Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Saratoga
Wednesday - August 02, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

SAR-1   WIN (1/2/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00  7 $19.00 $11.00 138%
    EXA (1/2/7/6)-(1/2/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00  7-1 $47.25 $35.25 294%
    TRI (1/2/7/6)-(1/2/7/6)-(1/2/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00  7-1-2 $121.12 $109.12 909%
SAR-2   WIN (2/7/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00  5 $11.40 $3.40 43%
    EXA (2/7/3/5)-(2/7/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00  5-7 $19.40 $7.40 62%
    TRI (2/7/3/5)-(2/7/3/5)-(2/7/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00  5-7-2 $28.87 $16.87 141%
    SFT (2/7/3/5)-(2/7/3/5)-(2/7/3/5)-(2/7/3/5) 24 $0.10 $2.40  5-7-2-3 $17.80 $15.40 642%
    DD (1/2/7/6)-(2/7/3/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00  7-5 $40.25 $24.25 152%
SAR-3   SFT (2/1/6/3)-(2/1/6/3)-(2/1/6/3)-(2/1/6/3) 24 $0.10 $2.40  2-1-6-3 $11.02 $8.62 359%
    PK3 (1/2/7/6)-(2/7/3/5)-(2/1/6/3) 64 $1.00 $64.00  7-5-2 $99.00 $35.00 55%
SAR-5   WIN (6/3/1/7/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00  3 $14.00 $4.00 40%
SAR-6   WIN (7/3/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00  3 $9.30 $1.30 16%
    TRI (7/3/1/5)-(7/3/1/2/5)-(7/3/1/2/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00  3-1-5 $48.37 $24.37 102%
    DD (6/3/1/7/8)-(7/3/1/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00  3-3 $27.25 $7.25 36%
    PK3 (3/6/5/7)-(6/3/1/7/8)-(7/3/1/5) 80 $1.00 $80.00  3-3-3 $106.00 $26.00 33%
SAR-7   WIN (10/6/7/3/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00  7 $15.40 $5.40 54%
    EXA (10/6/7/3/5)-(10/6/7/3/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00  7-3 $48.50 $28.50 143%
    TRI (10/6/7/3/5)-(10/6/7/3/5)-(10/6/7/3/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00  7-3-6 $201.25 $171.25 571%
    SFT (10/6/7/3/5)-(10/6/7/3/5)-(10/6/7/3/5)-(10/6/7/3/5) 120 $0.10 $12.00  7-3-6-10 $120.55 $108.55 905%
    DD (7/3/1/5)-(10/6/7/3/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00  3-7 $30.25 $10.25 51%
    PK3 (6/3/1/7/8)-(7/3/1/5)-(10/6/7/3/5) 100 $1.00 $100  3-3-7 $220.00 $120.00 120%
    PK4 (3/6/5/7)-(6/3/1/7/8)-(7/3/1/5)-(10/6/7/3/5) 400 $0.50 $200  3-3-3-7 $465.00 $265.00 133%

Simulator Race results

 
SAR-1   08/02/2023 10890ft TURF RC11 FIRM Jonathan Kiser Novice Purse ($75K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:10
See original race card.
3:441         3:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MCTIGUE (IRE) 7 3 37 26 2 1 1 (murphy cyri)GALLIGAN GERARD 147 8.00 5% 19.00 8.50 W
  (by FRACAS (IRE) out of TRADFEST by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
AWAKENED 1 4 48 4 3 2 2 (fisher r)GARNER THOMAS 153 3.50 67% 0.50 3.70 P
  (by CURLIN out of DAYDREAMING by A.P. INDY)
MERRY MAKER (IRE) 2 77 6 5 4 310 314½ (kingsley arc)WATTERS GRAHAM 153 6.00 9% 10.20 8.50 S
  (by MALINAS out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
BARBADOS (IRE) 5 8 811½ 710 5 413 416 (kingsley a)MULQUEEN STEPHEN 150 3.00 1.35  
  (by GALILEO out of SUMORA by DANEHILL)
CARAMELISED (GB) 3 2½ 13 16 1 528 543½ (young f)DUNNE ROBERT 156 3.50 7.10  
  (by DANSILI out of CASTER SUGAR by COZZENE)
SOLOMOON (GB) 6 5 5 69 612 638 652¼ (young leslie)MCGIVERN COREY 144 15.00 5% 19.00 22.20  
  (by PETHER'S MOON out of SOLOJORIE by SOLON)
REALIST (GB) 4 1½ 23 3 718 768 7143 (hendriks r)BESWICK HARRISON 150 8.00 11.40  
  (by CAMELOT (GB) out of SILVER MIRAGE by SILVER DEPUTY)
RESTITUTION (FR) 8 66 711 818 8100 8100 8100 (brion keri)HENDRIKS PARKER 159 6.00 8.40  
  (by FRANKEL (GB) out of RESTIANA by KENDARGENT (FR))
 
SAR-2   08/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($88K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:46
See original race card.
:23 :462 :59     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FAST BUCK FREDDY 5 2 2½ 1nk   1 1 (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.50 5% 18.40 4.70 W
  (by FAST ANNA out of DOLLAR MAMA by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
FLYING IN STYLE 7 5 3 3   32 2 (baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 119 3.00 23% 3.30 2.15 P
  (by BELLAMY ROAD out of LAUGHING FALCON by ALJABR)
NOBILIS 2 1 7 7   65 3 (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 119 3.50 28% 2.60 3.55 S
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of BOOM BOOM VROOM by ZENSATIONAL)
BUSTINO SANTINO 3 4 66 6   75 4 (levine bruce)ORTIZ L 119 5.00 21% 3.80 4.90  
  (by BUSTIN STONES out of AMULAY by IT'S NO JOKE)
CHALKY CAT 1 3 42 53   43 57 (bond james)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00 11.40  
  (by RACE DAY out of FOLLOW THE KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
STAVROS 6 7 53 42   54 6 (russell britt)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.50 5.00  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of COQUIHALLA by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
FRIDAY I'M IN LOVE 4 6 1½ 2nk   2 710 (bond harold )CASTELLANO J 119 12.00 13.10  
  (by WEEKEND HIDEAWAY out of SATURDAY BLISS by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
 
SAR-3   08/02/2023 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($32K) Purse ($64K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:19
See original race card.
:214 :442 :56     1:02   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHESS MASTER 1 7 3 32   3 1¼ (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 123 1.20 27% 2.70 1.15 W
CHUCK WILLIS (IRE) 2 4 2½ 21   2 2¼ (jacobson david)ORTIZ L 118 4.00 26% 2.80 5.00 P
LYRICAL POET 6 1 1½ 11   1 3½ (ward wesle)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 23% 3.40 3.85 S
BRAZILLIONAIRE 3 6 6 64   46 4 (englehart je)CASTELLANO J 118 12.00 5% 19.00 8.40  
SEVEN SCENTS 4 5 7 76   67 5 (morley thomas)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 6.30  
ME 'N SAP 5 3 5 53   57 64 (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 15.00 26.50  
AFTER FIVE 7 2 4 43   7 76 (quick patri)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 8.00 10.70  
SCR  BRONX BOMBER               (kantarmaci me)FRANCO MANUEL 118 6.00    
SCR  CATCHYASOON               (morley thomas)RIDER TBA 120 1.80    
SCR  SENOR JOBIM               (jacobson david)RIDER TBA 118 4.00    
 
SAR-4   08/02/2023 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:52
See original race card.
:241 :482 1:123 1:373   1:504   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OLYMPIC DREAMS 3 1 2½ 2½ 2nk 1½ 1¾ (quick patri)MCCARTHY TREVOR 126 2.00 43% 1.30 2.20 W
UN OJO 2 2 1½ 1½ 1nk 2½ 2¾ (walden william)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 5.00 10.80  
WILD BANKER 5 6 4 4 32 33 3 (noda orlando)ORTIZ JR 122 6.00 5% 19.00 8.80 S
SHADOW DRAGON 1 4 6 6 57 48 413 (mott i)ORTIZ L 120 1.80 1.20  
MASON MANIA 6 7 5 54 4 513 517½ (englehart jeremia)SAEZ LUIS 124 6.00 30% 2.40 7.30  
EL HERMANO 7 5 7 7 713¼ 615½ 618¾ (ramirez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 12.00 5% 19.00 23.90  
BOSSMAKINBOSSMOVES 4 3 32 3 6 718 730 (duggan david)CASTELLANO J 122 20.00 11.50  
 
SAR-5   08/02/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($88K) 2 F PT- 3:26
See original race card.
:234 :48 1:131 1:372   1:432   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BROCKNARDINI 3 6 68 6 5 1 1 (weaver george)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50 23% 3.30 6.00 W
  (by PALACE MALICE out of BROAD STRIPES by BERNARDINI)
COACH SESSA 4 2 710 7 7 3 2 (russell britt)FRANCO MANUEL 119 6.00 12.50  
  (by CATHOLIC BOY out of HOPE SO by BODEMEISTER)
1A  BERNIETAKESCHARGE 5 7 812½ 811¼ 8 5 39 (schettino domin)DAVIS DYLAN 119 8.00 7% 12.40 11.10 S
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of BERNING ROSE by FREUD)
RUN FOR YOUR HONEY 6 3 1nk 2nk 1nk 2 49 (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00 4.40  
  (by TAPIZAR out of GRACEFUL RAGE by TIZNOW)
BELVOIR 7 4 3 34 31 4 511 (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 119 2.50 31% 2.20 3.40  
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of ALPHA CHARLIE by EDDINGTON)
ONCE AN EAGLE 1 1 5 5 6 710¼ 612 (clement christ)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 4.00 3.05  
  (by TONALIST out of DERRIANNE by COZZENE)
ALOTTA JAYS 2 9 916½ 917¾ 911¼ 910¾ 714¼ (schettino domin)DAVIS KATIE 119 8.00 11.10  
  (by FREUD out of MY JOPIA by UTOPIA (JPN))
CHARITY FIRST 9 8 4 4 4 6 814½ (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00 5% 19.00 5.40  
  (by CATHOLIC BOY out of CHARITABLE LINK by DATA LINK)
FIND YOUR JOY 8 5 2nk 1nk 2nk 810¼ 920¾ (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 119 12.00 5% 19.00 10.60  
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of BARREL OF DREAMS by NOT FOR LOVE)
 
SAR-6   08/02/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($35K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:00
See original race card.
:231 :473 1:122 1:353   1:412   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STIR CRAZY 3 8 46 44 4 1nk 1hd (perkins jr)CARMOUCHE K 123 2.50 24% 3.20 3.65 W
MISS M M 1 2 24 2 2½ 2nk 2hd (jimenez jose )FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00 5% 19.00 3.90 P
HOME FOR CHRISTMAS 5 6 69 66 53 32 3 (diprima gre)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 8.00 5% 19.00 8.80 S
SYNONYMOUS 4 9 711 7 8 76 47 (pregman john)CASTILLO ISAAC 125 15.00 49.25  
BOCA 6 7 814½ 811 7 44 5 (falk jacqueline)DAVIS KATIE 123 20.00 28.50  
KANNON FIRE 2 1 36 3 3 5 610¼ (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 125 5.00 2.75  
POSTNUP 7 5 917½ 914½ 9 6 712 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 123 1.60 49% 1.10 2.35  
REDZILLA 9 3 14 1 1½ 8 814 (parag)HERNANDEZ OMAR 118 30.00 51.50  
MORE MANGO 8 4 5 5 6 9 915 (ferrar)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 15.00 23.80  
SCR  T MAX               (rice linda)ORTIZ L 118 1.40    
 
SAR-7   08/02/2023 6600ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($20K) Purse ($50K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:34
See original race card.
:231 :472 1:13 1:39   2:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEAR OAK 7 5 610¼ 64 2nk 11 1nk (casse no)SANTANA JR 118 10.00 5% 17.50 6.70 W
PORTOS 3 810 813¼ 75 6 5 2nk (chichakly a)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 10.00 5% 19.00 4.70 P
SALTO DE TIGRE 6 66 510 53 5 4 3 (jacobson davi)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00 33% 2.00 20.50 S
10  LORD CAPTAIN 10 4 4 32 3½ 21 45 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 118 1.80 35% 1.90 0.90  
BOBBY G 9 1011½ 916¼ 98 7 6 5 (gorham mich)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 10.00 14.90  
LOST IN ROME 1 2 26 21 1nk 31 6 (dutrow richard )CARMOUCHE K 118 4.00 9.30  
HANG TIGHT 8 910½ 1016¾ 1010½ 811¾ 8 712 (romero j)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 30.00 66.25  
KING OF HOLLYWOOD 4 1 16 11 912¼ 914¾ 824¼ (sacco gregory)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00 9.70  
CENTAVO 2 78 713¼ 86 1013¾ 1015¾ 926¾ (chatterpaul n)CASTILLO AMIN 118 15.00 52.00  
JUST CALL RAY 5 3 3 42 4¾ 7 1032¼ (abreu fern)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 15.00 5% 19.00 24.25  
SCR  HIGHER QUALITY               (chatterpaul nai)DAVIS DYLAN 118 15.00    
 
SAR-8   08/02/2023 5280ft TURF RC11 FIRM De La Rose Purse ($135K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:10
See original race card.
:243 :482 1:114 1:224   1:34   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (IRE) 5 2 12 11 1½ 11 1 (brown c)ORTIZ L 124 1.80 57% 0.80 0.90 W
  (by UNKNOWN out of SEALIFE by SEA THE STARS (IRE))
WHITE FROST 1 5 5 4 4 3 2 (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 3.00 20% 4.10 3.90 P
  (by CANDY RIDE (ARG) out of MISS FROST by CURLIN)
REGAL REALM 6 4 22 21 2½ 21 3 (thomas jonat)GEROUX FLORENT 122 5.00 10.70  
  (by ANIMAL KINGDOM out of SKY WILLOW by EMPIRE MAKER)
HAUGHTY 4 1 4 5 52 42 4 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 124 5.00 6.30  
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of SOARING EMOTIONS by KINGMAMBO)
EMINENT VICTOR 3 6 66 6 7 6 5 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 12.00 5% 19.00 10.70  
  (by MR. Z out of JULIET VICTOR by UNUSUAL HEAT)
EVVIE JETS 2 3 33 32 3 52 6 (kantarmaci m)CASTELLANO J 124 4.50 7.30  
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
RUNAWAY RUMOUR 7 7 77 7 63 7 7 (de horaci)FRANCO MANUEL 118 12.00 5% 19.00 24.75  
  (by FLINTSHIRE out of ELUSIVE RUMOUR by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
SCR  CHI TOWN LADY               (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 120 1.60    
  (by VERRAZANO out of TONI'S HOLLYDAY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
SCR  MOVIE MOXY               (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 2.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of CASTING DIRECTOR by BERNARDINI)
SCR  SUNSET LOUISE               (levine bruce)RIDER TBA 120 3.00    
  (by TONALIST out of ASH ZEE by EXCHANGE RATE)
 
SAR-9   08/02/2023 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($162.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:44
See original race card.
:214 :441 :551     1:01   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KAUFYMAKER 7 1 1½ 1½   1 1 (ward a)SAEZ LUIS 124 4.00 15% 5.80 2.70 W
SCOTISH STAR (ARG) 2 2 4 4   3 2 (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 122 3.00 3.60  
HAPPY SOUL 1 4 3 32   44 34 (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 122 2.50 44% 1.30 3.70 S
MAIL ORDER 6 3 2½ 2½   2 4 (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 4.00 13% 6.90 3.70  
SPUN GLASS 3 5 5 54   56 5 (trombetta )GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 12.00 5% 19.00 12.80  
ADAAY IN ASIA (GB) 4 6 6 7   67 6 (clement christ)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 8.00 7.40  
SARAH HARPER 5 7 74 64   711 713¼ (moquett ronald)ROSARIO JOEL 122 6.00 9.90  
SCR  HEADLAND               (rice linda)ORTIZ L 124 1.60    
 
SAR-10   08/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:18
See original race card.
:223 :463 :593     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FULIGNI 2 3 3 3   11 1 (bond ja)ROSARIO JOEL 124 12.00 10.20  
LA AGUILILLA 6 8 78 77   4 2 (jacobson davi)ORTIZ JR 122 3.50 55% 0.80 3.70 P
MO TOWN MADISON 3 5 55 4   3 3 (joseph a)SAEZ LUIS 120 8.00 5% 19.00 6.20 S
PERPETUAL PRAISE 1 4 11 1½   21 46 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00 8% 11.20 5.50  
MADDIE'S SURPRISE 8 2 44 53   54 510 (sells)HERNANDEZ OMAR 117 20.00 17.20  
DEVILLY 7 6 65 63   64 611½ (ferraro w)CARMOUCHE K 122 15.00 16.00  
INTO TOURING 5 7 8 88   8 711½ (walder pet)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 10.00 10% 8.60 6.00  
BABY SOX 4 1 21 2½   7 814¾ (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00 1.90  
SCR  VAX               (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 1.40    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.