Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Colonial Downs
Saturday - August 26, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CNL-2   WIN (3/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  5 $9.40 $3.40 57%
    DD (5/2/1)-(3/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00  5-5 $14.50 $5.50 61%
CNL-3   DD (3/2/5)-(10/9/2/7/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00  5-9 $18.90 $3.90 26%
    PK3 (5/2/1)-(3/2/5)-(10/9/2/7/8) 45 $1.00 $45.00  5-5-9 $88.40 $43.40 96%
CNL-8   EXA (3/5/2/12)-(3/5/2/1/12) 16 $1.00 $16.00  5-1 $26.10 $10.10 63%
    TRI (3/5/2/12)-(3/5/2/1/12)-(3/5/2/1/12) 48 $1.00 $48.00  5-1-3 $93.80 $45.80 95%
    DD (1/5/6/7)-(3/5/2/12) 16 $1.00 $16.00  1-5 $18.50 $2.50 16%

Simulator Race results

 
CNL-1   08/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:30
See original race card.
:224 :462 :581     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NINETEENAMENDMENT 5 1 11 12   15 1 (trombetta mich)ROSADO JOHAN 119 1.60 47% 1.10 1.30 W
  (by CONSTITUTION out of MAGGER BAGS by INDIAN CHARLIE)
FLITTER 2 3 21 22   25 2 (vera miguel)KARAMANOS A 124 1.80 20% 3.90 0.80 P
  (by GREAT NOTION out of FLIT by LYPHARD)
WHATSYOURBIGIDEA 4 7 7 4   4 3 (gaudet lacey)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 3.50 6.70  
  (by GREAT NOTION out of WEATHERURNOT by DANCE WITH RAVENS)
CHERISHED WISH 1 2 4 3   35 4 (lawrence )CARRASCO R 119 8.00 10% 9.30 18.70  
  (by MSHAWISH out of LOAN GUARANTEE by MALIBU MOON)
GOOD ACCELEBRATE 7 4 6 7   613 510¾ (williams gary )ROCCO S 119 20.00 17.90  
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of ACCELEBRATE by NORTHERN AFLEET)
CLARIFICATION 3 6 5 5   512½ 616¾ (pickett crystal )RUIZ JORGE 124 20.00 61.30  
  (by IRONICUS out of SOUTH BEACH LUV by SLIGO BAY (IRE))
OUR BREW 6 5 31 6   713¼ 717½ (rawlings amanda )AVILES YAN 119 10.00 37.70  
  (by OUR ENTOURAGE out of MISS BREW by GATTOPARDO)
 
CNL-2   08/26/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($34.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:00
See original race card.
:233 :49 1:123 1:364   1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
C MY MEISTER 5 3 3 2 21 1nk 1¼ (danner ke)HERNANDEZ J 123 5.00 11% 8.50 3.70 W
BRUCE BANNER 1 1 1 1 11 2nk 2¼ (campbell micha)CASTANON L 123 2.50 5.50  
TIJUANA BRASS 3 5 5 53 4 3.2 3½ (valvo zoe)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 3.00 38% 1.60 2.00 S
HOMETOWN HERO 6 6 6 63 6 5 4 (morgan carla)SILVERA RUBEN 123 30.00 16.70  
FUN LOVIN CRIMINAL 7 7 7 7 7 6 5 (brion keri)BOYCE FOREST 118 8.00 20.10  
SELECTO 4 4 4 4 5 4 64 (nunez ma)GALLARDO A 118 3.50 4.40  
FAST PAYDAY 2 2 2 32 3 7 7 (manning d)CARRASCO R 123 4.50 30% 2.40 3.10  
SCR  JUST DEAL WITH IT               (escobar aliso)JIMENEZ MANNY 123 30.00    
 
CNL-3   08/26/2023 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:29
See original race card.
:221 :451 :564     1:024   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STORM TRAPPE 9 2 3 3   1nk 1 (figgins ollie)KARAMANOS A 123 3.00 16% 5.40 3.30 W
10  ALL JOKES ASIDE 10 1 1nk 1   2nk 2 (meah ann)GALLARDO A 118 2.50 37% 1.70 2.10 P
GET THEM DIGITS 2 6 5 5   3 3 (allen ferris)RUIZ JORGE 123 6.00 15% 5.50 2.80 S
IRISH WARLOCK 5 8 6 4   43 4 (walters john )TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 10.00 6.30  
VOTETHEMALLOUT 8 10 9 9   8 5 (trombetta)CARRASCO R 123 5.00 5% 19.00 9.30  
GOLQUIST 7 5 7 7   6 6 (comi w)ROSADO JOHAN 123 6.00 6% 15.10 10.00  
JEST ABOVE 4 7 8 8   9 79 (nunez mauricio)MENDEZ KEVIN 123 20.00 42.10  
CAJUN FUN 3 3 42 6   78 8 (collins tim)ROCCO S 118 15.00 35.40  
HEART OF JOY 1 4 2nk 2   5 910 (manchan bertra)GOLIBRZUCH S 123 20.00 79.80  
WILD IRISHMAN 6 9 1011¾ 10   10 1010½ (werneth a)RIQUELME J 123 30.00 45.50  
 
CNL-4   08/26/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:02
See original race card.
:224 :464 1:114 1:24   1:362   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TANKA TOUGH 4 5 3 32 31 11 1½ (mcdermott sean)RUIZ JORGE 124 5.00 4.40  
NAA DUDETTE 3 8 8 8 7 31 2½ (falcone r)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 1.60 23% 3.30 1.30 P
HAINT BLUE (FR) 5 4 7 6 41 21 3 (brion keri)BOYCE FOREST 119 4.50 8% 10.80 2.20 S
SHE'S LIKE THUNDER 2 7 64 7 6 4 4 (allen f)HERNANDEZ J 124 30.00 18.60  
BLUE HOUR 1 1 11 11 1½ 54 512¾ (delacour )CARRASCO R 119 2.00 43% 1.30 3.90  
FIRELANE 8 6 52 42 5 67 613¾ (lusk brian )CASIQUE URBARDO 119 20.00 5% 19.00 42.40  
BOUNTY KILLAH 7 3 42 5 8 79 715 (richards marvin)RIQUELME J 119 30.00 54.40  
MAKAAN 6 2 21 21 2½ 815 829¼ (soldo elaine)CASTANON L 124 20.00 57.40  
SCR  WARWICK RIVER               (allen ferris)ASHTON GAVIN 119 20.00    
 
CNL-5   08/26/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:35
See original race card.
:223 :454 1:102 1:234   1:363   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DRUM AND DRUMMER 2 5 5 4 26 21 1½ (mcgoey m)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 123 20.00 18.10 DQ↓2
PURSUING PACE 7 8 87 811 4 3 2½ (magee kieron)SILVERA RUBEN 123 3.50 27% 2.70 2.70 W
FROSTY WARRIOR 1 9 9 913½ 811¼ 44 3½ (wasiluk peter)JIMENEZ MANNY 123 20.00 31.30  
MENTALIST 4 2 34 3 5 54 4 (bentley fennek)ROCCO S 123 8.00 7.30  
COSMICALITY 3 1 12 18 16 11 5 (allen ferris)RUIZ JORGE 123 5.00 28% 2.60 2.90  
10  NEUTRAL 9 7 6 610¾ 6 69 613¼ (magee kieron)KARAMANOS A 118 8.00 5% 17.30 4.40  
TAPIO (IRE) 5 6 76 710¾ 710¼ 7 714¼ (stidham m)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 3.00 16% 5.20 2.90  
STILL THE ONE 8 4 45 5 913¼ 911¼ 820¼ (richards marvin)RIQUELME J 116 30.00 74.00  
BOURBON BROWN 6 3 22 28 36 810¼ 925 (ferraro )GALLARDO A 123 10.00 18.80  
SCR  HIGH MOUNTE (IRE)               (kingsley archi)ASHTON GAVIN 123 6.00    
SCR  LOVE ME ARCHIE               (kelly bla)HERNANDEZ J 123 20.00    
 
CNL-6   08/26/2023 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($100K) 3 ALL PT- 4:08
See original race card.
:214 :441 :553     1:013   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIR LANCELOT 2 1 11 1   13 13 (stidham )GALLARDO A 111 1.50 48% 1.10 0.60 W
R B'S THE BOSS 3 3 43 33   23 23 (magana j)RUIZ JORGE 111 4.50 4.60  
ODINSON 5 5 21 2   3 3 (meyers madiso)KARAMANOS A 115 15.00 13% 6.60 2.60 S
O'CONNER SUNSET 4 4 5 4   4 415 (jones michael )ROSADO JOHAN 115 6.00 6.70  
ALL ABOUT LUCKY 1 2 33 5   512½ 522½ (rodriguez ang)CARDOSO DAVID 114 30.00 18.60  
SCR  SMOOTH FLYIN MIKE               (cibelli jane)SILVERA RUBEN 112 3.00    
SCR  WHERE IS MIKE               (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 117 4.00    
 
CNL-7   08/26/2023 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:214 :433 :552     1:013   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHAMBEAU 1 1 12 1nk   12 12 (aguirre antho)KARAMANOS A 122 3.00 43% 1.30 1.80 W
WHITEKNUCKLEFLYER 2 3 5 4   34 22 (capuano philli)BOYCE FOREST 122 10.00 14.30  
MOOR STRENGTH 4 7 7 7   5 32 (santillana)ALONSO LUIS 122 30.00 60.20  
GET THE CANDY 3 2 32 32   44 4 (maker mi)GALLARDO A 122 2.50 4.00  
FULMINATE 5 9 22 2nk   22 5 (cazares )VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 122 5.00 18% 4.60 7.60  
Z FIRST 7 8 6 6   7 65 (klesaris steve)ROCCO S 124 5.00 7% 14.30 2.30  
OUR STRONG VOWS 8 6 9 9   8 7 (godsey d)ASHTON GAVIN 122 30.00 53.40  
LEELOO 6 4 4 5   6 8 (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122 6.00 7% 13.30 8.50  
GOLDEN EFFECT 9 5 8 8   9 97 (trombetta)CARRASCO R 122 8.00 15.10  
 
CNL-8   08/26/2023 5940ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($30K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:10
See original race card.
:234 :48 1:12 1:363   1:484   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMALL FIELD 5 3 73 6 6 1 1½ (huffman ke)ALONSO LUIS 123 6.00 15% 5.60 2.00 W
GENERAL'S DUTY 1 12 12 11 117 7 2½ (cibelli jane)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 4.00 8.90 P
VAX A NATION 3 9 4 42 4 4 3¾ (trombetta mich)ROSADO JOHAN 118 4.50 57% 0.80 3.00 S
11  STELLAR LUTE 11 6 5 5 3 6 44 (shuman mark)RUIZ JORGE 114 30.00 30.30  
DYNA MAST 9 8 104 10 9 5 5 (fout douglas)AVILES YAN 123 3.50 12.40  
10  MASTER OF NONE 10 10 11 9 86 10 6 (trombetta mic)KARAMANOS A 118 8.00 9.70  
GRANDPA'S KID 7 5 83 8 74 8 7 (godsey d)ASHTON GAVIN 118 15.00 27.80  
LIGHTNING RIDGE 6 1 1nk 1½ 1nk 3 8 (brion ker)CARRASCO R 118 15.00 14.30  
DIABLO DADDY 8 11 94 12 128 11 9 (zook jeff)HERNANDEZ J 123 30.00 25.10  
KITTEN AROUND 2 4 6 7 5 9 1010¼ (brion keri)BOYCE FOREST 118 8.00 5% 19.00 13.50  
12  HASN'T HAD ENOUGH 12 7 2nk 2½ 2nk 2 1111½ (yanez r)ROCCO S 123 12.00 5% 19.00 6.90  
MOON SIGN 4 2 31 32 10 126 1213¾ (pradenas sergi)CASTANON L 118 20.00 70.80  
 
CNL-9   08/26/2023 6270ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:40
See original race card.
:241 :481 1:114 1:354   1:544   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIZ A GIANT 1 5 4 4 5 2 1 (trombetta)CARRASCO R 123 10.00 7.40  
11  SUERTE 8 2 2nk 1nk 11 1 2 (maker mi)GALLARDO A 120 3.00 43% 1.30 0.70 P
PAT'SSEWINGMACHINE 3 9 9 910½ 8 7 3 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 123 20.00 20.80  
12  THE HAPPY GIANT 9 6 6 66 7 44 44 (fulmer allison)BOYCE FOREST 123 30.00 24.70  
RICCIO 2 3 5 5 32 6 5 (sillaman richa)ROCCO S 118 3.50 18% 4.70 6.10  
10  IRON RANGER 7 1 1nk 2nk 42 5 6 (godsey ka)HERNANDEZ J 120 30.00 5% 17.50 32.00  
TOLAGA BAY 6 7 7 7 6 8 7 (kingsley arch)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 5.00 10.20  
MR. SHADES OF GRAY 4 4 32 3 21 34 813¼ (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 123 10.00 7% 12.70 4.30  
TAPADINE 5 8 8 8 910¾ 918½ 925 (jones michael )ROSADO JOHAN 118 20.00 66.60  
SCR  CALLOWAY PEAK               (ward dan)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 123 15.00    
SCR  REEL WELL               (mcdermott sean)AVILES YAN 123 12.00    
SCR  TREASURE TROVE               (ginter raymond)ASHTON GAVIN 123 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.