Handicappers' Racing Form
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Saratoga
Wednesday - August 02, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
SAR-1   Win (1/2/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-2   Win (2/7/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-3   Win (2/1/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-4   Win (3/6/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-5   Win (6/3/1/7/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00
SAR-6   Win (7/3/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-7   Win (10/6/7/3/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00
SAR-8   Win (5/1/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-9   Win (1/7/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-10   Win (6/5/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
SAR-1   08/02/2023 10890ft TURF RC11 FIRM Jonathan Kiser Novice Purse ($75K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AWAKENED Oct15 Sep05 Jul11 May14   (fisher r)GARNER THOMAS 153 3.50 67% 0.50    
2  MERRY MAKER (IRE) Nov05 Oct22       (kingsley archi)WATTERS GRAHAM 153 6.00 9% 10.20    
3  CARAMELISED (GB)         (young f)DUNNE ROBERT 156 3.50    
4  REALIST (GB)         (hendriks ric)BESWICK HARRISON 150 8.00    
5  BARBADOS (IRE) Jun09         (kingsley arc)MULQUEEN STEPHEN 150 3.00    
6  SOLOMOON (GB)         (young f)MCGIVERN COREY 144 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  MCTIGUE (IRE)         (murphy cyril)FOLEY BARRY 147 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  RESTITUTION (FR) Apr28 Feb01 Jan11     (brion keri)HENDRIKS PARKER 159 6.00    
 
SAR-2   08/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($88K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:46
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHALKY CAT Jul07 Feb24 Jan26     (bond james)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00    
2  NOBILIS Jul07 May20 Sep29 Sep05   (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 119 3.50 28% 2.60    
3  BUSTINO SANTINO Jan07 Dec17 Nov12     (levine bruce)ORTIZ L 119 5.00 21% 3.80    
4  FRIDAY I'M IN LOVE         (bond ja)CASTELLANO J 119 12.00    
5  FAST BUCK FREDDY Jun09         (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.50 5% 18.40    
6  STAVROS Jun25 May05       (russell brittan)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.50    
7  FLYING IN STYLE Jun09         (baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 119 3.00 23% 3.30    
 
SAR-3   08/02/2023 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($32K) Purse ($64K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:19
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHUCK WILLIS (IRE) Jun04 Mar10 Dec24 Jul02 Jun09 (jacobson david)ORTIZ L 118 4.00 26% 2.80    
SCR  SENOR JOBIM Jul22 Feb12 Nov06 Sep24 Jul31 (jacobson david)RIDER TBA 118 4.00    
2  CHESS MASTER Jul21 Jun24 May27 Apr29 Apr02 (maker j)ORTIZ JR 123 1.20 27% 2.70    
3  BRAZILLIONAIRE Jul01 May30 Dec04 Oct26 Aug14 (englehart jere)CASTELLANO J 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  SEVEN SCENTS Jun15 May04 Nov12 Oct27 Oct01 (morley thomas)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00    
5  ME 'N SAP Jul13 Jun17 Apr27 Sep22 Sep04 (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 15.00    
6  LYRICAL POET Oct23 Sep14 Jul29 Apr21   (ward wesley )GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 23% 3.40    
7  AFTER FIVE Jul07 Jun15 Apr20 Mar11 Feb12 (quick patrick)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 8.00    
SCR  CATCHYASOON Jul22 Jun15 May19 Jan27 Dec17 (morley thomas)RIDER TBA 120 1.80    
SCR  BRONX BOMBER Jun03 Apr20 Apr01 Mar11 Feb02 (kantarmaci mert)FRANCO MANUEL 118 6.00    
 
SAR-4   08/02/2023 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:52
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHADOW DRAGON Jul07 Jun03 Apr08 Mar04 Feb04 (mott i)ORTIZ L 120 1.80    
2  UN OJO Jan19 Dec31 Apr02 Feb26 Feb05 (walden william)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 5.00    
3  OLYMPIC DREAMS May29 May11 Apr06 Mar26 Feb17 (quick patrick)MCCARTHY TREVOR 126 2.00 43% 1.30    
4  BOSSMAKINBOSSMOVES Jun23 May28 Dec08 Oct16 Sep24 (duggan p)CASTELLANO J 122 20.00    
5  WILD BANKER Jun11 May11 Apr14 Mar10 Feb10 (noda orlando)ORTIZ JR 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  MASON MANIA Jun11 May05 Apr06 Mar10 Jan26 (englehart jeremiah )SAEZ LUIS 124 6.00 30% 2.40    
7  EL HERMANO Jul22 Jun24 Jun09 May27 May13 (ramirez si)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
SAR-5   08/02/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($88K) 2 F PT- 3:26
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALOTTA JAYS         (schettino dominic)DAVIS KATIE 119 8.00    
1A  BERNIETAKESCHARGE         (schettino dominic)DAVIS DYLAN 119 8.00 7% 12.40    
2  ONCE AN EAGLE         (clement christop)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 4.00    
3  BROCKNARDINI         (weaver george)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50 23% 3.30    
4  COACH SESSA         (russell brittan)FRANCO MANUEL 119 6.00    
5  RUN FOR YOUR HONEY Jul14 Jun15       (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00    
6  BELVOIR         (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 119 2.50 31% 2.20    
7  FIND YOUR JOY Jul09         (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  CHARITY FIRST Jun15         (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
SAR-6   08/02/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($35K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS M M Jul14 Jun23 Apr21 Mar24 Feb18 (jimenez l)FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  KANNON FIRE Jul09 May28 May30 May06 Apr10 (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 125 5.00 ★    
3  STIR CRAZY Jun23 Jun10 Feb25 Aug31 Aug06 (perkins jr)CARMOUCHE K 123 2.50 24% 3.20    
4  SYNONYMOUS Jul07 Jun18 May12 Apr23 Feb20 (pregman j)CASTILLO ISAAC 125 15.00    
5  HOME FOR CHRISTMAS Jul19 Jun18 May26 Apr27 Nov18 (diprima grego)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  BOCA May22 Mar31 Mar03 Jan28 Jan13 (falk jacqueline)DAVIS KATIE 123 20.00    
7  POSTNUP Jun11 May09 Mar10 Apr24 Mar12 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 123 1.60 49% 1.10    
8  MORE MANGO Jul09 Jun18 May28 May12 Apr27 (ferraro )MARAGH RAMSAY 123 15.00    
9  REDZILLA Jul09 Jun18 May18 May04 Apr01 (paragal)HERNANDEZ OMAR 118 30.00    
SCR  T MAX Jun17 May13 Feb11 Nov26 Oct30 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 118 1.40    
 
SAR-7   08/02/2023 6600ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($20K) Purse ($50K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:34
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CENTAVO Jul22 Jul04 Jun10 May21 May13 (chatterpaul nai)CASTILLO AMIN 118 15.00    
SCR  HIGHER QUALITY Jul22 Jun24 Jun16 May07 Apr13 (chatterpaul naipa)DAVIS DYLAN 118 15.00    
2  LOST IN ROME Jul02 Jun15 May27 May13 Apr27 (dutrow e)CARMOUCHE K 118 4.00    
3  PORTOS Jul13 Jun10 Apr01 Mar11 Jan28 (chichakly ami)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  KING OF HOLLYWOOD Jun25 May27 Apr08 Mar24 Feb15 (sacco d)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00    
5  JUST CALL RAY Jul22 Jun25 May27 May12 Mar10 (abreu fernan)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  SALTO DE TIGRE Jul20 Jun18 Jun09 May27 May17 (jacobson david)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00 33% 2.00    
7  BEAR OAK Jul02 May27 Apr23 Mar30 Mar10 (casse norm)SANTANA JR 118 10.00 5% 17.50    
8  HANG TIGHT Jul22 Jul04 Jun04 May13 Apr15 (romero jes)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 30.00    
9  BOBBY G Jul22 Jun09 May12 May06 Apr02 (gorham michae)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 10.00    
10  LORD CAPTAIN Jul23 May13 Feb23 Feb03 Jan13 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 118 1.80 35% 1.90    
 
SAR-8   08/02/2023 5280ft TURF RC11 FIRM De La Rose Purse ($135K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHITE FROST Jul02 Jun04 Apr15 Mar04 Jan26 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 3.00 20% 4.10    
2  EVVIE JETS Jul02 May07 Apr16 Nov20 Oct22 (kantarmaci mer)CASTELLANO J 124 4.50    
3  EMINENT VICTOR Jul01 May20 Nov13 Oct15 Aug20 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  HAUGHTY Jul02 May06 Aug20 Jul09 Jun03 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 124 5.00    
5  TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (IRE) Jul02 Oct08 Aug27 Jul16 May21 (brown c)ORTIZ L 124 1.80 57% 0.80    
6  REGAL REALM Jun21 May18 Feb26 Dec04 Oct22 (thomas jonatha)GEROUX FLORENT 122 5.00    
7  RUNAWAY RUMOUR Jul04 May29 Apr16 Oct30 Sep30 (de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CHI TOWN LADY Jun16 Apr14 Nov05 Aug06 May19 (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 120 1.60    
SCR  MOVIE MOXY Jun24 Jun16 May26 Apr16 Mar25 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 2.00    
SCR  SUNSET LOUISE Jul16 Jun16 May04 Oct30 Sep24 (levine bruce)RIDER TBA 120 3.00    
 
SAR-9   08/02/2023 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($162.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HAPPY SOUL May27 Apr15 Oct08 Sep13 Jul09 (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 122 2.50 44% 1.30    
2  SCOTISH STAR (ARG) Jul01 May28 Mar11 Feb04 Dec31 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 122 3.00    
3  SPUN GLASS Jul01 May19 Apr14 Feb18 Dec24 (trombetta mi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  ADAAY IN ASIA (GB) Jul03 Jun03       (clement christop)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 8.00    
5  SARAH HARPER Jun09 May05 Mar02 Jan21 Dec17 (moquett e)ROSARIO JOEL 122 6.00    
6  MAIL ORDER Jul03 Nov27 Sep30 Sep02 Aug04 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 4.00 13% 6.90    
7  KAUFYMAKER May28 Apr07 Oct16     (ward a)SAEZ LUIS 124 4.00 15% 5.80    
SCR  HEADLAND Jul21 Jun23 May29 Apr21 Mar02 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 124 1.60    
 
SAR-10   08/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PERPETUAL PRAISE Jun01 Apr23       (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00 8% 11.20    
2  FULIGNI Jun17 Apr29 Mar03 Feb17 Jan01 (bond jame)ROSARIO JOEL 124 12.00    
3  MO TOWN MADISON Jun18 May21 Apr27 Mar26 Mar11 (joseph a)SAEZ LUIS 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  BABY SOX Jul02 Jun03 May12 Mar19 Jan13 (rodriguez rudy )FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00    
5  INTO TOURING May18 Mar29 Feb09 Jan15 Dec10 (walder peter)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 10.00 10% 8.60    
6  LA AGUILILLA Jul13 Jun23 Jun16 May20 Apr28 (jacobson david)ORTIZ JR 122 3.50 55% 0.80    
SCR  VAX Jul02 May20 Feb17 Jan27 Dec30 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 1.40    
8  DEVILLY Jul13 Jun17 May20 Apr28 Feb20 (ferraro w)CARMOUCHE K 122 15.00    
9  MADDIE'S SURPRISE Jul18 Jul05 Aug31 Aug12   (sells r)HERNANDEZ OMAR 117 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.