Handicappers' Racing Form

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Saratoga
Sunday - July 30, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

SAR-1   Win (6/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00
SAR-2   Win (6/3/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-3   Win (9/12/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-4   Win (7/8/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-5   Win (8/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00
SAR-6   Win (5/4/6/8/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00
SAR-7   Win (2/11/9/6/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00
SAR-8   Win (8/6/10/7/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00
SAR-9   Win (9/3/4/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-10   Win (14/3/4/12/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
SAR-1   07/30/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 2 F PT- 1:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIFE'S AN AUDIBLE         (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 6.00    
1A  MIZ SENSE         (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GOLDEN GHOST (GB) Jun11         (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00    
SCR  WEIGH THE RISKS         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.50 27% 2.70    
BUCHU Jun16         (bauer a)ORTIZ L 119 6.00    
SCR  SANDS OF WAR         (devaux cherie)LEZCANO JOSE 119 8.00    
JUSTDENY         (gargan danny)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.50 28% 2.60    
SCR  OZARA (IRE)         (clement chri)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SMOOTH WAVES Jul07 Jun11       (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
CLASSY MISCHIEF Jul13         (contessa gary )CASTELLANO J 119 20.00    
SCR  SPENDALOT         (brown c)ROSARIO JOEL 119 10.00    
11  CAUSEWAY'S JEWEL         (dutrow anthony )VELAZQUEZ R 119 10.00    
 
SAR-2   07/30/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:46
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VINTAGE Jun04 May11 Apr15 Mar24 Mar03 (englehart jeffrey)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00    
PRANA May25 Apr28 Jan13 Dec07 Nov10 (hiles jeff)SANTANA JR 120 4.50    
SAVE GRACE Jun17 May21 Mar18 Feb24 Nov23 (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 123 5.00 28% 2.60    
JOEY THE FISH Jul16 Jun17 May19 Apr27 Apr02 (persaud randi)CASTILLO AMIN 118 30.00    
MAGGIE Jul16 Jun15 Nov19 Oct24 Sep25 (kirby t)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
SHIGEKO Dec18 Nov19 Jun19     (rice linda)ORTIZ L 123 2.00 45% 1.20    
OUR ROSIE DIAMONDS May21 Apr29 Mar05 Jan26 Jan06 (nevin michelle)TORRES A 113 4.00    
DASHING DELLA Jun23 May29 May04 Apr13 Mar12 (rodriguez gustavo)CARMOUCHE K 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
SAR-3   07/30/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GROWTH CAPITAL Sep01 Jul22 Jun24 Apr16 Feb26 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 1.60    
SCR  RIGHT TO WIN (IRE) Jul01 May07 Mar12     (brown c)ORTIZ L 118 1.60    
SCR  CONVERSING Oct02 Aug20       (mcgaughey claud)VELAZQUEZ R 118 6.00    
CERTIFIED LOVERBOY Jun03 May07 Oct02 Aug07 Jul03 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
PAXSATIONAL Jul15 Jul01 May28 Jan06 Dec16 (barker edward )TORRES A 113 30.00    
SCR  JAMESTOWN May06 Mar19 Feb04 Jan07 Dec17 (tagg barcla)LEPAROUX R 118 30.00    
SCR  TORIGO Jul01 Oct02 Aug13     (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 118 8.00    
WAR OFFICER         (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 118 5.00 6% 14.80    
SEDONA RED Jun25 May25 Jan13     (palmer nicholas)ROSARIO JOEL 124 12.00    
FLY RIGHT Jul07 Jun03 Nov06 Oct02 Sep03 (gyarmati leah)CASTELLANO J 118 3.50 47% 1.10    
10  ATLANTIC DANCER Jun22 May02 Mar23 Mar02 Feb04 (zito nichola)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 20.00    
11  KOOPS Sep22         (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00    
12  ARRO SMASH Jul02         (bauer philip)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50 20% 3.90    
 
SAR-4   07/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CARBON Jul13 Jun16 May20 May04 Apr02 (kantarmaci me)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 3.00 10% 9.10    
SCR  APRIL ANTICS Jul26 Jul03 Jun04 Apr23 Apr07 (kantarmaci mertk)LEZCANO JOSE 124 3.00    
LIBERTY FLAME Jul09 Jun04 May11 Apr23 Apr02 (begg ja)HERNANDEZ OMAR 117 8.00    
GRACEFUL ROSE Jul13 Jun22 May27 May04 Dec30 (gorham e)CARMOUCHE K 120 6.00    
DOLCE SERA Jun01 May20 Apr28 Mar31 Feb24 (delauro edward)TORRES A 119 15.00    
CHAMPAGNE POETRY May18 Apr22 Feb24 Jan29 May28 (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 122 10.00 10% 9.30    
SCR  YOGI Jul16 May19 Mar12 Dec29 Nov26 (chichakly amira)DAVIS DYLAN 122 12.00    
OBRIGADA Jul13 Jun10 May20 Apr29 Mar30 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 2.00 43% 1.30    
ICY REPLY Jun16 May20 May04 Apr20 Mar25 (ferraro james )CASTELLANO J 124 4.00 10% 8.60    
 
SAR-5   07/30/2023 7260ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($156K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:34
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TALBEYAH (IRE) Jul01 May27 Jan26 Aug13 Jul01 (casse mark)ORTIZ JR 122 3.00    
SCR  EVER SUMMER Jul01 Jun01 Nov18 Oct23 Sep30 (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 124 3.50    
SCR  MYRISKYAFFAIR Jul04 May19 Apr22 Nov13 Oct23 (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 122 4.00    
AMANI'S IMAGE Jul04 May20 Apr20 Jul16 Jun03 (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 124 12.00 35% 1.90    
SCR  ENSEMBLE (IRE) Jul08 Jun11 Apr28 Mar04 Feb12 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 8.00    
SCR  FRIVOLE (FR) Jul01 May18       (motion graham)FRANCO MANUEL 124 3.50    
SCR  WHATLOVELOOKSLIKE Jul04 May26 Apr27 Oct20 Sep05 (pletcher a)PRAT FLAVIEN 126 4.50    
SIGNAL FROM NOISE Jun10 Mar10 Jan11 Nov17 Sep23 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 124 0.60 43% 1.30    
FANNIE AND FREDDIE Jun22 May05 Feb12 Jun11 May06 (stall m)SAEZ LUIS 124 6.00    
10  TONED UP May18 Apr21 Mar17 Feb24 Jan28 (atras rob)RIDER TBA 122 4.50    
 
SAR-6   07/30/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 2 F PT- 4:08
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ICE COLD         (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 119 15.00    
PHANTASMICAL         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 6.00    
WASKESIU         (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 4.00    
MUGEN         (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 119 3.50 23% 3.30    
LIFE TALK         (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 2.50 31% 2.20    
ALYS BEACH         (amoss thomas)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
RINGY DINGY         (gargan danny)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00    
JUST MUSIC         (terranova )SANTANA JR 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
ALAMO Jul07         (lukas wayne)CARMOUCHE K 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
SAR-7   07/30/2023 5610ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($162.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:41
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STARTING OVER Jun04 Mar10 Feb04 Nov13 Sep29 (maker michael )GEROUX FLORENT 122 20.00    
KURAMATA (IRE) Aug14 Jul01 Apr14 Jan15   (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 3.50 30% 2.40    
SCR  SAFE CONDUCT Jul04 Apr02 Mar04 Oct09 Aug06 (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 122 20.00    
UNANIMOUS CONSENT (GB) Oct22 Sep06 Jun04 Apr23 Feb04 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 6.00    
CHULAINN Jul01 May19 Nov19 Oct22 Jun19 (motion graham)FRANCO MANUEL 124 15.00    
DOMINICAN PIONEER Jun04 Apr20 Oct21 Sep03 Aug05 (ward a)SAEZ LUIS 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
FIELD PASS Feb04 Dec17 Oct09 Sep14 Sep10 (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  RINALDI May29 Oct30 Apr09     (bond ja)TORRES A 117 15.00    
EASTER (FR) Jun22 May20 Apr07 Jun30 May14 (motion gra)GAFFALIONE TYLER 126 4.00 20% 3.90    
10  GRAND SONATA Dec26 Nov19 Oct22 Sep05 Aug06 (pletcher todd )CASTELLANO J 122 12.00    
11  JERRY THE NIPPER Jul03 May29 Nov19 Sep24 Aug26 (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 122 4.50 26% 2.80    
12  MAIN EVENT Aug06 Jul02 May07 Apr02 Mar05 (weaver george)VELAZQUEZ R 122 15.00    
SCR  COMMANDEER Jun17 Apr20 Jul30 Apr02 Jan29 (toner james)LEPAROUX R 122 12.00    
SCR  WARRIOR JOHNY Jul02 Jun04 Nov17 Sep24 Aug18 (bauer philip )ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 3.00    
SCR  SHERIFF BIANCO Jul16 Jul01 May29 Apr30 Apr23 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 122 2.50    
SCR  UNCLE MOONLIGHT Jun15 Apr29 Mar04 Feb05 Jan06 (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 124 4.00    
 
SAR-8   07/30/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($43K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:16
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MUDVILLE NINE Jun01 Apr14 Mar18 Feb24   (trombetta mic)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 6.00    
SCR  UNCLE MARTY May05 Apr07 Nov13 Sep29 Sep05 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 118 4.00    
FORWARD CAST Jul01 Jun11 Apr22 Mar10   (dunham g)MARTINEZ R 124 50.00    
STRATEGYFORYOU Jun04 May19 Apr23     (summers chad)TORRES A 119 20.00    
IMPULSIVE SPENDING Jul21 Jun18 May19 Apr16 Apr07 (arenas )HERNANDEZ OMAR 113 30.00    
LEFTEMBEHIND Jul08 Jun09 May06 Mar17 Oct27 (tagg barclay)DAVIS KATIE 118 6.00 19% 4.40    
ATLANTA'S ACUNA Jun03 May06 Nov11 Oct27 Oct07 (levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 118 8.00 13% 6.70    
RULE BREAKER Jun17 Apr21 Mar04     (schultz lindsay)LEZCANO JOSE 118 2.50 25% 3.00    
CATTANI         (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 118 12.00 10% 9.30    
10  JUST FOR LUCK (AUS) Jun03 May06 Mar18 Oct15   (asmussen steven)ORTIZ JR 118 3.50 13% 6.50    
SCR  UTAMARO Jul21 May29       (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 6.00    
 
SAR-9   07/30/2023 7260ft TURF RC13 GOOD Bowling Green Purse ($250K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:49
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIGHEST HONORS Jun10 Mar04 Nov26 Oct14 Sep10 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 8.00    
SCR  ROCKEMPEROR (IRE) Jun10 May06 Oct08 Aug27 Jul31 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 12.00    
NEVER EXPLAIN Jun17 May20 Mar01 Jan18 Jan01 (mcgaughey ii)SAEZ LUIS 122 6.00 11% 8.40    
VERSTAPPEN Jul08 May13 Apr22 Mar25 Feb04 (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
SOLDIER RISING (GB) Jun10 May13 Nov26 Oct08 Aug27 (clement christop)ORTIZ L 118 4.00    
SCR  STRONG QUALITY Jun10 Apr13 Feb25 Jan20 Nov19 (casse mark)GEROUX FLORENT 118 10.00    
THE GREY WIZARD (IRE) Jun09 Apr27 Feb05 Jan20 Nov25 (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 118 8.00    
CHANNEL MAKER Jun09 May13 Apr22 Jan28 Nov05 (mott i)FRANCO MANUEL 120 20.00    
REBEL'S ROMANCE (IRE) Nov05         (appleby charle)MULLEN RICHARD 122 1.60 57% 0.80    
10  TAWNY PORT Apr22 Mar18 Feb18 Sep24 Jul30 (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
11  DAUNT Jul01 May27 May11 Nov26 Oct21 (ribaudo robert)CASTELLANO J 118 30.00    
 
SAR-10   07/30/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:21
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  KICK A RHYME (IRE)         (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 10.00    
RISK FREE Jul08 Jun24 May28 Apr30 Apr15 (delauro j)ROSARIO JOEL 119 8.00    
ARRASOU         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 4.00 14% 6.00    
RIVIERE Jun10         (weaver george)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.50 10% 9.10    
ALLEGEDLY (IRE)         (martin f)CARMOUCHE K 119 30.00    
QUIESCENT Jun10 May12 Apr15 Aug28   (ribaudo robert)TORRES A 114 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SPUN SPECIAL Jul08 Jun10 May13 Nov04 Oct14 (gyarmati leah)CASTELLANO J 119 5.00    
FRAU DIABLO         (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 119 15.00    
SCR  OOLONG HAI (IRE) Jun10 Apr02 Mar05 Jan22 Dec18 (hennig mark)ORTIZ L 119 6.00    
SCR  GOING THE DISTANCE Mar26 Mar01       (shirer mat)SANTANA JR 119 15.00    
11  MATERIAL WITNESS Oct14         (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 119 20.00    
12  BROOKLYN GIRLEE Jul05         (delacour arnaud)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  DARK PRINCESS Jul20 May26 May12     (rice linda)ORTIZ L 119 12.00    
14  LITTLE PRANKSTER Jun24 Jun03 May02     (bauer philip)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 2.00 49% 1.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.