Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Tuesday - April 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-2   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/3)-(1/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/3)-(1/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (1/3)-(1/5)-(3/2/6/1) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
TUP-3   WIN (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/5)-(1/5/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5)-(1/5/3/2)-(1/5/3/2) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (1/5)-(3/2/6/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/5)-(3/2/6/1)-(4/1/6/5) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
TUP-4   WIN (3/2/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/6/1)-(3/2/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/6/1)-(3/2/6/1)-(3/2/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/2/6/1)-(4/1/6/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/2/6/1)-(4/1/6/5)-(7/6) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
TUP-5   WIN (4/1/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/6/5)-(4/1/6/5/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/1/6/5)-(4/1/6/5/3)-(4/1/6/5/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/1/6/5)-(7/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/1/6/5)-(7/6)-(2/7) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
TUP-6   WIN (7/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/6)-(7/6/9/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/6)-(7/6/9/1)-(7/6/9/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (7/6)-(2/7) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (7/6)-(2/7)-(8/7/4/9/3) 20 $0.50 $10.00 
TUP-7   WIN (2/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/7)-(2/7/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/7)-(2/7/3/6)-(2/7/3/6) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (2/7)-(8/7/4/9/3) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
TUP-8   WIN (8/7/4/9/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/7/4/9/3)-(8/7/4/9/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/7/4/9/3)-(8/7/4/9/3)-(8/7/4/9/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-2   04/11/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUEEN OF LOVE Mar25 Mar05 Feb12 Jan18 Dec28 (metz jeffrey)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 4.00 26% 2.90    
SCR  JOY IN THE BATTLE Jan28 Jan09 Dec21 Nov30 Nov12 (si)DA FAUSTO 124 3.50 21% 3.70    
3  LILA'S LUCKY LADY Mar29 Mar14 Mar04 Feb21 Feb07 (asprino alfredo)LOPEZ KARLO 124 2.50 16% 5.40    
SCR  CIDSTAYINURLAINE Mar19 Feb16 Jan18 Nov30 Sep22 (axmaker w)VERGARA P 124 5.00    
5  MS SALLY Mar29 Mar04 Jan18 Jan03 Nov30 (o'brien debb)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 6.00    
SCR  MY CRAFTY GAL Apr01 Aug11 Jul17 May26 Apr21 (leon priscill)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 4.50 15% 5.70    
7  BACK TO BUSINESS Mar11 Feb26 Feb14 Jan26 Jan04 (rosales jorge)VALDES ALEXIS 124 8.00    
 
TUP-3   04/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($16.4K) 3 ALL PT- 5:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HE'S INIT TO WINIT Mar07 Feb07       (chambers mi)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 2.00 43% 1.30    
2  SPLASH OF LOVE         (christian b)CONNING CRYSTAL 121 8.00 ★    
3  JOHN'S KID Mar29 Mar25 Mar20 Mar07 Jan14 (si)DA FAUSTO 121 5.00 ★    
4  SCOPELLO Mar25 Feb26       (mcfarlane d)MARTI ALEXANDER 121 6.00    
5  COASTAL FOG Feb28         (sepich f)CORBETT W 121 3.00 33% 2.00    
6  DISRUPTOR MAN         (campo stacy)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 10.00    
7  DIXON TUFF Mar29 Mar18       (matt l)ZUNINO L 121 8.00    
8  CAPACITY Mar07 Feb20 Oct10 Jul30 Jul02 (fales mat)VALENZUELA A 121 10.00    
 
TUP-4   04/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.2K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FANTASTIC DAY Mar19 Sep09 Aug28 Aug14 Jul24 (rosales jorge)VALDES ALEXIS 122 8.00 7% 12.80    
2  EL MAESTRO Mar14 Feb15 Jan18 Dec20 Nov21 (buffalo mar)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.00 10% 8.90    
3  STAY HAPPY Mar08 Feb25 Feb04 Jan25 Jan09 (brown )BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 117 6.00 47% 1.10    
4  GOLD CRUSHER Mar14 Jan26 Dec13 Nov14 Sep17 (ortiz frank)CONNING CRYSTAL 122 5.00    
5  XTREME MAYHEM Mar14 Feb25 Jan19 Jan03 Nov29 (martinez esteban)ZUNINO L 122 5.00    
6  MOSQUITO FLEET Mar08 Feb15 Jan19 Dec20 Nov21 (pierce mi)VALENZUELA A 122 6.00 7% 12.70    
7  ALLEVA Mar27 Feb27 Feb13 Jan26 Jan10 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 2.00    
 
TUP-5   04/11/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ECHO ALPHA SIX Apr02 Mar13 Feb26 Feb18 Jan30 (silva pabl)NEGRON LUIS 124 6.00 12% 7.10    
2  RHODIUM RUNNER Mar26 Feb24 Feb04 Jan27 Jan14 (christian bill)ENRIQUEZ D 124 4.00    
3  GOT EVEN SMARTER Mar25 Feb26 Feb04 Jan12 Dec01 (fulmer drew)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 20.00 ★    
4  YOLA Mar18 Feb25 Feb04 Sep20 Sep05 (schnell don)VALDES ALEXIS 124 2.50 45% 1.20    
5  BAPTISM (GB) Mar18 Feb25 Feb19 Feb11 Dec27 (torres-casas )LARA EZEQUIEL 124 8.00 10% 9.40    
6  HARROVIAN Mar18 Feb26 Feb06 Sep17 Aug29 (christian bill)DEONAUTH P 124 3.50 11% 8.10    
SCR  PHANTOM MAC Dec20 Nov04 Oct07 Jul22 Jul02 (belloc umbe)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 12.00    
8  EZ GUESS Mar25 Mar12 Feb21 Aug26 Aug03 (guerrero orl)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 20.00    
9  WE MISS GENO Mar25 Dec13 Nov21 Oct01 Sep19 (figueroa )KELLENBERGER KODY 124 20.00    
10  UNCLE FLOYD Mar13 Feb11 Jan24 Jan12 Dec20 (willia)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 119 12.00    
11  CAPTAIN DASHI Jan28 Dec13 Nov16 Sep04 Aug13 (pierce mi)VALENZUELA A 124 20.00    
 
TUP-6   04/11/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HULA KING Apr02 Mar11 Mar05 Feb19 Feb05 (silva-martine)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 8.00 ★    
2  BIG ENDEAVOR Mar28 Mar04 Feb13 Jan12 Dec13 (brown jared)LOPEZ KARLO 124 10.00    
SCR  THE PUBLIC HALO Mar04 Feb20 Jan30 Jan17 Dec20 (hernandez mig)VALDES ALEXIS 124 3.00 32% 2.10    
4  MANY ROSES Mar25 Feb26 Feb13 Feb01 Jan12 (axmaker w)VERGARA P 124 8.00    
5  HELLO HANDSOME Mar13 Feb28 Jan25 Jan03 Dec19 (breashear bill)CORBETT W 124 10.00    
6  DEVIL'S TEETH Mar25 Feb26 Feb13 Jan30 Dec10 (matt wendel)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.00 23% 3.40    
7  PARLEY STREET Mar28 Mar04 Feb09 Jan30 Jan10 (rycroft rile)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 3.50 24% 3.20    
8  RANCHER Mar04 Feb14 Feb02 Jan12 Dec19 (esquibel mar)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 15.00    
9  ARTHUR SPOONER Nov23 Nov13 Nov07 Oct25 Oct14 (si)DA FAUSTO 124 12.00 ★    
10  WEAR THE CROWN Mar25 Feb04 Dec20 Dec08 Nov16 (toye joe)ANAYA V 124 12.00    
 
TUP-7   04/11/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIR FLATTER Feb12 Jan23       (ru)DA FAUSTO 122 10.00    
2  BURNLEY Mar04 Feb06       (palma milto)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 3.00 62% 0.60    
3  BRUIN MAGIC Mar14 Feb19 Jan24 Jan02 Aug15 (hone bart)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 5.00 ★    
4  STREET HUMOR Mar26 Mar04 Feb06 Nov04 Oct02 (ortiz sr)VERGARA P 124 10.00    
5  SARGENT KLINE Mar19 Jul10 Jun18 May15 Mar17 (lucarelli fra)VALDES ALEXIS 122 15.00    
6  PURE ROCKET Mar26 Mar14 Feb22 Jan31 Jan09 (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 122 6.00 ★    
7  ABRAAJ MIRAGE Mar20 Feb27 Feb07 Jan24 Dec19 (toye joe)ANAYA V 122 8.00 14% 6.10    
8  MACCHIATO D'ORO Apr04 Mar14 Feb08 Dec20 Sep19 (campo sta)VALENZUELA A 122 12.00    
SCR  SOCAL RED Apr01 Mar06 Feb15 Feb02 Jan21 (evans justin)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 10.00 ★    
10  GRAZEN SUN Mar19 Feb20 Feb03 Jan20 Dec11 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 122 4.00    
 
TUP-8   04/11/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SARGE'S SERMON Mar26 Mar01 Feb01 Jan24 Jan07 (wo)DA FAUSTO 124 6.00    
2  TOUR THE WORLD Mar26 Feb28 Jan24 Dec27 Dec13 (lund valorie)ZUNINO L 124 5.00    
3  FLASHIN ACES Mar27 Feb18 Jan31 Jan05 Nov30 (belvoir van)HERNANDEZ HARRY 118 12.00 6% 14.90    
4  NEXT JOURNEY Mar27 Feb28 Feb19 Feb11 Jan20 (rycroft rile)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 8.00 11% 8.40    
5  MINNESOTA RED Feb21 Jan24 Dec13 Nov23 Sep10 (bi)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 20.00    
6  TIGER HUNTER Nov01 Aug28 Aug20 Aug03 Jul09 (woolley bennie )LOPEZ KARLO 124 20.00    
7  MY SWEET LORD Mar20 Mar06 Feb14 Jan31 Dec20 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 118 4.00 14% 6.00    
8  BIG BROTHER Mar27 Jan28 Jan13 Dec03 Oct28 (diodoro rober)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 3.00 40% 1.50    
9  GODGUNSNCOUNTRY Mar05 Feb15 Jan12 Dec20 Nov23 (hernandez mig)VALDES ALEXIS 124 5.00 7% 13.20    
10  FAST GALLITO Mar27 Mar13 Feb15 Jan11 Apr26 (o'brien deb)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 20.00    
11  BLUES RAPPER Mar26 Feb21 Feb06 Dec13 Nov23 (trejo ama)VALENZUELA A 124 20.00    
12  LITTLE RED RIFLE Mar27 Mar13 Feb15 Jan30 Jan07 (howe s)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.