Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Presque Isle Downs
Tuesday - July 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PID-2   EXA (1/5/3/4)-(1/5/3/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00  5-4 $48.20 $24.20 101%
PID-5   WIN (6/3/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00  4 $12.20 $4.20 53%
    EXA (6/3/4/8)-(6/3/4/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00  4-6 $67.80 $43.80 183%
    TRI (6/3/4/8)-(6/3/4/8)-(6/3/4/8) 24 $2.00 $48.00  4-6-3 $147.60 $99.60 208%
    SFT (6/3/4/8)-(6/3/4/8)-(6/3/4/8)-(6/3/4/8) 24 $2.00 $48.00  4-6-3-8 $381.80 $333.80 695%
    DD (7/8/2/3)-(6/3/4/8) 16 $2.00 $32.00  8-4 $42.80 $10.80 34%
PID-6   DD (6/3/4/8)-(1/5/2/7) 16 $2.00 $32.00  4-2 $34.00 $2.00 6%
    PK3 (7/8/2/3)-(6/3/4/8)-(1/5/2/7) 64 $2.00 $128  6/8/10-4-2/6 $162.80 $34.80 27%

Simulator Race results

 
PID-1   07/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
See original race card.
:223 :462 :591     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHAMPION BY DESIGN 6 1 32 32   2nk 1 (clarke dylan)MORALES PABLO 122 3.00 26% 2.90 2.10 W
ANTE UP ALEX 4 4 6 5   42 2 (bowersock mar)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 8.00 29.60  
JUST WATCH ME NOW 5 2 2nk 1nk   3½ 35 (pappada micha)WALKER M 122 2.50 4.50  
CELEBRATORY 2 3 1nk 2nk   1nk 4 (weaver c)MARTINEZ A 122 2.00 42% 1.40 1.10  
BOURBON OVER ICE 1 5 4 6   5 5 (kintz ma)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 12.00 6% 17.10 9.50  
LEGIO 3 6 5 43   6 6 (skawinski car)DELGADO DAVID 124 4.00 7.20  
 
PID-2   07/11/2023 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:27
See original race card.
:242 :491 1:15 1:412   1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANIPPE 4 2 21 1½ 11 1nk 1nk (rojas eduardo)ROJAS MARTINA 117 3.50 14% 6.40 1.70 W
PATH TO VICTORY 3 7 6 53 32 2nk 2nk (fennessy john)ALLEN M 124 15.00 5% 19.00 24.60 P
UPPITY UP 7 6 7 7 6 4 312½ (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 118 6.00 12.70  
CAPPY 2 4 33 3 21 33 415 (fennessy john)WALKER M 124 12.00 13% 6.90 4.20  
DENIECE OF DEGRACE 6 5 5 63 4 5 518½ (tasso ma)GALLARDO A 118 4.50 5.70  
CEREAL I D 5 3 43 42 53 68 629¾ (miller henry)AYALA J 124 10.00 56.20  
SHE'D RATHER DANCE 1 1 11 2½ 7 712 734 (vitali mar)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 118 2.50 50% 1.00 1.60  
SCR  ALHAAN               (bayeh ed)MARTINEZ A 118 3.00    
 
PID-3   07/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:54
See original race card.
:224 :472 1:00     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAZARD 7 7 7 7   4¾ 1 (schoenthal ph)MORALES PABLO 116 5.00 7.20  
JESSICA BLAH BLAH 2 6 42 3.2   3½ 2 (vitali mar)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 124 3.50 37% 1.70 0.90 P
SGT RECKLESS USMC 6 4 31 1nk   1½ 3 (schoenthal phil)MARTINEZ W 122 8.00 11.30  
KEEN ON ME 3 2 1nk 4¼   2½ 4 (tasso mark)ROJAS MARTINA 115 10.00 48.00  
ORGANZA 5 8 8 83   7 5 (herrington ca)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 12.00 5% 19.00 35.40  
HIGH DOLLAR DATE 8 1 5 2nk   5 6 (kintz matthe)ALLEN D 122 2.50 24% 3.10 2.60  
MODELO RUBIA 1 5 6 6   6 7 (maldonado jonath)WALES GARY 116 6.00 26.50  
OUT FOR MYSELF 4 3 2nk 5½   8 817¾ (gotera juan )AYALA J 116 4.50 14% 6.30 7.00  
 
PID-4   07/11/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:21
See original race card.
:261 :521 1:164 1:42   1:46   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COUNTY COURT 7 5 53 6 5 4 1½ (rojas eduardo)MORALES PABLO 122 2.50 10% 9.40 1.60 W
MIDNIGHT BLUE NOTE 4 3 11 1½ 1nk 1nk 2½ (rodriguez hugo)BOWEN ROCCO 122 10.00 6.20  
SPETTACOLI (ARG) 3 2 4 32 3 2nk 31 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 4.50 5% 19.00 4.90 S
MARV'S MAGIC 6 7 7 5 7 6 42 (potts g)WALKER M 122 3.00 53% 0.90 2.80  
C THE KING 1 1 64 7 6 3.2 5 (depasquale kim)ALLEN D 122 10.00 23.20  
INCLUSIVE 2 8 8 8 8 7 6 (boyer jr)FOX CHRIS 122 8.00 8% 12.30 11.70  
ORAZIO 5 4 21 2½ 2nk 5 77 (radosevi)GALLARDO A 122 8.00 7.80  
LAUDERDALE 8 6 3 4 4 8 810 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 122 15.00 30.40  
SCR  CORAL LEGACY               (blankenship do)JURADO EDDIE 122 20.00    
SCR  MARSAC               (depasqu)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 12.00    
 
PID-5   07/11/2023 5490ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
See original race card.
:251 :502 1:15 1:403   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PAT'SSEWINGMACHINE 4 8 8 6 3 2 11 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 124 8.00 5% 19.00 5.10 W
  (by WE MISS ARTIE out of A TIME TO LOVE by KITTEN'S JOY)
CANTSTEALMYTHUNDER 6 3 7 7 65 43 21 (rice kevin)AYALA J 124 3.50 43% 1.30 4.20 P
  (by DIALED IN out of JOYCE by ROCK HARD TEN)
R ADMIRAL 3 1 3 31 1½ 1 33 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 124 2.50 30% 2.30 1.60 S
  (by ASTERN out of WALKINFORKISSES by KISSIN KRIS)
DR. HYDE 8 7 64 5 54 54 4 (dickey keith)RIQUELME J 118 8.00 5% 19.00 11.50  
  (by RUN AWAY AND HIDE out of TEXIT by TAPIT)
MALIBU RUMBLE 7 6 2½ 11 2½ 33 5 (trombetta michae)MARTINEZ W 118 3.00 2.50  
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of MALIBU MUDSLIDE by MALIBU MOON)
DUST STORM 5 4 43 43 7 7 615¼ (fletcher kevin)BOWEN ROCCO 118 15.00 32.40  
  (by GET STORMY out of ZIP IT KIM by CITY ZIP)
DAD'S LIL SPARK 2 2 1½ 21 4 6 718¾ (rice kev)MARTINEZ A 118 12.00 45.00  
  (by FLINTSHIRE out of ANABAA'S FORTUNE by ANABAA)
DIAMONDHARD STONE 1 5 5 8 8 815½ 831 (cooper thomas)WALKER M 118 5.00 14.20  
  (by BIRDSTONE out of WHITE DIAMOND GIRL by PIONEERING)
 
PID-6   07/11/2023 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:15
See original race card.
:243 :49 1:14 1:401   1:464   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BENGALA JOY 2 6 54 4 21 2nk 1½ (clement chri)CARROLL DECLAN 116 2.50 8% 11.30 0.90 W
LOVELY EVER AFTER 1 1 65 6 5 4 2½ (girten tim)SPIETH S 122 3.00 50% 1.00 3.80 P
AZTEC PRINCESS 3 2 33 3 3 31 3¾ (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 116 5.00 5.50  
STARSHIP MACYS 5 5 1 13 11 1nk 4 (pappada)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 3.50 14% 6.20 6.60  
LIGHTNING ROUND 6 4 2 23 4 6 57 (valdez moi)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 10.00 5% 19.00 22.50  
BOURBON BLAST 7 3 4 54 63 5 6 (cheeks joseph)WALKER M 122 15.00 38.00  
INDIAN SPIDEROO 4 7 7 7 7 7 716 (kintz s )MARTINEZ A 116 6.00 6.70  
SCR  R GIRL FAITH               (thompson)GALLARDO A 122 12.00    
 
PID-7   07/11/2023 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:42
See original race card.
:242 :483 1:131 1:382   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DO YOU LOVE ME 5 4 2 21 1nk 12 1 (bourke john)STANLEY O 124 3.00 1.60  
VILLAGE QUEEN 4 1 43 5 42 22 2 (potts g)SPIETH S 122 12.00 19% 4.30 7.90 P
ANOINT 1 6 6 6 5 43 36 (brion ker)CARRASCO R 122 4.00 21% 3.70 2.30 S
STARSHIP BELMONT 3 3 1 11 2nk 32 4 (walsh d)ROJAS MARTINA 115 6.00 13.70  
DANA'S BEAUTY 2 5 54 42 31 5 510½ (rogers j)GALLARDO A 122 3.00 33% 2.10 2.50  
HAPPY BEE 6 2 33 32 6 6 613¼ (pappada micha)WALKER M 122 10.00 14.50  
SCR  TOOLCAT               (miller-saul b)MORALES PABLO 124 2.50    
 
PID-8   07/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:09
See original race card.
:221 :454 :581     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  OUTHUSTLE 11 3 2nk 1nk   12 1 (russell randall)ALLEN M 124 5.00 15.20  
10  YARDMAN 10 2 7 5   43 2 (bowersock mar)VILLA-GOMEZ H 124 4.50 12.70  
TWELVETWO 8 1 6 6   5 3 (herrington cally)RIQUELME J 118 12.00 36.20  
KENJI'S EMPIRE 5 8 31 2nk   22 410½ (connelly)GALLARDO A 124 3.00 64% 0.60 0.50  
DOUBLE WARRIOR 6 4 1nk 3½   3 510½ (kintz matthew)MARTINEZ W 124 3.50 20.30  
CHANGE THE HOUR 3 7 5 7   65 612½ (russell randa)DELGADO DAVID 124 15.00 5% 19.00 48.00  
PITON 2 6 8 8   7 712¾ (antus lawrence)STANLEY O 124 20.00 5% 19.00 85.00  
POINT LOMA 9 10 10 10   98 813¾ (rogers j)MARTINEZ A 118 10.00 36.90  
BLOWN OUT 1 11 11 11   1111½ 915 (kintz matth)ROJAS MARTINA 111 10.00 6% 16.40 4.90  
YANKEE TEA PARTY 4 5 4 4   8 1015 (vitali mar)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 118 4.00 7% 13.40 10.30  
SEA CRUISE 7 9 9 9   10 1116¼ (hendriks rich)WALKER M 118 15.00 57.30  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.