Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Ellis Park
Friday - July 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ELP-4   EXA (13/2/3/12/5)-(13/2/3/12/5) 20 $2.00 $40.00  2-13 $42.08 $2.08 5%
Simulator Race results
 
ELP-1   07/21/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  NAVY SOUL   (pittman )RODRIGUEZ A 118 12.00 18.72  
6  BATUKHAN (IRE)   (newton tr)TORRES A 123 2.00 27% 2.70 2.61 P
1  CRONUS   (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 123 4.50 3.05  
3  TROPIC STORM   (habeeb j)BEJARANO R 123 5.00 16% 5.20 2.65  
2  BLAME SHIFTER   (vanden britt)EMIGH A 118 4.50 20% 4.00 2.67  
5  NOTION   (lovell michell)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 3.00 9.82  
 
ELP-2   07/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:14
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  CRAVENSWORTH   (moquett e)NAVAS YOEL 112 6.00 10.34  
3  MR. COMMANDER   (king barry)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 3.00 10% 9.00 3.57 P
5  THE BIG MOZZ   (trujillo elvis)STEVENS C 124 4.50 30% 2.30 4.37 S
2  REDHILL   (pittman )RODRIGUEZ A 114 10.00 12.68  
6  KING OF KENTUCKY   (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 119 1.80 35% 1.80 0.84  
1  RANSAM PAYNTER   (hewitt mi)TORRES A 119 4.00 8.44  
 
ELP-3   07/21/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 ALL PT- 1:43
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  PASS THE HAT   (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 119 3.00 26% 2.90 2.24 W
  (by COLLECTED out of VERONIQUE by MIZZEN MAST)
3  OMEX   (walsh brendan )CHUAN MARTIN 119 4.00 5.42  
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
9  NUEVO AMANECER   (bahena i)RODRIGUEZ A 114 20.00 5% 19.00 25.95 S
  (by MASTERY out of MIDNIGHT SWINGER by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
2  PHREDDIE MAC   (asmussen )TORRES A 119 6.00 3.79  
  (by HARD SPUN out of FINANCIAL RECOVERY by STREET CRY (IRE))
1  LEAD FOOT   (hamilton )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 8.00 11.60  
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of LILY'S GIRL by MARIA'S MON)
4  MENA   (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 2.50 32% 2.10 3.18  
  (by HARD SPUN out of PANGBURN by CONGRATS)
8  WARNING SIGNS   (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 119 15.00 5% 19.00 11.54  
  (by BERNARDINI out of EMMA CARLY by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
6  TENNESSEE LAMB   (arnold r)LANERIE J 119 12.00 8.52  
  (by TONALIST out of TENNESSEE WHISKEY by PERSIAN TURBAN (IRE))
SCR  HEY JOE JOE   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.50    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of PEACH BREW by MILWAUKEE BREW)
 
ELP-4   07/21/2023 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:13
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  JUST A PHOTO   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.00 24% 3.10 1.96 W
13  SIX MISSIONS   (hamilton )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 3.00 29% 2.50 6.59 P
7  SOUTHERN CRUSH   (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 118 20.00 26.99  
1  FIGHT'N READY   (stewart dalla)MORALES EDGAR 118 8.00 3.51  
3  CURLINS INCHARGE   (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 118 4.00 17% 5.00 4.80  
12  TRICOLOUR   (miller kenn)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 10.00 9% 10.60 8.79  
8  COAL BOSS   (foley greg)GEROUX FLORENT 118 8.00 20.72  
5  SELF RULE   (preston rand)CALLEJA ANDRES 114 20.00 5% 19.00 30.98  
6  SAPELO SOUND   (lovell michell)SAEZ GABRIEL 124 12.00 38.13  
11  SILVER RALEIGH   (beckman d )CORRALES GERARDO 118 15.00 32.44  
9  CHANCE   (drury thomas )TALAMO JOSEPH 118 8.00 11.48  
SCR  CREATIVE WAY   (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00    
SCR  FIGHTERTOWN   (amoss thomas )GILLIGAN JACK 118 10.00    
SCR  PITAGORE   (engler jeff)LANERIE J 124 12.00    
 
ELP-5   07/21/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  SEVEN FLAT   (moquett e)BEJARANO R 123 6.00 6.21  
3  PRINCELY   (mcpeek ke)TORRES A 118 8.00 8.04  
1  SINGLE RULER   (desormeaux ke)COHEN DAVID 118 4.00 24% 3.10 1.64 S
2  JEWELSTOWN   (peitz dan )MURRILL MITCHELL 118 12.00 5% 19.00 6.70  
6  BOLD LOOKER   (wilkes r)CANNON DECLAN 123 8.00 6.16  
5  CONSTITUTIONAL LAW   (cano juan)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 3.50 39% 1.60 5.26  
7  APOLLO RISING   (walden wil)CORRALES GERARDO 123 2.50 7% 14.30 5.44  
SCR  SEAS OF NORMANDY   (jones larry)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 8.00    
 
ELP-6   07/21/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 ALL PT- 3:18
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  TIMBERLAKE   (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.00 23% 3.30 1.25 W
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of PIN UP by TAPIT)
1  WEST SARATOGA   (demeritte larry)BEJARANO R 119 5.00 8.78  
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of MO WICKED by UNCLE MO)
6  CAN GROUP   (casse mark)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 2.50 31% 2.20 5.26 S
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of BLUE GALLINA by STREET SENSE)
4  NORTHERN FLAME   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 6.00 8.40  
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of DARLING'S DARLING by BERNARDINI)
9  BLACK DIAMOND   (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 12.00 5% 19.00 3.76  
  (by STREET SENSE out of SNOW FALL by WAR FRONT)
3  DUTCH MILLS   (ortiz joh)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 15.00 5% 19.00 14.22  
  (by RUNHAPPY out of DUTCH PARROT by ESKENDEREYA)
2  CARD TRICK   (asmussen )TORRES A 119 8.00 11.47  
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of GAME FACTOR by THE FACTOR)
5  RACCOON RODEO   (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 119 8.00 42.38  
  (by BERNARDINI out of CORONADO ROSE by CORONADO'S QUEST)
8  BURGUNDY ROYALE   (lukas wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 20.00 5% 19.00 45.88  
  (by HIGHTAIL out of BURGUNDY ICE by STORM CAT)
 
ELP-7   07/21/2023 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($78K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  TILTED TOWERS   (vanden britt)EMIGH A 122 6.00 5.28  
6  ATRAS   (hewitt mi)TORRES A 122 4.00 23% 3.40 7.11 P
8  AMERICAN MAYHEM   (divito jam)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 10.00 7.60  
3  FIELD DAY   (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.50 4.35  
9  UNPREDICTABLE BAY   (hammond kim)CANNON DECLAN 122 25.00 5% 19.00 18.67  
2  RED HORNET   (meah m)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 15.00 22.10  
1  GREGORY'S PRIDE   (d'amato phili)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 2.50 45% 1.20 2.29  
10  IMPROBABLE JOURNEY   (shirer a)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 10.00 5% 19.00 22.73  
5  BOURBON HEIST   (wilkes r)NAVAS YOEL 115 8.00 6% 16.40 4.85  
7  ORIENT MAGIC   (french r)ORTIZ ALVIN 122 30.00 59.87  
SCR  WILLTORUN   (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 122 4.50    
 
ELP-8   07/21/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($74K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  GROUP EIGHTEEN   (williamso)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 125 12.00 8.15  
4  MASTER GAME   (forster t)GRAHAM J 123 15.00 5% 19.00 4.63 P
8  REDEMPTION TIME   (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 10.00 14.93  
1  HAVILDAR   (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 2.50 34% 1.90 0.95  
7  MAASAI WARRIOR   (leonard i)BEJARANO R 123 8.00 6.32  
3  CAN'T HUSH THIS   (morse l)CHUAN MARTIN 125 6.00 9% 10.50 6.97  
5  MO'S TREASURE   (lukas wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 20.00 43.99  
6  SHOTSHELL   (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 118 8.00 33% 2.00 13.63  
SCR  FAMILY MAN   (medina robert)LANERIE J 123 4.00    
SCR  PROTEGE   (moquett r)TORRES A 118 6.00    
 
ELP-9   07/21/2023 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:55
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PURE COUNTRY   (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 124 6.00 2.46  
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of HONEY LAKE by HONEYLAND)
7  SASSY WALKER   (d'amato phili)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 2.50 37% 1.70 2.22 P
  (by MUNNINGS out of SASINI by FASTNET ROCK)
5  SHESASMALLTOWNGIRL   (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 119 15.00 5% 19.00 6.19 S
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of MY PAIGE'S JEWEL by FOREST WILDCAT)
4  EVERGRANDE   (asmussen )TORRES A 119 4.50 23% 3.40 5.78  
  (by UNCLE MO out of NIKKI'S CHOICE by FORESTRY)
6  INVENTING ANNA   (mccarthy w)GRAHAM J 119 8.00 7% 12.40 10.22  
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of YES LIZ by YES IT'S TRUE)
9  UNDER ADVISEMENT   (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 119 3.00 12% 7.70 7.57  
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of WALTZINGINTHERAIN by TIZWAY)
10  SAUCY SECRET   (hobby ste)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 15.00 18.85  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of TIZ MIZ SUE by TIZNOW)
2  GATHERING STORM (SAF)   (harrigan william)NAVAS YOEL 112 15.00 20.22  
  (by JOSHUA DANCER out of REIGNING STORM (AUS) by RUBITON (AUS))
3  SOFIA'S SONATA   (hancock a)BAYS BROOKE 109 30.00 40.45  
  (by STORMY ATLANTIC out of SCENE NOT HEARD by ROYAL ACADEMY)
SCR  AMERICAN FAIRYTALE   (wilkes ia)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 15.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of FAIRYLAND by SCAT DADDY)
SCR  EYES OF GOLD   (demeritte larry)BEJARANO R 119 5.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of MS TRISH S. by SMOKE WARNING)
SCR  HOLD MY HALO   (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 12.00    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of MODENA BAY by VOLKSRAAD)
SCR  ISLANDINTHESTREAM   (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 119 10.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of COLORFUL CHARADES by DISCREET CAT)
SCR  PHAT CHANCE FANCY   (foster eri)CORRALES GERARDO 119 15.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of SPARKLING CITY by CAPE TOWN)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.