Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Charles Town
Thursday - July 13, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
CT-1   07/13/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
See original race card.
:223 :464       :532   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUST A FLIRT 6 2 1     11 1½ (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 3.50 15% 5.50 2.00 W
ROCKING TO HOME 7 1 53     32 2½ (obed-letts ke)ADAMS L 115 4.00 7.20  
TALKING TEDDY 2 4 2     21 32 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 122 4.50 1.80  
SMALL PAW 4 3 3     42 4 (jackson ang)ESQUILIN J 124 5.00 7.60  
PINNACLE REEF 5 5 6     5 5 (runco c)CULLUM W 113 1.80 58% 0.70 3.00  
YDOUHAVETOBESOMEAN 3 6 7     7 6 (atkins mich)RAMGEET R 120 30.00 5% 19.00 45.70  
NICE BUT NAUGHTY 1 7 43     6 78 (jackson angel)CHILO JACINTO 120 10.00 5% 19.00 45.30  
 
CT-2   07/13/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:30
See original race card.
:241 :481 1:151     1:221   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JACKYSINTHECASTLE 5 4 21 1nk   12 1 (sigler g)LARROSA G 118 4.50 4.20  
I SHALLBE RELEASED 2 2 31 31   22 2 (walters dav)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 5.00 6% 14.60 4.90 P
APPEALING ROAD 4 5 6 44   3 3 (haynes erne)RAMGEET R 118 1.20 47% 1.10 1.20 S
GOLDEN SALLY 6 6 4 55   58 411½ (boggs j)NUNEZ MAURICIO 118 15.00 19.10  
ODINA 3 3 11 2nk   46 512¼ (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 118 1.80 23% 3.40 1.90  
QUINCYS WAY 1 1 5 68   69 619¼ (barber donald)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 30.00 44.90  
 
CT-3   07/13/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:234 :473 1:144     1:22   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REDWHITEANDTACOS 8 7 2nk 2nk   2nk 1¼ (dilodo)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 1.80 1.10  
CRUZ IN THE CASTLE 6 5 1nk 1nk   1nk 2¼ (brown ronne)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 4.50 4.30  
SALTY SAUL 2 1 33 3   33 3 (jones e)HO WESLEY 122 20.00 43.40  
SAX 1 2 8 6   6 4 (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 122 10.00 5% 19.00 7.40  
MAE SAI PRINCESS 7 8 7 5   44 5 (brown keit)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 12.00 32.50  
TIZ MICHELLE'S WAY 5 6 4 4   5 6 (brown keith)RAMGEET R 122 5.00 36% 1.80 4.10  
RED QUEEN 4 3 5 7   8 710¾ (shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 122 2.50 36% 1.70 4.80  
CICI UNIFIED 3 4 68 8   7 811¾ (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 15.00 5% 19.00 38.20  
 
CT-4   07/13/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:25
See original race card.
:234 :472 1:131     1:20   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HE IS BONAFIDE 3 2 11 13   110 19 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 122 1.40 32% 2.20 0.90 W
AMICALOLA FALLS 1 1 3 4   511½ 29 (jackson l)CULLUM W 122 4.50 24% 3.20 3.10 P
AKINGISALWAYSKING 6 6 5 3   210 3 (murtaugh an)ESQUILIN J 122 15.00 32.10  
ADARA 7 7 7 710   411½ 411¼ (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 124 5.00 8% 10.80 7.60  
SLOE GIN BIZ 5 3 4 5   612½ 516¼ (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 122 3.50 12% 7.20 5.50  
SCOOTSCOOT 2 4 21 23   310½ 619¼ (knoblauch-p)RAMGEET R 118 15.00 8.10  
STAVANGER 4 5 65 6   714 722 (racanelli mar)SIMPSON JASON 122 6.00 17.60  
 
CT-5   07/13/2023 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:53
See original race card.
:222 :463       :532   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ONE CANDY CASTLE 5 4 4     3½ 1½ (petty kristy)LARROSA G 120 5.00 4.50  
BOP ZAPPER 7 2 1½     1½ 2½ (jones e)BOCACHICA O 120 6.00 4.20  
CALLISTO'S BRIGADE 3 8 5     52 31 (walters da)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 4.50 40% 1.50 7.90 S
WINDSOR'S STAR 8 3 3½     2½ 4 (comi w)RODRIGUEZ V 118 5.00 8% 12.20 7.50  
J. WICK 1 7 2½     4 5 (brown ronne)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 4.00 26% 2.90 2.00  
ALL ROADS TO DENIS 2 10 8     76 6 (jackson ang)ESQUILIN J 120 15.00 15.40  
KING OF LUCK 6 6 7     64 7 (ramos m)RIOS-CONDE A 120 12.00 5% 19.00 17.50  
COLONIAL ROAD 4 9 97     910 8 (campbell la)MCKENZIE CONNIE 115 15.00 59.30  
10  JUBA'S MOCHA 10 5 108     1011 915¾ (brown keith)RAMGEET R 120 10.00 7% 13.90 15.60  
NEEDNOEXPLANATION 9 1 6     89 1017 (bowman el)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 6.00 9.80  
SCR  CHARITABLE WINDSOR               (petty kristy)LARROSA G 120 8.00    
SCR  METALLIC CAT               (brown ronne)ESQUILIN J 120 5.00    
 
CT-6   07/13/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:21
See original race card.
:221 :463       :532   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY BOSS 5 3 3.2     11 1¾ (capuano gar)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 4.50 15% 5.80 2.10 W
COMIDA COMIDA 7 4 1nk     21 2¾ (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 118 5.00 3.60  
SULTRY SALLY H 9 2 4     33 31 (brown ronne)RAMGEET R 118 4.00 22% 3.50 4.50 S
AMERICAS WOMAN 3 8 8     76 4 (barr donald )TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 12.00 5% 19.00 47.50  
HANNAHS RED RUBY 4 6 6     66 53 (malgarini mawing)MAWING A 124 15.00 5% 19.00 8.40  
SPUNKY ZOEY 6 5 7     87 6 (shanley tim)ESQUILIN J 122 6.00 14.70  
TAKE CHARGE LISA 2 7 5     54 7 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 6.00 9.80  
MAMA'S EYES 1 9 913¼     911 810¼ (robb j)HO WESLEY 118 3.00 40% 1.50 4.20  
QUEEN OF KANTHAROS 8 1 2nk     4 911½ (davis b)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 15.00 43.90  
 
CT-7   07/13/2023 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($34.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:49
See original race card.
:213 :451       :514   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PENGUIN POWER 7 2 42     31 1¼ (runco jeff )CONCEPCION AXEL 115 6.00 14% 6.10 2.50 W
GOLDEN G 5 4 56     5 2¼ (gillespie r)RAMGEET R 122 8.00 21.80  
STORM BOARDER (CHI) 4 7 1nk     2nk 3¼ (hurley jack)PELTROCHE F 120 2.00 27% 2.70 1.20 S
PRIMAL DESTINY 2 3 2nk     1nk 4½ (patterson kevin)ACOSTA D 120 1.80 27% 2.80 3.40  
GOLDEN KEY 1 5 31     42 5 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 4.00 12% 7.10 4.80  
E J'S REVENGE 3 6 67     63 6 (murtaugh an)MCKENZIE CONNIE 113 20.00 54.80  
MY BLUE EYES 6 1 78     75 710¾ (kravets b)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 116 15.00 33.30  
 
CT-8   07/13/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT-10:17
See original race card.
:234 :481 1:141     1:281   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROCKY DICE 8 4 6 21   1nk 11 (murdock ste)RAMGEET R 122 10.00 6.40  
HERE AND NOFURTHER 1 2 44 31   2nk 21 (magee )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 3.50 45% 1.20 0.80 P
MISS YOU AJAX 5 7 7 7   45 3 (knoblauch-perez)BOCACHICA O 118 8.00 5% 19.00 8.90 S
HE ROLLS 9 5 1 11   31 4 (dove kevi)BOCACHICA J 112 20.00 14.50  
NIGHT TRAIN WAYNE 6 9 8 6   6 513¾ (straughn willia)RODRIGUEZ V 124 6.00 16% 5.10 6.90  
SPECTACULO 2 1 3 5   57 614 (mangual)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 8.00 17.20  
EISELE 3 3 5 8   712 720½ (hummer richar)ADAMS L 117 15.00 7% 12.90 20.10  
NOTIMELIKEPRESENT 4 6 2 4   822 840¼ (farrior ant)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 10.00 6% 15.10 6.70  
SOUL PROVIDER 7 8 912¼ 924¼   9100 9100 (shanley timothy)CECIL Y 120 30.00 50.00  
SCR  SPIRIT OF WINDSOR               (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 1.60    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.