Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Evangeline Downs
Saturday - April 29, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

EVD-4   WIN (7/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  5 $12.40 $6.40 107%
    EXA (7/4/5)-(7/4/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00  5-4 $14.50 $5.50 61%
EVD-9   WIN (1/5/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00  1 $9.40 $1.40 18%

Simulator Race results

 
EVD-1   04/29/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3 ALL PT- 6:30
See original race card.
:23 :474       1:012   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THA ILLEST DEAL 4 1 11 12   12 1½ (west henry)RIVERA JOSEAN 120 2.00 9.20  
CARLOS' BLAST 6 5 4 4   34 2½ (gelner scott)BARRERA J 115 4.00 37% 1.70 1.30 P
BEAUDEAN 3 2 3 22   22 3½ (granger randall)STOKES A 120 6.00 11.70  
MEAN MEISTER 1 3 21 33   4 411 (flint steve)MCMAHON J 120 1.80 39% 1.50 1.00  
CAME OUT KICKIN 5 4 5 5   57 516 (romero lynn)GREEN AUBRIE 120 15.00 28.50  
PALLATON 2 6 610 66   68 618¾ (zenon shelt)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 5.00 10.50  
 
EVD-2   04/29/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:57
See original race card.
:233 :48 1:142     1:211   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KIND WAYS 2 1 11 12   12 1 (mojica edith)BARRERA J 115 2.00 2.40  
STORM BREACH 6 4 42 44   3 2 (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 3.50 27% 2.70 1.00 P
KASEN'S SISTER 1 5 32 3   22 3 (leblanc jeanne)THORNTON G 117 8.00 10.10  
SUFFRAGETTE 4 6 6 6   54 4 (larrosa a)GREEN AUBRIE 120 5.00 9.90  
COLD HEARTED WENCH 5 2 21 22   4 56 (rochau)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 12.00 8% 11.80 26.00  
FINNLEYS ENCORE 3 3 5 56   6 6 (segura kearney)STOKES J 117 1.80 29% 2.40 3.70  
 
EVD-3   04/29/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:24
See original race card.
:224 :472       1:002   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GENIUS 5 5 3 41   2nk 12 (pomier chase)MAGNON H 123 2.00 2.10  
VEGAS GUY 4 2 1nk 1½   1nk 22 (diodoro roberti)MCMAHON J 123 3.00 43% 1.30 1.40 P
ONE TOUGH CHARLIE 1 1 42 31   3½ 33 (duke steven)VARGAS P 120 3.50 3.30  
MY LITTLE JUNIOR 6 4 54 53   54 4 (zenon shelton)RIVERA JOSEAN 123 20.00 42.00  
HOMELAND MESSA 2 6 6 6   65 5 (toups brent)POMPELL L 123 8.00 22.90  
CLASSIC RED RACER 3 3 2nk 2½   43 614¼ (zenon shelt)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 2.50 26% 2.90 4.50  
 
EVD-4   04/29/2023 4950ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:51
See original race card.
:232 :481 1:154 1:301   1:444   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCARLET STORM 5 5 56 5 3 22 1 (courville )MARQUEZ L 123 3.00 8% 11.30 5.20 W
PRISSY JADEN 4 2 2½ 2nk 13 12 2 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 123 4.50 28% 2.50 1.30 P
HOT GOLDEN GIRL 2 4 1½ 1nk 23 34 315¼ (david b)BARRERA J 113 4.00 1.30  
SIKARA SIKARA 3 3 3 34 46 46 415½ (delhomme j)ALBERT S 113 2.00 6.90  
EULA'S GIRL 6 1 4 4 5 58 522¾ (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 118 8.00 19.00  
SANGIOVESE 1 6 6 6 6 6 641½ (sauvan eric)RIVERA JOSEAN 123 20.00 51.50  
SCR  LOVE CREED               (jeansonne justi)ROSENDO J 118 6.00 40% 1.50    
 
EVD-5   04/29/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:18
See original race card.
:233 :471 1:13     1:271   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOT LE ROY 3 5 4 4   1nk 1 (larrosa juan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 15.00 7.10  
IZZY'S BABY BOY 7 1 1½ 1½   2nk 2 (gelner jayde )RIVERA JOSEAN 120 3.50 16% 5.40 2.10 P
I'LL RAISE YOU 8 2 2½ 2½   3½ 3 (reeves jeffery )MCMAHON J 120 5.00 12% 7.00 7.90 S
OUTLAW X. 6 3 32 3   43 4 (gonzal)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 4.50 16% 5.20 3.60  
RUN ROCKET 2 7 75 7   66 55 (fuselier jonah)STOKES A 120 8.00 34% 2.00 13.60  
CHEROKEE TAKEOVER 5 4 54 6   5 6 (charles kei)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 2.50 2.00  
BROAD DECISION 4 6 6 55   7 7 (robbins ray)THORNTON G 120 12.00 33.00  
TUNE MY GUITAR 1 8 815 813½   812½ 825¾ (west henry)ALBERT S 115 20.00 69.80  
SCR  STEAL IT BACK               (west patric)BALTHAZAR JARED 120 6.00    
 
EVD-6   04/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:46
See original race card.
:223 :462 :591     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOYFRIEND MATERIAL 5 2 4¼ 4¼   11 1hd (fuselier j)ALBERT S 115 8.00 6.60  
FAR BEYOND 4 7 74 7   21 2hd (ward ronnie)STOKES J 120 6.00 11.80  
B W P SPECIAL 7 4 62 6   44 3 (mojica edith)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 4.50 9.60  
HALFMOON REEF 1 6 3.2 3.2   3 411 (goins garlan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 12.00 34.30  
LODE OF BLARNEY 3 1 1nk 1nk   7 511¼ (gonzalez is)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 2.00 43% 1.30 1.20  
BET AGAIN 6 5 5 5   54 611½ (toups brent)POMPELL L 117 5.00 20.80  
BIG BELLA BROWN 2 3 2nk 2nk   6 712½ (larrosa juan)BARRERA J 112 3.00 29% 2.40 1.50  
 
EVD-7   04/29/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:13
See original race card.
:241 :484 1:144 1:28   1:412   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FATHER RED 9 4 99 8 1nk 1nk 1 (mojica edit)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 6.00 2.00  
MO CREDO 8 2 6 4 3.2 2nk 2 (modica oscar)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 2.50 12% 7.10 5.70 P
CHICKEN TRUCK 7 6 5 3.2 2nk 3 3 (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 4.00 55% 0.80 1.20 S
K V TARGET 2 9 1010 9 5 7 413 (larrosa a)STOKES J 116 20.00 29.20  
PEANUT N IKE 6 1 32 6 4¼ 43 514¼ (rosier charles)FUSILIER C 120 15.00 20.30  
DARK MATTER 3 5 2½ 2nk 6 6 615 (silva walter)VARGAS P 118 10.00 67.90  
WESTERN STAR 1 3 1½ 1nk 7 54 716¼ (larrosa a)GREEN AUBRIE 120 15.00 49.60  
LITTLE ROCKY 4 8 42 5 8 8 819 (diodoro roberti)MCMAHON J 118 3.50 5% 19.00 9.50  
GOROSTIETA'S LOVE 5 7 7 7 9 9 924¾ (mouton )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 12.00 57.80  
10  INSPECTOR ED 10 10 8 10 1014¼ 1014¾ 1042 (prejean raymond)MELANCON G 115 8.00 18.20  
SCR  BIG ACE               (richard ru)ALBERT S 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  TARAASHOQ               (escobar alis)BARRERA J 118 20.00    
 
EVD-8   04/29/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35K) 3 F PT- 9:40
See original race card.
:223 :462 1:134     1:204   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AGAMI 3 6 6 5   1nk 1 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 10.00 17.10  
NODAH 4 2 21 2nk   2nk 2 (roberts kenneth)MELANCON G 117 3.00 2.00  
STARSHIP JAMBALAYA 5 3 4 4   4 3 (gelner scott)MCMAHON J 117 5.00 4.30 S
BLESSED ASSURANCE 1 1 11 1nk   3.2 4 (dison ma)STOKES A 120 3.50 37% 1.70 5.70  
SPLITTING ACES 6 5 5 6   5 511 (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 117 12.00 8.30  
CUSTOMIZED TWIN 2 4 31 31   6 627½ (calhoun)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 117 8.00 1.60  
SCR  A RUNNIN AFLEET               (schwandt emile)BARRERA L 112 1.80 33% 2.00    
 
EVD-9   04/29/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT-10:07
See original race card.
1:001         1:001   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GILDERSLEEVE 1 7 7 62   43 1nk (ward ronnie)STOKES J 120 3.50 32% 2.10 3.70 W
ASTROLOGYSPROTEGE 7 4 3.2 1nk   11 2nk (thompson kev)NIEVES EMANUEL 115 8.00 5.80  
CATINANDSCATIN 4 3 5 3½   3 3 (richar)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 12.00 10% 8.70 18.20 S
THE FIVE B'S 3 6 4¾ 5   53 4 (pomier chase)BARRERA J 113 2.00 0.80  
PALANTE 2 8 8 8   8 5 (woodley j)THORNTON G 120 15.00 7% 14.20 31.30  
EASY CHANCE 5 5 1nk 2nk   21 6 (briley lon)ALBERT S 110 3.00 14% 6.20 6.80  
BERNIE SPECIAL 8 1 6 7   7 7 (delahoussaye g)GREEN AUBRIE 120 5.00 10.20  
DOUBLE BOGEY 6 2 2nk 41   6 810¾ (benoit james)STOKES A 123 20.00 53.40  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.