Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Monmouth Park
Friday - July 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MTH-1   TRI (4/1/8/6)-(4/1/8/6)-(4/1/8/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00  4-8-1 $21.00 $9.00 75%
    SFT (4/1/8/6)-(4/1/8/6)-(4/1/8/6)-(4/1/8/6) 24 $0.10 $2.40  4-8-1-6 $11.46 $9.06 378%
MTH-7   WIN (3/6/7/9/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00  7 $13.60 $3.60 36%
    EXA (3/6/7/9/2)-(3/6/7/9/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00  7-9 $23.20 $3.20 16%
MTH-8   WIN (3/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $9.40 $3.40 57%
Simulator Race results
 
MTH-1   07/14/2023 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($71.875K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:00
See original race card.
:241 :483 1:123 1:241   1:354   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  ONE TIME WILLARD 3 2 21 21 2nk 11 12 (stephens john)RENDON JAIRO 120 2.00 23% 3.40 1.00 W
8  DUQUESNE 7 5 55 63½ 64 53½ 22 (carango a)RODRIGUEZ A 120 3.50 20% 4.00 3.50 P
1  GROUCH 1 1 11 11 1nk 21 33¼ (sweezey j)VARGAS A 115 5.00 20% 3.90 4.60 S
6  HERE COMES BILLY 5 4 31½ 31½ 42 43½ 44¾ (patern)ROJAS EDUARDO 120 4.00 10% 9.30 6.30  
5  PAL 4 6 65 43 31 33 55 (frangella jam)OLVER MADISON 113 10.00 12.70  
7  COUNTRY MILES 6 3 44 53 52½ 65½ 67 (huston k)MARIN SAMUEL 120 8.00 38.00  
2  KRATOS 2 7 77½ 75½ 77 79½ 711¼ (simon linda)IORIO MELISSA 113 6.00 11.50  
SCR  CASH KID               (servis tyler)ADORNO ABNER 120 3.50    
SCR  FOREVER CHOCOLATE               (huston ro)VARGAS A 120 4.50    
SCR  IRISH RILL               (lynch cathal)JUAREZ NIK 117 3.00    
SCR  SAND DUNE               (abrams jack)FERRER C 120 15.00    
SCR  STEEL DRIVIN MAN               (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 115 4.00    
SCR  WHAT'S UP MR. Z               (kendall denn)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 8.00    
 
MTH-2   07/14/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($25K) 2 F PT- 2:28
See original race card.
:224 :474       1:012   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  ANAJULIAFOREVER 5 5 2nk 11   13 12 (delgado jorge)OLVER MADISON 111 3.00 9% 9.60 1.50 W
7  MADE BIRDIE 7 1 54¼ 34   35 22 (gonzalez c)ROWLAND MADELINE 118 5.00 20.20  
1  FAMILY GAL 1 4 79¼ 68   47½ 32½ (gonzalez clau)IORIO MELISSA 111 6.00 32.00  
3  R FASHIONABLY LATE 3 3 1nk 21   23 46 (bennett s)FERRER C 118 4.00 2.80  
2  GULF COAST GIRL 2 2 68¼ 78   68½ 57 (dini mike)MARIN SAMUEL 118 10.00 7% 14.10 14.50  
6  QUICK RECOVERY 6 7 44 55   58½ 68¾ (dobles eliza)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 2.50 42% 1.40 3.20  
4  VERSACE SUMMER 4 6 810¼ 812   817½ 723¼ (penaloza migu)MARTIN MATTIE 111 15.00 7% 14.10 62.70  
8  SHESMISUNDERSTOOD 8 8 32 44½   713½ 823¼ (delgado h)TORRES JOMAR 118 6.00 5.30  
 
MTH-3   07/14/2023 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($40K) Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:56
See original race card.
:213 :441       :554   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  EXPLOSIVE EXCHANGE 7 1 11½ 11   12 13½ (dini mike)FERRER C 117 3.50 2.50  
1  CLOUDS OF WHITE 1 4 31½ 21   22 23½ (trombetta mi)LOPEZ PASCACIO 124 3.00 6% 15.30 2.50 P
3  MADELINE'S GROGU 3 6 53¾ 53¼   34 34¼ (spina charles)TORRES JOMAR 117 10.00 15.00  
8  MISS M M 8 3 21½ 33   46½ 47 (jimenez jose)BATISTA A 117 3.50 30% 2.30 6.10  
5  LITA 5 8 86¼ 87¼   67½ 58 (klesaris )VARGAS A 121 5.00 41% 1.40 15.80  
2  ANGELAS PARTY GIRL 2 5 64¼ 65¼   56½ 68¾ (duarte jo)RODRIGUEZ A 117 3.50 8.80  
6  TURN ON THE CHARM 6 2 74¼ 76¼   79 710 (gonzal)ROJAS EDUARDO 117 12.00 18.60  
4  PROUD MULE 4 7 41¾ 43   89½ 813¾ (ward dan)JUAREZ NIK 117 10.00 5% 19.00 3.30  
 
MTH-4   07/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($60K) 3 F PT- 3:24
See original race card.
:222 :453 :58     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  YESTERNIGHT 7 2 41½ 11   14 18½ (schultz lind)CASTILLO ISAAC 116 2.50 32% 2.10 0.90 W
6  BEATIFUL KARLA 6 6 65 43   37 28½ (avila jua)VARGAS A 116 4.50 21.10  
1  ZIAERATI 1 5 1nk 21   24 39¾ (falcone n)JUAREZ NIK 116 2.00 39% 1.60 1.50 S
4  OSCAR GAZE 4 7 75¼ 53½   49 415¾ (dini mike)RODRIGUEZ A 116 10.00 24.60  
2  COAL MINE 2 4 52½ 75   611½ 517 (skelton )GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 15.00 5% 19.00 62.60  
3  LETITGOTOVOICEMAIL 3 3 3½ 64   711½ 619 (perkins jr)MARIN SAMUEL 116 6.00 7% 13.00 23.90  
5  PRETTY'N AWESOME 5 1 2nk 32   510½ 724½ (bennett gera)LOPEZ PASCACIO 116 3.00 4.90  
 
MTH-5   07/14/2023 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:52
See original race card.
:213 :443       :561   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  YEAGER 8 1 21 2nk   1½ 12 (orseno josep)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 3.00 22% 3.50 1.50 W
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of GOOD TIME SALLY by FORESTRY)
4  ITALIAN SYMPHONY 4 7 64 52¾   52½ 22 (delgado jorg)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 2.50 32% 2.10 2.80 P
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of POWER OF SNUNNER by POWER BY FAR)
2  WON AN AWARD 2 5 31½ 31   41½ 32½ (duarte jo)RODRIGUEZ A 118 3.50 20% 4.00 3.10 S
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of SOUNDS OF THE CITY by STREET CRY (IRE))
7  ROCKINGHAM JOE 7 2 42 41¼   31½ 42½ (downing william)JUAREZ NIK 118 6.00 8.80  
  (by ADIOS CHARLIE out of SMOKIN RED HOT by STORMY ATLANTIC)
6  EGYPTIAN QUEST 6 4 53 62¾   63 54 (crook-de)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 8.00 30.40  
  (by NYQUIST out of EGYPTIAN MAGIC by ESKENDEREYA)
3  CALIBRACHOAMATTERS 3 3 11 1nk   2½ 64¾ (camejo jose )BATISTA A 118 10.00 40.70  
  (by CALIBRACHOA out of KATRINA'S FURY by INCLUDE)
1  DUKE OF GLOUCESTER 1 6 75 75¼   75½ 75¾ (pierro as)VARGAS A 118 6.00 5% 18.90 14.90  
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of STRIKE FIRST by SMART STRIKE)
5  FLYING LIAM 5 8 89 87¼   87 87 (margotta antho)MOYA F 118 8.00 10.90  
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of FLY ME TO DUBAI by INTO MISCHIEF)
SCR  AZ SHARP               (hendriks m)ROWLAND MADELINE 118 6.00    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of TIME TO ENJOY by DISTORTED HUMOR)
 
MTH-6   07/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:214 :443 :564     1:092   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  BENEVENGO 5 3 62¼ 1nk   1½ 15½ (cruz jesus)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 4.00 17% 4.80 2.10 W
2  SPUN AND WON 2 5 11½ 2nk   2½ 25½ (duarte j)RENDON JAIRO 120 6.00 14.90  
8  SECRET RULES 6 2 21½ 32   35 310½ (falcone rober)OLVER MADISON 115 3.50 26% 2.80 2.00 S
4  REAL TALK 4 1 32 43   410 417½ (orseno j)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 15.00 18.50  
1  POWERFULLY BUILT 1 4 42 65½   511 518¼ (abrams jack)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 3.00 36% 1.80 1.60  
3  TOPS THE CHART 3 6 52¼ 54½   612 624½ (duarte jo)RODRIGUEZ A 120 5.00 12.40  
SCR  BAAFEED               (lake scot)VARGAS A 124 10.00    
SCR  BORRACHO               (ness jamie)TORRES JOMAR 122 4.00    
 
MTH-7   07/14/2023 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
See original race card.
:231 :482 1:13 1:371   1:432   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  SAMARITANO 7 4 64¼ 65 63¾ 32½ 1½ (o'connell kath)RENDON JAIRO 118 4.50 12% 7.30 5.80 W
9  PRINCE OF TROY 9 2 21½ 21 2½ 1nk 2½ (cash j)TORRES JOMAR 123 3.50 5% 19.00 2.80 P
1  EDITOR'S CHOICE 1 1 11½ 11 1½ 2nk 31½ (cash russell )MARTIN MATTIE 111 20.00 18.00  
3  PLEASE BABY 3 8 75¼ 86 85¾ 44½ 42½ (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 3.50 31% 2.30 5.50  
4  EQUALJUSTICEFORALL 4 7 85¼ 75½ 96 87¾ 55½ (milne joan)LOPEZ PASCACIO 123 3.00 5.70  
6  AMERICAN DAY 6 3 42 53½ 53½ 67 66 (potts wayn)ROWLAND MADELINE 123 4.00 30% 2.40 2.00  
2  STAFF SERGEANT 2 6 32 31½ 31½ 55½ 76½ (hogan will)MITCHELL RICHARD 121 30.00 5% 19.00 49.00  
5  THAT SUN OF A GUN 5 9 97¾ 96½ 75¾ 77½ 86½ (mcburney patri)LUZZI J 118 8.00 11.30  
8  WINSOR MANOR 8 5 52¼ 43 43½ 99¾ 911¾ (leeson d)IORIO MELISSA 114 20.00 75.60  
 
MTH-8   07/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:16
See original race card.
:221 :452 :581     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  SMALL REASON 3 2 21 2½   13 15¼ (maragh)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 2.50 31% 2.30 3.70 W
6  DIZZY GILLESPIE 5 4 44 43½   33 25¼ (flores-co)RODRIGUEZ A 124 4.50 1.30  
2  MOTION TO STRIKE 2 1 11 1½   23 36¾ (ramirez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 3.00 20% 4.00 2.40 S
4  CACTUS JACK 4 3 55 55   55½ 49¼ (russo frank )CASTILLO ISAAC 124 8.00 6.60  
1  SHANGHAI WARRIOR 1 6 33 32½   45 512¾ (ryan derek)MITCHELL RICHARD 124 3.50 8.10  
7  GOLOVKIN 6 5 65 66   68½ 614¾ (bailey ricard)KAY R 124 15.00 15% 5.80 30.30  
SCR  THE METHOD               (simon linda)COTTO L 124 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.