Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Presque Isle Downs
Monday - July 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PID-1   WIN (4/2/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/7/1)-(4/2/7/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (4/2/7/1)-(4/2/7/1)-(4/2/7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/2/7/1)-(6/3/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (4/2/7/1)-(6/3/2)-(6/5/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PID-2   WIN (6/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/2)-(6/3/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/2)-(6/3/2)-(6/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/2)-(6/5/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (6/3/2)-(6/5/3)-(7/4/6/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PID-3   WIN (6/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/3)-(6/5/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/3)-(6/5/3)-(6/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/3)-(7/4/6/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (6/5/3)-(7/4/6/2)-(9/8/4/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PID-4   WIN (7/4/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/6/2)-(7/4/6/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (7/4/6/2)-(7/4/6/2)-(7/4/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4/6/2)-(9/8/4/7) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (7/4/6/2)-(9/8/4/7)-(1/7/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PID-5   WIN (9/8/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/8/4/7)-(9/8/4/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (9/8/4/7)-(9/8/4/7)-(9/8/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/8/4/7)-(1/7/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (9/8/4/7)-(1/7/4)-(3/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PID-6   WIN (1/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/4)-(1/7/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/4)-(1/7/4)-(1/7/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/7/4)-(3/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/7/4)-(3/4)-(8/4/7/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PID-7   WIN (3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/4)-(3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3/4)-(8/4/7/3) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
PID-8   WIN (8/4/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/7/3)-(8/4/7/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (8/4/7/3)-(8/4/7/3)-(8/4/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PID-1   07/17/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUST PRAISE May13 Apr28 Apr12 Mar22 Mar03 (guciardo john)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 5.00 8% 11.50    
2  RECKLESS AFFAIR Jun26 Jun12 Apr29 Mar12 Feb25 (girten t)GALLARDO A 118 4.00 25% 3.00    
3  DUDEWITHTHEDIAMOND Jul03 Jun12       (rice kev)MARTINEZ A 118 8.00    
4  HUNTIN' THE RUT Jul05 Oct25 Oct19 Oct05 Sep20 (carr-rozantz )ROJAS MARTINA 115 4.50 32% 2.10    
5  CONRADO Jun07 Mar27 Feb13 Jan08 Dec23 (vitali mar)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 116 3.50    
6  RAPA NUI Jul03 Jun19 May31 May16 Aug16 (buhrow d)ALLEN D 122 10.00    
7  UP FOR THE CHANCE Jul03 Jun07 May31 Oct25 Oct17 (fennessy john)WALES GARY 122 2.50 10% 8.60    
 
PID-2   07/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FOLK HERO Jun27 Jun19 May23 May17 Feb23 (rojas eduardo)MORALES PABLO 122 4.00    
2  LAWN DART Jun26 Jun06 May17 Oct13 Sep22 (stokes l)GALLARDO A 122 6.00 13% 6.80    
3  BATH AND TENNIS (IRE) Jun27 Jun06 May06 Apr15 Feb08 (rice ada)MARTINEZ A 124 3.00 26% 2.90    
SCR  RISATA Jun13 May11 Apr22 Mar17 Feb10 (west w)AVILES YAN 122 8.00    
5  PROPER MANNERS Jul04 Jun14 May22 Apr19 Feb03 (potts g)ALLEN D 122 4.50    
6  CHARLOTTE THE BRIT Jun27 Jun06 May17 Oct18 Oct05 (rojas eduardo)ROJAS MARTINA 115 1.80 34% 1.90    
 
PID-3   07/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADY LANA Jun14 May31 Apr24 Mar15 Feb20 (vitali mar)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 4.50    
2  MIDNIGHT PIRATE Jun14 May17 Feb15 Jan07 Dec14 (dickey keith)RIQUELME J 122 5.00    
3  RED PIXIE Jul05 May22 Jan07 Dec22 Dec15 (brooks ge)CARRASCO R 122 3.50 16% 5.20    
4  BEAUTIFUL STAR Jun27 Jun20 Jun07 May17 Mar22 (brooks gerald)ROJAS MARTINA 115 10.00    
5  RICHIES NOBLE GIRL Jun14 May31 Apr19 Mar17 Mar04 (rojas ed)GALLARDO A 122 1.80 21% 3.80    
6  NEVISIAN SPIRIT Jun14 May17 Dec22 Dec14 Nov25 (potts g)MORALES PABLO 122 3.00 39% 1.60    
 
PID-4   07/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SORTARIA Jul10 Jun13 Apr12 Mar31 Feb22 (hardesty l)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 116 15.00    
2  DOMINANT STRANGER Jul10 Jun13 Aug24 Aug01 Jul18 (wilson b)FOX CHRIS 122 4.50 7% 13.70    
3  WINE WITH A ROSE May30 Apr23 Apr05 Mar19 Mar05 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 116 8.00    
4  FAMILY BAND May29 Apr23 Apr08 Dec29 Nov17 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 122 5.00 19% 4.30    
5  BE SHARP Jun26 Feb28 Jan23 Dec22 Oct03 (hamm timoth)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 116 4.50    
6  ZORA Jun19 Jun06 May22 Oct24 Sep29 (girten t)GALLARDO A 118 3.00 11% 8.40    
7  PROTECTTHEWITNESS Jun20 Jun13 May16 Apr20 Mar01 (rojas eduardo)ROJAS MARTINA 115 2.50 43% 1.30    
 
PID-5   07/17/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 2 F PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FLAG SONG FLYIN         (trombetta)CARRASCO R 120 5.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of SUCCESSFUL SONG by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
SCR  Z INDY LINDY         (connelly teres)ALLEN D 120 12.00    
  (by TAPIZAR out of LINDZ WINZ by VRONSKY)
3  CLOUD IN THE WIND         (girten t)GALLARDO A 120 5.00    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of WENT WITH THE WIND by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
4  ROTONDO         (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by OUTWORK out of MS DUPREE by VIOLENCE)
5  DANCING SPIRIT         (rice adam)WALKER M 120 6.00    
  (by SOCIAL INCLUSION out of DANCING SPARKS by JUMP START)
6  MAIDEN LANE         (hamm timothy)ROJAS MARTINA 113 4.50    
  (by STREET SENSE out of BRABBLE by BERNARDINI)
7  TAKEMETOTHEBEACH         (kintz ma)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of STREET DOLL by STREET CRY (IRE))
8  CRABAPPLE         (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 120 4.00 24% 3.10    
  (by FLASHBACK out of PRIMO VIA by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
9  WHISPERING SEA         (trombetta michae)MARTINEZ W 120 3.50 31% 2.30    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of WILD AND FUNNY by KITTEN'S JOY)
 
PID-6   07/17/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TWIRLING MAMBA Oct26 Oct10 Aug29 Aug08 Jul20 (martin willia)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 3.50 51% 1.00    
SCR  CALL ME LATER Oct26 Oct10 Sep26 Sep15 Aug24 (grace john)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  WROTE IN STONE Jun05 May29 Oct20 Sep12 Aug31 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 6.00    
4  GRANDE TORTUGON (CHI) Jun05 May15 Oct20 Sep26 Aug01 (walsh d)ROJAS MARTINA 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  GINS AND TINS Jun20 Jun07 Feb10 Jan15 Oct26 (davis scooter)MARTINEZ W 122 4.00    
6  CHARMED (GB) Apr29 Mar12 Jan19 Jan05 Oct05 (bayeh ed)MARTINEZ A 122 2.50    
7  STRANGE ARRANGE Jun20 Jun07 May16 Mar02 Feb17 (kintz matth)MORALES PABLO 122 3.00 22% 3.60    
 
PID-7   07/17/2023 4290ft DIRT RC11 FAST Malvern Rose Purse ($100K) 3 F PT- 5:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WINGS OF A SONG May29 May12 Apr16 Sep20 Aug23 (schoenthal ph)MORALES PABLO 121 8.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of GRAND PRIX by TALE OF THE CAT)
2  CAPTAIN COURTNEY Jun20 May30 May06     (trombetta)CARRASCO R 121 3.50    
  (by ARMY MULE out of MAREANA by NORTHERN AFLEET)
3  SCOTTISH SYMPHONY Jun17 Apr20 Feb12 Jan12 Nov19 (cas)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 119 3.00 38% 1.70    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of CELTIC CROSS by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
4  GOLDEN MOONLIGHT Jun21 May29 May08 Jul01   (acquila)NAVARRO J 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GOLDDIGGER'S BOY out of WORKING AT NIGHT by TIZNOW)
SCR  PEACE IN PARADISE Jul16 May30       (parente pat)CARROLL DECLAN 119 12.00    
  (by PEACE AND JUSTICE out of TIZ PARADISE by TIZNOW)
6  RUSTY MY BROTHER Jun06 May15 Apr20     (girten t)GALLARDO A 121 4.00    
  (by SOCIAL INCLUSION out of ESTAPRIMO by PRIMAL STORM)
SCR  LATE FROST Jun02 Nov25 Oct28 Sep16   (matz michae)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 2.50 40% 1.50    
  (by FROSTED out of LA LA'S COOKIN by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
 
PID-8   07/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PATH TO VICTORY Jul11 Jun21 Mar04 Feb01 Dec30 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 124 1.80    
2  AFTER NOON KISSES Jul04 Jun06 May23 May03 Apr21 (spanabel r)RIQUELME J 118 10.00    
3  CAIRO WINNER Jun26 Jun02 Apr22 Apr05 Mar05 (gotera j)MARTINEZ A 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  BABY BLUE Jul04 Jun19 May30 May11 Mar29 (valdez moi)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 124 6.00 26% 2.90    
5  EMPTY ENVELOPE Jun21 Jun13 May17 Apr22 Nov16 (rice kevin)ALLEN D 118 4.50    
6  GOLDEN PHASE Jul04 Feb17 Feb01 Dec14 Nov23 (stites flint )ROJAS MARTINA 117 15.00    
7  SUPER GEUSE Jun06 May23 Mar01 Jan31 Sep28 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  YOU LOOKING AT ME Jun20 Jun06 May22 Apr29 Apr02 (fennessy john)WALES GARY 118 2.50 48% 1.10    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.