Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Colonial Downs
Thursday - July 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CNL-2   EXA (5/2/6)-(5/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00  5-2 $7.40 $1.40 23%
    DD (5/3/1/2)-(5/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00  1-5 $14.60 $2.60 22%
CNL-3   DD (5/2/6)-(2/6/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00  5-2 $13.40 $1.40 12%
CNL-7   WIN (6/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  7 $9.40 $3.40 57%
    EXA (6/7/2)-(6/7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00  7-2 $29.90 $23.90 398%
    DD (11/4/1/8/6)-(6/7/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00  11-7 $25.00 $10.00 67%
    PK3 (8/9/11/4/7)-(11/4/1/8/6)-(6/7/2) 75 $1.00 $75.00  1/2/9/10-1/2/3/11/12-7 $151.40 $76.40 102%
CNL-9   WIN (8/2/9/5/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00  4 $50.20 $40.20 402%
    EXA (8/2/9/5/4)-(8/2/9/5/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00  4-2 $100.70 $80.70 404%

Simulator Race results

 
CNL-1   07/20/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:35
See original race card.
1:454         1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LITTLE G T 1 2 1 1½ 12 15 1 (danner ke)HERNANDEZ J 123 5.00 13% 6.70 2.60 W
VILLAGE PREACHER 6 7 6 6 6 6 2 (lusk brian)ALONSO LUIS 123 8.00 14.50  
FROSTY WARRIOR 7 5 43 54 4 3 3 (wasiluk peter )CASTANON L 123 30.00 29.70  
LIGHTNING LAD 5 1 5 44 5 5 410 (milosevic mil)ALVELO C 123 2.00 38% 1.60 4.30  
I'LLSMILEAGAIN 3 3 2 32 22 25 511 (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 1.20 16% 5.10 0.80  
WILD IRISHMAN 4 4 3 2½ 32 4 615½ (werneth rober)FUENTES MARIO 123 30.00 75.50  
SEIZE THE BREEZE 2 6 711½ 716½ 714¼ 714¾ 716 (rodriguez ang)CARDOSO DAVID 118 4.00 8% 12.20 8.40  
 
CNL-2   07/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:08
See original race card.
:22 :442 :562     1:091   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWILL 5 2 2½ 2nk   1 1 (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 1.40 37% 1.70 1.80 W
SWOT ANALYSIS 2 1 1½ 1nk   2 2 (casse ma)GALLARDO A 122 1.00 37% 1.70 0.70 P
GALAXY MUSIC 4 4 42 4   3 3 (ochoa gerard)KARAMANOS A 118 20.00 22.60  
YOUNGEST OF FIVE 6 6 5 33   46 4 (mcmahon h)HERNANDEZ J 122 8.00 6% 17.00 10.00  
BLACK CANDY 1 5 6 68   69 512¼ (tomczak mark)HENRY WESLEY 122 20.00 38.90  
SPEIGHT AND MALICE 3 3 32 54   58 613¼ (caramori cai)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 6.00 5.80  
 
CNL-3   07/20/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:38
See original race card.
:231 :464 1:112 1:233   1:36   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEAR SANTA 2 2 1½ 11 11 1 1 (delacour )CARRASCO R 124 1.40 32% 2.10 1.80 W
MAKE 'EM TAP 6 6 77 7 53 44 2 (cazares )GALLARDO A 118 1.20 24% 3.20 3.20 P
FLEETS BAY 1 1 44 44 21 2 3 (boniface k)SANCHEZ J 118 12.00 3.90  
GAMING SOUL 5 5 5 54 42 34 4 (garrido ra)ALONSO LUIS 111 30.00 38.70  
ENSIGN SKIP 7 7 6 6 32 5 57 (cazares laura)RUIZ JORGE 118 4.50 13% 6.90 2.00  
FOREVER SAUCY 4 4 2½ 21 6 68 612¼ (ochoa ge)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 118 15.00 6% 14.90 16.70  
BALI ROLLING TIDE 3 3 31 3 7 711 714½ (werneth rober)FUENTES MARIO 118 20.00 54.50  
 
CNL-4   07/20/2023 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:08
See original race card.
:241 :491 1:133 1:372   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHERE'S EMMA 4 1 11 12 1nk 11 13 (mcgaughey)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 2.00 54% 0.80 0.50 W
NAA DUDETTE 6 8 8 6 4 3 23 (falcone )GALLARDO A 119 1.50 19% 4.10 3.20 P
ANNIE'S KINGDOM 8 3 21 22 2nk 21 3 (huffman ke)ALONSO LUIS 124 30.00 60.70  
KOBE'S SMILE 1 5 42 5 5 54 4 (boniface kevin)BOYCE FOREST 119 15.00 33.30  
RAPID MISS TAPIT 9 4 5 43 32 4 5 (potts wayne)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 4.00 8.70  
IN OPEN COURT 2 9 9 9 911¼ 910½ 612 (kendall elise)LEZCANO ABEL 119 30.00 86.90  
THE MONSTER IRUS 3 6 3 32 6 68 712¼ (cascallares)CASIQUE URBARDO 119 20.00 5% 19.00 ######  
SHE GOT THE MUNNI 7 7 65 8 8 810 814¼ (trombetta)CARRASCO R 119 8.00 5% 19.00 15.90  
SHE'S LIKE THUNDER 5 2 75 7 7 7 915 (allen ferri)KARAMANOS A 124 12.00 5% 19.00 7.20  
 
CNL-5   07/20/2023 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($87.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:39
See original race card.
:22 :444 :563     1:024   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHENIGETTOHEAVEN 7 1 2nk 2nk   1 1 (trombetta micha)GARCIA LUIS 122 3.50 19% 4.20 1.50 W
11  PUTIN ONLINE 8 8 7 55   44 2 (nagle sarah)MONTERREY R 122 6.00 11% 8.40 3.00 P
12  MARCHED 9 3 4 4   34 2 (kee wil)BRICENO GREGOR 122 6.00 4.70 DH
STORM TRAPPE 3 7 8 9   8 4 (figgins ollie)KARAMANOS A 122 30.00 29.20  
SHARP RED EAGLE 1 2 1nk 1nk   2 5 (bentley fennek)BOYCE FOREST 122 10.00 21.30  
SAM STORMY 5 4 6 7   7 6 (lopez mari)SANCHEZ J 118 10.00 5% 19.00 16.20  
STOP THE SPREAD 4 5 5 6   55 7 (caramori eduar)LEZCANO ABEL 122 30.00 53.40  
NAKED AND FAMOUS 2 6 3.2 3   6 87 (de ho)CARRASCO R 122 8.00 5% 19.00 11.30  
SUPREME LAW 6 9 9 8   9 9 (sillaman rich)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 3.00 49% 1.00 5.00  
SCR  BOMBOLONI               (capuano phillip)AVILES YAN 122 20.00    
SCR  NEXT EPISODE               (saville n)HERNANDEZ J 113 8.00    
SCR  PRACTICAL SENSE               (mcmahon hugh)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 30.00    
 
CNL-6   07/20/2023 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:10
See original race card.
:232 :473 1:12 1:353   1:413   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  WIN FOR THE MONEY 8 7 3 3 31 1½ 1 (casse mark)RUIZ JORGE 123 3.00 44% 1.30 1.80 W
GLIDER 2 5 87 7 5 2½ 2 (casse ma)GALLARDO A 123 6.00 2.30  
FLOP SHOT (IRE) 3 4 44 54 4 4 3 (voss elizabeth)BOYCE FOREST 123 20.00 5% 19.00 10.30 S
STORMY PATTERN 6 2 22 2 2½ 31 4 (maker michael)KARAMANOS A 123 30.00 20.00  
SHADOW SPHINX 1 6 77 8 73 5 5 (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 3.50 17% 5.00 3.20  
HIDDEN ENEMY (IRE) 5 1 5 44 6 65 610¾ (asmussen s)SANCHEZ J 123 8.00 6% 16.00 8.20  
10  CODE RUNNER 7 8 6 65 8 79 716 (caramori )HERNANDEZ J 123 30.00 59.70  
NOVGOROD THE GREAT 4 3 12 1 1½ 815 835¾ (gulick m)CASTANON L 123 15.00 10.60  
SCR  BODECREAM               (de ho)CARRASCO R 123 30.00    
SCR  BUY ME CANDY               (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 123 10.00    
SCR  DHABAB (IRE)               (vaughan edwa)BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 4.00 12% 7.50    
SCR  SCANNO               (stidham michae)ROCCO S 123 12.00    
 
CNL-7   07/20/2023 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($34.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:221 :45 :57     1:03   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY BOY BLUE 5 3 33 3   21 1 (kurtinecz )SANCHEZ J 122 12.00 11% 8.10 3.70 W
PICO D'ORO 1 2 1½ 1½   11 2 (caramori )HERNANDEZ J 122 10.00 7% 13.30 6.40 P
CLASS WIZARD 3 5 45 4   43 33 (trombetta)CARRASCO R 122 5.00 2.60  
STUBBORNKINDAFELLA 2 4 55 5   53 4 (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 122 3.00 2.90  
ALPHALFA 4 1 2½ 2½   3 56 (o'dwyer jere)MENESES MARCOS 122 3.50 48% 1.10 1.80  
SCR  GOLD BARON               (asmussen )CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122 6.00    
SCR  STIMULUS MAKER               (mcmahon hugh)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 2.00    
 
CNL-8   07/20/2023 5940ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($34.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:08
See original race card.
:24 :483 1:121 1:37   1:491   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TITRATE 1 3 5 5 4 2nk 12 (mancilla carlos )RUIZ JORGE 122 10.00 16.90  
CALLOWAY PEAK 3 8 8 7 6 42 22 (lawrence j)SANCHEZ J 122 6.00 6.30  
FINGAL 9 1 4 3½ 3½ 1nk 3 (kingsley arch)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 4.00 55% 0.80 2.30 S
ASSIDUOUSLY (GB) 4 9 9 9 7 54 45 (caramori eduar)LEZCANO ABEL 122 8.00 5% 19.00 9.20  
GLOBAL SENSATION 8 4 2nk 2½ 2nk 3 5 (stidham )GALLARDO A 122 2.00 10% 8.70 1.60  
COPAZO 7 5 31 4¾ 5 6 610¼ (ochoa gerard)KARAMANOS A 118 8.00 5% 19.00 13.30  
DIGITAL SOFTWARE 6 6 7 8 8 7 715 (caramori )HERNANDEZ J 122 3.50 12% 7.20 5.50  
SPRITZER 2 2 1nk 1½ 1nk 8 818¾ (hester leanne)CASTANON L 122 20.00 59.80  
NO ME DIGAS 5 7 6 6 9 9 920 (davis samu)ALONSO LUIS 122 30.00 ######  
 
CNL-9   07/20/2023 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 F PT- 5:37
See original race card.
:222 :46 :574     1:04   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ZO LEE 4 1 2½ 2½   1½ 1 (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 15.00 5% 19.00 24.10 W
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of FLIPSTER by PRESS CARD)
MEMORIALIZE 2 9 915¾ 915   7 2 (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 119 4.00 34% 1.90 2.30 P
  (by KARAKONTIE out of SMART EMMA by SMART STRIKE)
VICTORY BADGE 3 8 811¾ 814   66 3 (trombetta mich)BOYCE FOREST 119 5.00 7.40  
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of VICTORY TO VICTORY by EXCHANGE RATE)
MATCHING ENERGY 8 2 3½ 3   31 43 (stidham mi)SANCHEZ J 119 2.00 39% 1.50 4.00  
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of SILENT TRIUMPH by CITY ZIP)
CORINTH 1 4 1½ 1½   2½ 53 (munoz ca)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 119 3.50 8.00  
  (by STREET BOSS out of MEGARA by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
NO SHOW 9 7 41 4   45 6 (danner ke)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00 5% 19.00 5.90  
  (by FREE DROP BILLY out of INVITE by INCLUDE)
LOU ANNA 5 3 5 5   5 77 (mccutchen jaso)ROCCO S 119 10.00 5% 19.00 2.80  
  (by FAST ANNA out of LATEST THINKING by TALE OF THE CAT)
GENUINE PERIL 7 6 6 65   811½ 814¾ (munoz carlos)JIMENEZ MANNY 119 12.00 24.60  
  (by ENTICED out of SHOYOYA by MACHO UNO)
TALKIN' SASSY 6 5 7 711   919½ 920¾ (rodriguez ang)CARDOSO DAVID 119 30.00 74.50  
  (by BACKTALK out of COTTINA by HIGH COTTON)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.