Handicappers' Race Results

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Turf Paradise
Tuesday - April 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TUP-2   Win (1/2/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 0 $9.60  
TUP-3   Win (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 1 $9.00 $9.00 5.00
TUP-4   Win (3/2/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 0 $3.00  
TUP-5   Win (4/1/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $7.00 $7.00  
TUP-6   Win (3/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $24.40  
TUP-7   Win (2/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 10 1 0 $4.40  
TUP-8   Win (8/7/4/9/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 9 1 1 $6.00 $6.00  

Simulator Race results

 
TUP-2   04/11/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:52
See original race card.
:481 1:123 1:251   1:363   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MS SALLY 3 4 32 32 32 2½ 1 (o'brien debbie)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 6.00 3.80  
LILA'S LUCKY LADY 2 3 21 21 2nk 1½ 2 (asprino alfredo)LOPEZ KARLO 124 2.50 16% 5.40 0.90 P
BACK TO BUSINESS 4 1 43 4 4 43 3 (rosales jorge)VALDES ALEXIS 124 8.00 5.00  
QUEEN OF LOVE 1 2 11 11 1nk 3 4 (metz jeffrey)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 4.00 26% 2.90 1.50  
SCR  CIDSTAYINURLAINE               (axmaker w)VERGARA P 124 5.00    
SCR  JOY IN THE BATTLE               (silv)DA FAUSTO 124 3.50 21% 3.70    
SCR  MY CRAFTY GAL               (leon priscilla)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 4.50 15% 5.70    
 
TUP-3   04/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($16.4K) 3 ALL PT- 5:20
See original race card.
:223 :453 :574     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COASTAL FOG 5 3 2½ 2nk   1½ 1 (sepich f)CORBETT W 121 3.00 33% 2.00 3.50 W
JOHN'S KID 3 6 4 44   33 2 (silv)DA FAUSTO 121 5.00 5.20 P
SCOPELLO 4 1 1½ 1nk   2½ 3 (mcfarlane dan)MARTI ALEXANDER 121 6.00 8.10  
DIXON TUFF 7 2 5 3   46 46 (matt l)ZUNINO L 121 8.00 21.10  
HE'S INIT TO WINIT 1 7 6 67   5 5 (chambers mike)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 2.00 43% 1.30 0.90  
CAPACITY 8 5 7 78   610 6 (fales matt)VALENZUELA A 121 10.00 7.60  
SPLASH OF LOVE 2 4 3 5   712 714¾ (christian bil)CONNING CRYSTAL 121 8.00 16.30  
DISRUPTOR MAN 6 8 817¼ 822   822 824 (campo stacy)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 10.00 37.30  
 
TUP-4   04/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.2K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:50
See original race card.
:222 :44 :554     1:084   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALLEVA 7 2 3.2 2nk   1nk 1hd (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 2.00 0.50  
GOLD CRUSHER 4 1 1nk 1nk   2nk 2hd (ortiz l)CONNING CRYSTAL 122 5.00 6.60  
XTREME MAYHEM 5 6 5 42   3 3¾ (martinez esteban)ZUNINO L 122 5.00 20.60  
MOSQUITO FLEET 6 3 6 6   5 4 (pierce mich)VALENZUELA A 122 6.00 7% 12.70 10.80  
STAY HAPPY 3 5 2nk 3   4 53 (brown ja)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 117 6.00 47% 1.10 6.30  
FANTASTIC DAY 1 7 710¾ 79   6 6 (rosales jorge)VALDES ALEXIS 122 8.00 7% 12.80 5.60  
EL MAESTRO 2 4 4 55   7 7 (buffalo marvi)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.00 10% 8.90 11.60  
 
TUP-5   04/11/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:20
See original race card.
:22 :45       :572   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YOLA 4 2 3 31   1nk 11 (schnell don)VALDES ALEXIS 124 2.50 45% 1.20 2.50 W
ECHO ALPHA SIX 1 7 9 8   7 21 (silva pablo)NEGRON LUIS 124 6.00 12% 7.10 3.60 P
EZ GUESS 7 9 53 4   3½ 3 (guerrero orlan)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 20.00 8.30  
HARROVIAN 6 4 4 5   6 4 (christian billy)DEONAUTH P 124 3.50 11% 8.10 12.20  
GOT EVEN SMARTER 3 6 6 6   5 5 (fulmer drew)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 20.00 28.50  
BAPTISM (GB) 5 1 1nk 1nk   2nk 6 (torres-casas al)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 8.00 10% 9.40 2.70  
RHODIUM RUNNER 2 5 76 9   8 7 (christian billy)ENRIQUEZ D 124 4.00 12.40  
10  UNCLE FLOYD 9 10 8 77   95 8 (williams)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 119 12.00 13.40  
11  CAPTAIN DASHI 10 3 2nk 2nk   4¾ 9 (pierce mich)VALENZUELA A 124 20.00 15.00  
WE MISS GENO 8 8 10 1012¾   1012 1012¾ (figueroa juan)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 20.00 11.20  
SCR  PHANTOM MAC               (belloc umbert)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 12.00    
 
TUP-6   04/11/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:49
See original race card.
:224 :433 1:081     1:151   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MANY ROSES 3 2 2½ 1½   1 1 (axmaker w)VERGARA P 124 8.00 11.20  
HELLO HANDSOME 4 6 5 5   5 2 (breashear bill)CORBETT W 124 10.00 12.10  
DEVIL'S TEETH 5 1 1½ 2½   2 33 (matt wendell )HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.00 23% 3.40 1.20 S
10  WEAR THE CROWN 9 3 43 4   3 45 (toye joe)ANAYA V 124 12.00 6.70  
PARLEY STREET 6 7 6 6   4 5 (rycroft riley)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 3.50 24% 3.20 3.60  
BIG ENDEAVOR 2 4 3½ 33   6 6 (brown jared)LOPEZ KARLO 124 10.00 31.50  
RANCHER 7 9 8 7   7 7 (esquibel mark)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 15.00 57.50  
ARTHUR SPOONER 8 5 7 813½   813¾ 821¼ (silv)DA FAUSTO 124 12.00 3.30  
HULA KING 1 8 910¼ 9100   9100 9100 (silva-martinez )LARA EZEQUIEL 124 8.00 32.90  
SCR  THE PUBLIC HALO               (hernandez migue)VALDES ALEXIS 124 3.00 32% 2.10    
 
TUP-7   04/11/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:18
See original race card.
:222 :432 1:09     1:152   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  GRAZEN SUN 9 1 41 31   11 1 (lucarelli frank)ENRIQUEZ D 122 4.00 1.20  
PURE ROCKET 6 7 6 6   52 2 (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 122 6.00 8.70 P
SIR FLATTER 1 8 8 8   8 3 (ruiz)DA FAUSTO 122 10.00 22.10  
STREET HUMOR 4 4 5 5   42 4 (ortiz sr)VERGARA P 124 10.00 8.20  
BRUIN MAGIC 3 3 3½ 4   21 56 (hone bart)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 5.00 5.90  
ABRAAJ MIRAGE 7 6 7 7   6 6 (toye joe)ANAYA V 122 8.00 14% 6.10 30.00  
BURNLEY 2 2 1½ 1nk   3 710¾ (palma milton)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 3.00 62% 0.60 2.10  
MACCHIATO D'ORO 8 5 2½ 2nk   75 811½ (campo stacy)VALENZUELA A 122 12.00 22.70  
SARGENT KLINE 5 9 914½ 914¾   9 912½ (lucarelli frank)VALDES ALEXIS 122 15.00 35.50  
SCR  SOCAL RED               (evans justin)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 10.00    
 
TUP-8   04/11/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:47
See original race card.
:24 :472 1:121 1:24   1:36   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GODGUNSNCOUNTRY 9 3 1 1 1 1 1½ (hernandez migue)VALDES ALEXIS 124 5.00 7% 13.20 2.00 W
BIG BROTHER 8 6 4 4 2 2 2½ (diodoro roberti)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 3.00 40% 1.50 5.50 P
FLASHIN ACES 3 1 2 2 3 35 3 (belvoir vann)HERNANDEZ HARRY 118 12.00 6% 14.90 10.80 S
SARGE'S SERMON 1 8 9 8 6 4 4 (wool)DA FAUSTO 124 6.00 7.10  
NEXT JOURNEY 4 2 34 32 5 66 56 (rycroft riley)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 8.00 11% 8.40 3.20  
12  LITTLE RED RIFLE 12 7 6 5 44 56 6 (howe s)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 15.00 15.20  
TOUR THE WORLD 2 9 1011¼ 9 8 7 78 (lund valorie)ZUNINO L 124 5.00 5.00  
MY SWEET LORD 7 12 8 10 1011¾ 813½ 813¼ (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 118 4.00 14% 6.00 19.10  
10  FAST GALLITO 10 5 7 74 9 913¾ 913¼ (o'brien debbi)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 20.00 84.40  
11  BLUES RAPPER 11 10 1113¼ 11 1111¾ 1013¾ 1014¼ (trejo amali)VALENZUELA A 124 20.00 48.10  
TIGER HUNTER 6 11 1213¼ 12 1213¼ 1115¾ 1115¾ (woolley l)LOPEZ KARLO 124 20.00 61.40  
MINNESOTA RED 5 4 5 6 7 1222¾ 1229¼ (bird)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 20.00 50.60  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.