Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Colonial Downs
Saturday - August 26, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CNL-1   WIN (5/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/1)-(5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/1)-(3/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/2/1)-(3/2/5)-(10/9/2/7/8) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
CNL-2   WIN (3/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/5)-(3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/5)-(10/9/2/7/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (3/2/5)-(10/9/2/7/8)-(2/4/6/9) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CNL-3   WIN (10/9/2/7/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/9/2/7/8)-(10/9/2/7/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/9/2/7/8)-(10/9/2/7/8)-(10/9/2/7/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/9/2/7/8)-(2/4/6/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (10/9/2/7/8)-(2/4/6/9)-(4/8/6/10) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CNL-4   WIN (2/4/6/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/6/9)-(2/4/6/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/6/9)-(2/4/6/9)-(2/4/6/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/4/6/9)-(4/8/6/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/4/6/9)-(4/8/6/10)-(4/7) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
CNL-5   WIN (4/8/6/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/8/6/10)-(4/8/6/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/8/6/10)-(4/8/6/10)-(4/8/6/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/8/6/10)-(4/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/8/6/10)-(4/7)-(1/5/6/7) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
CNL-6   WIN (4/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/7)-(4/7) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/7)-(1/5/6/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/7)-(1/5/6/7)-(3/5/2/12) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
CNL-7   WIN (1/5/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/6/7)-(1/5/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/6/7)-(1/5/6/7)-(1/5/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5/6/7)-(3/5/2/12) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/5/6/7)-(3/5/2/12)-(11/2/6/10) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CNL-8   WIN (3/5/2/12) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/2/12)-(3/5/2/1/12) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/5/2/12)-(3/5/2/1/12)-(3/5/2/1/12) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/5/2/12)-(11/2/6/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
CNL-9   WIN (11/2/6/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (11/2/6/10)-(11/2/6/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (11/2/6/10)-(11/2/6/10)-(11/2/6/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CNL-1   08/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHERISHED WISH Jul19         (lawrence )CARRASCO R 119 8.00 10% 9.30    
  (by MSHAWISH out of LOAN GUARANTEE by MALIBU MOON)
2  FLITTER Jul22         (vera miguel)KARAMANOS A 124 1.80 20% 3.90    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of FLIT by LYPHARD)
3  CLARIFICATION Aug03 Jul14 Jun09 May04 Apr15 (pickett g)HO WESLEY 124 20.00    
  (by IRONICUS out of SOUTH BEACH LUV by SLIGO BAY (IRE))
4  WHATSYOURBIGIDEA         (gaudet lacey)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 3.50    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of WEATHERURNOT by DANCE WITH RAVENS)
5  NINETEENAMENDMENT Aug10 Jul06 May25     (trombetta mich)ROSADO JOHAN 119 1.60 47% 1.10    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of MAGGER BAGS by INDIAN CHARLIE)
6  OUR BREW Aug03         (rawlings amanda )AVILES YAN 119 10.00    
  (by OUR ENTOURAGE out of MISS BREW by GATTOPARDO)
7  GOOD ACCELEBRATE Aug02 May24 May05 Mar18 Feb20 (williams gary )ROCCO S 119 20.00    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of ACCELEBRATE by NORTHERN AFLEET)
 
CNL-2   08/26/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($34.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRUCE BANNER Aug04 Jun07 May11 Apr21 Feb18 (campbell micha)CASTANON L 123 2.50    
2  FAST PAYDAY Aug19 Jul01 Apr22 Mar22 Mar03 (manning d)CARRASCO R 123 4.50 30% 2.40    
3  TIJUANA BRASS Aug12 Jun09 Aug31 Aug09 Jul08 (valvo zoe)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 3.00 38% 1.60    
4  SELECTO Aug10 Jul14 Jul01     (nunez ma)GALLARDO A 118 3.50    
5  C MY MEISTER Aug19 Feb16 Jan05 Dec08 Nov05 (danner ke)HERNANDEZ J 123 5.00 11% 8.50    
6  HOMETOWN HERO Aug19 Aug03 Jul03 Jun20 Jun06 (morgan carla)SILVERA RUBEN 123 30.00    
SCR  JUST DEAL WITH IT Aug19 Jul20 Jun17 Jan11 Dec31 (escobar aliso)JIMENEZ MANNY 123 30.00    
8  FUN LOVIN CRIMINAL Mar24 Feb25 Feb11 Jan22 Nov04 (brion keri)BOYCE FOREST 118 8.00    
 
CNL-3   08/26/2023 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEART OF JOY Aug02 Jul01       (manchan bertra)GOLIBRZUCH S 123 20.00    
2  GET THEM DIGITS Aug02 Jul14 May27 Dec16 Nov07 (allen ferris)RUIZ JORGE 123 6.00 15% 5.50    
3  CAJUN FUN Jun27 Apr21 Apr01 Mar11 Feb20 (collins tim)ROCCO S 118 15.00    
4  JEST ABOVE Aug16 Jul26 Jul04 May29 Apr08 (nunez mauricio)MENDEZ KEVIN 123 20.00    
5  IRISH WARLOCK Aug11 Jul23 May18 May04 Apr01 (walters john )TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 10.00    
6  WILD IRISHMAN Aug17 Jul20 Jul07 May24 Apr12 (werneth rober)FUENTES MARIO 123 30.00    
7  GOLQUIST Aug02 Jun24 May29 May01 Mar04 (comi w)ROSADO JOHAN 123 6.00 6% 15.10    
8  VOTETHEMALLOUT Dec10 Oct23 Oct08 Aug30 Jul18 (trombetta)CARRASCO R 123 5.00 5% 19.00    
9  STORM TRAPPE Aug10 Jul20 Jun30 May26 Apr21 (figgins ollie)KARAMANOS A 123 3.00 16% 5.40    
10  ALL JOKES ASIDE Aug04 Jul13 May18 Apr27 Apr14 (meah ann)GALLARDO A 118 2.50 37% 1.70    
 
CNL-4   08/26/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WARWICK RIVER Jul08 Oct06       (allen ferris)ASHTON GAVIN 119 20.00    
2  BLUE HOUR Aug03 Jul06       (delacour )CARRASCO R 119 2.00 43% 1.30    
3  SHE'S LIKE THUNDER Jul20 Jun15 May24 Sep07 Aug24 (allen f)HERNANDEZ J 124 30.00    
4  NAA DUDETTE Jul20 May14 Apr15 Mar10 Feb23 (falcone r)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 1.60 23% 3.30    
5  TANKA TOUGH Aug18 Jul09 Jun23 May27 May04 (mcdermott sean)RUIZ JORGE 124 5.00    
6  HAINT BLUE (FR) Aug12 Aug10 Jul09 Jul08 Jun03 (brion keri)BOYCE FOREST 119 4.50 8% 10.80    
7  MAKAAN Aug02 Jul14 Mar17 Feb04   (soldo elaine)CASTANON L 124 20.00    
8  BOUNTY KILLAH Aug05 Jul19 Jul01 Jun10 Jun02 (richard)CARRASQUILLO HECTOR 119 30.00    
9  FIRELANE         (lusk r)FUENTES MARIO 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
CNL-5   08/26/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FROSTY WARRIOR Aug17 Jul20 Jun30 Apr28 Apr08 (wasiluk peter)JIMENEZ MANNY 123 20.00    
SCR  HIGH MOUNTE (IRE) Jun25 Mar25 Nov05 Apr30   (kingsley archi)ASHTON GAVIN 123 6.00    
3  DRUM AND DRUMMER Aug02 Jun03 May16 Apr19 Mar25 (mcgoey m)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 123 20.00    
4  COSMICALITY Jun10 May29 Sep25 Aug14 Jul28 (allen ferris)RUIZ JORGE 123 5.00 28% 2.60    
5  MENTALIST Aug05 Jul14 Jun09 Nov04 Oct12 (bentley fennek)ROCCO S 123 8.00    
6  TAPIO (IRE) Aug03 Jul15 Jun11 May20 Mar04 (stidham m)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 3.00 16% 5.20    
7  BOURBON BROWN Aug02 Jul14 Jun20 May31 Apr28 (ferraro )GALLARDO A 123 10.00    
8  PURSUING PACE Aug17 Jul06 Jun03 Dec29 Nov24 (magee kieron)SILVERA RUBEN 123 3.50 27% 2.70    
9  STILL THE ONE Dec02 Oct26 Oct18 Sep22 Sep04 (richards m)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 116 30.00    
10  NEUTRAL Aug17 Aug05 Jul23 Jun18 Apr30 (magee kieron)KARAMANOS A 118 8.00 5% 17.30    
SCR  LOVE ME ARCHIE Aug10 Jul19 Jul07 Apr08 Feb25 (kelly bla)HERNANDEZ J 123 20.00    
 
CNL-6   08/26/2023 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($100K) 3 ALL PT- 4:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SMOOTH FLYIN MIKE Aug03 Jun17 May27 May06 Mar11 (cibelli jane)SILVERA RUBEN 112 3.00    
SCR  WHERE IS MIKE Jul21 Jun05 Mar04 Feb15 Oct19 (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 117 4.00    
3  ALL ABOUT LUCKY Jul12 Jun03 Apr15 Mar17 Mar04 (rodriguez ang)CARDOSO DAVID 114 30.00    
4  SIR LANCELOT Aug06 Jul16 Oct29 Oct04 Sep09 (stidham )GALLARDO A 111 1.50 48% 1.10    
5  R B'S THE BOSS Aug04 Jul14 Jul02 Jun10 Apr30 (magana j)RUIZ JORGE 111 4.50    
6  O'CONNER SUNSET Aug12 Jul14 Jun16 May25 Mar19 (jones michael )ROSADO JOHAN 115 6.00    
7  ODINSON Aug04 Jun09 May04     (meyers madiso)KARAMANOS A 115 15.00 13% 6.60    
 
CNL-7   08/26/2023 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHAMBEAU Jul27 Jul15 Oct02 Sep17 Sep07 (aguirre antho)KARAMANOS A 122 3.00 43% 1.30    
2  WHITEKNUCKLEFLYER Jul16 Jul01 May19 Oct23 Oct02 (capuano philli)BOYCE FOREST 122 10.00    
3  GET THE CANDY Jun24 May27 Apr22 Oct15 Sep15 (maker mi)GALLARDO A 122 2.50    
4  MOOR STRENGTH Aug12 Jul22 Jun17 May25 Apr20 (santillana fr)FUENTES MARIO 122 30.00    
5  FULMINATE Jul22 Jun17 May20 Apr22 Mar09 (cazares )VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 122 5.00 18% 4.60    
6  LEELOO Mar18 Feb24 Jan27 Dec09 Oct30 (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122 6.00 7% 13.30    
7  Z FIRST Aug12 Jul15 Jun16 May13 Feb25 (klesaris steve)ROCCO S 124 5.00 7% 14.30    
8  OUR STRONG VOWS Aug12 Jul27 Nov20 Oct30 Oct14 (godsey d)ASHTON GAVIN 122 30.00    
9  GOLDEN EFFECT Jul16 Jun23 Jun02 Apr02 Mar12 (trombetta)CARRASCO R 122 8.00    
 
CNL-8   08/26/2023 5940ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($30K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GENERAL'S DUTY Jul23 Jul09 May26 Sep25 Jul16 (cibelli jane)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 4.00 ★    
2  KITTEN AROUND Aug18 Jul15 Jun10 May23 Oct12 (brion keri)BOYCE FOREST 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  VAX A NATION Aug04 Jun17 May26 May05 Mar31 (trombetta mich)ROSADO JOHAN 118 4.50 57% 0.80    
4  MOON SIGN Aug04 Jul21 Jun24 Jun04 May04 (pradenas s)URDANETA J 118 20.00    
5  SMALL FIELD Aug12 Aug03 Apr22 Sep07 Aug29 (huffman ke)ALONSO LUIS 123 6.00 15% 5.60    
6  LIGHTNING RIDGE Aug18 Jul21 Jun21 May26 Feb01 (brion ker)CARRASCO R 118 15.00    
7  GRANDPA'S KID Jul21 May31 May17 Oct28 Oct08 (godsey d)ASHTON GAVIN 118 15.00    
8  DIABLO DADDY Aug02 Jul13 Jun11 May27 Aug22 (zook jeff)HERNANDEZ J 123 30.00    
9  DYNA MAST Aug12 Jul21 Jul07 May25 Oct21 (fout douglas)AVILES YAN 123 3.50    
10  MASTER OF NONE Aug04 Jul06 May14 Apr30 Feb04 (trombetta mic)KARAMANOS A 118 8.00    
11  STELLAR LUTE Aug11 Jul23 Jul09 May31 May06 (shuman mark)RUIZ JORGE 114 30.00    
12  HASN'T HAD ENOUGH Aug04 Jun30 Apr26 Jan29   (yanez r)ROCCO S 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
CNL-9   08/26/2023 6270ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIZ A GIANT Jul28 May19 Dec01 Oct28 Sep02 (trombetta)CARRASCO R 123 10.00    
2  RICCIO Aug12 Jul08 Jun17 Mar18 Feb18 (sillaman richa)ROCCO S 118 3.50 18% 4.70    
SCR  CALLOWAY PEAK Jul20 Jul08 Jun16 May25 Nov25 (ward dan)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 123 15.00    
4  PAT'SSEWINGMACHINE Jul11 Jun05 May03     (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 123 20.00    
SCR  TREASURE TROVE Jul27 Jun18 Apr06 Mar25 Mar07 (ginter raymond)ASHTON GAVIN 123 5.00    
6  MR. SHADES OF GRAY Jul29 May31 May14 Nov04 Oct11 (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 123 10.00 7% 12.70    
7  TAPADINE Aug04 Jul04 Jun25 Apr08 Mar18 (jones michael )ROSADO JOHAN 118 20.00    
SCR  REEL WELL Aug24 Aug12 Jun17 May31 May05 (mcdermott sean)AVILES YAN 123 12.00    
9  TOLAGA BAY Aug12 Jul14 Sep07 Aug30 Aug08 (kingsley arch)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 5.00    
10  IRON RANGER Aug04 Jul02       (godsey ka)HERNANDEZ J 120 30.00 5% 17.50    
11  SUERTE Aug10 May24 Apr21 Mar22 Feb11 (maker mi)GALLARDO A 120 3.00 43% 1.30    
12  THE HAPPY GIANT Jul31 Jul14 May19 Sep07 Aug16 (fulmer allison)BOYCE FOREST 123 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.