The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Presque Isle Downs
Tuesday - July 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PID-1   Win (1/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $6.20 $6.20 0.20
    Exacta (1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 6-4 2 0 $95.20 -12.00
    Trifecta (1/2/6)-(1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 6-4-5 3 0 $300.80 -12.00
PID-2   Win (1/3/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $5.40 $5.40 -2.60
    Exacta (1/3/4/5)-(1/3/4/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 5-4 2 1 $48.20 $48.20 24.20
    Trifecta (1/3/4/5)-(1/3/4/5)-(1/3/4/5) 24 $2.00 $48.00 5-4-8 3 0 $434.80 -48.00
    Daily Double (1/2/6)-(1/3/4/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 6-5 2 1 $22.80 $22.80 -1.20
PID-3   Win (2/4/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 0 $16.40 -8.00
    Exacta (2/4/5/8)-(2/4/5/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 7-2 2 0 $51.20 -24.00
    Trifecta (2/4/5/8)-(2/4/5/8)-(2/4/5/8) 24 $2.00 $48.00 7-2-6 3 0 $276.00 -48.00
    Daily Double (1/3/4/5)-(2/4/5/8) 16 $2.00 $32.00 5-7 2 0 $64.00 -32.00
    Pick Three (1/2/6)-(1/3/4/5)-(2/4/5/8) 48 $2.00 $96.00 6-5-7 3 0 $113.00 -96.00
PID-4   Win (2/3/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $5.20 $5.20 -2.80
    Exacta (2/3/7/8)-(2/3/7/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 8-4 2 0 $24.60 -24.00
    Trifecta (2/3/7/8)-(2/3/7/8)-(2/3/7/8) 24 $2.00 $48.00 8-4-3 3 0 $149.60 -48.00
    Daily Double (2/4/5/8)-(2/3/7/8) 16 $2.00 $32.00 7-8 2 0 $42.60 -32.00
    Pick Three (1/3/4/5)-(2/4/5/8)-(2/3/7/8) 64 $2.00 $128.00 5-7-6/8/10 3 0 $133.60 -128.00
PID-5   Win (3/4/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $12.20 $12.20 4.20
    Exacta (3/4/6/8)-(3/4/6/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 4-6 2 1 $67.80 $67.80 43.80
    Trifecta (3/4/6/8)-(3/4/6/8)-(3/4/6/8) 24 $2.00 $48.00 4-6-3 3 1 $147.60 $147.60 99.60
    Daily Double (2/3/7/8)-(3/4/6/8) 16 $2.00 $32.00 8-4 2 1 $42.80 $42.80 10.80
    Pick Three (2/4/5/8)-(2/3/7/8)-(3/4/6/8) 64 $2.00 $128.00 7-6/8/10-4 3 0 $294.60 -128.00
PID-6   Win (1/2/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $3.80 $3.80 -4.20
    Exacta (1/2/5/7)-(1/2/5/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 2-1 2 1 $16.40 $16.40 -7.60
    Trifecta (1/2/5/7)-(1/2/5/7)-(1/2/5/7) 24 $2.00 $48.00 2-1-3 3 0 $38.00 -48.00
    Daily Double (3/4/6/8)-(1/2/5/7) 16 $2.00 $32.00 4-2 2 1 $34.00 $34.00 2.00
    Pick Three (2/3/7/8)-(3/4/6/8)-(1/2/5/7) 64 $2.00 $128.00 6/8/10-4-2/6 3 1 $162.80 $162.80 34.80
PID-7   Win (1/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $5.20 -6.00
    Exacta (1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 5-4 2 0 $29.00 -12.00
    Trifecta (1/2/4)-(1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 5-4-1 3 0 $74.40 -12.00
    Daily Double (1/2/5/7)-(1/2/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 2-5 2 0 $18.00 -24.00
    Pick Three (3/4/6/8)-(1/2/5/7)-(1/2/4) 48 $2.00 $96.00 4-2/6-5/7 3 0 $128.00 -96.00
PID-8   Win (1/2/3/4/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 11 1 0 $32.40 -10.00
    Exacta (1/2/3/4/5)-(1/2/3/4/5) 20 $2.00 $40.00 11-10 2 0 $335.00 -40.00
    Trifecta (1/2/3/4/5)-(1/2/3/4/5)-(1/2/3/4/5) 60 $2.00 $120.00 11-10-8 3 0 $5646.80 -120.00
    Daily Double (1/2/4)-(1/2/3/4/5) 15 $2.00 $30.00 5-11 2 0 $113.00 -30.00
    Pick Three (1/2/5/7)-(1/2/4)-(1/2/3/4/5) 60 $2.00 $120.00 2/6-5/7-11 3 0 $255.00 -120.00

Simulator Race results

 
PID-1   07/11/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
:223 :462 :591     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHAMPION BY DESIGN 6 1 32 32   2nk 1(clarke dylan)MORALES PABLO 122 3.00 26% 2.90 2.10 W
ANTE UP ALEX 4 4 6 5   42 2(bowersock maria)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 8.00 29.60  
JUST WATCH ME NOW 5 2 2nk 1nk   3½ 35 (pappada michael)WALKER M 122 2.50 4.50  
CELEBRATORY 2 3 1nk 2nk   1nk 4(weaver cas)MARTINEZ A 122 2.00 42% 1.40 1.10  
BOURBON OVER ICE 1 5 4 6   55(kintz matt)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 12.00 6% 17.10 9.50  
LEGIO 3 6 5 43   66(skawinski carol)DELGADO DAVID 124 4.00 7.20  
 
PID-2   07/11/2023 5490ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:27
:242 :491 1:15 1:412   1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANIPPE 4 2 21 1½ 11 1nk 1nk (rojas e)ROJAS MARTINA 117 3.50 14% 6.40 1.70 W
PATH TO VICTORY 3 7 6 53 32 2nk 2nk (fennessy john)ALLEN M 124 15.00 5% 19.00 24.60 P
UPPITY UP 7 6 7 7 6 4312½ (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 118 6.00 12.70  
CAPPY 2 4 33 3 21 33 415 (fennessy john)WALKER M 124 12.00 13% 6.90 4.20  
DENIECE OF DEGRACE 6 5 5 63 4 5518½ (tasso mark)GALLARDO A 118 4.50 5.70  
CEREAL I D 5 3 43 42 53 68 629¾ (miller d)AYALA J 124 10.00 56.20  
SHE'D RATHER DANCE 1 1 11 2½ 7 712 734 (vitali marcu)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 118 2.50 50% 1.00 1.60  
SCR  ALHAAN               (bayeh edga)MARTINEZ A 118 3.00    
 
PID-3   07/11/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:54
:224 :472 1:00     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAZARD 7 7 7 7   4¾ 1(schoenthal phil)MORALES PABLO 116 5.00 7.20  
JESSICA BLAH BLAH 2 6 42 3.2   3½ 2(vitali marcu)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 124 3.50 37% 1.70 0.90 P
SGT RECKLESS USMC 6 4 31 1nk   1½ 3(schoenthal phil)MARTINEZ W 122 8.00 11.30  
KEEN ON ME 3 2 1nk 4¼   2½ 4(tasso mark)ROJAS MARTINA 115 10.00 48.00  
ORGANZA 5 8 8 83   75(herrington call)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 12.00 5% 19.00 35.40  
HIGH DOLLAR DATE 8 1 5 2nk   56(kintz matthew)ALLEN D 122 2.50 24% 3.10 2.60  
MODELO RUBIA 1 5 6 6   67(maldonado jonathan)WALES GARY 116 6.00 26.50  
OUT FOR MYSELF 4 3 2nk 5½   8817¾ (gotera ca)AYALA J 116 4.50 14% 6.30 7.00  
 
PID-4   07/11/2023 5490ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:21
:261 :521 1:164 1:42   1:46   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COUNTY COURT 7 5 53 6 5 41½ (rojas e)MORALES PABLO 122 2.50 10% 9.40 1.60 W
MIDNIGHT BLUE NOTE 4 3 11 1½ 1nk 1nk 2½ (rodriguez hugo)BOWEN ROCCO 122 10.00 6.20  
SPETTACOLI (ARG) 3 2 4 32 3 2nk 31 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 4.50 5% 19.00 4.90 S
MARV'S MAGIC 6 7 7 5 7 642 (potts g)WALKER M 122 3.00 53% 0.90 2.80  
C THE KING 1 1 64 7 6 3.2 5(depasquale kimbe)ALLEN D 122 10.00 23.20  
INCLUSIVE 2 8 8 8 8 76(boyer jr)FOX CHRIS 122 8.00 8% 12.30 11.70  
ORAZIO 5 4 21 2½ 2nk 577 (radosevich)GALLARDO A 122 8.00 7.80  
LAUDERDALE 8 6 3 4 4 8810 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 122 15.00 30.40  
SCR  CORAL LEGACY               (blankenship dona)JURADO EDDIE 122 20.00    
SCR  MARSAC               (depasqual)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 12.00    
 
PID-5   07/11/2023 5490ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
:251 :502 1:15 1:403   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PAT'SSEWINGMACHINE 4 8 8 6 3 211 (bowersock maria)ALLEN D 124 8.00 5% 19.00 5.10 W
CANTSTEALMYTHUNDER 6 3 7 7 65 43 21 (rice kevin)AYALA J 124 3.50 43% 1.30 4.20 P
R ADMIRAL 3 1 3 31 1½ 133 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 124 2.50 30% 2.30 1.60 S
DR. HYDE 8 7 64 5 54 54 4(dickey keith)RIQUELME J 118 8.00 5% 19.00 11.50  
MALIBU RUMBLE 7 6 2½ 11 2½ 33 5(trombetta michael )MARTINEZ W 118 3.00 2.50  
DUST STORM 5 4 43 43 7 7615¼ (fletcher kevin)BOWEN ROCCO 118 15.00 32.40  
DAD'S LIL SPARK 2 2 1½ 21 4 6718¾ (rice kevin)MARTINEZ A 118 12.00 45.00  
DIAMONDHARD STONE 1 5 5 8 8 815½ 831 (cooper thomas)WALKER M 118 5.00 14.20  
 
PID-6   07/11/2023 5610ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:15
:243 :49 1:14 1:401   1:464   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BENGALA JOY 2 6 54 4 21 2nk 1½ (clement christ)CARROLL DECLAN 116 2.50 8% 11.30 0.90 W
LOVELY EVER AFTER 1 1 65 6 5 42½ (girten tim)SPIETH S 122 3.00 50% 1.00 3.80 P
AZTEC PRINCESS 3 2 33 3 3 31 3¾ (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 116 5.00 5.50  
STARSHIP MACYS 5 5 1 13 11 1nk 4(pappada m)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 3.50 14% 6.20 6.60  
LIGHTNING ROUND 6 4 2 23 4 657 (valdez moise)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 10.00 5% 19.00 22.50  
BOURBON BLAST 7 3 4 54 63 56(cheeks p)WALKER M 122 15.00 38.00  
INDIAN SPIDEROO 4 7 7 7 7 7716 (kintz ma)MARTINEZ A 116 6.00 6.70  
SCR  R GIRL FAITH               (thompson m)GALLARDO A 122 12.00    
 
PID-7   07/11/2023 5490ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:42
:242 :483 1:131 1:382   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DO YOU LOVE ME 5 4 2 21 1nk 12 1(bourke john)STANLEY O 124 3.00 1.60  
VILLAGE QUEEN 4 1 43 5 42 22 2(potts g)SPIETH S 122 12.00 19% 4.30 7.90 P
ANOINT 1 6 6 6 5 43 36 (brion keri)CARRASCO R 122 4.00 21% 3.70 2.30 S
STARSHIP BELMONT 3 3 1 11 2nk 32 4(walsh d)ROJAS MARTINA 115 6.00 13.70  
DANA'S BEAUTY 2 5 54 42 31 5510½ (rogers m)GALLARDO A 122 3.00 33% 2.10 2.50  
HAPPY BEE 6 2 33 32 6 6613¼ (pappada michael)WALKER M 122 10.00 14.50  
SCR  TOOLCAT               (miller-saul bet)MORALES PABLO 124 2.50    
 
PID-8   07/11/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:09
:221 :454 :581     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  OUTHUSTLE 11 3 2nk 1nk   12 1(russell randall)ALLEN M 124 5.00 15.20  
10  YARDMAN 10 2 7 5   43 2(bowersock maria)VILLA-GOMEZ H 124 4.50 12.70  
TWELVETWO 8 1 6 6   53(herrington a)RIQUELME J 118 12.00 36.20  
KENJI'S EMPIRE 5 8 31 2nk   22 410½ (connelly t)GALLARDO A 124 3.00 64% 0.60 0.50  
DOUBLE WARRIOR 6 4 1nk 3½   3510½ (kintz matthew)MARTINEZ W 124 3.50 20.30  
CHANGE THE HOUR 3 7 5 7   65 612½ (russell randall)DELGADO DAVID 124 15.00 5% 19.00 48.00  
PITON 2 6 8 8   7712¾ (antus lawrence)STANLEY O 124 20.00 5% 19.00 85.00  
POINT LOMA 9 10 10 10   98 813¾ (rogers m)MARTINEZ A 118 10.00 36.90  
BLOWN OUT 1 11 11 11   1111½ 915 (kintz matthew)ROJAS MARTINA 111 10.00 6% 16.40 4.90  
YANKEE TEA PARTY 4 5 4 4   81015 (vitali marcu)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 118 4.00 7% 13.40 10.30  
SEA CRUISE 7 9 9 9   101116¼ (hendriks richar)WALKER M 118 15.00 57.30  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.