The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Presque Isle Downs
Monday - July 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PID-1   Win (1/2/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $6.20 $6.20 -1.80
    Exacta (1/2/4/7)-(1/2/4/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 2-1 2 1 $42.20 $42.20 18.20
    Trifecta (1/2/4/7)-(1/2/4/7)-(1/2/4/7) 24 $2.00 $48.00 2-1-7 3 1 $103.60 $103.60 55.60
PID-2   Win (2/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $5.20 $5.20 -0.80
    Exacta (2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 6-1 2 0 $28.60 -12.00
    Trifecta (2/3/6)-(2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 6-1-5 3 0 $103.40 -12.00
    Daily Double (1/2/4/7)-(2/3/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 2-6 2 1 $28.60 $28.60 4.60
PID-3   Win (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $6.00 $6.00 0.00
    Exacta (3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 3-4 2 0 $134.20 -12.00
    Trifecta (3/5/6)-(3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 3-4-1 3 0 $614.60 -12.00
    Daily Double (2/3/6)-(3/5/6) 9 $2.00 $18.00 6-3 2 1 $30.00 $30.00 12.00
    Pick Three (1/2/4/7)-(2/3/6)-(3/5/6) 36 $2.00 $72.00 2-6-3 3 1 $96.80 $96.80 24.80
PID-4   Win (2/4/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $14.20 $14.20 6.20
    Exacta (2/4/6/7)-(2/4/6/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 7-2 2 1 $61.20 $61.20 37.20
    Trifecta (2/4/6/7)-(2/4/6/7)-(2/4/6/7) 24 $2.00 $48.00 7-2-3 3 0 $249.00 -48.00
    Daily Double (3/5/6)-(2/4/6/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 3-7 2 1 $45.00 $45.00 21.00
    Pick Three (2/3/6)-(3/5/6)-(2/4/6/7) 36 $2.00 $72.00 6-3-7 3 1 $94.20 $94.20 22.20
PID-5   Win (4/7/8/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $39.00 $39.00 31.00
    Exacta (4/7/8/9)-(4/7/8/9) 12 $2.00 $24.00 7-5 2 0 $233.80 -24.00
    Trifecta (4/7/8/9)-(4/7/8/9)-(4/7/8/9) 24 $2.00 $48.00 7-5-4 3 0 $733.80 -48.00
    Daily Double (2/4/6/7)-(4/7/8/9) 16 $2.00 $32.00 7-7 2 1 $401.00 $401.00 369.00
    Pick Three (3/5/6)-(2/4/6/7)-(4/7/8/9) 48 $2.00 $96.00 3-7-7 3 1 $515.40 $515.40 419.40
PID-6   Win (1/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $33.60 -6.00
    Exacta (1/4/7)-(1/4/7) 6 $2.00 $12.00 3-5 2 0 $152.80 -12.00
    Trifecta (1/4/7)-(1/4/7)-(1/4/7) 6 $2.00 $12.00 3-5-1 3 0 $590.40 -12.00
    Daily Double (4/7/8/9)-(1/4/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 7-2 2 0 $20.80 -24.00
    Daily Double (4/7/8/9)-(1/4/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 7-3 2 0 $396.40 -24.00
    Pick Three (2/4/6/7)-(4/7/8/9)-(1/4/7) 48 $2.00 $96.00 7-7-3 3 0 $6280.00 -96.00
PID-7   Win (3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2 1 0 $4.20 -4.00
    Exacta (3/4)-(3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2-3 2 0 $7.20 -4.00
    Trifecta NO BET 0 $2.00 $0.00 2-3-6 3 0 $10.80 0.00
    Daily Double (1/4/7)-(3/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 3-2 2 0 $98.00 -12.00
    Daily Double (1/4/7)-(3/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 3-7 2 0 $33.20 -12.00
    Pick Three (4/7/8/9)-(1/4/7)-(3/4) 24 $2.00 $48.00 7-3-2/5/7 3 0 $3997.20 -48.00
PID-8   Win (3/4/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 0 $3.00 -8.00
    Exacta (3/4/7/8)-(3/4/7/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 1-7 2 0 $23.40 -24.00
    Trifecta (3/4/7/8)-(3/4/7/8)-(3/4/7/8) 24 $2.00 $48.00 1-7-5 3 0 $105.00 -48.00
    Daily Double (3/4)-(3/4/7/8) 8 $2.00 $16.00 2-1 2 0 $8.60 -16.00
    Pick Three (1/4/7)-(3/4)-(3/4/7/8) 24 $2.00 $48.00 3-2/5/7-1 3 0 $101.60 -48.00

Simulator Race results

 
PID-1   07/17/2023 5490ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
:24 :481 1:14 1:404   1:45   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RECKLESS AFFAIR 2 7 510 46 33 21nk (girten tim)GALLARDO A 118 4.00 25% 3.00 2.10 W
JUST PRAISE 1 6 712½ 7 55 42nk (guciardo john)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 5.00 8% 11.50 6.10 P
UP FOR THE CHANCE 7 1 37 3 2½ 133 (fennessy john)WALES GARY 122 2.50 10% 8.60 2.40 S
RAPA NUI 6 4 48 56 6 67 47 (buhrow d)ALLEN D 122 10.00 52.40  
CONRADO 5 2 21 2 4 55(vitali marcu)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 116 3.50 3.50  
HUNTIN' THE RUT 4 3 11 1 1½ 36(carr-rozantz ca)ROJAS MARTINA 115 4.50 32% 2.10 6.20  
DUDEWITHTHEDIAMOND 3 5 610½ 6 7 713 723¼ (rice kevin)MARTINEZ A 118 8.00 12.50  
 
PID-2   07/17/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:27
:22 :452 :582     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHARLOTTE THE BRIT 5 2 3 32   1nk 13 (rojas e)ROJAS MARTINA 115 1.80 34% 1.90 1.60 W
FOLK HERO 1 5 5 57   423 (rojas e)MORALES PABLO 122 4.00 7.10  
PROPER MANNERS 4 1 21 2   2nk 3(potts g)ALLEN D 122 4.50 3.60  
BATH AND TENNIS (IRE) 3 4 4 46   54(rice adam)MARTINEZ A 124 3.00 26% 2.90 1.40  
LAWN DART 2 3 11 1   3.2 5(stokes lan)GALLARDO A 122 6.00 13% 6.80 10.50  
SCR  RISATA               (west w)AVILES YAN 122 8.00    
 
PID-3   07/17/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:54
:25 :49 1:142 1:264   1:391   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RED PIXIE 3 2 212½ 212 2 11(brooks gera)CARRASCO R 122 3.50 16% 5.20 2.00 W
BEAUTIFUL STAR 4 1 112½ 112 1 22(brooks e)ROJAS MARTINA 115 10.00 32.00  
LADY LANA 1 4 314 313 5 46 311½ (vitali marcu)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 4.50 3.80  
RICHIES NOBLE GIRL 5 5 415 513½ 45 56 412¼ (rojas edua)GALLARDO A 122 1.80 21% 3.80 1.30  
NEVISIAN SPIRIT 6 3 515 413½ 34 3516½ (potts g)MORALES PABLO 122 3.00 39% 1.60 5.30  
MIDNIGHT PIRATE 2 6 617 616 68 68 618 (dickey keith)RIQUELME J 122 5.00 15.90  
 
PID-4   07/17/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:21
:24 :47 1:12 1:252   1:391   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PROTECTTHEWITNESS 7 3 17 113 110 18 12 (rojas e)ROJAS MARTINA 115 2.50 43% 1.30 6.10 W
DOMINANT STRANGER 2 1 612 616 412 28 22 (wilson b)FOX CHRIS 122 4.50 7% 13.70 4.10 P
WINE WITH A ROSE 3 7 714 718 512½ 310 36 (bowersock maria)ALLEN D 116 8.00 9.40  
ZORA 6 6 510½ 414½ 312 413½ 414½ (girten tim)GALLARDO A 118 3.00 11% 8.40 1.40  
FAMILY BAND 4 2 410 213 210 513½ 517½ (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 122 5.00 19% 4.30 2.70  
BE SHARP 5 5 27 314 616½ 618½ 625 (hamm timothy)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 116 4.50 9.90  
SORTARIA 1 4 3 515 719½ 726½ 737½ (hardesty les)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 116 15.00 50.00  
 
PID-5   07/17/2023 3300ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 2 F PT- 4:48
:224 :46       :582   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAKEMETOTHEBEACH 5 2 1 1   112 (kintz matt)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 120 8.00 5% 19.00 18.50 W
DANCING SPIRIT 3 3 2 2   222 (rice adam)WALKER M 120 6.00 4.10  
ROTONDO 2 1 33 4   32 32 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 120 10.00 5% 19.00 3.00 S
MAIDEN LANE 4 5 4 3   44 4(hamm timothy)ROJAS MARTINA 113 4.50 6.60  
WHISPERING SEA 7 6 6 5   511 512¼ (trombetta michael )MARTINEZ W 120 3.50 31% 2.30 1.30  
CLOUD IN THE WIND 1 7 712½ 712   714 614¼ (girten tim)GALLARDO A 120 5.00 14.70  
CRABAPPLE 6 4 56 68   613½ 717 (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 120 4.00 24% 3.10 10.60  
SCR  FLAG SONG FLYIN               (trombetta m)CARRASCO R 120 5.00    
SCR  Z INDY LINDY               (connelly teresa)ALLEN D 120 12.00    
 
PID-6   07/17/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
:222 :452 :571     1:033   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WROTE IN STONE 2 1 1 1   11½ (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 6.00 15.80  
GINS AND TINS 4 3 33 3   32½ (davis scooter)MARTINEZ W 122 4.00 6.90  
TWIRLING MAMBA 1 2 2 2   23(martin william )VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 3.50 51% 1.00 3.10 S
GRANDE TORTUGON (CHI) 3 6 5 4   444 (walsh d)ROJAS MARTINA 115 8.00 5% 19.00 26.40  
CHARMED (GB) 5 5 67 67   57 56 (bayeh edga)MARTINEZ A 122 2.50 2.50  
STRANGE ARRANGE 6 4 45 5   68 610½ (kintz matthew)MORALES PABLO 122 3.00 22% 3.60 1.10  
SCR  CALL ME LATER               (grace john)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
PID-7   07/17/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Malvern Rose Purse ($100K) 3 F PT- 5:42
:224 :46 1:094     1:16   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAPTAIN COURTNEY 2 4 4 3   1½ 1(trombetta m)CARRASCO R 121 3.50 1.10  
SCOTTISH SYMPHONY 3 2 1½ 11   2½ 2(casse)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 119 3.00 38% 1.70 1.40 P
RUSTY MY BROTHER 5 3 3 21   3313 (girten tim)GALLARDO A 121 4.00 3.60  
WINGS OF A SONG 1 5 55 4   45 415½ (schoenthal phil)MORALES PABLO 121 8.00 16.00  
GOLDEN MOONLIGHT 4 1 2½ 5   517 531¼ (acquilano)NAVARRO J 121 6.00 5% 19.00 14.80  
SCR  LATE FROST               (matz michael )RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 2.50 40% 1.50    
SCR  PEACE IN PARADISE               (parente pat)CARROLL DECLAN 119 12.00    
 
PID-8   07/17/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:09
:243 :494 1:154 1:28   1:401   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PATH TO VICTORY 1 5 511½ 57 4 118 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 124 1.80 0.50  
SUPER GEUSE 7 6 4 45 1nk 228 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 124 12.00 5% 19.00 14.70 P
EMPTY ENVELOPE 5 3 3 33 2nk 34 310¾ (rice kevin)ALLEN D 118 4.50 7.50  
CAIRO WINNER 3 4 612½ 6 52 4412 (gotera jua)MARTINEZ A 118 8.00 5% 19.00 13.20  
GOLDEN PHASE 6 8 814½ 811¾ 64 5514½ (stites w)ROJAS MARTINA 117 15.00 18.90  
BABY BLUE 4 7 713½ 7 86 6616¾ (valdez moise)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 124 6.00 26% 2.90 21.00  
AFTER NOON KISSES 2 1 14 2nk 7 712½ 723¼ (spanabel r)RIQUELME J 118 10.00 42.80  
YOU LOOKING AT ME 8 2 24 1nk 31 812½ 827¼ (fennessy john)WALES GARY 118 2.50 48% 1.10 4.80  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.