Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Presque Isle Downs
Tuesday - July 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PID-1   WIN (2/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/1)-(2/6/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/1)-(2/6/1)-(2/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/1)-(1/5/3/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (2/6/1)-(1/5/3/4)-(2/8/4/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PID-2   WIN (1/5/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/3/4)-(1/5/3/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (1/5/3/4)-(1/5/3/4)-(1/5/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5/3/4)-(2/8/4/5) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (1/5/3/4)-(2/8/4/5)-(7/8/2/3) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
PID-3   WIN (2/8/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/8/4/5)-(2/8/4/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (2/8/4/5)-(2/8/4/5)-(2/8/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/8/4/5)-(7/8/2/3) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (2/8/4/5)-(7/8/2/3)-(6/3/4/8) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
PID-4   WIN (7/8/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/8/2/3)-(7/8/2/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (7/8/2/3)-(7/8/2/3)-(7/8/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/8/2/3)-(6/3/4/8) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (7/8/2/3)-(6/3/4/8)-(1/5/2/7) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
PID-5   WIN (6/3/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/4/8)-(6/3/4/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (6/3/4/8)-(6/3/4/8)-(6/3/4/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/3/4/8)-(1/5/2/7) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (6/3/4/8)-(1/5/2/7)-(2/1/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PID-6   WIN (1/5/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/2/7)-(1/5/2/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (1/5/2/7)-(1/5/2/7)-(1/5/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5/2/7)-(2/1/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (1/5/2/7)-(2/1/4)-(5/4/1/2/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
PID-7   WIN (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/4)-(2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/4)-(5/4/1/2/3) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
PID-8   WIN (5/4/1/2/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/4/1/2/3)-(5/4/1/2/3) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (5/4/1/2/3)-(5/4/1/2/3)-(5/4/1/2/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PID-1   07/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOURBON OVER ICE Apr08 Mar10 Feb08 Jan28 Jan11 (kintz ma)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 12.00 6% 17.10    
2  CELEBRATORY Jun13 May24 Mar11 Nov25 Oct16 (weaver c)MARTINEZ A 122 2.00 42% 1.40    
3  LEGIO Jun19 Jun05 May17 Feb12 Oct11 (skawinski car)DELGADO DAVID 124 4.00    
4  ANTE UP ALEX Jun14 Jun03 May17 May05 Apr20 (bowersock mar)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 8.00    
5  JUST WATCH ME NOW Jun20 Jun05 May22 Mar24 Mar03 (pappada micha)WALKER M 122 2.50    
6  CHAMPION BY DESIGN Jun20 May23 Feb06 Jan03 Dec19 (clarke dylan)MORALES PABLO 122 3.00 26% 2.90    
 
PID-2   07/11/2023 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHE'D RATHER DANCE Jun26 Jun12 May29 Apr24 Apr01 (vitali mar)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 118 2.50 50% 1.00    
SCR  ALHAAN Jun21 Jun07 May24 Apr29 Mar10 (bayeh ed)MARTINEZ A 118 3.00    
3  CAPPY Mar30 Mar03 Feb18 Feb01 Oct09 (fennessy john)WALKER M 124 12.00 13% 6.90    
4  PATH TO VICTORY Jun21 Mar04 Feb01 Dec30 Dec16 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  ANIPPE Jun19 May29 Jul13 Jun14 May27 (rojas eduardo)ROJAS MARTINA 117 3.50 14% 6.40    
6  CEREAL I D Jun19 May30 Apr26 Mar29 Mar15 (miller henry)AYALA J 124 10.00    
7  DENIECE OF DEGRACE Jun21 May28 Apr14 Feb18 Jan22 (tasso ma)GALLARDO A 118 4.50    
8  UPPITY UP Jun21 May30       (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 118 6.00    
 
PID-3   07/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MODELO RUBIA Jun26 May12 Mar31 Mar04 Feb05 (maldonado jonath)WALES GARY 116 6.00    
2  JESSICA BLAH BLAH Jun20 May22 Oct17 Sep27 Sep12 (vitali mar)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 124 3.50 37% 1.70    
3  KEEN ON ME Jun13 May30 May15 Jun20 May24 (tasso mark)ROJAS MARTINA 115 10.00    
4  OUT FOR MYSELF Jun04 May22 May15 Apr08 Mar22 (gotera ca)JURADO EDDIE 116 4.50 14% 6.30    
5  ORGANZA Dec11 Nov22 Nov06 Oct25 Oct10 (herrington ca)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  SGT RECKLESS USMC May29 Apr21 Feb17 Dec27   (schoenthal phil)MARTINEZ W 122 8.00    
7  HAZARD Jun06 May10 Mar17 Feb12 Nov16 (schoenthal ph)MORALES PABLO 116 5.00    
8  HIGH DOLLAR DATE Jun27 Jun06 May16 Oct24 Oct17 (kintz matthe)ALLEN D 122 2.50 24% 3.10    
 
PID-4   07/11/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  C THE KING Jun12 May30 May23 May16 Oct18 (depasquale kim)ALLEN D 122 10.00    
2  INCLUSIVE Jun27 Oct13 Sep28 Sep08 Aug17 (boyer jr)FOX CHRIS 122 8.00 8% 12.30    
3  SPETTACOLI (ARG) Jun12 May30 May23 Apr14 Jul19 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 4.50 5% 19.00    
4  MIDNIGHT BLUE NOTE Jun21 May28 Apr16 Mar15 Feb03 (rodriguez hugo)BOWEN ROCCO 122 10.00    
5  ORAZIO Jun27 May31 May23 Mar23 Mar09 (radosevi)GALLARDO A 122 8.00    
SCR  MARSAC Jul03 May16 Sep05 Jul25 Jul07 (depasqu)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 12.00    
7  MARV'S MAGIC Jun27 Feb25 Jan15 Dec28 Dec10 (potts g)WALKER M 122 3.00 53% 0.90    
8  COUNTY COURT Jul03 Jun13 May30 May16 Aug17 (rojas eduardo)MORALES PABLO 122 2.50 10% 9.40    
9  LAUDERDALE Jun27 Jun12 May16 Mar18 Feb24 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 122 15.00    
SCR  CORAL LEGACY Jul10 May30 Nov06 Sep28 Sep13 (blankenship do)JURADO EDDIE 122 20.00    
 
PID-5   07/11/2023 5490ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIAMONDHARD STONE Jun06 Oct17       (cooper thomas)WALKER M 118 5.00    
  (by BIRDSTONE out of WHITE DIAMOND GIRL by PIONEERING)
2  DAD'S LIL SPARK Jul03 Jun12       (rice kev)MARTINEZ A 118 12.00    
  (by FLINTSHIRE out of ANABAA'S FORTUNE by ANABAA)
3  R ADMIRAL Jun26 Dec21 Nov26 Oct22 Sep17 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 124 2.50 30% 2.30    
  (by ASTERN out of WALKINFORKISSES by KISSIN KRIS)
4  PAT'SSEWINGMACHINE Jun05 May03       (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by WE MISS ARTIE out of A TIME TO LOVE by KITTEN'S JOY)
5  DUST STORM May23 Dec02 Oct15 Sep27 Sep10 (fletcher kevin)BOWEN ROCCO 118 15.00    
  (by GET STORMY out of ZIP IT KIM by CITY ZIP)
6  CANTSTEALMYTHUNDER Jun05         (rice kevin)AYALA J 124 3.50 43% 1.30    
  (by DIALED IN out of JOYCE by ROCK HARD TEN)
7  MALIBU RUMBLE Jun17 May13 Sep03 Aug12   (trombetta michae)MARTINEZ W 118 3.00    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of MALIBU MUDSLIDE by MALIBU MOON)
8  DR. HYDE Jun26 Jun05 May16 Nov16 Oct12 (dickey keith)RIQUELME J 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by RUN AWAY AND HIDE out of TEXIT by TAPIT)
 
PID-6   07/11/2023 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOVELY EVER AFTER Jun21 May24 Sep19 Sep05 Jul28 (girten tim)SPIETH S 122 3.00 50% 1.00    
2  BENGALA JOY May13 Mar26 Feb25     (clement chri)CARROLL DECLAN 116 2.50 8% 11.30    
3  AZTEC PRINCESS Jun19 May24 Mar22 Feb10 Jan18 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 116 5.00    
4  INDIAN SPIDEROO Jun19 May22 Mar18 Sep01 Aug10 (kintz s )MARTINEZ A 116 6.00    
5  STARSHIP MACYS Jun14 May24 Feb28 Feb06 Jan03 (pappada)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 3.50 14% 6.20    
SCR  R GIRL FAITH Jun20 May31 May04 Apr21 Feb20 (thompson)GALLARDO A 122 12.00    
7  LIGHTNING ROUND Jul04 Jun14 Jun07 Oct20 Oct12 (valdez moi)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  BOURBON BLAST Jun14 May24 Apr14 Mar19 Oct20 (cheeks joseph)WALKER M 122 15.00    
 
PID-7   07/11/2023 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANOINT Jun20 May24 Jan27 Dec28 Dec02 (brion ker)CARRASCO R 122 4.00 21% 3.70    
2  DANA'S BEAUTY Jun19 May22 Oct26 Oct10 Sep19 (rogers j)GALLARDO A 122 3.00 33% 2.10    
3  STARSHIP BELMONT Jun20 May24 Mar18 Feb25 Feb04 (walsh d)ROJAS MARTINA 115 6.00    
4  VILLAGE QUEEN Jun21 Dec17 Oct26 Oct11 Sep19 (potts g)SPIETH S 122 12.00 19% 4.30    
5  DO YOU LOVE ME Jun21 May22 Apr23 Dec14 Oct06 (bourke john)STANLEY O 124 3.00    
6  HAPPY BEE Jun20 May31 Apr13 Mar15 Feb06 (pappada micha)WALKER M 122 10.00    
SCR  TOOLCAT Jun20 May30 May09 Oct26 Oct12 (miller-saul b)MORALES PABLO 124 2.50    
 
PID-8   07/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLOWN OUT Jun13 May15       (kintz matth)ROJAS MARTINA 111 10.00 6% 16.40    
2  PITON Jun26 Jun13 May30 Oct10 Sep26 (antus lawrence)STANLEY O 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  CHANGE THE HOUR Jun27 Jun05 May29 Oct13 Oct05 (russell randa)DELGADO DAVID 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  YANKEE TEA PARTY May16 Apr18 Mar18 Feb26   (vitali mar)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 118 4.00 7% 13.40    
5  KENJI'S EMPIRE Jun21 May31 May16 Apr19   (connelly)GALLARDO A 124 3.00 64% 0.60    
6  DOUBLE WARRIOR Jun21 Jun06 Nov30 Oct23 Oct09 (kintz matthew)MARTINEZ W 124 3.50    
7  SEA CRUISE Jun18 Jun03 Aug22 Aug11 Jul08 (hendriks rich)WALKER M 118 15.00    
8  TWELVETWO Jun21 May31 May16 Jul23 Jun25 (herrington cally)RIQUELME J 118 12.00    
9  POINT LOMA May30 May23 Oct11 Sep22 Jul19 (rogers j)MARTINEZ A 118 10.00    
10  YARDMAN Jun26 May30 Oct06     (bowersock mar)VILLA-GOMEZ H 124 4.50    
11  OUTHUSTLE         (russell randall)ALLEN M 124 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.