Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Willowdale Steeplechase
Saturday - May 13, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
WIL-1   05/13/2023 11880ft TURF RC11 FIRM Liam Magee Purse ($10K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:00
See original race card.
4:502         4:502   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  BOOBY TRAP 6 69½ 717½ 516½ 57½ 2½ 11¼ (young leslie )TIERNEY CONOR 158 3.00 32% 2.10   W
  (by HARD SPUN out of BAIL OUT KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
4  TOP BRASS (GB) 4 2½ 1½ 12 13 1½ 21¼ (young lesl)KORRELL VIRGINIA 147 8.00 17% 5.00   P
  (by GLENEAGLES (IRE) out of CALIFORNIA by AZAMOUR (IRE))
5  FRONTLINE CITIZEN (IRE) 5 32½ 34 34½ 35 42½ 33½ (beecher mark)LEVENTHAL ALEX 151 6.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of FOREIGN CITIZEN by PRESENTING (GB))
2  FAST VISION (FR) 2 79½ 617½ 718 68½ 53½ 43½ (young leslie )GALLIGAN MARK 158 2.00    
  (by VISION D'ETAT out of MILU HAS by SAINT DES SAINTS (FR))
3  THREE O ONE 3 1½ 2½ 22 23 32½ 54½ (boucher lilith)SWOPE ERIN 140 15.00 ★    
  (by LEA out of DYNAVERSE by DYNAFORMER)
1  BALTIMORE KID (IRE) 1 59 517 617 79 76¾ 65¼ (brion keri)BOUCHER MELL 149 4.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
7  LEFT BLANK 7 46½ 416 414½ 46½ 66½ 710½ (wyatt todd)SCULLY ELIZABETH 147 10.00 28% 2.50    
  (by SEVILLE out of BLANK INIVITION by NOT FOR LOVE)
 
WIL-2   05/13/2023 11880ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:30
See original race card.
4:512         4:512   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  THOMOND PARK 4 69 510 57½ 37 33 12¾ (hendriks r)KORRELL VIRGINIA 147 6.00 28% 2.60   W
1  EYE OF GUNFIGHTER 1 32½ 23 21½ 21 1nk 22¾ (smith lawrenc)GALLIGAN MARK 149 15.00 13% 6.50   P
2  GREYLOVER 2 11½ 13 11½ 11 2nk 32¾ (beecher mark)TETT FREDERICK 146 1.20    
5  POINT OF GRACE 5 21½ 36 32 511½ 427½ 448¼ (boucher lilith)BOUCHER R 154 8.00    
6  BIG RED CARDINAL 6 59 610½ 612½ 615½ 566½ 5147 (gomens julie)GERAGHTY ROSS 146 10.00    
3  UNDERCOVER ROWDY (IRE) 3 47½ 48 46 47½ 6100 6100 (brion keri)BOUCHER MELL 147 2.00 34% 1.90    
 
WIL-3   05/13/2023 11880ft TURF RC11 FIRM Rose Tree Cup Purse ($20K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:00
See original race card.
4:463         4:463   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  DURRAGH (IRE) 8 107 74½ 2½ 13 11½ 1¾ (young leslie )TIERNEY CONOR 145 8.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of LAYLATI by GREEN DESERT)
3  RHEBUS ROAD (IRE) 3 44 54 32½ 23 21½ 2¾ (dowling will)TETT FREDERICK 158 4.00 35% 1.80   P
  (by CHAMPS ELYSEES out of RED RIDDLE by RED RANSOM)
4  OSCAR WINNER 4 65 1111½ 1017 917½ 521½ 322¾ (young f)WATTS MARK 157 8.00    
  (by LORD SHANAKILL out of RED PEAK by RIMROD)
2  WIGHTMAN (IRE) 2 33½ 32 59½ 46 316½ 423 (young lesl)KORRELL VIRGINIA 148 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ANJAAL out of DEFENSIVE BOAST by EL GRAN SENOR)
6  FEARSOME (GB) 6 54½ 85 812 613 419½ 524¾ (murphy cyril)SWOPE ERIN 148 3.00 28% 2.60    
  (by MAKFI (GB) out of LIXIAN (GB) by LINAMIX (FR))
1  SENOR SEVILLE 1 13 42½ 46½ 36 623½ 629½ (hodsdon danie)GERAGHTY ROSS 150 20.00    
  (by SEVILLE (GER) out of LADINA by WILD AGAIN)
10  ANTICIPATING 10 75½ 96½ 914 715 726½ 731½ (morris r)GALLIGAN MARK 151 10.00    
  (by OVERANALYZE out of CONFINED by MOJAVE MOON)
7  YANKEE DOODLE BOY 7 117½ 107½ 611 510 829½ 838½ (fout doug)CULLINANE BRYAN 150 10.00 ★    
  (by DECLARATION OF WAR out of MISS LAA DI DA (GB) by DR FONG)
9  NEW APPOINTMENT (IRE) 9 23 2½ 712 817 955½ 981¾ (brion keri)BOUCHER MELL 148 6.00 8% 11.70    
  (by NEW APPROACH out of IRISH QUESTION by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
5  SEA MAST 5 86 64½ 1127 10100 10100 10100 (valentine richa)MILLER ZACH 152 15.00    
  (by MIZZEN MAST out of SEALINGTON by HARLINGTON)
12  JUNONIA 11 96½ 1½ 1½ 11100 11100 11100 (morris r)CUNDITH SARAH 144 15.00    
  (by CITY ZIP out of SANIBEL STAR by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
SCR  BELLA COOLA               (voss eliza)SCULLY ELIZABETH 145 20.00    
  (by IMAGINING out of ZAFEEN'S PEARL by ZAFEEN (FR))
 
WIL-4   05/13/2023 18480ft TURF RC11 FIRM Buttonwood/Sycamore Farm Willowdale Steeplechase Purse ($35K) 5UP ALL PT- 2:30
See original race card.
7:143         7:143   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  RENEGADE RIVER 3 26 23 1½ 2½ 11 18½ (dowling william)DALY GEORGE 170 2.00 ★    
  (by BELLAMY ROAD out of RIVER DYNA by DYNAFORMER)
4  FLAMING SWORD (IRE) 4 331 325 310½ 1½ 21 28½ (valentine richa)MILLER ZACH 155 4.00    
  (by GOLD WELL (GB) out of TRICKY PRESENT (IRE) by PRESENTING (GB))
1  MONBEG STREAM (IRE) 1 16 13 2½ 37½ 3100 3100 (young lesli)PROCTER FREDDIE 170 1.20 64% 0.60   S
  (by LIBERTARIAN out of NO ORDINARY LOVE by EXPELLED)
2  GREAT ROAD 2 4100 4100 4100 4100 4100 4100 (davies g)PORETZ ERIC 160 3.00    
  (by THREE CHOPT ROAD out of GOODNESS GREATNESS by ALBERT THE GREAT)
 
WIL-5   05/13/2023 15840ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:00
See original race card.
5:572         5:572   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  TO BE OR NOT TO BE 2 14 15 12 12½ 12 11¾ (davies g)PORETZ ERIC 165 2.00 47% 1.10   W
  (by LIMEHOUSE out of ISABEL HARP by MOJAVE MOON)
4  PADDY'S CROWN 4 24 25 22 22½ 22 21¾ (hannum emily)MILLER ZACH 165 10.00    
  (by PADDY O'PRADO out of CROWN OF SHEBA by ALYSHEBA)
5  ISLAND NATION (IRE) 5 611½ 618½ 56 413½ 317 322¾ (neilson kathy)TIERNEY CONOR 158 3.00 13% 6.90   S
  (by UNKNOWN out of RETHINK by RAVEN'S PASS)
6  THE BUTLER YATES (IRE) 6 49½ 416½ 66½ 513½ 418 423¼ (young lesli)PROCTER FREDDIE 165 4.00 19% 4.20    
  (by YEATS out of KERRY'S GIRL by FLEMENSFIRTH)
3  PROFITEER 3 511 517 46 615 521 536¾ (stifel adai)CULLINANE BRYAN 165 15.00    
  (by WAR FRONT out of HIT IT RICH by SMART STRIKE)
7  BROOKLYN SPEIGHTS 7 713½ 723½ 35 34½ 6100 6100 (beecher mark)TETT FREDERICK 165 8.00 ★    
  (by BIG BROWN out of STARS AND SPEIGHTS by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
1  MARKET BUBBLE 1 39 315 7100 7100 7100 7100 (fisher joh)SCULLY ELIZABETH 160 6.00    
  (by FED BIZ out of TULIPMANIA by EMPIRE MAKER)
 
WIL-6   05/13/2023 15840ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($10K) 5UP ALL PT- 3:30
See original race card.
6:234         6:234   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  AWESOME ADRIAN 3 36½ 38½ 34½ 24½ 1nk 13½ (neilson kathy)TIERNEY CONOR 170 0.80 50% 1.00   W
1  HUYANA 1 13½ 17 13 14½ 2nk 23½ (stifel ada)KORRELL VIRGINIA 165 2.00 ★   P
2  OUR FRIEND (IRE) 2 23½ 27 23 34½ 33½ 36¼ (davies g)TAYLOR ERIKA 165 1.80    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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