Handicappers' Racing Form

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Saratoga
Wednesday - August 09, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

SAR-1   Win (4/7/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-2   Win (1/2/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-3   Win (3/7/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-4   Win (8/4/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-5   Win (3/9/5/6/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00
SAR-6   Win (7/16/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-7   Win (10/9/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-8   Win (3/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-9   Win (5/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-10   Win (14/8/1/3/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
SAR-1   08/09/2023 12540ft TURF RC10 Allowance Purse ($70K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RHEBUS ROAD (IRE) May13         (dowling william)GARNER THOMAS 152 8.00 11% 8.50    
CIBOLIAN Jul14 Jun09 Oct09 Aug21 Jul30 (kingsley arch)HENDRIKS PARKER 156 4.50    
BANDUA Aug31 Aug15 Jul26     (morris neil )BESWICK HARRISON 152 3.00 11% 8.00    
RAMPOLDI PLAN         (young f)DUNNE ROBERT 150 2.00 31% 2.30    
BROWN DELIVERS Oct06 Sep11 Aug20 Jul31 Jun05 (davies g)DAVIES TEDDY 151 12.00    
HIGH MOUNTE (IRE) Jun25 Mar25 Nov05 Apr30   (kingsley arch)GALLIGAN GERARD 156 8.00    
NEOTROPIC Nov13 Oct15 Jul27 Jun26 Jun01 (fisher r)WATTERS GRAHAM 152 4.00 26% 2.80    
 
SAR-2   08/09/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:46
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  CARBON Jul30 Jul13 Jun16 May20 May04 (kantarmaci me)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 3.50 43% 1.30    
SCR  SHIGEKO Jul30 Dec18 Nov19 Jun19   (kantarmaci mertkan)SAEZ LUIS 122 3.50    
AERON WARRIOR May21 Apr28 Mar31 Mar03 Feb11 (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 8.00 18% 4.40    
HANDLE THE TRUTH Jul16 Jun17 May21 Apr27 Mar26 (metivie)HERNANDEZ OMAR 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
JOEY THE FISH Jul30 Jul16 Jun17 May19 Apr27 (persaud randi)CASTILLO AMIN 120 30.00    
SWEET SENSATION Jul10 Jun20 May16 May08 Apr07 (seyler dougla)MARTINEZ R 122 30.00    
HARLAN'S BOND Jul27 Jul03 May20 Apr22 Mar17 (donk david)TORRES A 115 5.00    
OUR ROSIE DIAMONDS Jul30 May21 Apr29 Mar05 Jan26 (nevin mich)SANTANA JR 118 8.00 15% 5.70    
SUSIE'S SAVER Jul16 Jul02 Jun17 May19 May12 (paragallo jennif)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 10.00    
SCR  PILLBOX Mar26 Mar01 Feb01 Apr28   (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 1.20    
 
SAR-3   08/09/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($88K) 2 F PT- 2:19
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TURBO MAGGIE         (sells rachel)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 20.00    
PLAY FREE BIRD Jul09 Jun23       (contessa c)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00    
TRICKY TEMPER         (englehart jeremi)ROSARIO JOEL 119 2.00 40% 1.50    
DORTH'S SOL DANCER         (ferraro an)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 10.00    
SCR  LONCHURA Jul09 May28 May11     (chichakly ami)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 6.00    
SCR  STORMY DISCO         (dini mike)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 8.00    
RED BURGUNDY         (de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.50 18% 4.40    
MY KINDA MISCHIEF         (martin f)DAVIS DYLAN 119 4.50 8% 12.30    
SCR  MISS D'OR CHERIE         (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.00    
10  CALL HER BLUFF         (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 119 15.00    
SCR  PRETTY UP         (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 119 4.50    
SCR  REALTA         (albertrani thomas)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00    
 
SAR-4   08/09/2023 7260ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($156K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:52
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DYNADRIVE Jun17 May06 Nov26 Oct09 Sep05 (morley thoma)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 1.80    
SCR  TIDE OF THE SEA Jun09 May06 Nov10 Sep16 Aug24 (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 122 1.80    
SCR  CROSS BORDER Jun09 Mar25 Nov13 Oct15 Sep24 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 122 5.00    
MOLIERE Jul08 Jun15 May06 Apr23 Apr08 (kantarm)HERNANDEZ OMAR 115 30.00    
CLASSIC CATCH Jun17 May13 Apr08 Mar02 Jan13 (pletcher a)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 4.00 10% 9.20    
ROYAL TRYST Jul23 Jun17 May20 Apr30 Mar25 (arenas marcelo)TORRES A 117 20.00    
SCR  BURNING BRIGHT Jul02 May05 Feb12 Nov24 Oct20 (casse norm)SANTANA JR 122 6.00    
SCR  CORELLI Jan28         (thomas jonathan)FRANCO MANUEL 122 2.00    
OUSTER Jul16 May29 Apr14 Mar18 Feb19 (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 126 1.40 57% 0.70    
COSTA TERRA Jul21 Jul01 May13 Apr01 Mar03 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 3.00    
10  TRIDENT HIT Jul02 May25 Feb25 Jan21 Feb19 (moquett e)SAEZ LUIS 122 8.00 6% 15.20    
 
SAR-5   08/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($83K) 2 F PT- 3:26
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY PROSPECT         (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00    
DAY AWAY         (contessa gary )CASTELLANO J 119 20.00    
ZADORSKY Jul07 Jun10       (catalano m)LEZCANO JOSE 119 2.50 49% 1.00    
ELUSIVE FASHION         (brion keri)CARMOUCHE K 119 12.00    
SHIMMERING ALLURE Jul16 Jun10       (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 119 6.00 7% 13.20    
ALTHENA         (paragallo )SANTANA JR 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
BORNFORGREATNESS         (hills )HUAYAS (JASON) 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
ECHO LAKE         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 5.00    
CRAZY CAMI Jul19         (maker michael )CASTILLO ISAAC 119 3.50 20% 4.10    
10  EXTRA DIRTY         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00    
 
SAR-6   08/09/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 2 F PT- 4:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BUTTERCREAM BABE         (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 119 10.00    
TAP THE KEG Jul13         (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 119 20.00    
LYRICAL PARDON Jun16         (amoss thomas )MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 12.00    
MIA MARCELA         (asmussen steve)GEROUX FLORENT 119 4.00 8% 11.10    
SCR  REAGAN'S VERSION (GB)         (devaux che)SANTANA JR 119 6.00    
SCR  MY CORA         (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00    
JODY'S PRIDE         (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 2.50 28% 2.60    
SCR  Z TRAIN (IRE)         (dutrow w)CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00 5% 18.50    
SCR  HOUSEFLY (IRE)         (maker michael )CASTILLO ISAAC 119 8.00 5% 18.50    
10  SUGAR N SPICE Jul08 Jun09 May18     (abreu fernando)TORRES A 114 15.00    
SCR  INTO STARS         (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 119 6.00    
SCR  LUZ DIVINA         (hamm timothy)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00    
SCR  HONEY DIJON Jul13         (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00    
SCR  BUNDCHEN Apr28         (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 119 3.50    
SCR  BOBBY JEAN         (hennig mark)RIDER TBA 119 12.00    
16  SOLVE THE PUZZLE         (brown c)RIDER TBA 119 2.00 27% 2.60    
 
SAR-7   08/09/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:34
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BASIS RISK Jul29 Jun23 May14 Apr30 Apr15 (coffey mariali)BRIDGMOHAN X 122 30.00    
SCR  RED D G P Jul15 Jul03 Jun04 May11 Apr23 (ferraro james )CASTELLANO J 124 8.00    
MODERN MIDAS Jul01 May14 Apr16 Mar19 Feb12 (rodriguez rud)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 30.00 15% 5.50    
SCR  ASYMMETRIC (IRE) Mar24 Dec16 Sep10 Jul17 Jun09 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 2.00    
PRESSURE Jul07 May11 Apr21 Mar04 Jun21 (rodriguez rudy)TORRES A 117 12.00    
SCR  SOUNDS SPOOKY Jul28 Mar31 Mar11 Mar05 Feb17 (jones eduard)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 113 30.00    
SCR  HATCH (GB) Jul29 Jun23 May21 May05 Jan26 (martin f)DAVIS DYLAN 122 10.00    
SCR  MORNING CUP Jul01 May04 Apr21 Feb21 Jan15 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 4.50    
TOMMY GUN Jul15 Jun17 May14 Sep24 Aug24 (maker j)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 6.00 26% 2.90    
10  CLUBHOUSE Jul08 Mar04 Feb11 Jan14 Dec16 (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.00 36% 1.80    
 
SAR-8   08/09/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($149.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INTO HAPPINESS Jul13 Jun23 Apr21 Apr08 Feb24 (hennig mark)VELAZQUEZ R 125 6.00    
IN MY OPINION Jul17 Jun23 May18 May08 Mar27 (bedard alan)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 30.00    
RAGING SEA Nov04 Oct07 Aug07     (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 1.60 65% 0.50    
FANCY AZTECA Jul02 Apr27 Apr07 Mar18 Feb02 (dutrow e)DAVIS DYLAN 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  PHAROAH'S HEART Jun16 Apr16 Mar17 Feb24 Dec09 (nevin michelle)LEZCANO JOSE 125 3.50 9% 10.70    
SHEZZ KOLDAZICE Jun29 May27 Apr28 Mar17 Feb26 (morey willia)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
COPPA GIRL Jul15 Jun10 May05     (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.50    
SCR  SWEET WILLEMINA Jul18 Jul01 May27 May14 Apr13 (lake a)CARMOUCHE K 125 8.00    
VIENNA CODE Jul22 Jul01 Jun03 May18 May06 (willia)HUAYAS (JASON) 125 30.00    
 
SAR-9   08/09/2023 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Johnstone Mile Purse ($125K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VENTI VALENTINE Jun24 May29 Dec17 Oct30 Aug26 (abreu r)FRANCO MANUEL 124 3.00    
SUNSET LOUISE Jul16 Jun16 May04 Oct30 Sep24 (levine bruce)SAEZ LUIS 122 2.50    
KNOW IT ALL AUDREY Jul20 May26 Apr30 Apr21 Mar12 (barrera oscar )CASTELLANO J 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BUSTIN BAY Jul13 Jun01 May04 Apr02 Mar03 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 122 6.00    
BETSY BLUE Jun25 Feb12 Jan21 Dec10 Dec03 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 3.00 58% 0.70    
TIMELESS JOURNEY May29 May06 Apr02 Mar12 Jan26 (handal raymond)ROSARIO JOEL 123 4.50 7% 12.90    
SCR  MIA BEA STAR Jul13 Jul02 Jun01 May04 Apr21 (persaud randi)DAVIS DYLAN 118 20.00    
 
SAR-10   08/09/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($88K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MORETHANAFEELING Jul03 May29 May11 Mar26 Feb26 (servis tyl)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00 11% 8.20    
MUGSY FURY Jul07 Jun09       (davis g)DAVIS DYLAN 124 30.00    
Z DANCER Jun23 May29 May05 Apr01 Mar18 (romero raf)SANTANA JR 118 10.00 5% 18.30    
IMPAZIBLE PRINCE Jul03 Nov05 Oct06 Sep15 Aug11 (albright r)DAVIS KATIE 124 15.00    
SCR  PASCHAL MOON         (camejo m)VELAZQUEZ R 118 12.00    
SCR  SLAPINTHEFACE Jun01 Nov11       (dutrow anthony )FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.00    
KID KREESA Jul14         (dixon k)TORRES A 113 15.00    
LT. MITCHELL Jul21 Jun01 May06 Oct09 Sep05 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 6.00 19% 4.40    
SCR  TONY O Jul21 Jun23 Jun01 May06 Apr14 (donk david)CARMOUCHE K 118 5.00    
SCR  BASTION Jul04         (albertrani th)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 20.00    
11  UNION TRAIL Jul04 May20 Mar12 Feb11   (tagg barclay)CASTELLANO J 118 10.00 5% 18.80    
SCR  CHULLIGAN Jun23 Oct07 Aug26     (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 118 6.00    
13  HERONEANDONLY Jul08 Jun01 Nov20 Nov13 Oct07 (goodwin gabr)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 117 30.00    
14  REFUAH Jul04 Jun09 May20 Apr21 Mar26 (walder peter )MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 4.50 40% 1.50    
SCR  SQUID GAMER May11 Apr14 Mar26 Feb17   (baker charlton)RIDER TBA 124 3.00    
SCR  THE MANTICORE Jun19 Jun21       (meadow e)USKE S 124 30.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.