Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Colonial Downs
Friday - July 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CNL-2   WIN (3/6/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00  3 $9.80 $1.80 23%
CNL-4   EXA (5/2/1/6)-(5/2/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00  1-6 $25.10 $13.10 109%
CNL-9   WIN (5/1/3/2/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00  1 $10.60 $0.60 6%
    DD (1/3/7)-(5/1/3/2/10) 15 $1.00 $15.00  1-1 $17.70 $2.70 18%

Simulator Race results

 
CNL-1   07/21/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:33
See original race card.
:244 :494 1:144 1:264   1:392   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOT AS LUCKY AS US 5 2 3 21 2 1½ 1 (cox m)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 2.00 1.40  
KALINBA 2 3 1 11 1 2½ 2 (cascallares )MENESES MARCOS 124 20.00 3.10  
ICETECA 6 5 4 32 4 32 3 (hunt james)ALONSO LUIS 118 8.00 7.30  
OVER THE BORDER 4 1 5 4 3 42 44 (allen fe)SANCHEZ J 118 1.60 42% 1.40 3.10  
HIGHJUMP CHARLIE 3 6 6 54 5 56 511½ (duffy sean)JIMENEZ MANNY 124 4.00 22% 3.50 4.80  
DANCE DELILAH 1 4 2 65 613¾ 615 627¾ (morgan carla)AVILES YAN 113 30.00 9% 10.00 26.00  
SCR  HEAVY WEIGHT               (cascallares)CASIQUE URBARDO 124 5.00    
 
CNL-2   07/21/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:08
See original race card.
:232 :47 1:113 1:242   1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SATISFIED 3 6 64 53 5 2 1¼ (allen ferri)KARAMANOS A 124 3.00 26% 2.80 3.90 W
COLLEGE TRY 5 1 2nk 2nk 1nk 1 2¼ (pessanha )CARRASCO R 124 6.00 7.40  
LA VILLAGE LUMIERE 1 2 42 4 42 3 3 (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 3.50 1.50  
BESSIE BLUE 6 8 8 79 7 6 46 (davis g)BOYCE FOREST 124 4.50 23% 3.40 4.70  
REAL MIKEY 4 3 1nk 1nk 2nk 42 56 (lusk brian)ALONSO LUIS 118 30.00 23% 3.40 37.10  
RIVER CITY ROCKER 8 4 5 65 6 7 6 (morgan carla)JIMENEZ MANNY 118 20.00 50.40  
HOPEFUL CURE 7 7 3 32 3 5 711¼ (ashby lynn)AVILES YAN 118 1.60 2.50  
UNFETTERED DIVA 2 5 7 811½ 812½ 818¾ 822¾ (nunez mauricio)MENDEZ KEVIN 124 30.00 5% 19.00 66.60  
 
CNL-3   07/21/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($40K) 2 F PT- 2:38
See original race card.
:241 :494 1:143 1:264   1:392   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOZEN DIAMONDS 4 2 4 42 2nk 13 19 (casse ma)GALLARDO A 119 1.20 34% 1.90 0.80 W
TIDBIT 7 5 2 21 1nk 23 29 (desormeau)HERNANDEZ J 119 20.00 5% 19.00 5.80 P
WAIT FOR TOMORROW 5 7 66 6 6 5 311¾ (trombetta )SANCHEZ J 119 8.00 4.70  
JASSAI 3 6 55 53 53 48 413 (ochoa gerard)AVILES YAN 119 10.00 26.70  
LITTLE MUSIC 6 1 1 11 3½ 3 513¼ (holsapple hutc)LEZCANO ABEL 119 4.50 9.90  
WHITE HEAT (GB) 1 4 3 3 42 610 622¼ (boniface kevi)KARAMANOS A 119 3.00 22% 3.60 5.00  
MATRYOSHKA 2 3 78 7 7 718 733¾ (danner kelsey)ASHTON GAVIN 119 15.00 5% 19.00 17.60  
SCR  GOLDEN EXPRESS               (o'dwyer jere)MENESES MARCOS 119 12.00    
 
CNL-4   07/21/2023 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:08
See original race card.
:213 :444 :571     1:031   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOMOS 1 6 6 5   2 1 (trombetta )SANCHEZ J 122 4.00 16% 5.10 3.00 W
WHERE IS MIKE 6 5 56 6   55 2 (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 6.00 5% 19.00 6.40 P
LET'S GO ALAMO 4 3 3 44   34 3 (kendall elise)LEZCANO ABEL 122 30.00 51.00  
REBEL POSSE 5 4 4 34   4 4 (hebert ma)HERNANDEZ J 122 2.00 35% 1.90 2.20  
PERUVIAN LUCKY 7 7 710¼ 7   65 5 (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122 8.00 14.70  
S. MUFFIN 2 2 11 11   1 68 (russell britta)ROCCO S 122 1.40 26% 2.80 2.40  
CLASSICSTATEOFMIND 3 1 21 21   77 717 (d'angelo)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 122 20.00 5.30  
 
CNL-5   07/21/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:39
See original race card.
:234 :474 1:12 1:242   1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BACKWOODS BOOGIE 2 1 55 5 44 3 1¼ (eppler e)KARAMANOS A 125 8.00 2.50  
CASTAGNO 5 2 65 67 5 5 2¼ (hayford jenn)MENESES MARCOS 125 30.00 13.80  
VINTNER 3 3 32 11 2nk 1nk 3½ (yanez moises )JIMENEZ MANNY 125 10.00 5% 19.00 5.90 S
11  CITY PLAN 7 6 2 32 1nk 2nk 4½ (zook w)AVILES YAN 125 3.00 29% 2.40 2.90  
FLY FLY AWAY 4 4 43 44 33 4 52 (cahill s)GALLARDO A 125 3.50 43% 1.30 4.40  
10  COUNT FROST 6 7 77 7 7 6 6 (caramori eduar)LEZCANO ABEL 125 30.00 29.30  
CLOSER LOOK 1 8 810 8 8 7 75 (allen ferris)RUIZ JORGE 125 4.50 3.50  
12  LIGHTNING JACK 8 5 1 21 67 816¾ 818½ (kocijan marcus)CASTANON L 125 30.00 5% 19.00 24.40  
SCR  CELERITY               (asmussen )CHEMINAUD VINCENT 125 6.00    
SCR  JUPITER BLUES               (mcgoey monica)FUENTES MARIO 125 30.00    
SCR  SOUND THE CHARGE               (pino micha)SANCHEZ J 125 8.00    
SCR  YOUSHOULDBESOLUCKY               (pessanha )CARRASCO R 125 30.00    
 
CNL-6   07/21/2023 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:10
See original race card.
:22 :453 :572     1:033   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOOPY 1 2 31 32   3½ 11 (silva pabl)LEON A 123 5.00 5.60  
BEACH HOUSE 2 4 2½ 2½   1½ 21 (mccutchen jaso)ROCCO S 123 4.00 51% 1.00 2.20 P
POLISHED GAL 3 6 54 5   4 3 (mcmahon hugh)BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 6.00 21% 3.70 6.30 S
10  HOT CAROL 9 1 1½ 1½   2½ 4 (rodriguez ang)CARDOSO DAVID 123 1.60 6.00  
LA FAMILIA 6 5 41 42   54 5 (pradenas serg)KARAMANOS A 123 8.00 5% 19.00 2.20  
ADABEL 5 9 7 7   6 6 (garrido rau)CASIQUE URBARDO 123 30.00 98.00  
LIZZ A BEE 4 8 98 8   8 7 (cahill steven )GOLIBRZUCH S 123 15.00 5% 19.00 36.40  
EVER SO D'WILD 8 7 66 6   7 813¾ (nixon justin)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 10.00 5% 19.00 6.90  
SHENANDOAH CAT 7 3 87 912½   920½ 929¾ (lane j)CULLUM W 123 30.00 61.40  
SCR  GRANDIOSELY               (jones michae)TROTMAN KEIMAR 123 15.00    
 
CNL-7   07/21/2023 3630ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:214 :45 :571     1:032   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DULCE KIARA 1 4 3 5   3½ 1 (demario charl)KARAMANOS A 123 6.00 4.20  
10  LADY IN HEELS 9 2 4 24   1nk 2 (bowersock mari)CASTANON L 123 6.00 8.50  
11  LILLY SIMONE 10 5 6 66   4 34 (magana j)TOLEDO JEVIAN 125 3.00 1.30  
SIX FEET APART 7 3 13 14   2nk 4 (cazares laura)RUIZ JORGE 123 4.50 29% 2.40 4.80  
ALL ABOUT KATHERN 5 6 7 7   52 5 (tomczak mark)AVILES YAN 123 30.00 5% 19.00 69.00  
AWESOME APEAL 8 1 23 45   7 6 (rodriguez ang)CARDOSO DAVID 123 12.00 5% 19.00 18.90  
CHARGINA 2 9 8 910½   9 7 (kocijan marc)MENESES MARCOS 123 20.00 43.70  
GOLDEN ISLE 3 10 5 35   6 811 (bowersoc)GALLARDO A 123 2.50 42% 1.40 3.80  
VACATION SECRET 6 7 9 8   8 913 (kocijan marcus)LEON A 123 15.00 5% 19.00 60.50  
AUDREY 4 8 1014¾ 1015½   1010¾ 1017¼ (marrero nestor)MENDEZ KEVIN 123 30.00 43.60  
SCR  SHYLA GIRL               (udall lori)GOLIBRZUCH S 123 30.00    
 
CNL-8   07/21/2023 5940ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($87.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:08
See original race card.
:234 :473 1:121 1:372   1:501   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOSPEL WAY 1 1 32 38 3 3.2 1hd (morris r)AVILES YAN 123 1.20 71% 0.40 1.90 W
DYNA MAST 3 5 5 4 46 5 2hd (fout dougla)KARAMANOS A 123 4.50 2.80  
SUBURBAN PRINCE 5 3 4 5 57 6 3½ (o'neill doug)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 4.00 2.50  
LIGHTNING RIDGE 6 4 1nk 14 12 2nk 4¾ (brion ker)CARRASCO R 118 30.00 5% 19.00 9.50  
GRANDPA'S KID 2 6 6 611 6 4 5¾ (godsey d)ASHTON GAVIN 118 15.00 5% 19.00 7.90  
MOON SIGN 4 2 2nk 24 22 1nk 6 (pradenas sergio )RUIZ JORGE 118 20.00 6.40  
SCR  INVECTIVE               (cibelli jane)ROCCO S 123 2.50    
 
CNL-9   07/21/2023 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:37
See original race card.
:231 :45 :57     1:031   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANGIE FROM KULM 1 1 1 13   13 1¼ (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 3.00 24% 3.10 4.30 W
  (by GORMLEY out of DAKOTA SIS by EDDINGTON)
ALL I WANT IS YOU 5 5 64 7   54 2¼ (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 1.80 43% 1.30 0.70 P
  (by THE FACTOR out of CANDY SIOUX by INDIAN CHARLIE)
LITTLE JOSIE WALES 8 4 53 55   33 3¾ (milosevic mila)BOYCE FOREST 119 10.00 15.80  
  (by GREAT NOTION out of MY LITTLE JOSIE by OUTFLANKER)
EVERY TIME 4 3 32 3   23 43 (brion ker)CARRASCO R 119 8.00 11.10  
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of CORAL WAY by SMOKE GLACKEN)
CASSLEBLACK 3 12 107 109   7 56 (asmussen stev)KARAMANOS A 119 6.00 8% 11.50 6.10  
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of MOTHER OF SWORDS by WAR FRONT)
10  PRACTICAL MISS 10 7 118 1111   9 6 (payne beale)ASHTON GAVIN 119 20.00 5% 19.00 37.90  
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of MISSYOULIKECRAZY by LION HEART)
12  SMARTY PANTS 12 10 96 98   8 7 (norris stephani)AVILES YAN 119 30.00 59.40  
  (by BAL A BALI out of SMART AND FANCY by NOT FOR LOVE)
CURLING ROSE 7 2 2 23   4 8 (cascallares)CASIQUE URBARDO 119 20.00 20.40  
  (by RIDE ON CURLIN out of ARABIAN ROSE by SAINT ANDDAN)
BACK OFF ME 6 6 85 8   66 911¾ (russo anth)ALONSO LUIS 124 20.00 43.80  
  (by TONALIST out of QUANT by WAR FRONT)
11  HUMOR SENSE 11 9 74 66   1011¼ 1015¼ (ochoa gerard)JIMENEZ MANNY 119 30.00 82.40  
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of CHARADE by COMIC STRIP)
KIMSFAVORITESTORM 2 11 1210 1213½   1213¼ 1116¼ (hunt d)RIQUELME J 124 20.00 5% 19.00 68.10  
  (by UNIFIED out of STORMY WEST by GONE WEST)
PONDERED 9 8 4 4   1111¾ 1220½ (caramori caio)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 10.00 17.10  
  (by SUPER SAVER out of STOLEN OVERTURE by BELLAMY ROAD)
 
CNL-10   07/21/2023 11880ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($40K) 4UP ALL PT-12:15
See original race card.
:59 1:55 2:50 3:164 3:422 4:09   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRITON RISE (IRE) 5 3½ 3 3 21 1 13 (fout douglas)FOLEY BARRY 148      
  (by WESTERNER (GB) out of ADDERSTONLEE by PRESENTING (GB))
DANTE'S FIRE 9 7 84 55 55 6 23 (morris nei)BESWICK HARRISON 154   9% 10.30   P
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of KEWLAND by DIXIELAND BAND)
REASSURED 1 8 2 21 3 3 3 (beecher mar)HENDRIKS PARKER 154   9% 10.30   S
  (by BANDBOX out of BRIDLED ASSURANCE by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
10  STAND WITH MO 10 5 5 43 4 5 48 (dalton kate)DALTON BERNARD 154   9% 10.30    
  (by UNCLE MO out of DOWRY by BELONG TO ME)
THALEEQ (GB) 6 1½ 1 11 11 4 5 (gomens juli)GALLIGAN GERARD 154      
  (by UNKNOWN out of RIFQAH by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
BELLARMINE HALL 3 6 7 7 69 2 6 (bourke m)DUNNE ROBERT 154   9% 10.30    
  (by BELLAMY ROAD out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
GOOD BOY (FR) 2 9 10 1010 811½ 810¾ 713¼ (mckenna todd)MCGIVERN COREY 154      
  (by DIAMOND BOY out of MARALYPHA by LOUVETEAU)
KARL CARES 7 2½ 4 6 913½ 911 816½ (gomens julie)GERAGHTY ROSS 148      
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of IT'S TEA TIME by DYNAFORMER)
PICCADILLY 8 10 9 910 7 7 918½ (fisher john )WATTERS GRAHAM 148      
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of QUEEN'S PARADE by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
IN EFFECT 4 42 6 88 1015 1031 1058¼ (morris r)ENGLAND DAVID 154      
  (by DIALED IN out of MISTY AMERICAN by QUIET AMERICAN)
SCR  IMPERIAL ASSASSIN (IRE)               (neilson kat)HENDRIKS PARKER 154   9% 10.30    
  (by IMPERIAL MONARCH out of AGUIDA by KAHYASI (IRE))
SCR  TRAVESURAS               (murphy cyril)FOLEY BARRY 148      
  (by HIT IT A BOMB out of HEART'S SONG by DESERT PARTY)
 
CNL-11   07/21/2023 11880ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($35K) 4UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:553 1:503 2:464 3:143 3:393 4:042   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GO POKE THE BEAR 3 1 12 12 11 1nk 1 (young f)DUNNE ROBERT 154      
BRIGHT EYED EAGLE (IRE) 5 58 5 54 21 2nk 2 (neilson kat)GALLIGAN GERARD 157      
HOOROO (IRE) 6 35 3 32 43 4 36 (fout doug)HENDRIKS PARKER 158   19% 4.20   S
SEISMIC WAVE 1 2 22 22 33 36 4 (morris r)ENGLAND DAVID 154   5% 19.00    
WHISKY WARRIOR 4 714 7 6 5 5 57 (webb sandr)BESWICK HARRISON 154      
SEIZING THE DREAM 2 814½ 89 8 69 622¼ 622¼ (webb sandra)FOLEY BARRY 156   10% 9.10    
POTUS 7 68 6 7 812½ 724¼ 728 (fisher john )WATTERS GRAHAM 158      
10  DURRAGH (IRE) 8 4 45 4 712 854¼ 882¼ (young leslie)MCGIVERN COREY 155   50% 1.00    
SCR  HIGH MOUNTE (IRE)               (kingsley arch)GARNER THOMAS 158      
SCR  VINCENT VAN GOGO               (morris neil )DALTON BERNARD 154      
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.