Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Evangeline Downs
Wednesday - May 10, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

EVD-2   EXA (2/7/3)-(2/7/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00  3-7 $29.90 $20.90 232%
EVD-4   WIN (10/1/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00  10 $14.00 $6.00 75%
    EXA (10/1/4/8)-(10/1/4/8/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00  10-1 $30.70 $14.70 92%
EVD-5   WIN (5/4/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00  1 $17.00 $9.00 113%
    DD (10/1/4/8)-(5/4/1/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00  10-1 $51.60 $35.60 223%
    PK3 (8/2/6/3)-(10/1/4/8)-(5/4/1/6) 64 $0.50 $32.00  8-10-1 $66.35 $34.35 107%
    PK4 (2/7/3)-(8/2/6/3)-(10/1/4/8)-(5/4/1/6) 192 $0.50 $96.00  3-4/5/7/8-10-1 $280.30 $184.30 192%
EVD-6   DD (5/4/1/6)-(7/4/6/2/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00  1-7 $21.90 $1.90 10%
    PK3 (10/1/4/8)-(5/4/1/6)-(7/4/6/2/3) 80 $0.50 $40.00  10-1-7 $121.20 $81.20 203%
EVD-7   WIN (2/11/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00  7 $10.60 $2.60 33%
    EXA (2/11/7/4)-(2/11/7/4/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00  7-8 $38.80 $22.80 143%
    PK3 (5/4/1/6)-(7/4/6/2/3)-(2/11/7/4) 80 $0.50 $40.00  1-7-7 $73.95 $33.95 85%

Simulator Race results

 
EVD-1   05/10/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:30
See original race card.
:222 :461       :59   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TWO JET 3 3 4 31   3 11 (delhomme jerry)THORNTON G 115 5.00 6.30  
  (by DAAHER out of TOMMEYESGOLD by GOLD MARKET)
GOLD PLUS 1 2 11 1nk   2nk 21 (bourgeois ke)NIEVES EMANUEL 118 10.00 2.70  
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of ROSES PLUS by VALUE PLUS)
EXPECT A DANCER 4 1 21 2nk   1nk 31 (robbins ray)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 3.50 5.20  
  (by EXPECT A LOT out of DANCINGOVERTHELINE by EXCLUSIVE QUALITY)
SISTER SEEK 5 4 3 4   45 4 (duhon joseph)BARRERA J 113 2.00 7% 12.40 5.40  
  (by GRAYDAR out of SEEKING MS SHELLEY by CACTUS RIDGE)
MALLY'S MONSOON 2 6 6 55   58 514 (cormier donald)MCMAHON J 118 6.00 14.90  
  (by MIDNIGHT STORM out of COWGIRL MALLY by GONE WEST)
MYSTIC CREED 6 5 5 67   623 644¼ (terre d)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 3.00 62% 0.60 1.30  
  (by JIMMY CREED out of MYSTIC CHARM by WAR PASS)
SCR  SIKARA SIKARA               (delhomme j)ALBERT S 110 12.00    
  (by JAY GATSBY out of SIKARA by AUSSIE RULES)
 
EVD-2   05/10/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:57
See original race card.
:23 :463 1:131     1:264   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LONG ARROW 3 5 42 4   11 1 (gelner scott)BARRERA J 118 4.50 9% 10.60 2.10 W
SABER STORM 7 1 11 1½   21 2 (delany sarah)ROSENDO J 120 8.00 27% 2.70 15.40 P
OUT MAKING TREBLE 6 6 5 52   33 3 (bernard john)STOKES A 123 4.00 3.00  
UNBRIDLED PULPIT 1 8 8 813   7 410¾ (west henry)RIVERA JOSEAN 120 20.00 39.80  
PRESUMPTIVE CLOSER 2 2 31 2½   4 512½ (cox l)MCMAHON J 123 2.00 42% 1.40 2.90  
C. F. CONGRESS 5 3 21 3½   5 613½ (west henry)ALBERT S 115 3.00 4.10  
CARLOS'S MAMA 8 4 6 6   6 713½ (breaux )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 115 10.00 11.30  
MISTA VALENTINE 4 7 7 7   813¾ 836¼ (bernard john)FUSILIER C 120 15.00 39.90  
 
EVD-3   05/10/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:24
See original race card.
1:464         1:464   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOURBON DAY 5 2 2½ 1nk 1nk 1 1 (bourgeo)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 3.00 29% 2.40 0.60 W
  (by RACE DAY out of PENROSE by LEMON DROP KID)
10  UP N GONE 7 4 44 31 31 2 2 (breaux samue)BARRERA J 110 15.00 13.20  
  (by STAR GUITAR out of ZIPPITY GOOMBA by CITY ZIP)
CREEKSIDE 2 1 1½ 2nk 2nk 3 3 (klanfer alan)THORNTON G 115 2.50 29% 2.50 3.10 S
  (by CONGRATS out of SUNNY ISLES by STORMY ATLANTIC)
HE GOTS TO GO 4 3 3 5 4 4 411¼ (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 8.00 16% 5.50 5.80  
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of TRIZELLE by MALIBU MOON)
BOLT FROM ABOVE 3 7 55 7 612¾ 514½ 525 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 118 5.00 6% 16.40 11.60  
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of LEMON SQUEEZE by LEMON DROP KID)
SPICE OF MY LIFE 1 6 6 4 512½ 618 634¾ (brinkman br)MELANCON JANSEN 118 15.00 22.20  
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of LEMON SPICE by GEMOLOGIST)
LORD HELP ME 6 5 76 6 718¾ 733 754¼ (ladner herm)BALTHAZAR JARED 120 20.00 26.30  
  (by TAPITURE out of SEA OF DREAMS by SMART STRIKE)
SCR  FLASHY LOVER               (dison ma)STOKES A 123 10.00    
  (by ZONG out of JUST MATTIE by PURGE)
SCR  SIMPLY WOW               (richards corale )FUSILIER C 118 20.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of SIMPLY SPECTACULAR by OPUS DEI (FR))
SCR  STEP ON IT               (pike l)MCMAHON J 118 4.50    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of AVERY A. by KITTEN'S JOY)
 
EVD-4   05/10/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:51
See original race card.
:242 :482 1:14 1:281   1:421   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  FORT BONZ 10 10 8 8 7 4 1nk (mojica e)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 123 3.50 35% 1.90 6.00 W
MR ELVIN 1 4 5 4 3 2nk 2nk (diodoro roberti)MCMAHON J 123 2.50 17% 4.80 3.00 P
ITELLYOUTHEFACTS 9 5 3 32 2nk 1nk 33 (terre d)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 3.00 2.40  
GRAHAM 'S CRUISER 5 6 4 5 5 6 4 (alberto anton)VARGAS P 123 5.00 7.40  
MONITOR MILLS 2 2 1½ 11 1nk 3.2 54 (chatters benard)STOKES A 123 15.00 12.60  
TIN DELAY 8 9 9 911 9 8 68 (bruno rolan)LEDET THEODRICK 123 20.00 5% 19.00 25.40  
HOPE FOR CHANGE 3 8 10 1012 107 7 7 (milburn kati)BARRERA J 118 20.00 50.90  
GOTTATAKEHIMTO 4 7 7 6 4 5 8 (ramirez edu)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 10.00 16% 5.40 9.90  
GENERAL EISENHOWER 7 1 6 75 6 9 9 (fuselier jonah)STOKES J 123 15.00 5.80  
STONE ALLIANCE 6 3 2½ 21 8 1012½ 1021 (cuccia j)ALBERT S 118 12.00 23.30  
SCR  BAQUERO'S BIND               (dison phill)MELANCON JANSEN 123 20.00    
SCR  SNEAKY ALLIE KAT               (ellis rand)ALBERT S 118 10.00    
 
EVD-5   05/10/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:18
See original race card.
:222 :464       1:002   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STARBUCK LUCK 1 1 1½ 11   12 1¾ (segura kearney)STOKES J 117 4.50 7% 13.00 7.50 W
BOURN 3 3 3½ 21   22 2¾ (gonzal)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 6.00 14.70  
PUZZLING PRIORITY 5 8 8 5   3 3 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 117 2.00 53% 0.90 0.60 S
LAURIEANN 4 7 41 4   5 4 (gonzalez isa)BARRERA J 115 4.00 11% 8.50 4.70  
FIRE OF GOLD 2 5 2½ 31   43 5 (noel dane)BALTHAZAR JARED 117 15.00 20.70  
BIND ON EARTH 8 2 52 6   6 6 (west henry)RIVERA JOSEAN 117 3.50 12.70  
SUMMERTIME BANDIT 6 4 7 7   7 7 (averett ron)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 10.00 5% 19.00 7.90  
CRESCENT LACE 7 6 6 8   817¾ 834¼ (richard russell )ROSIER R 117 20.00 69.60  
 
EVD-6   05/10/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:46
See original race card.
1:262         1:262   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JAMAICAN ME 7 4 4 21   1nk 1 (landry ra)MCMAHON J 123 2.00 30% 2.30 1.50 W
PEANUT N IKE 9 6 5 4   2nk 2 (rosier charles)ROSIER R 123 3.00 1.70  
SILVER CHALICE 6 1 1 11   3½ 3 (west henry)RIVERA JOSEAN 123 4.50 9% 10.20 10.60 S
DEMON HUNTER 4 2 2 3   4 4 (delany sarah)ROSENDO J 123 8.00 19% 4.20 17.40  
R T'S D'ORO 8 8 7 7   56 5 (sam w)STOKES A 123 5.00 7.80  
PERFECT STRIKE 5 3 3 5   77 610½ (mojica e)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 123 15.00 20.70  
INSPECTOR ED 2 7 6 64   6 710¾ (prejean raymond)MELANCON G 118 12.00 8% 10.80 16.20  
K V TARGET 3 9 9 8   810½ 814½ (larrosa a)STOKES J 123 15.00 5% 18.40 11.70  
OLE STUD MUFFIN 1 5 8 910¼   916½ 920 (ladner )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 20.00 48.10  
 
EVD-7   05/10/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:13
See original race card.
:214 :46 :592     1:062   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HALF PAGE 6 6 7 47   4 1 (rubin donald)VARGAS P 118 6.00 13% 6.70 4.30 W
DEBBIES PASSAGE 7 3 1nk 1   1 2 (larrosa juan)BARRERA J 113 20.00 7.60 P
10  BUILDING HOME 8 1 34 34   33 3 (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 3.00 8.90  
11  MUCHMORETHANREADY 9 8 911¾ 812   57 44 (jeansonne justi)ROSENDO J 118 5.00 20% 4.00 1.60  
SHESABEAUTYDANCER 5 2 2nk 2   2 5 (terre d)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 8.00 5.00  
LONESHILOHSPECIAL 4 5 6 5   6 68 (delany sara)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 12.00 9% 9.80 7.90  
CHICKIETOWN STAR 1 9 811¼ 915   710½ 79 (cormier winston)STOKES J 118 15.00 59.00  
SHO NUFF 3 7 56 611½   814½ 823½ (cormier donald)MCMAHON J 118 15.00 63.20  
CUSTOM DESIGN 2 4 4 712   918½ 940¼ (pitzer d)THORNTON G 118 2.50 32% 2.10 7.20  
SCR  CLASSICAL MAGNOLIA               (ladner chad)MELANCON G 118 12.00    
SCR  MY ROYAL PRINCESS               (zenon char)ALBERT S 113 20.00    
 
EVD-8   05/10/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:40
See original race card.
:222 :471 1:004     1:074   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  ST JOE 11 4 52 5   4¾ 1 (stemmans don)NIEVES EMANUEL 123 20.00 39.40  
HARD KINGS 7 7 9 9   7 2 (ladner herma)BARRERA J 118 4.00 10% 9.00 11.20 P
HALF CRAZY 9 5 31 32   2½ 3 (boxie s)FUSILIER C 118 4.50 3.50  
CHECKULATER 1 2 1½ 1   1½ 4 (woodley carl)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 3.00 62% 0.60 2.10  
ASTROLOGY WONOWON 3 10 8 8   6 5 (granger randall)STOKES A 118 12.00 11.80  
GONE SOLUTION 6 1 2½ 2   3½ 6 (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 123 15.00 12.80  
CHIPEEE 5 8 1111¼ 1118¼   9 75 (henry e)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 15.00 6.90  
COUNT ON RAIN 4 3 42 4   5 86 (benoit james)POMPELL L 123 10.00 5.70  
10  ANGOLA VACATION 10 9 10 1013¼   8 9 (zenon shelt)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 6.00 28.20  
12  UNCLE CHAN 12 6 6 7   1010¾ 10 (simon lest)WEATHERLY BAILEY 118 20.00 60.60  
WILD FIST 2 11 1221¼ 1221¼   1116¾ 1112½ (marechal merlin)ROSENDO J 123 20.00 73.90  
MAGIC BIND 8 12 7 64   12100 12100 (broussard v)LEDET THEODRICK 123 8.00 5% 19.00 12.00  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.