Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Saratoga
Sunday - July 30, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
SAR-3   WIN (9/12/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00  3 $20.60 $12.60 158%
SAR-4   DD (9/12/7/3)-(7/8/1/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00  3-7 $20.60 $4.60 29%
SAR-6   WIN (5/4/9/8/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00  6 $18.60 $8.60 86%
    EXA (5/4/9/8/6)-(5/4/9/8/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00  6-5 $63.25 $43.25 216%
    TRI (5/4/9/8/6)-(5/4/9/8/6)-(5/4/9/8/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00  6-5-4 $85.00 $55.00 183%
SAR-7   DD (5/4/9/8/6)-(2/11/9/6/7) 25 $1.00 $25.00  6-11 $61.50 $36.50 146%
SAR-8   WIN (8/6/10/7/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00  6 $11.40 $1.40 14%
    DD (2/11/9/6/7)-(8/6/10/7/9) 25 $1.00 $25.00  11-6 $35.50 $10.50 42%
    PK3 (5/4/9/8/6)-(2/11/9/6/7)-(8/6/10/7/9) 125 $1.00 $125  6-11-6 $318.00 $193.00 154%
Simulator Race results
 
SAR-1   07/30/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 2 F PT- 1:10
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  MIZ SENSE   (pletcher todd )ORTIZ L 119 6.00 5% 19.00 1.20 W
  (by STREET SENSE out of MIZ KELLA by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
9  CLASSY MISCHIEF   (contessa gar)CASTELLANO J 119 20.00 12.70  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of CLASSOFSIXTYTHREE by INCLUDE)
4  BUCHU   (bauer phil)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00 1.45  
  (by JUSTIFY out of FLOWERING PEACH by GALILEO (ARG))
1  LIFE'S AN AUDIBLE   (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119 6.00 ★ 1.20  
  (by AUDIBLE out of CATKINS by DATA LINK)
6  JUSTDENY   (gargan danny)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.50 28% 2.60 5.20  
  (by JUSTIFY out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
11  CAUSEWAY'S JEWEL   (dutrow anthon)VELAZQUEZ R 119 10.00 8.60  
  (by MORE THAN READY out of HARD CLOTH by HARD SPUN)
SCR  GOLDEN GHOST (GB)   (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR  OZARA (IRE)   (clement ch)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LOPE DE VEGA out of CERCLE D'OR by ACCLAMATION (GB))
SCR  SANDS OF WAR   (devaux cherie)LEZCANO JOSE 119 8.00    
  (by WAR FRONT out of EGYPTIAN STORM by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
SCR  SMOOTH WAVES   (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of EVIL KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
SCR  SPENDALOT   (brown c)ROSARIO JOEL 119 10.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of SIEMPRE MIA by SCAT DADDY)
SCR  WEIGH THE RISKS   (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.50 27% 2.70    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of BEAUTIFUL LIAR by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
 
SAR-2   07/30/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:46
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VINTAGE   (englehart jeffr)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00 14.60  
5  MAGGIE   (kirby t)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 5% 19.00 7.50 P
6  SHIGEKO   (rice linda)ORTIZ L 123 2.00 45% 1.20 1.65 S
4  JOEY THE FISH   (persaud randi)CASTILLO AMIN 118 30.00 28.75  
7  OUR ROSIE DIAMONDS   (nevin michel)TORRES A 113 4.00 8.10  
3  SAVE GRACE   (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 123 5.00 28% 2.60 5.60  
2  PRANA   (hiles je)SANTANA JR 120 4.50 8.00  
8  DASHING DELLA   (rodriguez gusta)CARMOUCHE K 120 8.00 5% 19.00 3.25  
 
SAR-3   07/30/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:25
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  CERTIFIED LOVERBOY   (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 118 15.00 5% 19.00 9.30 W
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of TASHA'S MOON by MALIBU MOON)
8  SEDONA RED   (palmer nichola)ROSARIO JOEL 124 12.00 3.25  
  (by STREET BOSS out of TAKE CHARGE ANNIE by GRAEME HALL)
10  ATLANTIC DANCER   (zito p)RIDER TBA 124 20.00 11.50  
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of SLOW SAND by DIXIELAND BAND)
4  PAXSATIONAL   (barker edwar)TORRES A 113 30.00 39.25  
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of BROWSE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
7  WAR OFFICER   (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 118 5.00 6% 14.80 5.80  
  (by WAR FRONT out of CLAIRE DE LUNE by GALILEO)
12  ARRO SMASH   (bauer phil)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50 20% 3.90 2.50  
  (by ARROGATE out of HENNESEY SMASH by ROLL HENNESSY ROLL)
9  FLY RIGHT   (gyarmati lea)CASTELLANO J 118 3.50 47% 1.10 4.00  
  (by ASTERN out of FLY BY by JOHAR)
11  KOOPS   (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00 6.70  
  (by GIRVIN out of ARCHANGELUS by EMPIRE MAKER)
SCR  CONVERSING   (mcgaughey cla)VELAZQUEZ R 118 6.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of TEXTING by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
SCR  GROWTH CAPITAL   (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 1.60    
  (by WAR FRONT out of ROOM SERVICE by MORE THAN READY)
SCR  JAMESTOWN   (tagg barc)LEPAROUX R 118 30.00    
  (by LOPE DE VEGA out of OKEEHEELEE by DANSILI (GB))
SCR  RIGHT TO WIN (IRE)   (brown c)ORTIZ L 118 1.60    
  (by INVINCIBLE SPIRIT out of ENJOYABLE by HOLY BULL)
SCR  TORIGO   (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 118 8.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
 
SAR-4   07/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  OBRIGADA   (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 2.00 43% 1.30 0.85 W
8  ICY REPLY   (ferraro jame)CASTELLANO J 124 4.00 10% 8.60 4.30 P
4  DOLCE SERA   (delauro edwa)TORRES A 119 15.00 28.50  
5  CHAMPAGNE POETRY   (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 122 10.00 10% 9.30 5.10  
3  GRACEFUL ROSE   (gorham michael )CARMOUCHE K 120 6.00 7.70  
1  CARBON   (kantarmaci )ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 3.00 10% 9.10 11.60  
2  LIBERTY FLAME   (begg )HERNANDEZ OMAR 117 8.00 12.50  
SCR  APRIL ANTICS   (kantarmaci mer)LEZCANO JOSE 124 3.00    
SCR  YOGI   (chichakly amira)DAVIS DYLAN 122 12.00    
 
SAR-5   07/30/2023 7260ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($156K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:34
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  FANNIE AND FREDDIE   (stall m)SAEZ LUIS 124 6.00 6.40  
10  TONED UP   (atras ro)SANTANA JR 122 4.50 7.70  
8  SIGNAL FROM NOISE   (brown c)ORTIZ JR 124 0.60 43% 1.30 0.30 S
4  AMANI'S IMAGE   (motion grah)VELAZQUEZ R 124 12.00 35% 1.90 4.00  
SCR  TALBEYAH (IRE)   (casse mark)ORTIZ JR 122 3.00    
SCR  MYRISKYAFFAIR   (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 122 4.00    
SCR  FRIVOLE (FR)   (motion grah)FRANCO MANUEL 124 3.50    
SCR  EVER SUMMER   (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 124 3.50    
SCR  WHATLOVELOOKSLIKE   (pletcher todd )PRAT FLAVIEN 126 4.50    
SCR  ENSEMBLE (IRE)   (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 8.00    
 
SAR-6   07/30/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 2 F PT- 4:08
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  ALYS BEACH   (amoss thom)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00 5% 19.00 8.30 W
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of PRAY FOR LESLIE by BERNARDINI)
5  LIFE TALK   (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119 2.50 31% 2.20 5.00 P
  (by GUN RUNNER out of TOUCHY FEELY by BROAD BRUSH)
4  MUGEN   (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 119 3.50 23% 3.30 2.10 S
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of PAOLA QUEEN by FLATTER)
3  WASKESIU   (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 4.00 4.60  
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of FINN'S GIRL by BERNARDINI)
7  RINGY DINGY   (gargan danny)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00 4.20  
  (by DIALED IN out of WIND CAPER by TOUCH GOLD)
1  ICE COLD   (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 119 15.00 23.40  
  (by MITOLE out of ICE WOMEN by STREET SENSE)
9  ALAMO   (lukas wayne)CARMOUCHE K 119 20.00 5% 19.00 13.10  
  (by NYQUIST out of LIBERTY GIRL by ALLEN'S PROSPECT)
8  JUST MUSIC   (terranov)SANTANA JR 119 15.00 5% 19.00 36.25  
  (by AUDIBLE out of NICHOLESLUCKYCHARM by TIZNOW)
2  PHANTASMICAL   (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 6.00 9.70  
  (by UNCLE MO out of AFLEETING LADY by AFLEET ALEX)
 
SAR-7   07/30/2023 5610ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($162.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:41
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  JERRY THE NIPPER   (pletcher todd )ORTIZ L 122 4.50 26% 2.80 4.00 W
2  KURAMATA (IRE)   (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 3.50 30% 2.40 2.70 P
9  EASTER (FR)   (motion g)GAFFALIONE TYLER 126 4.00 20% 3.90 4.10 S
1  STARTING OVER   (maker michae)GEROUX FLORENT 122 20.00 25.50  
12  MAIN EVENT   (weaver george)VELAZQUEZ R 122 15.00 13.10  
4  UNANIMOUS CONSENT (GB)   (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 6.00 7.30  
5  CHULAINN   (motion grah)FRANCO MANUEL 124 15.00 14.40  
7  FIELD PASS   (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 122 12.00 5% 19.00 22.80  
10  GRAND SONATA   (pletcher tod)CASTELLANO J 122 12.00 12.00  
6  DOMINICAN PIONEER   (ward a)SAEZ LUIS 122 10.00 5% 19.00 7.60  
SCR  COMMANDEER   (toner jam)LEPAROUX R 122 12.00    
SCR  RINALDI   (bond harold )TORRES A 117 15.00    
SCR  SAFE CONDUCT   (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 122 20.00    
SCR  SHERIFF BIANCO   (rice linda)ORTIZ L 122 2.50    
SCR  UNCLE MOONLIGHT   (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 124 4.00    
SCR  WARRIOR JOHNY   (bauer phili)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 3.00    
 
SAR-8   07/30/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($43K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:16
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  LEFTEMBEHIND   (tagg barclay)DAVIS KATIE 118 6.00 19% 4.40 4.70 W
1  MUDVILLE NINE   (trombetta m)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 6.00 6.30  
10  JUST FOR LUCK (AUS)   (asmussen stev)ORTIZ JR 118 3.50 13% 6.50 3.55 S
7  ATLANTA'S ACUNA   (levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 118 8.00 13% 6.70 3.55  
9  CATTANI   (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 118 12.00 10% 9.30 12.80  
4  STRATEGYFORYOU   (summers chad)TORRES A 119 20.00 38.25  
5  IMPULSIVE SPENDING   (arena)HERNANDEZ OMAR 113 30.00 31.00  
3  FORWARD CAST   (dunham bob )MARTINEZ R 124 50.00 58.25  
8  RULE BREAKER   (schultz lindsa)LEZCANO JOSE 118 2.50 25% 3.00 2.30  
SCR  UNCLE MARTY   (rice linda)ORTIZ L 118 4.00    
SCR  UTAMARO   (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 6.00    
 
SAR-9   07/30/2023 7260ft TURF RC13 GOOD Bowling Green Purse ($250K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:49
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  CHANNEL MAKER   (mott william )FRANCO MANUEL 120 20.00 15.20  
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of IN RETURN by HORSE CHESTNUT (SAF))
4  VERSTAPPEN   (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 122 15.00 5% 19.00 18.20 P
  (by WAR FRONT out of ANDROMEDA GALAXY by PEINTRE CELEBRE)
3  NEVER EXPLAIN   (mcgaughey claude )SAEZ LUIS 122 6.00 11% 8.40 7.90 S
  (by STREET SENSE out of BLACK OAK by FORESTRY)
11  DAUNT   (ribaudo robe)CASTELLANO J 118 30.00 33.25  
  (by NYQUIST out of PROMOTIONAL by ARTIE SCHILLER)
10  TAWNY PORT   (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 120 20.00 5% 19.00 27.25  
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of LIVI MAKENZIE by MACHO UNO)
1  HIGHEST HONORS   (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 8.00 7.50  
  (by TAPIT out of TAP YOUR FEET by DIXIELAND BAND)
5  SOLDIER RISING (GB)   (clement christ)ORTIZ L 118 4.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of SAHRAWI by PIVOTAL (GB))
7  THE GREY WIZARD (IRE)   (motion grah)VELAZQUEZ R 118 8.00 5.90  
  (by CARAVAGGIO out of FANCY by JUSTIFY)
9  REBEL'S ROMANCE (IRE)   (appleby char)MULLEN RICHARD 122 1.60 57% 0.80 0.55  
  (by DUBAWI out of MINIDRESS by STREET CRY (IRE))
SCR  ROCKEMPEROR (IRE)   (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 12.00    
  (by HOLY ROMAN EMPEROR out of MOTIVATION by MUHTATHIR)
SCR  STRONG QUALITY   (casse mark)GEROUX FLORENT 118 10.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of TIZ SO SWEET by TIZNOW)
 
SAR-10   07/30/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:21
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
14  LITTLE PRANKSTER   (bauer phil)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 2.00 49% 1.00 0.75 W
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of GOOD GRAMMAR by EXCHANGE RATE)
2  RISK FREE   (delauro edward)ROSARIO JOEL 119 8.00 6.10  
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of KEEP CROSSING by ISTAN)
3  ARRASOU   (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 4.00 14% 6.00 8.70 S
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of GOIAS by HARD SPUN)
8  FRAU DIABLO   (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 119 15.00 14.30  
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of AUNT ESME by BIRDSTONE)
12  BROOKLYN GIRLEE   (delacour arnau)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 10.00 5% 19.00 8.30  
  (by NYQUIST out of WICKEDLY by MR. GREELEY)
11  MATERIAL WITNESS   (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 119 20.00 31.50  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of MORE THAN BEAUTY by MORE THAN READY)
6  QUIESCENT   (ribaudo robe)TORRES A 114 20.00 5% 19.00 23.90  
  (by NYQUIST out of SAARLIGHT by SAARLAND)
4  RIVIERE   (weaver george)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.50 10% 9.10 7.50  
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of JULIE'S JEWELRY by DISTORTED HUMOR)
5  ALLEGEDLY (IRE)   (martin f)CARMOUCHE K 119 30.00 31.75  
  (by ARROGATE out of ROMANTICISM by GONE WEST)
SCR  DARK PRINCESS   (rice linda)ORTIZ L 119 12.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of SILENT QUEEN by KING OF KINGS (IRE))
SCR  GOING THE DISTANCE   (shirer m)SANTANA JR 119 15.00    
  (by TAPWRIT out of SHEISINITTOWINIT by STUDENT COUNCIL)
SCR  KICK A RHYME (IRE)   (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 10.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of ADHWAA by DAAHER)
SCR  OOLONG HAI (IRE)   (hennig mark)ORTIZ L 119 6.00    
  (by NO NAY NEVER out of SPRING GARDEN by CAPOTE)
SCR  SPUN SPECIAL   (gyarmati lea)CASTELLANO J 119 5.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of SPECIAL THANKS by BROKEN VOW)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.