Handicappers' Race Results
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Saratoga
Sunday - July 30, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
SAR-1   Win (6/3/1/7/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 1 $4.40 $4.40  
SAR-2   Win (6/3/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 0 $31.20  
SAR-3   Win (9/12/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $20.60 $20.60 12.60
SAR-4   Win (7/8/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $3.70 $3.70  
SAR-5   Win (8/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 9 1 0 $14.80  
SAR-6   Win (5/4/9/8/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 6 1 1 $18.60 $18.60 8.60
SAR-7   Win (2/11/9/6/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 11 1 1 $10.00 $10.00  
SAR-8   Win (8/6/10/7/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 6 1 1 $11.40 $11.40 1.40
SAR-9   Win (9/3/4/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 0 $32.40  
SAR-10   Win (14/3/4/12/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 14 1 1 $3.50 $3.50  
Simulator Race results
 
SAR-1   07/30/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 2 F PT- 1:10
See original race card.
:241 :483 1:144 1:272   1:401   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  MIZ SENSE 6 5 46 55 41½ 12 14¼ (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 119 6.00 5% 19.00 1.20 W
9  CLASSY MISCHIEF 3 2 57½ 67 2½ 32½ 24¼ (contessa gary )CASTELLANO J 119 20.00 12.70  
4  BUCHU 1 4 33½ 33½ 1½ 22 34½ (bauer philip)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00 1.45  
1  LIFE'S AN AUDIBLE 4 1 21½ 21 31½ 49½ 421¼ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 6.00 ★ 1.20  
6  JUSTDENY 2 6 67½ 44 64½ 515½ 542¼ (gargan danny)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.50 28% 2.60 5.20  
11  CAUSEWAY'S JEWEL 5 3 11½ 11 54 619 646¾ (dutrow anthony )VELAZQUEZ R 119 10.00 8.60  
SCR  GOLDEN GHOST (GB)               (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00    
SCR  OZARA (IRE)               (clement chri)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SANDS OF WAR               (devaux cherie)LEZCANO JOSE 119 8.00    
SCR  SMOOTH WAVES               (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SPENDALOT               (brown c)ROSARIO JOEL 119 10.00    
SCR  WEIGH THE RISKS               (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.50 27% 2.70    
 
SAR-2   07/30/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:46
See original race card.
:25 :49 1:134 1:263   1:394   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VINTAGE 1 1 1nk 11 15 15½ 15½ (englehart jeffrey)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00 14.60  
5  MAGGIE 5 4 63¼ 73¼ 56 25½ 25½ (kirby t)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 5% 19.00 7.50 P
6  SHIGEKO 6 2 31 52¼ 35½ 37½ 312 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 123 2.00 45% 1.20 1.65 S
4  JOEY THE FISH 4 7 85¼ 88¾ 710½ 512½ 412½ (persaud randi)CASTILLO AMIN 118 30.00 28.75  
7  OUR ROSIE DIAMONDS 7 6 2nk 21 25 49½ 515¼ (nevin michelle)TORRES A 113 4.00 8.10  
3  SAVE GRACE 3 5 74¼ 63¼ 68 613½ 615¼ (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 123 5.00 28% 2.60 5.60  
2  PRANA 2 3 52¼ 32 45½ 713½ 725 (hiles jeff)SANTANA JR 120 4.50 8.00  
8  DASHING DELLA 8 8 42 42 811 819½ 830 (rodriguez gustavo)CARMOUCHE K 120 8.00 5% 19.00 3.25  
 
SAR-3   07/30/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:25
See original race card.
:241 :482 1:132 1:252   1:38   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  CERTIFIED LOVERBOY 1 2 42 31½ 31 11 12¾ (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 118 15.00 5% 19.00 9.30 W
8  SEDONA RED 4 4 21½ 2½ 2nk 21 22¾ (palmer nicholas)ROSARIO JOEL 124 12.00 3.25  
10  ATLANTIC DANCER 6 7 88¾ 87½ 56 46 313 (zito p)RIDER TBA 124 20.00 11.50  
4  PAXSATIONAL 2 1 11½ 1½ 1nk 34½ 414¾ (barker edward )TORRES A 113 30.00 39.25  
7  WAR OFFICER 3 8 77¾ 76½ 77½ 611½ 518¾ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 118 5.00 6% 14.80 5.80  
12  ARRO SMASH 8 6 64¼ 62½ 45½ 511 624 (bauer philip)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50 20% 3.90 2.50  
9  FLY RIGHT 5 3 31½ 41½ 66½ 712½ 726¼ (gyarmati leah)CASTELLANO J 118 3.50 47% 1.10 4.00  
11  KOOPS 7 5 52¼ 52 810½ 827½ 8101¾ (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00 6.70  
SCR  CONVERSING               (mcgaughey claud)VELAZQUEZ R 118 6.00    
SCR  GROWTH CAPITAL               (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 1.60    
SCR  JAMESTOWN               (tagg barcla)LEPAROUX R 118 30.00    
SCR  RIGHT TO WIN (IRE)               (brown c)ORTIZ L 118 1.60    
SCR  TORIGO               (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 118 8.00    
 
SAR-4   07/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
See original race card.
:223 :461 :582     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  OBRIGADA 6 6 41¼ 1½   14½ 17¾ (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 2.00 43% 1.30 0.85 W
8  ICY REPLY 7 1 3.2 2½   24½ 27¾ (ferraro james )CASTELLANO J 124 4.00 10% 8.60 4.30 P
4  DOLCE SERA 4 7 77¼ 53½   38½ 39¼ (delauro edward)TORRES A 119 15.00 28.50  
5  CHAMPAGNE POETRY 5 4 2nk 64   611½ 412¾ (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 122 10.00 10% 9.30 5.10  
3  GRACEFUL ROSE 3 3 52¼ 42½   49½ 512¾ (gorham e)CARMOUCHE K 120 6.00 7.70  
1  CARBON 1 5 63¾ 74½   510½ 613 (kantarmaci me)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 3.00 10% 9.10 11.60  
2  LIBERTY FLAME 2 2 1nk 32   712 718¼ (begg ja)HERNANDEZ OMAR 117 8.00 12.50  
SCR  APRIL ANTICS               (kantarmaci mertk)LEZCANO JOSE 124 3.00    
SCR  YOGI               (chichakly amira)DAVIS DYLAN 122 12.00    
 
SAR-5   07/30/2023 7260ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($156K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:34
See original race card.
:242 :50 1:153 1:402   2:053   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  FANNIE AND FREDDIE 3 11 11 1½ 11 11½ 12½ (stall m)SAEZ LUIS 124 6.00 6.40  
10  TONED UP 4 31 21 2½ 21 21½ 22½ (atras rob)SANTANA JR 122 4.50 7.70  
8  SIGNAL FROM NOISE 2 21 31½ 31½ 31 32 34 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 124 0.60 43% 1.30 0.30 S
4  AMANI'S IMAGE 1 43 42½ 42 45 412 421 (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 124 12.00 35% 1.90 4.00  
SCR  TALBEYAH (IRE)               (casse mark)ORTIZ JR 122 3.00    
SCR  MYRISKYAFFAIR               (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 122 4.00    
SCR  FRIVOLE (FR)               (motion graham)FRANCO MANUEL 124 3.50    
SCR  EVER SUMMER               (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 124 3.50    
SCR  WHATLOVELOOKSLIKE               (pletcher a)PRAT FLAVIEN 126 4.50    
SCR  ENSEMBLE (IRE)               (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 8.00    
 
SAR-6   07/30/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 2 F PT- 4:08
See original race card.
:222 :454 1:114     1:183   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  ALYS BEACH 6 2 42½ 42   21 1nk (amoss thomas)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00 5% 19.00 8.30 W
5  LIFE TALK 5 9 84½ 63¼   31½ 2nk (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 2.50 31% 2.20 5.00 P
4  MUGEN 4 3 1½ 1nk   11 33 (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 119 3.50 23% 3.30 2.10 S
3  WASKESIU 3 6 31½ 31½   43½ 46½ (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 4.00 4.60  
7  RINGY DINGY 7 4 2½ 2nk   54 510 (gargan danny)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00 4.20  
1  ICE COLD 1 7 63½ 75¼   68½ 610¼ (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 119 15.00 23.40  
9  ALAMO 9 1 53 53   711½ 713¼ (lukas wayne)CARMOUCHE K 119 20.00 5% 19.00 13.10  
8  JUST MUSIC 8 5 98 914¼   816½ 818½ (terranova )SANTANA JR 119 15.00 5% 19.00 36.25  
2  PHANTASMICAL 2 8 74½ 810¾   917 920¼ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 6.00 9.70  
 
SAR-7   07/30/2023 5610ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($162.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:41
See original race card.
:241 :474 1:112 1:344   1:404   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  JERRY THE NIPPER 9 1 2½ 21 2½ 2nk 1¼ (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 122 4.50 26% 2.80 4.00 W
2  KURAMATA (IRE) 2 3 31½ 32 32 1nk 2¼ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 3.50 30% 2.40 2.70 P
9  EASTER (FR) 7 10 96¾ 96¼ 85¾ 54½ 32¾ (motion gra)GAFFALIONE TYLER 126 4.00 20% 3.90 4.10 S
1  STARTING OVER 1 9 107¼ 106¾ 95¾ 75¾ 44 (maker michael )GEROUX FLORENT 122 20.00 25.50  
12  MAIN EVENT 10 2 1½ 11 1½ 31 54½ (weaver george)VELAZQUEZ R 122 15.00 13.10  
4  UNANIMOUS CONSENT (GB) 3 8 63½ 63½ 53½ 43½ 65 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 6.00 7.30  
5  CHULAINN 4 5 85¼ 85¼ 74¼ 85¾ 75¼ (motion graham)FRANCO MANUEL 124 15.00 14.40  
7  FIELD PASS 6 4 53½ 53 63¾ 65½ 87½ (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 122 12.00 5% 19.00 22.80  
10  GRAND SONATA 8 7 75 75 107¾ 97¾ 99 (pletcher todd )CASTELLANO J 122 12.00 12.00  
6  DOMINICAN PIONEER 5 6 42½ 42 42 108¼ 1022 (ward a)SAEZ LUIS 122 10.00 5% 19.00 7.60  
SCR  COMMANDEER               (toner james)LEPAROUX R 122 12.00    
SCR  RINALDI               (bond ja)TORRES A 117 15.00    
SCR  SAFE CONDUCT               (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 122 20.00    
SCR  SHERIFF BIANCO               (rice linda)ORTIZ L 122 2.50    
SCR  UNCLE MOONLIGHT               (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 124 4.00    
SCR  WARRIOR JOHNY               (bauer philip )ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 3.00    
 
SAR-8   07/30/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($43K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:16
See original race card.
:241 :48 1:14     1:404   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  LEFTEMBEHIND 5 9 64½ 64 62¾ 2nk 14 (tagg barclay)DAVIS KATIE 118 6.00 19% 4.40 4.70 W
1  MUDVILLE NINE 1 1 31 31½ 11 1nk 24 (trombetta mic)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 6.00 6.30  
10  JUST FOR LUCK (AUS) 9 8 85½ 76½ 52¼ 31½ 36¼ (asmussen steven)ORTIZ JR 118 3.50 13% 6.50 3.55 S
7  ATLANTA'S ACUNA 6 4 2nk 21 21 42 47¼ (levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 118 8.00 13% 6.70 3.55  
9  CATTANI 8 6 52½ 52½ 41¼ 57 514½ (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 118 12.00 10% 9.30 12.80  
4  STRATEGYFORYOU 3 2 1nk 11 31 611 627 (summers chad)TORRES A 119 20.00 38.25  
5  IMPULSIVE SPENDING 4 3 75 86½ 78¾ 716½ 729 (arenas )HERNANDEZ OMAR 113 30.00 31.00  
3  FORWARD CAST 2 7 913½ 914½ 814¼ 822½ 837¼ (dunham g)MARTINEZ R 124 50.00 58.25  
8  RULE BREAKER 7 5 41½ 42 918¼ 9100 9100 (schultz lindsay)LEZCANO JOSE 118 2.50 25% 3.00 2.30  
SCR  UNCLE MARTY               (rice linda)ORTIZ L 118 4.00    
SCR  UTAMARO               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 6.00    
 
SAR-9   07/30/2023 7260ft TURF RC13 GOOD Bowling Green Purse ($250K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:49
See original race card.
:252 :504 1:161 1:393 2:032 2:151   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  CHANNEL MAKER 6 1½ 1½ 1½ 1½ 11 12 (mott i)FRANCO MANUEL 120 20.00 15.20  
4  VERSTAPPEN 3 31½ 41½ 42 42 31 22 (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 122 15.00 5% 19.00 18.20 P
3  NEVER EXPLAIN 2 52½ 53 53½ 52½ 21 32 (mcgaughey ii)SAEZ LUIS 122 6.00 11% 8.40 7.90 S
11  DAUNT 9 41½ 31 31 31 42 44¼ (ribaudo robert)CASTELLANO J 118 30.00 33.25  
10  TAWNY PORT 8 2½ 2½ 2½ 2½ 52½ 54½ (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 120 20.00 5% 19.00 27.25  
1  HIGHEST HONORS 1 73½ 75 75½ 73½ 64 64½ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 8.00 7.50  
5  SOLDIER RISING (GB) 5 85½ 87 86 84 75½ 76¼ (clement christop)ORTIZ L 118 4.00    
7  THE GREY WIZARD (IRE) 4 99½ 99 99½ 97½ 817½ 813 (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 118 8.00 5.90  
9  REBEL'S ROMANCE (IRE) 7 63 63 64 62½ 9100 9100 (appleby charle)MULLEN RICHARD 122 1.60 57% 0.80 0.55  
SCR  ROCKEMPEROR (IRE)               (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 12.00    
SCR  STRONG QUALITY               (casse mark)GEROUX FLORENT 118 10.00    
 
SAR-10   07/30/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:21
See original race card.
:223 :452 :572     1:04   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
14  LITTLE PRANKSTER 9 7 3.2 1½   16 17¾ (bauer philip)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 2.00 49% 1.00 0.75 W
2  RISK FREE 1 6 86¼ 89½   69½ 27¾ (delauro j)ROSARIO JOEL 119 8.00 6.10  
3  ARRASOU 2 4 75¼ 68   49 37¾ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 4.00 14% 6.00 8.70 S
8  FRAU DIABLO 6 2 1nk 2½   26 49½ (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 119 15.00 14.30  
12  BROOKLYN GIRLEE 8 3 2nk 31½   59 513¼ (delacour arnaud)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 10.00 5% 19.00 8.30  
11  MATERIAL WITNESS 7 8 41¾ 42   38½ 614½ (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 119 20.00 31.50  
6  QUIESCENT 5 1 53¾ 57½   713½ 717¼ (ribaudo robert)TORRES A 114 20.00 5% 19.00 23.90  
4  RIVIERE 3 5 64¾ 79   817 820¾ (weaver george)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.50 10% 9.10 7.50  
5  ALLEGEDLY (IRE) 4 9 97¾ 910   917¼ 921¼ (martin f)CARMOUCHE K 119 30.00 31.75  
SCR  DARK PRINCESS               (rice linda)ORTIZ L 119 12.00    
SCR  GOING THE DISTANCE               (shirer mat)SANTANA JR 119 15.00    
SCR  KICK A RHYME (IRE)               (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 10.00    
SCR  OOLONG HAI (IRE)               (hennig mark)ORTIZ L 119 6.00    
SCR  SPUN SPECIAL               (gyarmati leah)CASTELLANO J 119 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.