Handicappers' Race Results
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Penn National
Thursday - July 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
PEN-1   Win (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $16.40  
PEN-2   Win (1/6/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $4.00 $4.00  
PEN-3   Win (6/2/9/4/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 11 1 0 $21.00  
PEN-4   Win (6/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $2.60 $2.60  
PEN-5   Win (7/6/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 0 $3.80  
PEN-6   Win (6/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $13.20  
PEN-7   Win (5/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $5.40 $5.40  
Simulator Race results
 
PEN-1   07/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:222 :454 :582     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  BUCK WILD 4 5 42¼ 45   33 1¼ (jacavone j)ROJAS MARTINA 113 6.00 7.20  
6  BUFF AND SHINE 6 1 32 21   1nk 2¼ (graci kimbe)HERNANDEZ A 122 4.00 7.00  
2  SUMMER ASH 2 6 612¼ 613½   65½ 31¾ (lucas bonnie)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 3.00 18% 4.40 2.70 S
3  ALMOND CIDER 3 3 1nk 11   2nk 42 (perez a)RUIZ ELISEO 115 2.00 18% 4.60 1.20  
5  BRANTLEYS BIG GUN 5 2 54¼ 510   55 57 (bobadilla f)BEATO INOEL 122 30.00 18.10  
1  LOOKIN BACK LUCKY 1 4 2nk 32   44½ 614 (crane clovis)INIRIO J 120 2.50 42% 1.40 4.10  
 
PEN-2   07/20/2023 5490ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:29
See original race card.
:232 :461 1:094 1:342   1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SACHMO 1 2 32½ 33 22 22 1¼ (salvaggio michae)CONNER TYLER 120 2.50 67% 0.50 1.00 W
4  SPIRITUAL KING 4 1 11½ 11½ 12 12 2¼ (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.50 6.80  
6  GALILEE 5 5 610 610½ 68 44 32½ (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 8.00 5% 19.00 11.10 S
2  GAMBLING TZAR 2 3 56 55½ 56½ 54½ 45¼ (alvarado diane)CHIAPPE R 120 4.50 1.90  
3  JUMP FOR THE WIN 3 4 21½ 21½ 32 34 57¼ (kreiser timot)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 8.00 5% 19.00 9.40  
7  SKIMBLE SHANKS 6 6 44 43½ 45 65 69 (beattie sande)INIRIO J 120 12.00 13.20  
SCR  LUCID               (cruz jesus)MARIN SAMUEL 118 3.00    
SCR  SUPER REIGN               (albright george)TUNON JORDANO 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
 
PEN-3   07/20/2023 3300ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:58
See original race card.
:221 :443       :562   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  BEACH WARRIOR 9 3 21½ 2nk   2nk 1¼ (farro pa)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 5.00 9.50  
6  CASH IN A FLASH 5 1 11½ 1nk   1nk 2¼ (kreiser tim)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.50 25% 3.00 1.70 P
8  BUFFALO SHUFFLE 6 7 44½ 45   42½ 31¾ (dunham bernard)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 12.00 6% 15.70 12.40 S
2  FLASHINTHENIGHT 1 2 32½ 32   32 42 (salvaggio jr)CORA D 120 3.00 19% 4.20 1.70  
9  HOLY MOLY MOSES 7 4 55 77½   54 56 (crook-demas)HERNANDEZ A 122 4.50 16% 5.20 9.30  
4  CONDITION ONE 3 8 88½ 88   87 67 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 120 10.00 10% 8.70 15.20  
5  MORNING MARCH 4 5 65½ 67   65 77 (gordon-watson a)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 6.00 15.80  
10  EYE OF GUNFIGHTER 8 6 77 56½   76 87½ (smith m)BEATO INOEL 120 30.00 52.20  
3  GOLDEN TREASURE 2 9 913½ 910   913 917¼ (crook-demasi kat)CONNER TYLER 120 6.00 13.30  
SCR  DATHOSS               (arce josue)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 10.00    
SCR  UNCLE REMI               (smith lawrenc)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 120 15.00    
 
PEN-4   07/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:28
See original race card.
:223 :454 :574     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  ME DARLIN KATHLEEN 6 1 12 14   18 113¾ (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 1.50 45% 1.20 0.30 W
2  HI HEELED WARRIOR 2 5 54 55¼   28 213¾ (kulp brando)HERNANDEZ A 120 5.00 11.60  
3  WARISHA 3 3 33 34   311 319 (rathman elisha)CONNER TYLER 120 12.00 8% 11.80 19.30 S
5  ROSE VALLEY 5 4 43½ 24   412 420 (beattie m)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 2.50 26% 2.80 4.50  
4  NOWYOUSCAN'TLEAVE 4 6 69 610¼   513 520¼ (aristone phil)ZAPLITNY SKYLAR 113 6.00 9.30  
1  CHA CHA CHIQUITA 1 2 22 44¼   615½ 623¾ (arnold pame)VARGAS L 122 4.50 10.70  
 
PEN-5   07/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:22 :443 :57     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  YES SIR ROBERT 3 3 2nk 2nk   1½ 14¼ (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 120 2.50 0.90  
1  BEYOND THE BEND 1 7 53 44   33½ 24¼ (graci a)CONNER TYLER 120 6.00 5% 19.00 7.50 P
2  NICE WEATHER 2 4 1nk 1nk   2½ 34¼ (ferreira fernando)AGUILAR M 122 3.00 4.30  
5  HIDE THE RANSOM 5 5 75½ 77   44 45½ (perez a)RUIZ ELISEO 111 10.00 18.80  
7  MR. PETE 7 6 64½ 66   66½ 56 (kreiser timot)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 4.00 50% 1.00 3.60  
6  CARGO SHIP 6 1 3½ 32   56 68 (beattie cod)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.50 23% 3.30 12.20  
4  TURNPIKE BOB 4 2 42 54½   712½ 720½ (stites flin)HERNANDEZ A 120 12.00 5% 19.00 19.90  
 
PEN-6   07/20/2023 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($28.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:26
See original race card.
:233 :464 1:11 1:363   1:432   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  FAMISHED 5 5 13 12 11½ 15 13¾ (lucas bonnie)AGUILAR M 120 3.50 5.60  
1  SALTO DE TIGRE 1 3 35 34 33 25 23¾ (jacobson da)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.50 21% 3.90 1.70 P
6  DEE JAY 6 6 58½ 47 44 35 36¼ (lawrence l)CONNER TYLER 120 1.60 51% 1.00 1.40 S
4  STRAWBERRY TREAT 4 4 69 613 510 512 48 (zalalas michael)CHIAPPE R 118 12.00 27.90  
2  EAGLES CRY 2 2 23 22 21½ 47 515½ (stites flin)HERNANDEZ A 120 8.00 5% 19.00 3.90  
3  HERE'S WALDO 3 1 45½ 512 612 620 623½ (lucas bonnie)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 4.50 19.10  
 
PEN-7   07/20/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:55
See original race card.
:222 :453 :574     1:043   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  I SEE THE STARS 4 1 21½ 1nk   14 16¼ (graci a)AGUILAR M 120 3.00 37% 1.70 1.70 W
4  SPOOKY ONE 3 3 11½ 2nk   24 26¼ (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 124 3.50 6.20  
2  FED CHAIR 2 4 43½ 52¼   47½ 37½ (kreiser tim)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.50 16% 5.10 1.40 S
6  DIXIE CANNONBALL 5 2 33½ 31½   37 410¼ (graci kimbe)HERNANDEZ A 122 4.50 17% 4.70 9.70  
7  OBROTHER ITSYLVIA 6 5 69¾ 65¼   67¾ 510½ (shea lydee)INIRIO J 122 6.00 25.70  
1  JIMMY THE KID 1 6 53¾ 42   57½ 612 (martin r)RODRIGUEZ E 120 8.00 4.60  
SCR  EDWARD MADDEN               (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.