Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Evangeline Downs
Saturday - April 29, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
EVD-1   WIN (1/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/6)-(1/6/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/6)-(1/6/2)-(1/6/2) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (1/6)-(3/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/6)-(3/6/5)-(4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
EVD-2   WIN (3/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/5)-(3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/5)-(4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/6/5)-(4/3)-(4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
EVD-3   WIN (4/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/3)-(4/3/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (4/3)-(4/3/2)-(4/3/2) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (4/3)-(4/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (4/3)-(4/5)-(2/6/8/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
EVD-4   WIN (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/5)-(4/5/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (4/5)-(4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (4/5)-(2/6/8/9) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/5)-(2/6/8/9)-(3/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
EVD-5   WIN (2/6/8/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/8/9)-(2/6/8/9/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/6/8/9)-(2/6/8/9/5)-(2/6/8/9/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/6/8/9)-(3/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/6/8/9)-(3/2)-(7/8/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
EVD-6   WIN (3/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/2)-(3/2/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2)-(3/2/6/1)-(3/2/6/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (3/2)-(7/8/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/2)-(7/8/4)-(1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
EVD-7   WIN (7/8/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/8/4)-(7/8/4/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/8/4)-(7/8/4/9)-(7/8/4/9) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/8/4)-(1) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (7/8/4)-(1)-(1/5/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
EVD-8   WIN (1) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (1)-(1/6/7) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI (1)-(1/6/7)-(1/6/7) 2 $0.50 $1.00 
    DD (1)-(1/5/4/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
EVD-9   WIN (1/5/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/4/2)-(1/5/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/4/2)-(1/5/4/2)-(1/5/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
EVD-1   04/29/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3 ALL PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MEAN MEISTER Apr13         (flint steve)MCMAHON J 120 1.80 39% 1.50    
2  PALLATON Feb28         (zenon shelt)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 5.00 ★    
3  BEAUDEAN Feb23 Feb09 Oct29 Oct07   (granger randall)STOKES A 120 6.00    
4  THA ILLEST DEAL Feb23         (west henry)RIVERA JOSEAN 120 2.00    
5  CAME OUT KICKIN Feb09 Dec17 Nov19     (romero lynn)GREEN AUBRIE 120 15.00    
6  CARLOS' BLAST Feb18 Feb01 Dec30 Dec15 Oct08 (gelner scott)BARRERA J 115 4.00 37% 1.70    
 
EVD-2   04/29/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KASEN'S SISTER Mar23 Mar02 Feb09 Jan16 Dec29 (leblanc jeanne)THORNTON G 117 8.00    
2  KIND WAYS Apr07 Feb15 Jan26 Jan07 Nov30 (mojica edith)BARRERA J 115 2.00    
3  FINNLEYS ENCORE Apr07 Feb17 Jan26 Jan04 Dec17 (segura kearney)STOKES J 117 1.80 29% 2.40    
4  SUFFRAGETTE Apr12 Apr01 Mar17 Mar10 Feb20 (larrosa a)GREEN AUBRIE 120 5.00    
5  COLD HEARTED WENCH Jan26 Jan13 Dec17 Nov09 Jun10 (rochau)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 12.00 8% 11.80    
6  STORM BREACH Apr12 Feb22 Jan14 Dec17 Nov22 (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 3.50 27% 2.70    
 
EVD-3   04/29/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ONE TOUGH CHARLIE Apr14 Mar26 Oct15 Aug20 Jul26 (duke steven)VARGAS P 120 3.50    
2  HOMELAND MESSA Oct08 May28 May14 Apr30 Jan21 (toups brent)POMPELL L 123 8.00 ★    
3  CLASSIC RED RACER Apr15 Feb10 Jan27 Jan13 Dec30 (zenon shelt)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 2.50 26% 2.90    
4  VEGAS GUY Apr14 Feb23 Jan27 Jan06 Dec09 (diodoro roberti)MCMAHON J 123 3.00 43% 1.30    
5  GENIUS Apr14 Mar26 Mar03 Feb16 Jan27 (pomier chase)MAGNON H 123 2.00    
6  MY LITTLE JUNIOR Apr14 Feb02 Dec30 Dec07 Oct29 (zenon shelton)RIVERA JOSEAN 123 20.00    
 
EVD-4   04/29/2023 4950ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SANGIOVESE Apr07 Mar23 Mar10 Feb17 Feb05 (sauvan eric)MURRAY M 123 20.00    
2  HOT GOLDEN GIRL Apr15 Mar24 Feb18     (david b)BARRERA J 113 4.00    
3  SIKARA SIKARA Apr08 Feb23 Jan27 Dec02 Oct15 (delhomme j)ALBERT S 113 2.00 ★    
4  PRISSY JADEN Mar23 Mar23 Feb26 Jan13   (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 123 4.50 28% 2.50    
5  SCARLET STORM Apr12 Jan27 Jan14 Dec20 Oct13 (courville )MARQUEZ L 123 3.00 8% 11.30    
6  EULA'S GIRL Apr15         (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 118 8.00    
SCR  LOVE CREED Apr12 Mar16       (jeansonne justi)ROSENDO J 118 6.00 40% 1.50    
 
EVD-5   04/29/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TUNE MY GUITAR Apr19 Dec03 Nov23 Oct28 Jun19 (west henry)ALBERT S 115 20.00    
2  RUN ROCKET Mar24 Mar10 Jan29 Dec17 Sep20 (fuselier jonah)STOKES A 120 8.00 34% 2.00    
3  HOT LE ROY Mar24 Mar02 Feb18 Jan19 Jan05 (larrosa juan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 15.00    
4  BROAD DECISION Feb16 Feb01 Jan13 Dec27 Dec14 (robbins ray)THORNTON G 120 12.00    
5  CHEROKEE TAKEOVER Mar03 Feb15 Jan13 Dec23 Dec09 (charles kei)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 2.50 ★    
6  OUTLAW X. Apr19 Feb28 Jan26 Jan07 Dec28 (gonzal)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 4.50 16% 5.20    
SCR  STEAL IT BACK Mar24 Mar04 Feb21 Jan29 Jan06 (west patric)BALTHAZAR JARED 120 6.00    
8  IZZY'S BABY BOY Mar18 Mar04 Feb21 Jan29 Nov24 (gelner jayde )RIVERA JOSEAN 120 3.50 16% 5.40    
9  I'LL RAISE YOU Apr08 Feb25 Feb02 Jan18 Dec19 (reeves jeffery )MCMAHON J 120 5.00 12% 7.00    
 
EVD-6   04/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HALFMOON REEF Apr15 Feb09 Aug16 Jul02 Mar16 (goins garlan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 12.00 ★    
2  BIG BELLA BROWN Apr15 Mar18 Mar04 Feb02 Dec23 (larrosa juan)BARRERA J 112 3.00 29% 2.40    
3  LODE OF BLARNEY Apr15 Jan19 Dec15 Nov18 Oct22 (gonzalez is)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 2.00 43% 1.30    
4  FAR BEYOND Feb17 Jan26 Dec10 Nov11 Oct27 (ward ronnie)STOKES J 120 6.00    
5  BOYFRIEND MATERIAL Mar16 Mar03 Feb11 Jan26 Dec17 (fuselier j)ALBERT S 115 8.00    
6  BET AGAIN Apr07 Feb18 Jan05 Dec15 Nov19 (toups brent)POMPELL L 117 5.00 ★    
7  B W P SPECIAL Apr15 Feb11 Jan05 Dec15 Oct26 (mojica edith)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 4.50    
 
EVD-7   04/29/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WESTERN STAR Apr21 Mar26 Feb24 Dec16 Oct05 (larrosa a)GREEN AUBRIE 120 15.00    
2  K V TARGET Apr14 Feb10 Jan28 Jan20 Jan07 (larrosa a)STOKES J 116 20.00    
3  DARK MATTER Apr14 Feb28 Feb09 Jan28 Jan18 (silva walter)VARGAS P 118 10.00    
4  LITTLE ROCKY Mar01 Jan21 Dec20 Nov25 Sep27 (diodoro roberti)MCMAHON J 118 3.50 5% 19.00    
5  GOROSTIETA'S LOVE Apr13 Mar09 Jan28 Dec02 Aug18 (mouton )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 12.00    
6  PEANUT N IKE Apr14 Feb18 Jan28 Nov25 Oct28 (rosier charles)FUSILIER C 120 15.00    
7  CHICKEN TRUCK Apr08 Feb23 Jan21 Nov30 Nov12 (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 4.00 55% 0.80    
8  MO CREDO Mar26 Feb28 Jan26 Dec11 Nov24 (modica oscar)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 2.50 12% 7.10    
9  FATHER RED Apr08 Mar15 Feb17 Jun04 Apr09 (mojica edit)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 6.00 ★    
10  INSPECTOR ED Mar22 Mar12 Mar02 Feb16 Feb05 (prejean raymond)MELANCON G 115 8.00    
SCR  TARAASHOQ Apr01 Mar16 Mar06 Feb09 Jan28 (escobar alis)BARRERA J 118 20.00    
SCR  BIG ACE Jan27 Dec09 Oct26 Aug18 Aug04 (richard ru)ALBERT S 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
EVD-8   04/29/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35K) 3 F PT- 9:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLESSED ASSURANCE Apr15 Mar24 Mar09 Feb24   (dison ma)STOKES A 120 3.50 37% 1.70    
2  CUSTOMIZED TWIN Mar23 Feb26       (calhoun)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 117 8.00    
3  AGAMI Mar18 Feb25 Jan13 Dec18 Dec02 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 10.00    
SCR  A RUNNIN AFLEET Mar15 Feb04 Dec22 Nov02   (schwandt emile)BARRERA L 112 1.80 33% 2.00    
5  NODAH Apr07 Feb04 Aug06 Jul23   (roberts kenneth)MELANCON G 117 3.00    
6  STARSHIP JAMBALAYA Feb23 Dec10 Nov18 Oct08   (gelner scott)MCMAHON J 117 5.00 ★    
7  SPLITTING ACES Mar25 Feb24 Feb03     (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 117 12.00 ★    
 
EVD-9   04/29/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT-10:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GILDERSLEEVE Mar08 Jan27 Jan11 Dec09 Nov18 (ward ronnie)STOKES J 120 3.50 32% 2.10    
2  PALANTE Jun30 Jun10 May14 Apr27 Feb19 (woodley j)THORNTON G 120 15.00 7% 14.20    
3  THE FIVE B'S Mar16 Mar02 Feb20 Feb03 Dec29 (pomier chase)BARRERA J 113 2.00    
4  CATINANDSCATIN Apr13 Feb25 Feb09 Jan21 Jan08 (richar)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 12.00 10% 8.70    
5  EASY CHANCE Apr08 Feb03 Aug27 Aug06 Jul20 (briley lon)ALBERT S 110 3.00 14% 6.20    
6  DOUBLE BOGEY Jan05 Dec16 Dec01 Sep27 Sep12 (benoit james)STOKES A 123 20.00    
7  ASTROLOGYSPROTEGE Apr14 Mar23 Mar10 Feb21 Feb01 (thompson kev)NIEVES EMANUEL 115 8.00    
8  BERNIE SPECIAL Jan06 Dec01 Oct14 Sep05 Jul15 (delahoussaye g)GREEN AUBRIE 120 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.