Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Saratoga
Wednesday - August 09, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
SAR-3   EXA (3/7/8)-(3/7/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00  3-8 $8.20 $2.20 37%
    TRI (3/7/8)-(3/7/8)-(3/7/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00  3-8-7 $11.80 $8.80 293%
SAR-4   WIN (8/4/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $7.00 $1.00 17%
    DD (3/7/8)-(8/4/10) 9 $1.00 $9.00  3-4 $10.50 $1.50 17%
Simulator Race results
 
SAR-2   08/09/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:46
See original race card.
:223 :461 1:122     1:191   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  CARBON 7 1 31 31   2½ 1¼ (kantarmaci )ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 3.50 43% 1.30 1.75 W
7  OUR ROSIE DIAMONDS 6 3 2nk 1½   1½ 2¼ (nevin mi)SANTANA JR 118 8.00 15% 5.70 6.10 P
6  HARLAN'S BOND 5 5 52¼ 41   3½ 31 (donk david)TORRES A 115 5.00 3.30  
8  SUSIE'S SAVER 8 2 63¾ 63½   53¾ 43 (paragallo jenn)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 10.00 5.10  
3  HANDLE THE TRUTH 2 6 42 52   43½ 55¼ (metiv)HERNANDEZ OMAR 115 15.00 5% 19.00 19.90  
5  SWEET SENSATION 4 7 77¼ 76   75¼ 66 (seyler doug)MARTINEZ R 122 30.00 43.00  
2  AERON WARRIOR 1 4 1nk 2½   64¾ 79¼ (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 8.00 18% 4.40 4.50  
4  JOEY THE FISH 3 8 815¼ 813   89¼ 811½ (persaud randi)CASTILLO AMIN 120 30.00 20.00  
SCR  PILLBOX               (joseph saf)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 1.20    
SCR  SHIGEKO               (kantarmaci mertka)SAEZ LUIS 122 3.50    
 
SAR-3   08/09/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($88K) 2 F PT- 2:19
See original race card.
:223 :463 :592     1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  TRICKY TEMPER 2 5 32½ 33   11 14¾ (englehart jer)VELAZQUEZ R 119 2.00 40% 1.50 1.20 W
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of WINTER BOOK by RIVA RIDGE)
8  MY KINDA MISCHIEF 5 1 21 21   21 24¾ (martin f)DAVIS DYLAN 119 4.50 8% 12.30 4.00 P
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of OFF THE BOURBON by CURLIN)
7  RED BURGUNDY 4 2 11 11   31 36½ (de horaci)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.50 18% 4.40 3.45 S
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of PARC MONCEAU by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
10  CALL HER BLUFF 6 6 68½ 67½   44 47¼ (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 119 15.00 13.80  
  (by AUDIBLE out of MINE AS WELL by MINESHAFT)
4  DORTH'S SOL DANCER 3 3 53½ 44   54¼ 58¾ (ferraro m )GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 10.00 8.00  
  (by SOLOMINI out of SECRET CANDY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
2  PLAY FREE BIRD 1 4 42½ 54½   610¼ 624 (contessa c)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00 5.80  
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of STORMY SATURDAY by STORMY ATLANTIC)
SCR  LONCHURA               (chichakly a)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 6.00    
  (by TONALIST out of MADOFFWITHTHECASH by DIXIE UNION)
SCR  MISS D'OR CHERIE               (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of ABOVE FASHION by PADDY O'PRADO)
SCR  PRETTY UP               (rodriguez rudy)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 4.50    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of DANCING FOR GLORY by EXCHANGE RATE)
SCR  REALTA               (albertrani thomas)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of SOUL OPPOSITION by THUNDER GULCH)
SCR  STORMY DISCO               (dini mike)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 8.00    
  (by DISCO PARTNER out of SCATCAPADE by SCAT DADDY)
SCR  TURBO MAGGIE               (sells rache)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 20.00    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of WALTON PLACE by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
 
SAR-4   08/09/2023 7260ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($156K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:52
See original race card.
:25 :493 1:132 1:381   2:032   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  CLASSIC CATCH 2 2½ 2½ 21 2nk 2nk 1¼ (pletcher todd )PRAT FLAVIEN 120 4.00 10% 9.20 2.50 W
9  COSTA TERRA 5 32½ 33 32½ 1nk 1nk 2¼ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 3.00 2.95  
8  OUSTER 4 65 69½ 44½ 35 38 317¼ (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 126 1.40 57% 0.70 1.25 S
5  ROYAL TRYST 3 53½ 47½ 56 510 515 424½ (arenas marce)TORRES A 117 20.00 23.20  
10  TRIDENT HIT 6 1½ 1½ 11 46 414 525 (moquett e)SAEZ LUIS 122 8.00 6% 15.20 6.00  
3  MOLIERE 1 43½ 57½ 66½ 610½ 619 627½ (kanta)HERNANDEZ OMAR 115 30.00 32.50  
SCR  BURNING BRIGHT               (casse no)SANTANA JR 122 6.00    
SCR  CORELLI               (thomas jonath)FRANCO MANUEL 122 2.00    
SCR  CROSS BORDER               (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 122 5.00    
SCR  DYNADRIVE               (morley tho)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 1.80    
SCR  TIDE OF THE SEA               (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 122 1.80    
 
SAR-6   08/09/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 2 F PT- 4:00
See original race card.
:214 :453 :584     1:053   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  JODY'S PRIDE 4 2 2½ 1nk   11½ 110½ (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 2.50 28% 2.60 1.65 W
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of JODY'S SONG by SCAT DADDY)
4  MIA MARCELA 3 3 1½ 2nk   21½ 210½ (asmussen ste)GEROUX FLORENT 119 4.00 8% 11.10 3.40 P
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
16  SOLVE THE PUZZLE 6 5 67½ 56¾   38 311½ (brown c)CASTELLANO J 119 2.00 27% 2.60 1.55 S
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of SWEET SUGAR by UNION RAGS)
3  LYRICAL PARDON 2 1 44½ 45¾   48½ 414¾ (amoss thoma)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 12.00 11.50  
  (by JUSTIFY out of TREBLE by MACHO UNO)
10  SUGAR N SPICE 5 4 34 35½   515½ 530¼ (abreu fernan)TORRES A 114 15.00 18.40  
  (by ADIOS CHARLIE out of TRAVELATOR by A. P JET)
2  TAP THE KEG 1 6 56½ 610¼   622 644½ (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 119 20.00 12.60  
  (by TAPITURE out of KEY IS TO WIN by DIXIE UNION)
SCR  LUZ DIVINA               (hamm timothy)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of DIVINA LUZ by WILD EVENT)
SCR  MY CORA               (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of OFTEN (IRE) by GALILEO (IRE))
SCR  REAGAN'S VERSION (GB)               (devaux c)SANTANA JR 119 6.00    
  (by OASIS DREAM (GB) out of BARROCHE by KODIAC (GB))
SCR  INTO STARS               (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 119 6.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of STAR BILLING by DYNAFORMER)
SCR  HOUSEFLY (IRE)               (maker michae)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 8.00 5% 18.50    
  (by UNKNOWN out of ISTORIA by CAMELOT (GB))
SCR  HONEY DIJON               (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00    
  (by GIRVIN out of ARCHANGELUS by EMPIRE MAKER)
SCR  BUTTERCREAM BABE               (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 119 10.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of RUNWAY READY by MR. GREELEY)
SCR  Z TRAIN (IRE)               (dutrow anthony )CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00 5% 18.50    
  (by CHURCHILL out of MNEMONIC ALEXANDER by KODIAC (GB))
SCR  BOBBY JEAN               (hennig mark)RIDER TBA 119 12.00    
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of PROMENADE STAR by HAYNESFIELD)
SCR  BUNDCHEN               (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 119 3.50    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of NO MORE PARTIES by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
 
SAR-7   08/09/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:34
See original race card.
:222 :452 1:11     1:174   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  CLUBHOUSE 5 2 2½ 2nk   11 15½ (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.00 36% 1.80 0.65 W
9  TOMMY GUN 4 1 1½ 1nk   21 25½ (maker michael )PRAT FLAVIEN 124 6.00 26% 2.90 2.55 P
5  PRESSURE 3 3 41½ 43   34 38¼ (rodriguez ru)TORRES A 117 12.00 4.20  
3  MODERN MIDAS 2 4 3½ 3½   45½ 417¼ (rodriguez r)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 30.00 15% 5.50 11.00  
1  BASIS RISK 1 5 55 510   511½ 519¾ (coffey maria)BRIDGMOHAN X 122 30.00 20.10  
SCR  ASYMMETRIC (IRE)               (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 2.00    
SCR  HATCH (GB)               (martin f)DAVIS DYLAN 122 10.00    
SCR  MORNING CUP               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 4.50    
SCR  RED D G P               (ferraro jame)CASTELLANO J 124 8.00    
SCR  SOUNDS SPOOKY               (jones edua)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 113 30.00    
 
SAR-8   08/09/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($149.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:10
See original race card.
:251 :483 1:124 1:253   1:384   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INTO HAPPINESS 1 7 78½ 66½ 43 41½ 1hd (hennig mark)VELAZQUEZ R 125 6.00 4.30  
7  COPPA GIRL 6 5 42 31½ 31½ 3½ 2hd (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.50 3.20  
6  SHEZZ KOLDAZICE 5 3 21 2½ 21½ 2nk 31 (morey will)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 10.00 5% 19.00 12.40 S
3  RAGING SEA 3 1 11 1½ 11½ 1nk 41¾ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 1.60 65% 0.50 1.05  
9  VIENNA CODE 7 2 31 43 68½ 58 510¾ (will)HUAYAS (JASON) 125 30.00 56.00  
2  IN MY OPINION 2 6 53½ 55 58 69½ 616 (bedard alan)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 30.00 44.50  
4  FANCY AZTECA 4 4 65 7100 7100 7100 7100 (dutrow richard )DAVIS DYLAN 118 12.00 5% 19.00 5.00  
SCR  PHAROAH'S HEART               (nevin michelle)LEZCANO JOSE 125 3.50 9% 10.70    
SCR  SWEET WILLEMINA               (lake a)CARMOUCHE K 125 8.00    
 
SAR-9   08/09/2023 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Johnstone Mile Purse ($125K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:44
See original race card.
:242 :472 1:121 1:252   1:39   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VENTI VALENTINE 1 5 52¼ 41½ 42½ 21½ 1½ (abreu r)FRANCO MANUEL 124 3.00 5.20  
  (by FIRING LINE out of GLORY GOLD by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
6  TIMELESS JOURNEY 5 3 32 31 2½ 11½ 2½ (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 123 4.50 7% 12.90 7.90 P
  (by VERRAZANO out of MATCHMADEINHEAVEN by UTOPIA (JPN))
5  BETSY BLUE 4 1 42 53 53½ 42 31 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 3.00 58% 0.70 1.00 S
  (by TONALIST out of HONEST TO BETSY by YONAGUSKA)
3  KNOW IT ALL AUDREY 3 2 2½ 2nk 1½ 31½ 43¼ (barrera osca)CASTELLANO J 119 8.00 5% 19.00 10.60  
  (by SHACKLEFORD out of KNOW IT ALL ANNA by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
2  SUNSET LOUISE 2 4 1½ 1nk 31½ 55½ 515½ (levine bruce)SAEZ LUIS 122 2.50 1.95  
  (by TONALIST out of ASH ZEE by EXCHANGE RATE)
SCR  BUSTIN BAY               (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 122 6.00    
  (by BUSTIN STONES out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR  MIA BEA STAR               (persaud randi)DAVIS DYLAN 118 20.00    
  (by RACE DAY out of CONTINETTA by BERNSTEIN)
 
SAR-10   08/09/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($88K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:18
See original race card.
:243 :481 1:131 1:262   1:40   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MORETHANAFEELING 1 4 63½ 66 54½ 51½ 1½ (servis t)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00 11% 8.20 1.85 W
  (by BLAME out of BLITHELY by EXCHANGE RATE)
14  REFUAH 9 6 2½ 21 1½ 1½ 2½ (walder pete)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 4.50 40% 1.50 3.35 P
  (by DAREDEVIL out of SMITTEN CAT by TALE OF THE CAT)
11  UNION TRAIL 7 5 52½ 52½ 3½ 2½ 32 (tagg barclay)CASTELLANO J 118 10.00 5% 18.80 3.05 S
  (by CONSTITUTION out of FOREST TRAIL by FOREST WILDCAT)
8  LT. MITCHELL 6 2 42½ 32 41 41 43 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 6.00 19% 4.40 6.90  
  (by THE LIEUTENANT out of WILD BILL'S GIRL by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
7  KID KREESA 5 1 1½ 11 2½ 31 55¾ (dixon linda )TORRES A 113 15.00 48.25  
  (by BIG BROWN out of LADY KREESA by STONESIDER)
4  IMPAZIBLE PRINCE 4 9 910¼ 912½ 811 712½ 617½ (albright george)DAVIS KATIE 124 15.00 31.00  
  (by MISSION IMPAZIBLE out of PRINCESS SARIAH by SUN KING)
3  Z DANCER 3 7 75 77 610 611½ 717¾ (romero r)SANTANA JR 118 10.00 5% 18.30 6.00  
  (by WAR DANCER out of STARSHIP FLARE by STEVIE WONDERBOY)
13  HERONEANDONLY 8 3 31½ 42½ 710½ 814½ 821¼ (goodwin ga)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 117 30.00 44.50  
  (by TEUFLESBERG out of SILENT NO MORE by SILENT NAME (JPN))
2  MUGSY FURY 2 8 85¼ 88 917 921 935½ (davis g)DAVIS DYLAN 124 30.00 31.75  
  (by BIG BROWN out of MEGHAN'S FURY by KALU)
SCR  BASTION               (albertrani thom)CARMOUCHE K 124 20.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of STAR GRAZING by SKY MESA)
SCR  CHULLIGAN               (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 118 6.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of BAR OF GOLD by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
SCR  PASCHAL MOON               (camejo m)VELAZQUEZ R 118 12.00    
  (by MAJESTIC CITY out of PLUTO FLIGHT by SILENT NAME (JPN))
SCR  SLAPINTHEFACE               (dutrow anthon)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.00    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of LOST INNOCENCE by LOOKIN AT LUCKY)
SCR  SQUID GAMER               (baker charlton)RIDER TBA 124 3.00    
  (by VIOLENCE out of SHOW ME THE CARATS by MORE THAN READY)
SCR  THE MANTICORE               (meadow e)USKE S 124 30.00    
  (by FUSAICHI PEGASUS out of MALIBU CRUZ by MALIBU MOON)
SCR  TONY O               (donk david)CARMOUCHE K 118 5.00    
  (by LAOBAN out of TOGA TIGER by HOLD THAT TIGER)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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