Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Ellis Park
Saturday - July 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ELP-1   WIN (6/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $11.20 $5.20 87%
    EXA (6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00  1-2 $37.78 $25.78 215%
    TRI (6/1/2)-(6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00  1-2-6 $15.99 $12.99 433%
ELP-2   WIN (4/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $14.24 $8.24 137%
    DD (6/1/2)-(4/7/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00  1-2 $47.25 $38.25 425%
ELP-3   DD (4/7/2)-(4/12/1/6/10) 15 $1.00 $15.00  2-1 $33.27 $18.27 122%
    PK3 (6/1/2)-(4/7/2)-(4/12/1/6/10) 45 $0.50 $22.50  1-2-1 $117.71 $95.21 423%
    PK3 (6/1/2)-(4/7/2)-(4/12/1/6/10) 45 $0.50 $22.50  1-2-12 $23.19 $0.69 3%
ELP-4   EXA (1/5)-(1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00  1-5 $11.66 $7.66 192%
    DD (4/12/1/6/10)-(1/5) 10 $1.00 $10.00  1-1 $11.57 $1.57 16%
    PK3 (4/7/2)-(4/12/1/6/10)-(1/5) 30 $0.50 $15.00  2-1-1 $30.50 $15.50 103%
ELP-5   EXA (3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00  3-2 $14.24 $2.24 19%
    PK3 (4/12/1/6/10)-(1/5)-(3/2/5) 30 $0.50 $15.00  1-1-3 $20.07 $5.07 34%
    PK4 (4/7/2)-(4/12/1/6/10)-(1/5)-(3/2/5) 90 $0.50 $45.00  2-1-1/2/4-3 $144.37 $99.37 221%
    PK5 (6/1/2)-(4/7/2)-(4/12/1/6/10)-(1/5)-(3/2/5) 270 $0.50 $135  1-2-1-1/2/4-3 $1537 $1402 1039%
ELP-7   EXA (7/5/2/8)-(7/5/2/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00  5-2 $42.86 $18.86 79%
ELP-8   EXA (3/10/6/7)-(3/10/6/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00  3-7 $41.66 $17.66 74%
    TRI (3/10/6/7)-(3/10/6/7)-(3/10/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00  3-7-10 $48.09 $36.09 301%
    SFT (3/10/6/7)-(3/10/6/7)-(3/10/6/7)-(3/10/6/7) 24 $0.10 $2.40  3-7-10-6 $32.14 $29.74 1239%
ELP-9   WIN (7/4/9/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00  7 $10.28 $2.28 29%
    DD (3/10/6/7)-(7/4/9/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00  3-7 $25.96 $9.96 62%
    PK3 (7/5/2/8)-(3/10/6/7)-(7/4/9/8) 64 $0.50 $32.00  5-3-7 $37.31 $5.31 17%
Simulator Race results
 
ELP-1   07/15/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($40K) 2 ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:223 :461 1:113     1:181   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HAM SANDWICH 1 4 53½ 51¼   12½ 17½ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 2.50 19% 4.20 4.60 W
  (by HEART TO HEART out of VOODOO LOUNGE by PLEASANT TAP)
2  TIZ MY HERO 2 2 1nk 4¾   22½ 27½ (vance d)LANERIE J 119 5.00 13% 6.50 3.44 P
  (by BERNARDINI out of TIZ MY LADY by TIZNOW)
6  IN A JAM 6 1 3½ 3½   33 39½ (casse mar)TORRES A 119 1.80 46% 1.20 1.38 S
  (by PRESERVATIONIST out of YANKEE UNION by YANKEE GENTLEMAN)
5  COACH JIMI D 5 5 42½ 1½   44 411½ (divito james )TALAMO JOSEPH 119 10.00 11.85  
  (by GORMLEY out of SHANGHAI SNOOKIE by SHANGHAI BOBBY)
4  MASTER SWITCH 4 6 64½ 63¼   58 516½ (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 119 3.50 3.06  
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of KISS THE KING by ROMAN RULER)
3  HOT N LUCKY 3 3 2nk 2½   68½ 623¾ (mott riley)GARCIA MARTIN 119 8.00 14.03  
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of MY LADY LUCK by HARD SPUN)
 
ELP-2   07/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:14
See original race card.
:222 :45 :57     1:091   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  PURE PANIC 1 2 1½ 1nk   1½ 1¼ (foster e)RODRIGUEZ A 117 8.00 5% 19.00 6.12 W
3  ALL EYES WEST 2 4 2½ 2nk   2½ 2¼ (cano munoz)BEJARANO R 122 6.00 5.72  
4  SAMURAI PRINCE 3 1 31½ 31½   33½ 38½ (morey will)CORRALES GERARDO 122 5.00 69% 0.40 2.00 S
6  PALACE KITTEN 5 5 55 44   46 49½ (diodoro r)TORRES A 122 3.00 2.84  
5  LEGAL DEAL 4 3 42½ 55   58½ 513¼ (cano juan)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 2.00 3.22  
7  CROSSTOWN SHOOTOUT 6 6 68½ 69   68½ 613½ (claire alexis)LANERIE J 122 5.00 5% 17.50 9.73  
SCR  AERONAUT               (danner kelsey)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 15.00    
 
ELP-3   07/15/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 ALL PT- 1:43
See original race card.
:221 :454 :581     1:044   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COULDITBEMAJIC 1 5 42½ 42½   2nk 11¼ (brennan terry)BEJARANO R 119 5.00 20% 4.00 3.71 W
  (by KANTHAROS out of A P MAJETSTIC by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
3  BRIAN 3 2 1nk 2½   3½ 21¼ (mott riley)GARCIA MARTIN 119 10.00 12.30  
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of THE NOW CROWD by TIZNOW)
2  RAPID GREY 2 4 55½ 55   53¾ 32¼ (casse mar)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 8.00 1.93  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of MAYAN MILAGRA by MENIFEE)
4  RUNNIN' ROCKET 4 1 2nk 1½   1nk 43¾ (lynch a)GRAHAM J 119 2.50 23% 3.30 3.91  
  (by WAR FRONT out of CORPS DE BALLET by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
6  BERNIN HOT 6 3 31½ 31   43½ 56½ (davis christo)MORALES EDGAR 119 3.50 6% 14.70 5.31  
  (by BERNARDINI out of LAVENDER BABY by RUBIANO)
9  THOMAS AQUINAS 8 8 814½ 815   68¾ 69½ (wilkes ian)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00 15.57  
  (by CATHOLIC BOY out of SUNNY COVE by STREET CRY (IRE))
7  POLAR BEAR PLUNGE 7 6 710½ 713   911¼ 712 (casse mar)TORRES A 119 6.00 10.73  
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of LET IT SNOW by FROSTY THE SNOWMAN)
10  ONE RED CENT 9 9 916½ 915   811¼ 812¼ (jazdzews)RODRIGUEZ A 119 25.00 5% 19.00 20.92  
  (by DOMINUS out of UNEVEN by EVEN THE SCORE)
5  BEKHAMBOY 5 7 68 68½   710¾ 914½ (hancock jac)MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 15.00 30.97  
  (by FREE DROP BILLY out of LADY TULA by BIG SURF)
12  ALDER 10 10 10100 10100   10100 10100 (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 119 1.80 22% 3.50    
  (by HARD SPUN out of ARBOL by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
SCR  GAMBLIN GEORGE               (kelley james )CANNON DECLAN 119 30.00    
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of ROYAL COPENHAGEN by INCHINOR)
SCR  MCVICKER               (vanden britt)EMIGH A 119 12.00    
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of LIL' SASHA by WHYWHYWHY)
 
ELP-4   07/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($74K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:222 :453 :574     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MEGAN'S CLARA 1 4 42 32½   32 1¾ (casse w)GARCIA MARTIN 122 1.80 38% 1.70 0.67 W
5  PISTOL 3 2 1nk 22½   22 2¾ (van thomas)BEJARANO R 122 6.00 32% 2.10 3.42 P
6  CANCEL THIS 4 3 2nk 12½   12 31½ (romans dale)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 2.00 2.33  
3  CENTER STAGE 2 1 3½ 44½   45½ 416½ (foley greg)MORALES EDGAR 122 15.00 9.90  
SCR  CRACKALACKING               (hamilton )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 4.50    
SCR  SPARKLE OF HOPE               (foley greg)LANERIE J 122 5.00    
 
ELP-5   07/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:234 :48 1:13 1:26   1:394   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  BIG JAVA 2 2 32½ 31½ 2nk 1½ 15½ (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 123 2.50 34% 2.00 2.10 W
2  ELLIE DELI 1 1 11 1½ 1nk 2½ 25½ (rouck l)BEJARANO R 118 3.00 24% 3.20 2.08 P
4  HARDLY MISCHIEVOUS 3 5 54½ 42½ 54¼ 37 39¾ (simms jr)MACHADO LUAN 123 3.50 3.11  
7  PACIFIC GROVE (GB) 6 6 43½ 53 44 58½ 413¼ (gonzalez al)PETERSON FERRIN 123 25.00 22.05  
6  SNOWCREST 5 3 21 2½ 31½ 47 517½ (holsapple hutc)SAEZ GABRIEL 123 10.00 7.35  
5  PUGLIA 4 4 66½ 66½ 69¾ 616½ 654¼ (howard john)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 6.00 14% 6.20 5.26  
SCR  DOGWOODSMILLIEJANE               (taylor brent)GILLIGAN JACK 123 8.00    
SCR  FLORIS               (duvall wil)MICHEL MICKAELLE 123 8.00    
 
ELP-6   07/15/2023 5940ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:232 :471 1:112 1:372   1:503   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  BACKGROUND 1 1 1½ 1½ 11 1½ 1nk (puhich mike)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 20.00 3.40  
3  ETHICAL JUDGEMENT 2 2 2½ 2½ 31½ 2½ 2nk (walsh bre)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 12.00 3.70  
4  RISING EMPIRE 3 3 31½ 41½ 21 34 36¼ (walsh bren)HERNANDEZ J 122 5.00 18% 4.60 2.96 S
5  VINTAGE PRINT 4 4 53 52 53½ 46½ 412¾ (lobo paulo)CORRALES GERARDO 122 6.00 3.53  
9  DON'T FORGET 5 5 42½ 31 43 512 544 (shorter a)TORRES A 122 6.00 5% 19.00 2.33  
SCR  BIG DREAMING               (catalano wayne )LANERIE J 122 6.00 56% 0.80    
SCR  CELLIST               (arnold george)GARCIA MARTIN 122 4.00    
SCR  STARTING OVER               (maker mic)TORRES A 122 4.50    
SCR  TEMPLE               (maker michael )CHUAN MARTIN 122 2.50    
 
ELP-7   07/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:232 :464 1:114 1:243   1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  COPPA GIRL 4 4 21 2½ 12 14 17¾ (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 118 3.50 32% 2.10 2.04 W
  (by CONSTITUTION out of HALLIE GAY by SUMMER BIRD)
2  HEART HEADED WOMAN 2 1 11 1½ 22 24 27¾ (drury thoma)PETERSON FERRIN 124 8.00 5% 19.00 14.01 P
  (by MIDNIGHT STORM out of BRILLIANT BLAZE by SEEKING THE GOLD)
1  QUEEN OF MISSOULA 1 5 44 42½ 46 49 311 (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 118 8.00 11.85  
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of SERENE QUEEN by EXPLICIT)
7  EXCELLENT QUESTION 6 6 54 32½ 33½ 36½ 412½ (walsh bre)TORRES A 118 2.00 40% 1.50 0.91  
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of SWEET SUE by DESERT CLASSIC)
6  BIG DIG 5 2 67½ 56 58½ 510 513 (drury thom)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 4.00 7.67  
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of BOSTON MINE by MINESHAFT)
8  DOMINA 7 7 78 66½ 69 613 621½ (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00 5% 19.00 14.01  
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of INTERNAL AFFAIR by ORIENTATE)
3  GRACE'S GIFT 3 3 31½ 78½ 739 763 7100 (ramo)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 118 30.00 26.98  
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of MISS LARKSPUR by MORE THAN READY)
SCR  ROSE PARADE               (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 8.00    
  (by CURLIN out of ROSE GARDEN by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
 
ELP-8   07/15/2023 5610ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($74K) 3 F PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:23 :454 1:114 1:253   1:394   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  FOGO ISLAND 1 4 1½ 1½ 12½ 11 12¼ (lobo paulo)CORRALES GERARDO 120 8.00 25% 3.10 2.66 W
7  WINDY BAY 5 5 43 32½ 22½ 21 22¼ (van thomas)BEJARANO R 120 20.00 9% 9.80 7.07 P
10  C C CRUISE CONTROL 7 6 68 69½ 46½ 44 32¾ (mcpeek kenneth )LANERIE J 120 10.00 21% 3.80 4.10 S
6  JENNY LIND 4 1 57 57 33½ 33 45¾ (asmussen stev)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 10.00 18% 4.60 4.68  
5  DESTINE TO RACE 3 2 31½ 43 58½ 516 525 (lovell michel)MORALES EDGAR 120 15.00 3.31  
9  KATIE GOT LUCKY 6 7 79 710½ 716½ 618½ 625¾ (mcentee paul)MCENTEE GRACE 120 30.00 20.40  
4  ARDEN'S ASSAULT 2 3 2½ 2½ 612½ 720½ 753 (davis chris)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 12.00 5.06  
SCR  CLEVER JOKE               (catalano w)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.00    
SCR  MUSICAL SCORE               (cox brad )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 3.50    
SCR  PEDIGEEK               (casse mar)TORRES A 122 8.00    
SCR  STORM BAY               (devaux cherie)MACHADO LUAN 120 6.00    
SCR  UNSTABLE PRINCESS               (santamaria carlos)GRAHAM J 120 20.00    
 
ELP-9   07/15/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($74K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:221 :451 :571     1:034   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  RED HOT ROD 3 3 1nk 1½   12½ 15½ (hernandez rey)BEJARANO R 118 5.00 32% 2.10 4.14 W
3  ZARTOWNIS 1 2 2nk 2½   22½ 25½ (devaux cherie)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 6.00 5.52  
10  CUSTOM BOBBY'S 6 1 41½ 42   43½ 36½ (calhoun w)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 12.00 7.26  
9  GILDED RULER 5 4 31 31½   33½ 48½ (sharp joe)GRAHAM J 122 10.00 22% 3.50 1.98  
12  PROTEGE 7 6 53 54   56½ 510 (moquett r)TORRES A 118 15.00 4.41  
8  FADETHENOISE 4 5 84¼ 85   67 610¼ (maker michael)GARCIA MARTIN 118 10.00 5% 19.00 9.10  
13  SWIMMINGWITHSHARKS 8 8 63¼ 64   78 713¾ (cano munoz)NAVAS YOEL 115 20.00 15.69  
4  MIDNIGHT HURRICANE 2 7 73¼ 74½   811 822¼ (claire alexis)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 15.00 23% 3.40 14.40  
SCR  ARABIAN PRINCE               (barnett bob)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 4.00    
SCR  B D VALESKI               (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.50    
SCR  CADILLAC CANDY               (arnold r)LANERIE J 118 12.00    
SCR  GHENT               (hamilton sarah)EMIGH A 118 20.00    
SCR  HOCUS (GB)               (thompson mich)CANNON DECLAN 124 15.00    
SCR  WESTERN COMMAND               (foley greg)MORALES EDGAR 118 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.