Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Monday - April 24, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-1   WIN (4/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/3)-(4/3/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (4/3)-(4/3/2)-(4/3/2) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (4/3)-(1/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/3)-(1/4/6)-(4/6) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
TUP-2   WIN (1/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/6)-(1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/6)-(4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/4/6)-(4/6)-(2/6) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
TUP-3   WIN (4/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/6)-(4/6/7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6)-(4/6/7/2)-(4/6/7/2) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (4/6)-(2/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (4/6)-(2/6)-(8/6/2/4) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
TUP-4   WIN (2/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/6)-(2/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/6)-(8/6/2/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/6)-(8/6/2/4)-(7/5) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
TUP-5   WIN (8/6/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/6/2/4)-(8/6/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/6/2/4)-(8/6/2/4)-(8/6/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/6/2/4)-(7/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (8/6/2/4)-(7/5)-(3/1/5/4) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
TUP-6   WIN (7/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/5)-(7/5/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/5)-(7/5/6/3)-(7/5/6/3) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (7/5)-(3/1/5/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (7/5)-(3/1/5/4)-(8/3) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
TUP-7   WIN (3/1/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/5/4)-(3/1/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/5/4)-(3/1/5/4)-(3/1/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/1/5/4)-(8/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
TUP-8   WIN (8/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (8/3)-(8/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-1   04/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.2K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOLY TUTTA BELLA Apr10 Mar18 Jan25 Jan12 Nov27 (campo stacy)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 10.00    
2  WE ALL AGREE Apr10 Mar19 Mar12 Feb25 Feb12 (barrio sergi)AGUILAR DANIEL 122 6.00 ★    
3  DANCE LADY Mar31 Mar09 Feb12 Jan22 Jan06 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 3.00 11% 8.50    
4  MISSCZECH Apr10 Mar19 Mar01 Feb07 Jan25 (brown r)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 1.00 59% 0.70    
5  LARIMAR Apr01 Mar19 Feb22 Jan14 Jan04 (gutierrez)VALENZUELA A 122 3.50    
 
TUP-2   04/24/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($13.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARK YE WELL Apr03 Mar18 Feb19 Feb04 Jan23 (brown jared)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 3.00 33% 2.00    
SCR  DIAMOND BLITZ Apr03 Mar13 Feb19 Jan29 Jan06 (silva rodriguez)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.50    
3  LAST RENEGADE Apr03 Mar18 Mar04 Feb18 Jan28 (silva )BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 119 4.50    
4  UPPER ROOM Mar28 Mar04 Feb04 Dec27 Nov28 (toye joe)ANAYA V 124 4.00 22% 3.50    
5  DESCENT Mar21 Feb08 Jan10 Dec14   (hone bart)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 5.00    
6  HIT THE SEAM Apr04 Mar21 Jul04 Mar21 Feb17 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 2.50 12% 7.30    
 
TUP-3   04/24/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($9.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MINNESOTA RED Apr11 Feb21 Jan24 Dec13 Nov23 (birdwell te)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 6.00    
2  LITTLE RED RIFLE Apr11 Mar27 Mar13 Feb15 Jan30 (howe s)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 2.50 ★    
3  KEENEYE GEORGE Apr03 Mar25 Feb28 Dec18 Nov24 (ba)DA FAUSTO 124 5.00    
4  TRUTH TO POWER Mar25 Feb01 Jan05 Dec13 Nov14 (kenney)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 119 3.00 67% 0.50    
5  SHADYFIED Apr03 Mar12 Sep12 Aug15 Jul23 (barrio serg)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 6.00    
6  MY SWEET LORD Apr11 Mar20 Mar06 Feb14 Jan31 (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 118 4.00 8% 12.30    
7  BLUES RAPPER Apr11 Mar26 Feb21 Feb06 Dec13 (trejo ama)VALENZUELA A 124 8.00 ★    
 
TUP-4   04/24/2023 4950ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TWELVE STARS Apr04 Mar11 Feb14 Jan10 Dec03 (person kenneth )LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.50 38% 1.70    
2  SECRET MISTRESS Apr04 Mar11 Feb20 Jan28 Jan11 (sanderson b)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 2.50 21% 3.70    
3  TA TA FOR NOW Apr04 Mar05       (belvoir vann)ZUNINO L 116 5.00    
4  SHEZ OUR ARCH Apr04 Mar19 Feb25 Dec17 Oct30 (diodoro rober)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 2.00    
5  NAUGHTY EVELYN Apr10 Mar12 Jan27 Mar25 Jan22 (martinez esteba)VERGARA P 122 6.00    
6  MISS GHISLAINE Apr04 Feb21 Feb02 Jan10 Jan02 (si)DA FAUSTO 122 8.00 16% 5.10    
 
TUP-5   04/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($20.4K) 3 F PT- 6:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RAINBOW STEW Mar14 Feb21       (toye joe)VALENZUELA A 121 3.50    
2  COCKTAIL SLIPPERS         (owens kory)LOPEZ KARLO 121 4.00 8% 11.70    
SCR  MIGHTY GYPSY         (dillenbeck bru)ANAYA V 121 15.00    
4  OCEAN OF LIES Apr01 Mar11 Feb21     (bratcher ryan)LARA EZEQUIEL 121 3.00 5% 17.50    
5  SHE'D RATHER DANCE Apr01 Mar05       (vitali marc)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 5.00    
6  SASSY TINKERBELL Mar27 Mar07 Feb10 Jan13 Dec02 (belvoi)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 116 6.00 12% 7.20    
SCR  STARLET COLE         (owens kory)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 8.00    
8  STAR SO FAR Apr10         (morgan dan)VERGARA P 121 5.00 50% 1.00    
 
TUP-6   04/24/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($26.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE BLACK STRAT Mar20 Feb27 Feb07 Jan09 Nov28 (vitali marc)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 5.00    
2  THIRD WHEEL Mar25 Feb26 Apr04 Mar02 Jan20 (story chad)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 8.00    
3  RACE HOME Feb18 Feb07 Jan23 Dec21 Sep05 (brown r)ZUNINO L 122 6.00 ★    
4  T BONES TRICK Mar28 Mar05 Jan23 Dec27 Nov15 (rarick wade)LOPEZ KARLO 124 6.00    
5  COASTAL KID Mar20 Mar05 Feb11 Jan23 Jan10 (metz jeffrey)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 3.50 32% 2.10    
6  GRAY MAGICIAN Apr03 Mar11 Feb27 Feb08 Jan30 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 4.00 ★    
7  DEPARTURE Apr03 Mar20 Aug20 Jul29 Jul09 (krasner cindy)VERGARA P 122 2.50 39% 1.50    
 
TUP-7   04/24/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($23.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ON PURPOSE Apr30 Apr10 Mar05 Jan29   (cerin vladi)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.00 10% 8.60    
2  FAIRY TALE BLISS Mar26 Mar11 Feb20 Nov18 Oct16 (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.00    
3  LADY COMMISSIONER Mar26 Mar11 Feb11 Jan23 Jan09 (hernandez mig)VALDES ALEXIS 122 2.00 47% 1.10    
4  LOOPY Apr10 Apr01 Jan28 Dec21 Dec08 (si)DA FAUSTO 124 8.00 7% 14.30    
5  BURROW DOWN Apr01 Sep10 Aug20 Jul26 Jul06 (krasner cindy)VERGARA P 122 5.00 10% 8.80    
6  PEPPER MILL Apr04 Mar19 Feb26 Feb01 Nov29 (kereluk e)VALENZUELA A 118 6.00    
7  LADY LANA Mar15 Feb20 Jan11 Nov26 Oct18 (vitali)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 117 10.00    
 
TUP-8   04/24/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LOW DOSE Apr01 Mar18 Mar14 Feb19 Jan30 (silva pabl)NEGRON LUIS 124 6.00 ★    
SCR  BOUNTY OF GOLD Mar29 Feb09 Jun11 May19 May07 (silva jr)LOPEZ KARLO 124 4.00 52% 0.90    
3  BIG BLUE NOTE Mar29 Mar04 Feb21 Feb09 Jan18 (hernandez m)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 4.50 8% 11.70    
SCR  SASSY EDIE Mar25 Mar19 Feb19 Sep17 Sep11 (ortega joe)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 20.00    
5  DODROPIN Mar29 Mar04 Feb09 Jun24 Jun17 (toye joe)ANAYA V 124 10.00    
SCR  U S READY Apr01 Mar18 Dec03 Nov19 Oct16 (ortega fernan)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 6.00    
7  YELLEN Mar25 Feb25 Feb16 Feb06 Jan18 (toye j)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 119 8.00    
8  DAZZLING MIST Apr01 Feb01 Jan11 Dec17 Nov26 (barraza rafael )VERGARA P 124 3.00 15% 5.70    
SCR  MULLIGAN Mar25 Mar04 Feb09 Jan19 Dec26 (villamar cand)VALDES ALEXIS 124 15.00 ★    
10  IMA TROUBLE MAKER Apr05 Mar04 Feb09 Jan02 Dec17 (ei)DA FAUSTO 124 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.