Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Monmouth Park
Friday - July 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MTH-1   WIN (4/1/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/8/6)-(4/1/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/8/6)-(4/1/8/6)-(4/1/8/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-2   WIN (6/5/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/2/4)-(6/5/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/2/4)-(6/5/2/4)-(6/5/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-3   WIN (5/8/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/1/4)-(5/8/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/8/1/4)-(5/8/1/4)-(5/8/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-4   WIN (1/7/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/3/2)-(1/7/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/3/2)-(1/7/3/2)-(1/7/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-5   WIN (4/8/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/8/2/1)-(4/8/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/8/2/1)-(4/8/2/1)-(4/8/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-6   WIN (1/8/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/8/6)-(1/8/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/8/6)-(1/8/6)-(1/8/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
MTH-7   WIN (3/6/7/9/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/6/7/9/2)-(3/6/7/9/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/6/7/9/2)-(3/6/7/9/2)-(3/6/7/9/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MTH-8   WIN (3/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/7)-(3/2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/7)-(3/2/7)-(3/2/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MTH-1   07/14/2023 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($71.875K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GROUCH Jun25 Jun10 May21     (sweezey j)VARGAS A 115 5.00 20% 3.90    
2  KRATOS Jun18 May28 May14 Oct21 Oct08 (simon linda)IORIO MELISSA 113 6.00    
SCR  IRISH RILL Jun18 Jun04 May14 Mar10 Feb19 (lynch cathal)JUAREZ NIK 117 3.00    
4  ONE TIME WILLARD Jun18 May14 Aug28 Jul23 Jul15 (stephens john)RENDON JAIRO 120 2.00 23% 3.40    
5  PAL Jul01 Jun18 May28 Sep30 Sep10 (frangella jam)OLVER MADISON 113 10.00    
6  HERE COMES BILLY Jun18 Oct21 Sep30 Sep10 Aug22 (patern)ROJAS EDUARDO 120 4.00 10% 9.30    
7  COUNTRY MILES Jul01 Jun18 May28 May14 Oct17 (huston k)MARIN SAMUEL 120 8.00    
8  DUQUESNE Jun18 Sep14 Aug28 Aug12 Jul24 (carango a)RODRIGUEZ A 120 3.50 20% 4.00    
SCR  STEEL DRIVIN MAN Jun24 Sep05 Aug13     (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 115 4.00    
SCR  FOREVER CHOCOLATE Jul01 Jun18 Jun03 May21 Aug28 (huston ro)VARGAS A 120 4.50    
SCR  CASH KID Jul01 May28 Mar11 Feb19 Jan27 (servis tyler)ADORNO ABNER 120 3.50    
SCR  SAND DUNE Jun24 Jun09 Dec28 Oct22 Sep18 (abrams jack)FERRER C 120 15.00    
SCR  WHAT'S UP MR. Z Jun24 Sep18 Aug28 Jul17 Jun19 (kendall denn)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 8.00    
 
MTH-2   07/14/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($25K) 2 F PT- 2:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FAMILY GAL May25 May05       (gonzalez clau)IORIO MELISSA 111 6.00    
2  GULF COAST GIRL         (dini mike)MARIN SAMUEL 118 10.00 7% 14.10    
3  R FASHIONABLY LATE         (bennett s)FERRER C 118 4.00    
4  VERSACE SUMMER         (penaloza migu)MARTIN MATTIE 111 15.00 7% 14.10    
5  ANAJULIAFOREVER Jun16         (delgado jorge)OLVER MADISON 111 3.00 9% 9.60    
6  QUICK RECOVERY         (dobles eliza)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 2.50 42% 1.40    
7  MADE BIRDIE Jun22         (gonzalez c)ROWLAND MADELINE 118 5.00    
8  SHESMISUNDERSTOOD         (delgado h)TORRES JOMAR 118 6.00    
 
MTH-3   07/14/2023 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($40K) Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLOUDS OF WHITE May25         (trombetta mi)LOPEZ PASCACIO 124 3.00 6% 15.30    
2  ANGELAS PARTY GIRL May28 May13 Feb22 Feb01 Jan04 (duarte jo)RODRIGUEZ A 117 3.50    
3  MADELINE'S GROGU Jun09 May27 Mar30 Mar08 Dec12 (spina charles)TORRES JOMAR 117 10.00    
4  PROUD MULE Jun25 Jun02 May13 Mar25 Dec31 (ward dan)JUAREZ NIK 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  LITA May27 Jan05 Sep17     (klesaris )VARGAS A 121 5.00 41% 1.40    
6  TURN ON THE CHARM Jun25 May27 Mar29 Mar08 Feb03 (gonzal)ROJAS EDUARDO 117 12.00    
7  EXPLOSIVE EXCHANGE Jun04 May20 Apr15 Mar22 Feb23 (dini mike)FERRER C 117 3.50    
8  MISS M M Jun23 Apr21 Mar24 Feb18 Feb03 (jimenez jose)BATISTA A 117 3.50 30% 2.30    
 
MTH-4   07/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($60K) 3 F PT- 3:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ZIAERATI Jun03 Apr07 Mar04 Jan15   (falcone n)JUAREZ NIK 116 2.00 39% 1.60    
2  COAL MINE Jun30 May29 May13 Apr07 Mar12 (skelton )GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  LETITGOTOVOICEMAIL Feb09 Jan01 Oct28     (perkins jr)MARIN SAMUEL 116 6.00 7% 13.00    
4  OSCAR GAZE Jun25 May14 Apr29 Apr15   (dini mike)RODRIGUEZ A 116 10.00    
5  PRETTY'N AWESOME Jun03 Apr22 Mar26 Mar08 Feb18 (bennett gera)LOPEZ PASCACIO 116 3.00    
6  BEATIFUL KARLA May18 Mar01 Dec31 Nov29 Nov14 (avila jua)VARGAS A 116 4.50    
7  YESTERNIGHT Jun03 Apr22       (schultz lind)CASTILLO ISAAC 116 2.50 32% 2.10    
 
MTH-5   07/14/2023 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DUKE OF GLOUCESTER Jun11 May21 Apr14 Mar31 Feb11 (pierro as)VARGAS A 118 6.00 5% 18.90    
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of STRIKE FIRST by SMART STRIKE)
2  WON AN AWARD May28 Apr13 Oct28     (duarte jo)RODRIGUEZ A 118 3.50 20% 4.00    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of SOUNDS OF THE CITY by STREET CRY (IRE))
3  CALIBRACHOAMATTERS         (camejo jose )BATISTA A 118 10.00    
  (by CALIBRACHOA out of KATRINA'S FURY by INCLUDE)
4  ITALIAN SYMPHONY Jun06 May17       (delgado jorg)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 2.50 32% 2.10    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of POWER OF SNUNNER by POWER BY FAR)
5  FLYING LIAM         (margotta antho)MOYA F 118 8.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of FLY ME TO DUBAI by INTO MISCHIEF)
6  EGYPTIAN QUEST         (crook-de)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 8.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of EGYPTIAN MAGIC by ESKENDEREYA)
7  ROCKINGHAM JOE Jun15 Apr06       (downing william)JUAREZ NIK 118 6.00    
  (by ADIOS CHARLIE out of SMOKIN RED HOT by STORMY ATLANTIC)
8  YEAGER May14 Apr21 Aug22     (orseno josep)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 3.00 22% 3.50    
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of GOOD TIME SALLY by FORESTRY)
SCR  AZ SHARP Jun14 May03       (hendriks m)ROWLAND MADELINE 118 6.00    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of TIME TO ENJOY by DISTORTED HUMOR)
 
MTH-6   07/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POWERFULLY BUILT Jun10 Apr27 Mar26 Mar12 Sep28 (abrams jack)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 3.00 36% 1.80    
2  SPUN AND WON Jun06 May02 Feb25 Sep04 Jul10 (duarte j)RENDON JAIRO 120 6.00    
3  TOPS THE CHART Apr20 Dec06 Oct25 Oct04 Aug25 (duarte jo)RODRIGUEZ A 120 5.00    
4  REAL TALK Dec14 Nov12 Oct02 Aug13 Jul24 (orseno j)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 15.00    
SCR  BORRACHO Jun14 May25 May04 Apr13 Mar18 (ness jamie)TORRES JOMAR 122 4.00    
6  BENEVENGO Nov12 Sep24 Jul23 Jun24 May14 (cruz jesus)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 4.00 17% 4.80    
SCR  BAAFEED Jun21 May31 Jun17 May21 Apr20 (lake scot)VARGAS A 124 10.00    
8  SECRET RULES Jun22 May20 Apr23 Mar24 Jan18 (falcone rober)OLVER MADISON 115 3.50 26% 2.80    
 
MTH-7   07/14/2023 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EDITOR'S CHOICE Jun03 May21 Nov13 Sep30 Jul31 (cash russell )MARTIN MATTIE 111 20.00    
2  STAFF SERGEANT Jul01 Feb27 Feb15 Jan17 Jan09 (hogan will)MITCHELL RICHARD 121 30.00 5% 19.00    
3  PLEASE BABY Jun11 May26 Apr15 Jan19 Dec01 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 3.50 31% 2.30    
4  EQUALJUSTICEFORALL Jun11 May27 Nov10 Oct14 Sep04 (milne joan)LOPEZ PASCACIO 123 3.00    
5  THAT SUN OF A GUN Jun10 May14 Oct29 Sep18   (mcburney patri)LUZZI J 118 8.00    
6  AMERICAN DAY Jun11 May14 Mar14 Oct14 Sep04 (potts wayn)ROWLAND MADELINE 123 4.00 30% 2.40    
7  SAMARITANO Jun11 May21       (o'connell kath)RENDON JAIRO 118 4.50 12% 7.30    
8  WINSOR MANOR Oct08 Aug28 Aug12 Jul10 Jun19 (leeson d)IORIO MELISSA 114 20.00    
9  PRINCE OF TROY Jun17 Jun01 May14 Aug19 Jul31 (cash j)TORRES JOMAR 123 3.50 5% 19.00    
 
MTH-8   07/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHANGHAI WARRIOR Jul01 Jun10 May21 Apr23 Apr08 (ryan derek)MITCHELL RICHARD 124 3.50    
2  MOTION TO STRIKE Jun24 Jun04 May07 Apr15 Mar04 (ramirez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 3.00 20% 4.00    
3  SMALL REASON Jun10 May13 Apr21 Mar24 Mar03 (maragh)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 2.50 31% 2.30    
4  CACTUS JACK Jun24 Jun11 Jun03 Mar25 Jan27 (russo frank )CASTILLO ISAAC 124 8.00    
SCR  THE METHOD Jun16 May27 Mar27 Mar01 Jan02 (simon linda)COTTO L 124 5.00    
6  DIZZY GILLESPIE Jul08 May29 May24 May01 Apr19 (flores-co)RODRIGUEZ A 124 4.50    
7  GOLOVKIN Jun23 May29 Apr19 Mar29 Feb17 (bailey ricardo)MARIN SAMUEL 124 15.00 15% 5.80    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.