The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Penn National
Thursday - August 24, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PEN-1   Win (1/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $5.80 $5.80 -0.20
    Exacta (1/2/7)-(1/2/7) 6 $2.00 $12.00 2-1 2 1 $10.60 $10.60 -1.40
    Trifecta (1/2/7)-(1/2/7)-(1/2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 2-1-5 3 0 $11.10 -6.00
PEN-2   Win (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $3.80 $3.80 -2.20
    Exacta (2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 2-4 2 1 $12.80 $12.80 0.80
    Trifecta (2/4/5)-(2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 2-4-3 3 0 $33.30 -6.00
    Daily Double (1/2/7)-(2/4/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 2-2 2 1 $11.40 $11.40 -6.60
PEN-3   Win (1/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $4.60 $4.60 -1.40
    Exacta (1/6/7)-(1/6/7) 6 $2.00 $12.00 1-2 2 0 $18.20 -12.00
    Trifecta (1/6/7)-(1/6/7)-(1/6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 1-2-5 3 0 $22.60 -6.00
    Daily Double (2/4/5)-(1/6/7) 9 $2.00 $18.00 2-1 2 1 $7.80 $7.80 -10.20
    Pick Three (1/2/7)-(2/4/5)-(1/6/7) 27 $0.50 $13.50 2-2-1/3/4/10 3 1 $6.75 $6.75 -6.75
PEN-4   Win (3/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $3.80 $3.80 -2.20
    Exacta (3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 3-2 2 1 $8.60 $8.60 -3.40
    Trifecta (3/2/1)-(3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 3-2-1 3 1 $12.00 $12.00 6.00
    Daily Double (1/6/7)-(3/2/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 1-3 2 1 $7.40 $7.40 -10.60
    Pick Three (2/4/5)-(1/6/7)-(3/2/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 2-1/3/4-3 3 1 $6.70 $6.70 -6.80
PEN-5   Win (3/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $3.20 -6.00
    Exacta (3/7/5)-(3/7/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 1-7 2 0 $7.80 -12.00
    Trifecta (3/7/5)-(3/7/5)-(3/7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 1-7-5 3 0 $23.10 -6.00
    Daily Double (3/2/1)-(3/7/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 3-1 2 0 $7.20 -18.00
    Pick Three (1/6/7)-(3/2/1)-(3/7/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 1/3/4-3-1 3 0 $5.35 -13.50
PEN-6   Win (3/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $5.40 -6.00
    Exacta (3/1/6)-(3/1/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 2-3 2 0 $12.40 -12.00
    Trifecta (3/1/6)-(3/1/6)-(3/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 2-3-1 3 0 $16.30 -6.00
    Daily Double (3/7/5)-(3/1/6) 9 $2.00 $18.00 1-2 2 0 $14.60 -18.00
    Pick Three (3/2/1)-(3/7/5)-(3/1/6) 27 $0.50 $13.50 3-1-2 3 0 $7.35 -13.50
PEN-7   Win (2/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $5.60 -6.00
    Exacta (2/7/6)-(2/7/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 3-4 2 0 $29.80 -12.00
    Trifecta (2/7/6)-(2/7/6)-(2/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 3-4-5 3 0 $148.20 -6.00
    Daily Double (3/1/6)-(2/7/6) 9 $2.00 $18.00 2-3 2 0 $23.60 -18.00
    Pick Three (3/7/5)-(3/1/6)-(2/7/6) 27 $0.50 $13.50 1-2-3 3 0 $8.20 -13.50

Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   08/24/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
:221 :454 :583     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STASSI 2 4 22 2   2½ 1¾ (houghton thomas)CORA D 122 3.00 33% 2.00 1.90 W
CHAPA 1 6 12 1   1½ 2¾ (houghton th)VARGAS L 122 3.00 41% 1.40 0.80 P
FREYDIS 5 2 4 33   33(albright george)TUNON JORDANO 122 2.50 4.70  
MISSING A SOCK 6 1 65 44   42 45 (miller a)ROJAS MARTINA 117 10.00 5% 19.00 19.00  
BIG SIS NIC 4 3 54 57   58 517½ (murtough step)INIRIO J 122 10.00 21.90  
SECRET WISPER 3 5 3 68   612 628 (albright amy)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 5.00 12.50  
SCR  CITY OF LONDON               (salvaggio michae)CONNER TYLER 122 8.00    
 
PEN-2   08/24/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:29
:222 :462 :591     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HARVEY SPECTER 2 4 2nk 1½   13 1(o'callahan ca)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 2.00 57% 0.80 0.90 W
BULLET BREEZE 4 7 7 6   33 2(murillo a)CORA D 122 2.50 19% 4.30 4.30 P
SYLVIA I AM 3 6 65 7   73(shea lydee)INIRIO J 124 8.00 30.10  
BOB'S OUR UNCLE 7 1 32 32   44(shea lydee)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 8.00 11.80  
FINE FINE 5 3 4 43   23 5(crane clovis)AGUILAR M 122 6.00 5% 19.00 18.30  
SNIP THE ROSES 6 2 5 53   6610¾ (synnefias panagi)CONNER TYLER 122 4.00 2.10  
GEM DANCER 1 5 1nk 2½   5713¼ (kravets )SMITH DANIEL 114 12.00 36.80  
 
PEN-3   08/24/2023 5610ft TURF FIRM Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:58
:232 :473 1:104 1:341   1:40   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPIRITUAL KING 1 1 11 11 13 12 15 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 124 4.00 31% 2.20 1.30 W
CARLOUN (IRE) 2 2 32 42 33 22 25 (brion keri)HERNANDEZ A 120 8.00 3.70  
JO JO KATZ 3 6 6 64 55 44 3(graci a)AGUILAR M 120 8.00 7.40  
REEL WELL 6 4 21 21 23 34(mcdermott sean)CONNER TYLER 120 10.00 2.00  
BOURBON CURRENCY 5 3 42 5 6 54 5(wolfe jr)TUNON JORDANO 120 8.00 14% 6.40 10.00  
DEVOTED KITTEN 4 5 53 32 44 6615 (moreno-barban )VILLEGAS JERRY 120 12.00 17% 5.00 29.30  
SCR  CRISPER               (woolley tim)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 3.00    
SCR  LACCO AMENO               (woolley tim)CORA D 120 3.50    
SCR  OVER AND THUNDER               (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 124 2.50    
SCR  SOUND THE CHARGE               (pino michael )WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 8.00    
 
PEN-4   08/24/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:28
:241 :482 1:133 1:271   1:403   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPINNING MUSICIAN 3 3 11 1½ 1 13 16 (beattie tod)RODRIGUEZ R 120 1.80 44% 1.30 0.90 W
CITY OF GOD 2 1 43 31 2 23 26 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 122 2.50 21% 3.80 2.70 P
BENCH PRESS 1 5 6 56 4 35 310½ (agnew naois)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.50 12% 7.40 6.70 S
FLETCHER STATION 4 6 5 45 5 510 420 (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 5.00 4.10  
SPELLED WELL 6 4 21 2½ 3 49 529¼ (moreno tito)ROJAS MARTINA 113 10.00 11.70  
LUCKY LEWIS 5 2 3 6 617½ 620 640¼ (ferreira fern)INIRIO J 120 15.00 36.60  
 
PEN-5   08/24/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
:214 :444 :57     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TUFF CONSTITUTION 1 3 1½ 12   11 1(crook-dema)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 3.00 0.60  
MR SANDMAN 7 1 32 22   21 2(allen randy)LAPRIDA JEREMY 120 2.50 28% 2.60 2.70 P
TUDOX OPPORTUNITY 5 5 66 67   33(rathman elisha)CONNER TYLER 120 8.00 11% 7.80 12.80 S
MITROPANOS 4 6 55 4   54 412 (zalalas micha)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 4.50 13.00  
SPOOKY ONE 2 2 2½ 33   4514½ (mcclellan c)CORA D 120 10.00 44.10  
GET DOWN BROWN 3 4 4 5   67 620½ (stites flint )INIRIO J 120 3.50 36% 1.80 7.70  
GOLDEN TREASURE 6 7 716 727   742 761¾ (crook-demas)HERNANDEZ A 118 8.00 23.00  
 
PEN-6   08/24/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:26
:24 :48 1:131 1:263   1:402   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INNUENDO 2 1 1 1 13 12 1nk (maymo j)BEATO INOEL 120 4.00 1.70  
MR BOLDACIOUS 3 2 57 5 4 33 2nk (bobadilla f)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 1.80 59% 0.70 1.70 P
BUCK WILD 1 5 33 3 23 22 31 (jacavone j)ROJAS MARTINA 111 2.50 7% 13.80 4.50 S
LONG TOM 7 7 711½ 714½ 610 56 47 (salinas jose)TUNON JORDANO 120 30.00 43.80  
PEAKY BLINKERS 5 6 45 4 36 44 5(kravets m)RODRIGUEZ E 120 6.00 6.80  
SUPER REIGN 6 4 610½ 613½ 712 6611 (albright)SMITH DANIEL 110 10.00 5% 19.00 33.10  
MR. AGRO 4 3 2 2 58 7731¼ (o'callahan ca)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 6.00 7.70  
 
PEN-7   08/24/2023 5490ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:55
:234 :482 1:142 1:403   1:444   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BONITA LASSIE 3 2 21 2½ 1 1½ 1¼ (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.00 1.80  
CAR LADY 4 5 78 78 65 2½ 2¼ (kravets m)BEATO INOEL 122 4.00 5.80  
DANCE A LITTLE JIG 5 3 53 5 43 439 (ferreira fernando)CORA D 124 12.00 41.50  
MI CLEOPATRA AND I 2 6 32 3 2 31 411¼ (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 122 2.50 44% 1.30 1.40  
TEACHER DRAMA 1 1 11 1½ 32 5518¼ (o'callahan ca)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 5.00 14.40  
ALWAJD 6 4 6 64 7 73 619¼ (graci a)AGUILAR M 122 8.00 5% 19.00 20.70  
LOVE IS STRONG 7 7 4 42 54 6722½ (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 122 5.00 32% 2.10 4.70  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.