Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Willowdale Steeplechase
Saturday - May 13, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
WIL-1   05/13/2023 11880ft TURF RC11 FIRM Liam Magee Purse ($10K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:00
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  BOOBY TRAP   (young leslie )TIERNEY CONOR 158 3.00 32% 2.10   W
  (by HARD SPUN out of BAIL OUT KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
4  TOP BRASS (GB)   (young lesl)KORRELL VIRGINIA 147 8.00 17% 5.00   P
  (by GLENEAGLES (IRE) out of CALIFORNIA by AZAMOUR (IRE))
5  FRONTLINE CITIZEN (IRE)   (beecher mark)LEVENTHAL ALEX 151 6.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of FOREIGN CITIZEN by PRESENTING (GB))
2  FAST VISION (FR)   (young leslie )GALLIGAN MARK 158 2.00    
  (by VISION D'ETAT out of MILU HAS by SAINT DES SAINTS (FR))
3  THREE O ONE   (boucher lilith)SWOPE ERIN 140 15.00 ★    
  (by LEA out of DYNAVERSE by DYNAFORMER)
1  BALTIMORE KID (IRE)   (brion keri)BOUCHER MELL 149 4.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
7  LEFT BLANK   (wyatt todd)SCULLY ELIZABETH 147 10.00 28% 2.50    
  (by SEVILLE out of BLANK INIVITION by NOT FOR LOVE)
 
WIL-2   05/13/2023 11880ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:30
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  THOMOND PARK   (hendriks r)KORRELL VIRGINIA 147 6.00 28% 2.60   W
1  EYE OF GUNFIGHTER   (smith lawrenc)GALLIGAN MARK 149 15.00 13% 6.50   P
2  GREYLOVER   (beecher mark)TETT FREDERICK 146 1.20    
5  POINT OF GRACE   (boucher lilith)BOUCHER R 154 8.00    
6  BIG RED CARDINAL   (gomens julie)GERAGHTY ROSS 146 10.00    
3  UNDERCOVER ROWDY (IRE)   (brion keri)BOUCHER MELL 147 2.00 34% 1.90    
 
WIL-3   05/13/2023 11880ft TURF RC11 FIRM Rose Tree Cup Purse ($20K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:00
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  DURRAGH (IRE)   (young leslie )TIERNEY CONOR 145 8.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of LAYLATI by GREEN DESERT)
3  RHEBUS ROAD (IRE)   (dowling will)TETT FREDERICK 158 4.00 35% 1.80   P
  (by CHAMPS ELYSEES out of RED RIDDLE by RED RANSOM)
4  OSCAR WINNER   (young f)WATTS MARK 157 8.00    
  (by LORD SHANAKILL out of RED PEAK by RIMROD)
2  WIGHTMAN (IRE)   (young lesl)KORRELL VIRGINIA 148 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ANJAAL out of DEFENSIVE BOAST by EL GRAN SENOR)
6  FEARSOME (GB)   (murphy cyril)SWOPE ERIN 148 3.00 28% 2.60    
  (by MAKFI (GB) out of LIXIAN (GB) by LINAMIX (FR))
1  SENOR SEVILLE   (hodsdon danie)GERAGHTY ROSS 150 20.00    
  (by SEVILLE (GER) out of LADINA by WILD AGAIN)
10  ANTICIPATING   (morris r)GALLIGAN MARK 151 10.00    
  (by OVERANALYZE out of CONFINED by MOJAVE MOON)
7  YANKEE DOODLE BOY   (fout doug)CULLINANE BRYAN 150 10.00 ★    
  (by DECLARATION OF WAR out of MISS LAA DI DA (GB) by DR FONG)
9  NEW APPOINTMENT (IRE)   (brion keri)BOUCHER MELL 148 6.00 8% 11.70    
  (by NEW APPROACH out of IRISH QUESTION by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
5  SEA MAST   (valentine richa)MILLER ZACH 152 15.00    
  (by MIZZEN MAST out of SEALINGTON by HARLINGTON)
12  JUNONIA   (morris r)CUNDITH SARAH 144 15.00    
  (by CITY ZIP out of SANIBEL STAR by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
SCR  BELLA COOLA   (voss eliza)SCULLY ELIZABETH 145 20.00    
  (by IMAGINING out of ZAFEEN'S PEARL by ZAFEEN (FR))
 
WIL-4   05/13/2023 18480ft TURF RC11 FIRM Buttonwood/Sycamore Farm Willowdale Steeplechase Purse ($35K) 5UP ALL PT- 2:30
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  RENEGADE RIVER   (dowling william)DALY GEORGE 170 2.00 ★    
  (by BELLAMY ROAD out of RIVER DYNA by DYNAFORMER)
4  FLAMING SWORD (IRE)   (valentine richa)MILLER ZACH 155 4.00    
  (by GOLD WELL (GB) out of TRICKY PRESENT (IRE) by PRESENTING (GB))
1  MONBEG STREAM (IRE)   (young lesli)PROCTER FREDDIE 170 1.20 64% 0.60   S
  (by LIBERTARIAN out of NO ORDINARY LOVE by EXPELLED)
2  GREAT ROAD   (davies g)PORETZ ERIC 160 3.00    
  (by THREE CHOPT ROAD out of GOODNESS GREATNESS by ALBERT THE GREAT)
 
WIL-5   05/13/2023 15840ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:00
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  TO BE OR NOT TO BE   (davies g)PORETZ ERIC 165 2.00 47% 1.10   W
  (by LIMEHOUSE out of ISABEL HARP by MOJAVE MOON)
4  PADDY'S CROWN   (hannum emily)MILLER ZACH 165 10.00    
  (by PADDY O'PRADO out of CROWN OF SHEBA by ALYSHEBA)
5  ISLAND NATION (IRE)   (neilson kathy)TIERNEY CONOR 158 3.00 13% 6.90   S
  (by UNKNOWN out of RETHINK by RAVEN'S PASS)
6  THE BUTLER YATES (IRE)   (young lesli)PROCTER FREDDIE 165 4.00 19% 4.20    
  (by YEATS out of KERRY'S GIRL by FLEMENSFIRTH)
3  PROFITEER   (stifel adai)CULLINANE BRYAN 165 15.00    
  (by WAR FRONT out of HIT IT RICH by SMART STRIKE)
7  BROOKLYN SPEIGHTS   (beecher mark)TETT FREDERICK 165 8.00 ★    
  (by BIG BROWN out of STARS AND SPEIGHTS by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
1  MARKET BUBBLE   (fisher joh)SCULLY ELIZABETH 160 6.00    
  (by FED BIZ out of TULIPMANIA by EMPIRE MAKER)
 
WIL-6   05/13/2023 15840ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($10K) 5UP ALL PT- 3:30
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  AWESOME ADRIAN   (neilson kathy)TIERNEY CONOR 170 0.80 50% 1.00   W
1  HUYANA   (stifel ada)KORRELL VIRGINIA 165 2.00 ★   P
2  OUR FRIEND (IRE)   (davies g)TAYLOR ERIKA 165 1.80    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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