Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Thursday - July 13, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (5/6/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/1/3)-(5/6/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/1/3)-(5/6/1/3)-(5/6/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/6/1/3)-(4/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/6/1/3)-(4/3/2)-(4/5/3/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-2   WIN (4/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/2)-(4/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/2)-(4/3/2)-(4/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/2)-(4/5/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/3/2)-(4/5/3/1)-(3/1/5/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-3   WIN (4/5/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/3/1)-(4/5/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/3/1)-(4/5/3/1)-(4/5/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/5/3/1)-(3/1/5/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/5/3/1)-(3/1/5/7)-(3/1/8/10/6) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-4   WIN (3/1/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/5/7)-(3/1/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/5/7)-(3/1/5/7)-(3/1/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/1/5/7)-(3/1/8/10/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/1/5/7)-(3/1/8/10/6)-(1/9/5/4/3) 100 $1.00 $100 
CT-5   WIN (3/1/8/10/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/1/8/10/6)-(3/1/8/10/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/1/8/10/6)-(3/1/8/10/6)-(3/1/8/10/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/1/8/10/6)-(1/9/5/4/3) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (3/1/8/10/6)-(1/9/5/4/3)-(4/2/7/1) 100 $1.00 $100 
CT-6   WIN (1/9/5/4/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/9/5/4/3)-(1/9/5/4/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/9/5/4/3)-(1/9/5/4/3)-(1/9/5/4/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/9/5/4/3)-(4/2/7/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/9/5/4/3)-(4/2/7/1)-(1/6/3/4/5) 100 $1.00 $100 
CT-7   WIN (4/2/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/7/1)-(4/2/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/7/1)-(4/2/7/1)-(4/2/7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/2/7/1)-(1/6/3/4/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
CT-8   WIN (1/6/3/4/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/6/3/4/5)-(1/6/3/4/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/6/3/4/5)-(1/6/3/4/5)-(1/6/3/4/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   07/13/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NICE BUT NAUGHTY Jun01 May26 May06 Apr20 Apr07 (jackson angel)CHILO JACINTO 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  TALKING TEDDY May13 Mar30 Feb15 Jan26 Dec01 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 122 4.50    
3  YDOUHAVETOBESOMEAN Jun01 Apr06 Mar16 Mar02 Feb23 (atkins mich)RAMGEET R 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
4  SMALL PAW Jun23 Jun10 May26 May06 Apr13 (jackson ang)ESQUILIN J 124 5.00    
5  PINNACLE REEF May26 May19 Apr27 Feb16 Feb01 (runco jeff )CONCEPCION AXEL 113 1.80 58% 0.70    
6  JUST A FLIRT Jun01 May19 Apr27 Apr14 Mar24 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 3.50 15% 5.50    
7  ROCKING TO HOME Jul06 Jun01 May20 Apr14 Mar10 (obed-letts ke)ADAMS L 115 4.00    
 
CT-2   07/13/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUINCYS WAY Apr21 Dec03 Sep10 Mar16 Feb12 (barber donald)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 30.00    
2  I SHALLBE RELEASED Jun17 May18 Apr21 Apr07 Mar18 (walters dav)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 5.00 6% 14.60    
3  ODINA Jun23 Jun01 Apr29 Apr20 Apr07 (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 118 1.80 23% 3.40    
4  APPEALING ROAD Jun30 Jun09 May26 May11 Apr21 (haynes erne)RAMGEET R 118 1.20 47% 1.10    
5  JACKYSINTHECASTLE Jun17 May18 Apr07 Mar23 Mar02 (sigler g)LARROSA G 118 4.50    
6  GOLDEN SALLY Jun30 May11 Mar24 Mar04 Feb11 (boggs j)NUNEZ MAURICIO 118 15.00    
 
CT-3   07/13/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAX Jul01 Jun17 May27 May06 Apr15 (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  SALTY SAUL Jun16 May06 Apr14 Mar04 Feb10 (jones e)HO WESLEY 122 20.00    
3  CICI UNIFIED May02 Apr07 Mar20 Feb08 Jan18 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  RED QUEEN Jun17 May27 May06 Apr20 Mar26 (shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 122 2.50 36% 1.70    
5  TIZ MICHELLE'S WAY Jun17 May06 Apr21 Mar30 Feb11 (brown keith)RAMGEET R 122 5.00 36% 1.80    
6  CRUZ IN THE CASTLE Jun17 Apr13 Mar24 Feb22 Feb01 (brown ronne)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 4.50    
7  MAE SAI PRINCESS Jun17 May20 Mar18 Jan21 Dec02 (brown keit)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 12.00    
8  REDWHITEANDTACOS Jun30 May11 Mar22 Feb26 Jan16 (dilodovico d)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 1.80    
 
CT-4   07/13/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMICALOLA FALLS Jun03 May18 Apr14 Jan21 Dec29 (jackson l)CULLUM W 122 4.50 24% 3.20    
2  SCOOTSCOOT Jun22 Jun03 May25 May04 Apr21 (knoblauch-p)RAMGEET R 118 15.00    
3  HE IS BONAFIDE Jun17 Jun03 May05 Apr21 Nov23 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 122 1.40 32% 2.20    
4  STAVANGER Jun22 Jun03 May18 Apr14 Mar25 (racanelli mar)SIMPSON JASON 122 6.00    
5  SLOE GIN BIZ Jun22 Jun03 May18 May04 Apr13 (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 122 3.50 12% 7.20    
6  AKINGISALWAYSKING Jun02 May20 May06 Nov29 Nov24 (murtaugh)BUTTERFLY L 122 15.00    
7  ADARA Jun15 May25 May05 Apr22 Apr08 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 124 5.00 8% 10.80    
 
CT-5   07/13/2023 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  J. WICK Jun23 May26 Apr13 Mar31 Mar10 (brown ronne)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 4.00 26% 2.90    
2  ALL ROADS TO DENIS Jul01 Jun10 May20     (jackson ang)ESQUILIN J 120 15.00    
3  CALLISTO'S BRIGADE Jun16 May18 Apr27     (walters da)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 4.50 40% 1.50    
4  COLONIAL ROAD Jun30 Jun02 May12 Apr27 Apr08 (campbell la)MCKENZIE CONNIE 115 15.00    
5  ONE CANDY CASTLE May26 Apr29 Mar30 Mar10   (petty kristy)LARROSA G 120 5.00    
6  KING OF LUCK Jun16 Jun01 May18 Apr29   (ramos m)RIOS-CONDE A 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  BOP ZAPPER Sep24         (jones e)BOCACHICA O 120 6.00    
8  WINDSOR'S STAR Jun23 May20 Mar24 Jan06 Dec14 (comi w)RODRIGUEZ V 118 5.00 8% 12.20    
9  NEEDNOEXPLANATION May26 Apr29 Apr06 Mar16 Jan28 (bowman el)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 6.00    
10  JUBA'S MOCHA         (brown keith)RAMGEET R 120 10.00 7% 13.90    
SCR  METALLIC CAT         (brown ronne)ESQUILIN J 120 5.00    
SCR  CHARITABLE WINDSOR May11 Apr22 Mar31     (petty kristy)LARROSA G 120 8.00    
 
CT-6   07/13/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAMA'S EYES Jun16 May25 Mar19 Feb03 Jan13 (robb j)HO WESLEY 118 3.00 40% 1.50    
2  TAKE CHARGE LISA Jun22 Jun01 Apr20 Mar30 Mar16 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 6.00    
3  AMERICAS WOMAN Jun23 Jun02 Jan05 Dec14 Nov27 (barr donald )TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  HANNAHS RED RUBY Jun16 Nov17 Oct28 Oct12 Sep10 (malgarini mawing)MAWING A 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  MY BOSS Jun18 May29 Sep15 Jul08 Jun23 (capuano gar)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 4.50 15% 5.80    
6  SPUNKY ZOEY Jun17 May27 May06 Apr20 Mar30 (shanley )BUTTERFLY L 122 6.00    
7  COMIDA COMIDA Jun16 May12       (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 118 5.00    
8  QUEEN OF KANTHAROS Jun22 Apr20 Apr07 Feb15 Dec17 (davis b)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 15.00    
9  SULTRY SALLY H Jun16 Jun02 May04 Apr08 Feb25 (brown ronne)RAMGEET R 118 4.00 22% 3.50    
 
CT-7   07/13/2023 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($34.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLDEN KEY Jun17 May11 Feb02 Jan12 Nov24 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 4.00 12% 7.10    
2  PRIMAL DESTINY Apr30 Apr06 Feb23 Dec16 Dec01 (patterson kevin)ACOSTA D 120 1.80 27% 2.80    
3  E J'S REVENGE May29 Apr29 Mar31 Feb11 Feb02 (murtaugh an)MCKENZIE CONNIE 113 20.00    
4  STORM BOARDER (CHI) Jun02 Apr30 Apr06 Mar10 Jan21 (hurley jack)PELTROCHE F 120 2.00 27% 2.70    
5  GOLDEN G May19 Apr27 Apr06 Feb23 Feb11 (gillespi)BUTTERFLY L 122 8.00    
6  MY BLUE EYES Jun25 May18 May04 Mar29 Feb15 (kravets b)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 116 15.00    
7  PENGUIN POWER Jun17 May11 Apr15 Oct08 Sep17 (runco jeff )CONCEPCION AXEL 115 6.00 14% 6.10    
 
CT-8   07/13/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HERE AND NOFURTHER Jul02 Jun16 May26 May06 Apr01 (magee )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 3.50 45% 1.20    
2  SPECTACULO Jun01 May20 Apr22 Mar25 Feb16 (mangual)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 8.00    
3  EISELE Jun22 May05 Apr20 Mar16 Jan20 (hummer richar)ADAMS L 117 15.00 7% 12.90    
4  NOTIMELIKEPRESENT Jun15 May25 May04 Apr01 Mar19 (farrior ant)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 10.00 6% 15.10    
5  MISS YOU AJAX Jun22 May26 May04 Apr04 Mar19 (knoblauch-perez)BOCACHICA O 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  NIGHT TRAIN WAYNE Jun22 May26 Dec16 Dec09 Nov18 (straughn willia)RODRIGUEZ V 124 6.00 16% 5.10    
7  SOUL PROVIDER Jun13 May21 May10 Apr19 Apr03 (shanley timothy)CECIL Y 120 30.00    
8  ROCKY DICE Jul07 May26 May04 Apr20 Oct13 (murdock )BUTTERFLY L 122 10.00    
9  HE ROLLS Jul02 Jun16 May26 May04 Apr13 (dove kevi)BOCACHICA J 112 20.00    
SCR  SPIRIT OF WINDSOR May11 Apr27 Apr06 Mar10 Feb08 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 1.60    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.