Handicappers' Race Results
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Turf Paradise
Monday - April 24, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
TUP-1   Win (4/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 1 $2.20 $2.20  
TUP-2   Win (1/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $9.20  
TUP-3   Win (4/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 0 $18.00  
TUP-4   Win (1/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $3.20 $3.20  
TUP-5   Win (8/6/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $5.40 $5.40  
TUP-6   Win (7/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 0 $15.00  
TUP-7   Win (3/1/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 0 $6.00  
TUP-8   Win (2/8/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 1 $4.00 $4.00  
Simulator Race results
 
TUP-1   04/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.2K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:25
See original race card.
:214 :444 :564     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  MISSCZECH 4 2 1½ 12   13½ 13½ (brown r)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 1.00 59% 0.70 0.10 W
5  LARIMAR 5 1 2½ 22   23½ 23½ (gutierrez j)VALENZUELA A 122 3.50 6.20  
3  DANCE LADY 3 5 57½ 56   57 36 (evans justin)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 3.00 11% 8.50 6.20 S
2  WE ALL AGREE 2 3 41½ 43½   47 47 (barrio sergio)AGUILAR DANIEL 122 6.00 ★ 15.30 DQ↓5
1  HOLY TUTTA BELLA 1 4 31½ 32   36 57 (campo stacy)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 10.00 21.20  
 
TUP-2   04/24/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($13.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:54
See original race card.
:22 :44       1:143   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  LAST RENEGADE 2 4 45½ 33   21 14 (silva jo)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 119 4.50 3.60  
6  HIT THE SEAM 5 1 12 12½   11 24 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 2.50 12% 7.30 2.80 P
5  DESCENT 4 3 34½ 43   43½ 34½ (hone bart)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 5.00 1.30  
4  UPPER ROOM 3 2 22 22½   33 47 (toye joe)ANAYA V 124 4.00 22% 3.50 3.30  
1  MARK YE WELL 1 5 58½ 55½   54 57½ (brown jared)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 3.00 33% 2.00 6.50  
SCR  DIAMOND BLITZ               (silva g)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.50    
 
TUP-3   04/24/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($9.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:23
See original race card.
:24 :474 1:124 1:252   1:382   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  KEENEYE GEORGE 2 4 12½ 1½ 11 31½ 1hd (barr)DA FAUSTO 124 5.00 8.00  
7  BLUES RAPPER 6 3 42¾ 32 21 21½ 2hd (trejo amali)VALENZUELA A 124 8.00 ★ 6.40 P
6  MY SWEET LORD 5 5 53¾ 42 33 11½ 3¾ (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 118 4.00 8% 12.30 2.70 S
4  TRUTH TO POWER 3 1 32½ 52¼ 56½ 47½ 47½ (kenney d)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 119 3.00 67% 0.50 1.40  
5  SHADYFIED 4 2 22½ 2½ 44½ 57¾ 59¾ (barrio sergio)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 6.00 21.40  
2  LITTLE RED RIFLE 1 6 6100 6100 6100 6100 6100 (howe s)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 2.50 ★ 2.40  
SCR  MINNESOTA RED               (birdwell tena)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 6.00    
 
TUP-4   04/24/2023 4950ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:52
See original race card.
:251 :492 1:14     1:321   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SECRET MISTRESS 1 1 12½ 12   15 13½ (sanderson bru)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 2.50 21% 3.70 0.60 W
4  SHEZ OUR ARCH 3 2 33 44   25 23½ (diodoro roberti)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 2.00 2.00  
3  TA TA FOR NOW 2 4 55 55½   47½ 36¾ (belvoir vann)ZUNINO L 116 5.00 5.50  
5  NAUGHTY EVELYN 4 3 22½ 22   37½ 410½ (martinez esteban)VERGARA P 122 6.00 6.20  
6  MISS GHISLAINE 5 5 44 33½   512½ 514¾ (silv)DA FAUSTO 122 8.00 16% 5.10 18.30  
SCR  TWELVE STARS               (person a)LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.50 38% 1.70    
 
TUP-5   04/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($20.4K) 3 F PT- 6:20
See original race card.
:222 :444 :57     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  COCKTAIL SLIPPERS 2 3 21 1nk   12½ 11½ (owens kory)LOPEZ KARLO 121 4.00 8% 11.70 1.70 W
6  SASSY TINKERBELL 5 2 53 36   34½ 21½ (belvoir )BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 116 6.00 12% 7.20 3.60 P
4  OCEAN OF LIES 3 6 32 2nk   22½ 36¾ (bratcher ryan)LARA EZEQUIEL 121 3.00 5% 17.50 2.10 S
1  RAINBOW STEW 1 5 63 47   47½ 48½ (toye joe)VALENZUELA A 121 3.50 4.50  
5  SHE'D RATHER DANCE 4 1 11 510   512½ 511¾ (vitali marcus)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 5.00 15.90  
8  STAR SO FAR 6 4 42½ 611   616½ 622½ (morgan dan)VERGARA P 121 5.00 50% 1.00 6.90  
SCR  MIGHTY GYPSY               (dillenbeck bruce)ANAYA V 121 15.00    
SCR  STARLET COLE               (owens kory)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 8.00    
 
TUP-6   04/24/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($26.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:48
See original race card.
:23 :454 1:10     1:353   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  T BONES TRICK 4 7 78¼ 75¼ 52¼ 42½ 1¾ (rarick wade)LOPEZ KARLO 124 6.00 6.50  
7  DEPARTURE 7 3 44½ 34½ 2½ 1nk 2¾ (krasner cindy)VERGARA P 122 2.50 39% 1.50 1.10 P
5  COASTAL KID 5 2 21½ 21½ 1½ 2nk 33 (metz jeffrey)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 3.50 32% 2.10 5.60 S
6  GRAY MAGICIAN 6 5 56½ 54¾ 3½ 32 43¼ (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 4.00 ★ 11.40  
3  RACE HOME 3 6 66¾ 44½ 62¼ 52¾ 53½ (brown r)ZUNINO L 122 6.00 ★ 8.30  
2  THIRD WHEEL 2 4 34½ 65¼ 74¾ 65¾ 65 (story chad)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 8.00 3.50  
1  THE BLACK STRAT 1 1 11½ 11½ 4¾ 76¾ 712½ (vitali marcus)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 5.00 9.40  
 
TUP-7   04/24/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($23.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:16
See original race card.
:251 1:153       1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  FAIRY TALE BLISS 2 4 67 64¾ 33 21 1¾ (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.00 2.00  
6  PEPPER MILL 6 2 22 21½ 2½ 11 2¾ (kereluk edw)VALENZUELA A 118 6.00 3.30  
3  LADY COMMISSIONER 3 6 79½ 76¼ 67½ 55½ 34 (hernandez migue)VALDES ALEXIS 122 2.00 47% 1.10 4.10 S
1  ON PURPOSE 1 7 56 43½ 45 44½ 46½ (cerin vladimi)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.00 10% 8.60 2.90  
4  LOOPY 4 1 12 11½ 1½ 31½ 58 (silv)DA FAUSTO 124 8.00 7% 14.30 4.70  
5  BURROW DOWN 5 3 45 54½ 79 68 610¼ (krasner cindy)VERGARA P 122 5.00 10% 8.80 20.00  
7  LADY LANA 7 5 34½ 33½ 56 79 711 (vitali m)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 117 10.00 25.10  
 
TUP-8   04/24/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:44
See original race card.
:214 :442       :503   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  DAZZLING MIST 4 1 21     1nk 13 (barraza s)VERGARA P 124 3.00 15% 5.70 1.00 W
3  BIG BLUE NOTE 1 2 11     2nk 23 (hernandez mig)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 4.50 8% 11.70 1.90 P
7  YELLEN 3 3 31     42¾ 34½ (toye joe)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 119 8.00 6.40  
10  IMA TROUBLE MAKER 5 5 42½     52¾ 46 (eikl)DA FAUSTO 124 10.00 3.50  
5  DODROPIN 2 4 52¾     32½ 56½ (toye joe)ANAYA V 124 10.00 13.70  
SCR  BOUNTY OF GOLD               (silva jr)LOPEZ KARLO 124 4.00 52% 0.90    
SCR  LOW DOSE               (silva pablo)NEGRON LUIS 124 6.00 ★    
SCR  MULLIGAN               (villamar candel)VALDES ALEXIS 124 15.00 ★    
SCR  SASSY EDIE               (ortega joe)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 20.00    
SCR  U S READY               (ortega fernando)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.