00    
MRS. NECAISE Mar15 Feb12 Jan14 Dec29 Dec08 (ladner herm)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 8.00    
VODKA SUNRISE Mar12 Feb10 Jan12 Dec30 Dec02 (landry ray)STOKES J 115 12.00    
DARING DARIAN Feb25 Feb02 Jan06     (charles jon)BALTHAZAR JARED 120 20.00    
SCR  GALAXY AFFAIR Feb22 Feb02 Jan12 Dec29 Dec02 (latour nicho)BARRERA J 115 20.00    
11  ANIME DAY Jan26 Jan12 Jan04 Dec09 Oct26 (gonzal)GUERRERO ANDRES 123 5.00 26% 2.80    
 
EVD-2   04/12/2023 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($33K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LASTCHANCEFORLOVE Mar02 Sep25 Sep03 Jun10 May08 (calhoun william)MCMAHON J 120 1.80 17% 4.90    
SNOWBALL Mar26 Feb24 Feb04 Jan12 Dec10 (breaux samu)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 2.00 18% 4.60    
HEI HEI CUSTIVITY Mar18 Feb26 Feb04 Jan12 Jun03 (richards coral)GREEN AUBRIE 117 5.00    
LADY HOPPER Mar26 Feb17 Feb04 Jan12 Nov16 (ludwig b)THORNTON G 117 15.00    
SWEET TEMPERAMENT Feb24 Jan06 Dec17 Jul21 Jun16 (bourgeo)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 117 2.50 42% 1.40    
BROKE FINANCING Mar12 Jan27 Aug19 Jul20 Jun18 (jackso)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 10.00    
 
EVD-3   04/12/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CANDY'S PRIDE Feb09 Jan16 Dec26 Nov25 Sep25 (morrell cyn)BALTHAZAR JARED 117 20.00    
BETISON Feb22 Aug06 Jul15 Jun17 Jun02 (brinkman bre)BARRERA J 112 10.00 8% 11.90    
PRINCESS TRINA Jan26 Jan13 Dec03 Nov23 Oct27 (chatters benard)STOKES A 120 2.50 42% 1.40    
STORM BREACH Feb22 Jan14 Dec17 Nov22 Oct05 (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 8.00    
JERSEY HOTTIE Jan26 Dec22 Dec08 Oct26 Sep25 (cox l)MCMAHON J 117 2.00    
BEYOND D'ORO Jan07 Nov22 Oct21 Aug13 Jul28 (simon lester)ROSENDO J 117 15.00 6% 16.40    
BIND ON EARTH Mar23 Feb17 Feb01 Jan19 Apr15 (west henry)RIVERA JOSEAN 117 6.00    
SUFFRAGETTE Apr01 Mar17 Mar10 Feb20 Jan29 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 120 20.00    
COSTANARMANDALEG Jan22 Dec09 Nov23 Nov09 Oct28 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 120 4.50 15% 5.70    
 
EVD-4   04/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE THREE KS Mar26 Feb21 Jan28 Dec08 Nov24 (williams m)MELANCON G 123 6.00    
GRAHAM 'S CRUISER Feb11 Jan14 Dec27 Nov17 Aug13 (roberts kenneth)MCMAHON J 123 2.50 28% 2.60    
SCR  JUJU NINETEEN Mar16 Feb21 Jan22 Jan01 Dec16 (savoie sherm)NIEVES EMANUEL 123 15.00 9% 10.70    
FOOLISH DREAMS Mar16 Feb23 Jan08 Dec17 Nov26 (schwandt emi)BARRERA J 118 8.00 9% 10.60    
GOTTATAKEHIMTO Feb11 Jan14 Dec17 Nov19 Oct20 (ramirez edu)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 12.00    
STONE ALLIANCE Mar04 Feb11 Jan07 Dec08 Nov26 (cuccia j)ALBERT S 118 3.50 31% 2.20    
JOEY'S LIGHTENING Feb16 Feb01 Jan18 Jan06 Nov22 (averett ronn)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 15.00    
GENERAL EISENHOWER Feb23 Feb03 Dec17 Dec01 Nov16 (fuselier jonah)STOKES J 123 20.00    
MONITOR MILLS Feb01 Jan06 Dec19 Oct12 Aug25 (chatters benard)STOKES A 123 3.00    
10  HOPE FOR CHANGE Mar16 Feb21 Nov17 Oct19 Sep27 (milburn )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 123 20.00    
 
EVD-5   04/12/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OCEAN FLEET Mar18         (averett ronn)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 20.00    
  (by OCEAN KNIGHT out of WILL BE FLEET by NORTHERN AFLEET)
SCARLET STORM Jan27 Jan14 Dec20 Oct13 Aug19 (courville )MARQUEZ L 123 4.00    
  (by COURT VISION out of SCARLET HALL by GRAEME HALL)
QUEEN'S SOLDIER         (averett ron)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 20.00    
  (by SADIE'S SOLDIER out of BLACK MARIAH by DEVIL HIS DUE)
TWO JET Feb18 Feb05 Jan21     (delhomme jerry)THORNTON G 118 15.00    
  (by DAAHER out of TOMMEYESGOLD by GOLD MARKET)
TARKINGTON GIRL Mar25 Feb11 Nov26     (ali anc)GREEN AUBRIE 123 15.00    
  (by ASTROLOGY out of OPEN RATE by INTEREST RATE)
MUCHMORETHANREADY Mar09 Feb12 Jan21 Dec29 Jun01 (jeansonne justi)ROSENDO J 118 2.00 67% 0.50    
  (by TOM'S READY out of ASTARTE by STREET SENSE)
REMEMBERIN RONALD Feb24 Feb11       (robins)GUERRERO ANDRES 123 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TAKEOVER TARGET out of STREET BLUSH by STREET BOSS)
BLUERIDGEBALLERINA Feb11 Dec22 Nov26     (toups brent)STOKES J 123 20.00    
  (by DAAHER out of DANCING DEER by DEERHOUND)
SCR  BLESSED ASSURANCE Mar24 Mar09 Feb24     (dison m)POMPELL L 118 6.00 5% 18.70    
  (by ZONG out of SOCIETY DOLL by THEATRICAL (IRE))
10  DAT GUITAR Jan19 Jan05 Dec09 Nov18   (derousselle p)VARGAS P 118 20.00    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of CAT WHO DAT by FIRE SLAM)
SCR  VIVI DID IT         (thomas lee)BARRERA J 113 8.00    
  (by CUSTOM FOR CARLOS out of MISS DUN DONE IT by DUNKIRK)
12  TIME TO CLOSE Mar16 Feb11 Dec19     (celestine )ALBERT S 118 12.00    
  (by CLOSING ARGUMENT out of TIME TO EMBRACE by HALF OURS)
SCR  BEAT THE DOUBLE Feb15         (zeno benjamin)STOKES A 123 20.00    
  (by IDE LIKE A DOUBLE out of YOUJUSTCANTBETER by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
SCR  LONG SHOT LOUISE Mar18 Feb03 Jan04     (dodson cliff)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 15.00    
  (by SASSICAIA out of IN COMMAND by SIPHON)
 
EVD-6   04/12/2023 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($30K) Purse ($27K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MORE THAN BLESSED Mar26 Feb19 Jan01 Sep04 Jul31 (cascio andrew)VARGAS P 118 8.00    
SCORING DRIVE Feb24 Jan26 Jan05 Dec19 Nov26 (richards coral)GREEN AUBRIE 115 15.00    
MINNESOTA MIRACLE Feb25 Feb03 Dec27 Nov26 Nov02 (segura kearney)STOKES J 118 15.00    
FREEDOM FACTOR Mar03 Feb10 Jan21 Jan06 Nov24 (govea cesar)LOZADA CARLOS 120 2.50 13% 6.60    
CITY PARK Feb25 Jan07 Dec10 Oct26 Aug06 (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 115 12.00    
NATE'S ATTACK Dec20 Jul02 May12 Apr29 Apr09 (briley lon)ALBERT S 113 20.00    
DEER CROSSING Mar16 Feb10 Aug16 Jul16 Jun18 (delhomme)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 6.00    
SCR  ELUSIVE D'ORO Jul31 Jul22 Jul08 Jun10 May21 (fogarty desm)NIEVES EMANUEL 118 20.00    
OH MY ACHING ARCH Mar03 Jan20 Sep20 Jul31 Jun25 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 4.00 6% 14.60    
10  LIKE MIKE Mar05 Feb21 Jan29 Dec17 Oct27 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 115 20.00 5% 19.00    
11  PEACOCK KITTEN Feb24 Jan07 Jul23 Mar26 Feb12 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 118 3.00 32% 2.10    
SCR  BALLINONABUDJET Mar26 Mar05 Feb04 Jan07 Dec30 (reeves jeffery )MCMAHON J 117 2.50 19% 4.20    
 
EVD-7   04/12/2023 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($35K) 3 ALL PT- 9:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALL OF US Mar23 Feb28 Jan27     (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 15.00    
COMANCHE WARRIOR Mar23 Mar09 Nov19     (terre d)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 1.60 41% 1.40    
GEAUX SUGAR Feb24 Feb05 Nov25     (david b)THORNTON G 120 8.00    
SCR  MANLY DEEDS Feb25 Jan27 Jan13     (chatters benard)STOKES A 120 2.50 21% 3.90    
HOLY BAYOU Mar11 Feb18 Jan11 Dec15 Nov09 (klanfer alan)FUSILIER C 117 20.00    
HOOSIER Mar23 Feb24 Feb04 Dec23 Dec08 (mouton chadwick)MCMAHON J 117 3.50 9% 10.10    
GOLDENLUTE Feb22 Feb05 Jan13 Dec15 Nov19 (noel dane)VARGAS P 120 5.00 6% 15.00    
 
EVD-8   04/12/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3 F PT- 9:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOVE CREED Mar16         (jeansonne justi)ROSENDO J 120 1.60 38% 1.60    
PAYTON'S INDIAN         (breaux samuel)STOKES J 120 15.00    
GRACE'S SOLDIER Mar16 Feb24 Jan26 Dec09 Nov16 (zenon shelton)MELANCON G 120 20.00    
SCR  WHORL GIRL Mar23 Feb24       (roberts roy)BARRERA J 115 8.00 13% 6.40    
NIKLAUSIA Feb24 Feb02 Oct15 Aug20   (broussard jarm)GREEN AUBRIE 120 20.00    
MARINA Feb15 Dec09 Nov16 Nov02   (silva walter)LOZADA CARLOS 120 20.00    
TDZ WHAT A DEAL Feb24 Feb02 Jan04 Dec16   (roberts kenne)VARGAS P 120 4.00 26% 2.80    
CAT B CAUSE Feb28 Feb17 Jan27     (modica oscar)MCMAHON J 120 10.00    
ALL AMERICAN PAT Mar16 Feb15       (sam w)STOKES A 120 15.00    
10  SING THE NOTES Feb28         (dison m)POMPELL L 120 20.00    
11  TROSKA Feb24 Feb15 Dec02 Nov16 Aug10 (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 5.00    
12  NATURALBORNSENDER Mar18         (terre d)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.