Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Ellis Park
Saturday - July 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

ELP-1   WIN (6/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $11.20 $5.20 87%
    EXA (6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00  1-2 $37.78 $25.78 215%
    TRI (6/1/2)-(6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00  1-2-6 $15.99 $12.99 433%
ELP-2   WIN (4/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $14.24 $8.24 137%
    DD (6/1/2)-(4/7/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00  1-2 $47.25 $38.25 425%
ELP-3   DD (4/7/2)-(4/12/1/6/10) 15 $1.00 $15.00  2-1 $33.27 $18.27 122%
    PK3 (6/1/2)-(4/7/2)-(4/12/1/6/10) 45 $0.50 $22.50  1-2-1 $117.71 $95.21 423%
    PK3 (6/1/2)-(4/7/2)-(4/12/1/6/10) 45 $0.50 $22.50  1-2-12 $23.19 $0.69 3%
ELP-4   EXA (1/5)-(1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00  1-5 $11.66 $7.66 192%
    DD (4/12/1/6/10)-(1/5) 10 $1.00 $10.00  1-1 $11.57 $1.57 16%
    PK3 (4/7/2)-(4/12/1/6/10)-(1/5) 30 $0.50 $15.00  2-1-1 $30.50 $15.50 103%
ELP-5   EXA (3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00  3-2 $14.24 $2.24 19%
    PK3 (4/12/1/6/10)-(1/5)-(3/2/5) 30 $0.50 $15.00  1-1-3 $20.07 $5.07 34%
    PK4 (4/7/2)-(4/12/1/6/10)-(1/5)-(3/2/5) 90 $0.50 $45.00  2-1-1/2/4-3 $144.37 $99.37 221%
    PK5 (6/1/2)-(4/7/2)-(4/12/1/6/10)-(1/5)-(3/2/5) 270 $0.50 $135  1-2-1-1/2/4-3 $1537 $1402 1039%
ELP-7   EXA (7/5/2/8)-(7/5/2/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00  5-2 $42.86 $18.86 79%
ELP-8   EXA (3/10/6/7)-(3/10/6/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00  3-7 $41.66 $17.66 74%
    TRI (3/10/6/7)-(3/10/6/7)-(3/10/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00  3-7-10 $48.09 $36.09 301%
    SFT (3/10/6/7)-(3/10/6/7)-(3/10/6/7)-(3/10/6/7) 24 $0.10 $2.40  3-7-10-6 $32.14 $29.74 1239%
ELP-9   WIN (7/4/9/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00  7 $10.28 $2.28 29%
    DD (3/10/6/7)-(7/4/9/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00  3-7 $25.96 $9.96 62%
    PK3 (7/5/2/8)-(3/10/6/7)-(7/4/9/8) 64 $0.50 $32.00  5-3-7 $37.31 $5.31 17%

Simulator Race results

 
ELP-1   07/15/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($40K) 2 ALL PT-12:45
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAM SANDWICH   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 2.50 19% 4.20 4.60 W
  (by HEART TO HEART out of VOODOO LOUNGE by PLEASANT TAP)
TIZ MY HERO   (vance d)LANERIE J 119 5.00 13% 6.50 3.44 P
  (by BERNARDINI out of TIZ MY LADY by TIZNOW)
IN A JAM   (casse mar)TORRES A 119 1.80 46% 1.20 1.38 S
  (by PRESERVATIONIST out of YANKEE UNION by YANKEE GENTLEMAN)
COACH JIMI D   (divito james )TALAMO JOSEPH 119 10.00 11.85  
  (by GORMLEY out of SHANGHAI SNOOKIE by SHANGHAI BOBBY)
MASTER SWITCH   (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 119 3.50 3.06  
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of KISS THE KING by ROMAN RULER)
HOT N LUCKY   (mott riley)GARCIA MARTIN 119 8.00 14.03  
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of MY LADY LUCK by HARD SPUN)
 
ELP-2   07/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:14
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PURE PANIC   (foster e)RODRIGUEZ A 117 8.00 5% 19.00 6.12 W
ALL EYES WEST   (cano munoz)BEJARANO R 122 6.00 5.72  
SAMURAI PRINCE   (morey will)CORRALES GERARDO 122 5.00 69% 0.40 2.00 S
PALACE KITTEN   (diodoro r)TORRES A 122 3.00 2.84  
LEGAL DEAL   (cano juan)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 2.00 3.22  
CROSSTOWN SHOOTOUT   (claire alexis)LANERIE J 122 5.00 5% 17.50 9.73  
SCR  AERONAUT   (danner kelsey)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 15.00    
 
ELP-3   07/15/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 ALL PT- 1:43
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COULDITBEMAJIC   (brennan terry)BEJARANO R 119 5.00 20% 4.00 3.71 W
  (by KANTHAROS out of A P MAJETSTIC by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
BRIAN   (mott riley)GARCIA MARTIN 119 10.00 12.30  
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of THE NOW CROWD by TIZNOW)
RAPID GREY   (casse mar)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 8.00 1.93  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of MAYAN MILAGRA by MENIFEE)
RUNNIN' ROCKET   (lynch a)GRAHAM J 119 2.50 23% 3.30 3.91  
  (by WAR FRONT out of CORPS DE BALLET by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
BERNIN HOT   (davis christo)MORALES EDGAR 119 3.50 6% 14.70 5.31  
  (by BERNARDINI out of LAVENDER BABY by RUBIANO)
THOMAS AQUINAS   (wilkes ian)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00 15.57  
  (by CATHOLIC BOY out of SUNNY COVE by STREET CRY (IRE))
POLAR BEAR PLUNGE   (casse mar)TORRES A 119 6.00 10.73  
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of LET IT SNOW by FROSTY THE SNOWMAN)
10  ONE RED CENT   (jazdzews)RODRIGUEZ A 119 25.00 5% 19.00 20.92  
  (by DOMINUS out of UNEVEN by EVEN THE SCORE)
BEKHAMBOY   (hancock jac)MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 15.00 30.97  
  (by FREE DROP BILLY out of LADY TULA by BIG SURF)
12  ALDER   (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 119 1.80 22% 3.50    
  (by HARD SPUN out of ARBOL by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
SCR  GAMBLIN GEORGE   (kelley james )CANNON DECLAN 119 30.00    
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of ROYAL COPENHAGEN by INCHINOR)
SCR  MCVICKER   (vanden britt)EMIGH A 119 12.00    
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of LIL' SASHA by WHYWHYWHY)
 
ELP-4   07/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($74K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MEGAN'S CLARA   (casse w)GARCIA MARTIN 122 1.80 38% 1.70 0.67 W
PISTOL   (van thomas)BEJARANO R 122 6.00 32% 2.10 3.42 P
CANCEL THIS   (romans dale)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 2.00 2.33  
CENTER STAGE   (foley greg)MORALES EDGAR 122 15.00 9.90  
SCR  CRACKALACKING   (hamilton )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 4.50    
SCR  SPARKLE OF HOPE   (foley greg)LANERIE J 122 5.00    
 
ELP-5   07/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:45
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG JAVA   (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 123 2.50 34% 2.00 2.10 W
ELLIE DELI   (rouck l)BEJARANO R 118 3.00 24% 3.20 2.08 P
HARDLY MISCHIEVOUS   (simms jr)MACHADO LUAN 123 3.50 3.11  
PACIFIC GROVE (GB)   (gonzalez al)PETERSON FERRIN 123 25.00 22.05  
SNOWCREST   (holsapple hutc)SAEZ GABRIEL 123 10.00 7.35  
PUGLIA   (howard john)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 6.00 14% 6.20 5.26  
SCR  DOGWOODSMILLIEJANE   (taylor brent)GILLIGAN JACK 123 8.00    
SCR  FLORIS   (duvall wil)MICHEL MICKAELLE 123 8.00    
 
ELP-6   07/15/2023 5940ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BACKGROUND   (puhich mike)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 20.00 3.40  
ETHICAL JUDGEMENT   (walsh bre)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 12.00 3.70  
RISING EMPIRE   (walsh bren)HERNANDEZ J 122 5.00 18% 4.60 2.96 S
VINTAGE PRINT   (lobo paulo)CORRALES GERARDO 122 6.00 3.53  
DON'T FORGET   (shorter a)TORRES A 122 6.00 5% 19.00 2.33  
SCR  BIG DREAMING   (catalano wayne )LANERIE J 122 6.00 56% 0.80    
SCR  CELLIST   (arnold george)GARCIA MARTIN 122 4.00    
SCR  STARTING OVER   (maker mic)TORRES A 122 4.50    
SCR  TEMPLE   (maker michael )CHUAN MARTIN 122 2.50    
 
ELP-7   07/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COPPA GIRL   (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 118 3.50 32% 2.10 2.04 W
  (by CONSTITUTION out of HALLIE GAY by SUMMER BIRD)
HEART HEADED WOMAN   (drury thoma)PETERSON FERRIN 124 8.00 5% 19.00 14.01 P
  (by MIDNIGHT STORM out of BRILLIANT BLAZE by SEEKING THE GOLD)
QUEEN OF MISSOULA   (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 118 8.00 11.85  
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of SERENE QUEEN by EXPLICIT)
EXCELLENT QUESTION   (walsh bre)TORRES A 118 2.00 40% 1.50 0.91  
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of SWEET SUE by DESERT CLASSIC)
BIG DIG   (drury thom)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 4.00 7.67  
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of BOSTON MINE by MINESHAFT)
DOMINA   (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00 5% 19.00 14.01  
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of INTERNAL AFFAIR by ORIENTATE)
GRACE'S GIFT   (ramo)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 118 30.00 26.98  
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of MISS LARKSPUR by MORE THAN READY)
SCR  ROSE PARADE   (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 8.00    
  (by CURLIN out of ROSE GARDEN by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
 
ELP-8   07/15/2023 5610ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($74K) 3 F PT- 4:22
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOGO ISLAND   (lobo paulo)CORRALES GERARDO 120 8.00 25% 3.10 2.66 W
WINDY BAY   (van thomas)BEJARANO R 120 20.00 9% 9.80 7.07 P
10  C C CRUISE CONTROL   (mcpeek kenneth )LANERIE J 120 10.00 21% 3.80 4.10 S
JENNY LIND   (asmussen stev)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 10.00 18% 4.60 4.68  
DESTINE TO RACE   (lovell michel)MORALES EDGAR 120 15.00 3.31  
KATIE GOT LUCKY   (mcentee paul)MCENTEE GRACE 120 30.00 20.40  
ARDEN'S ASSAULT   (davis chris)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 12.00 5.06  
SCR  CLEVER JOKE   (catalano w)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.00    
SCR  MUSICAL SCORE   (cox brad )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 3.50    
SCR  PEDIGEEK   (casse mar)TORRES A 122 8.00    
SCR  STORM BAY   (devaux cherie)MACHADO LUAN 120 6.00    
SCR  UNSTABLE PRINCESS   (santamaria carlos)GRAHAM J 120 20.00    
 
ELP-9   07/15/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($74K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RED HOT ROD   (hernandez rey)BEJARANO R 118 5.00 32% 2.10 4.14 W
ZARTOWNIS   (devaux cherie)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 6.00 5.52  
10  CUSTOM BOBBY'S   (calhoun w)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 12.00 7.26  
GILDED RULER   (sharp joe)GRAHAM J 122 10.00 22% 3.50 1.98  
12  PROTEGE   (moquett r)TORRES A 118 15.00 4.41  
FADETHENOISE   (maker michael)GARCIA MARTIN 118 10.00 5% 19.00 9.10  
13  SWIMMINGWITHSHARKS   (cano munoz)NAVAS YOEL 115 20.00 15.69  
MIDNIGHT HURRICANE   (claire alexis)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 15.00 23% 3.40 14.40  
SCR  ARABIAN PRINCE   (barnett bob)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 4.00    
SCR  B D VALESKI   (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.50    
SCR  CADILLAC CANDY   (arnold r)LANERIE J 118 12.00    
SCR  GHENT   (hamilton sarah)EMIGH A 118 20.00    
SCR  HOCUS (GB)   (thompson mich)CANNON DECLAN 124 15.00    
SCR  WESTERN COMMAND   (foley greg)MORALES EDGAR 118 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.