Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Penn National
Thursday - August 24, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PEN-2   EXA (2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00  2-4 $12.80 $0.80 7%
PEN-4   TRI (3/2/1)-(3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00  3-2-1 $12.00 $6.00 100%

Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   08/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:221 :454 :583     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STASSI 2 4 22 2   2½ 1¾ (houghton thomas)CORA D 122 3.00 33% 2.00 1.90 W
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of DARN QUIET by REAL QUIET)
CHAPA 1 6 12 1   1½ 2¾ (houghton )VARGAS L 122 3.00 41% 1.40 0.80 P
  (by MEDALLIST out of LAKOTA by JUMP START)
FREYDIS 5 2 4 33   3 3 (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 122 2.50 4.70  
  (by LORD SHANAKILL out of PUNCH MARYLAND by TWO PUNCH)
MISSING A SOCK 6 1 65 44   42 45 (miller marlin)ROJAS MARTINA 117 10.00 5% 19.00 19.00  
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of MADOLIN WIND by SMARTY JONES)
BIG SIS NIC 4 3 54 57   58 517½ (murtough st)INIRIO J 122 10.00 21.90  
  (by COLLECTED out of FILM IDOL by BERNARDINI)
SECRET WISPER 3 5 3 68   612 628 (albright amy)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 5.00 12.50  
  (by SHOW TUNE out of SILENT WISPER by WANDO)
SCR  CITY OF LONDON               (salvaggio mich)CONNER TYLER 122 8.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of LEISURE by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
 
PEN-2   08/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:29
See original race card.
:222 :462 :591     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HARVEY SPECTER 2 4 2nk 1½   13 1 (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 122 2.00 57% 0.80 0.90 W
BULLET BREEZE 4 7 7 6   33 2 (murillo a)CORA D 122 2.50 19% 4.30 4.30 P
SYLVIA I AM 3 6 65 7   7 3 (shea lydee)INIRIO J 124 8.00 30.10  
BOB'S OUR UNCLE 7 1 32 32   4 4 (shea lydee)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 8.00 11.80  
FINE FINE 5 3 4 43   23 5 (crane clovis)AGUILAR M 122 6.00 5% 19.00 18.30  
SNIP THE ROSES 6 2 5 53   6 610¾ (synnefias pana)CONNER TYLER 122 4.00 2.10  
GEM DANCER 1 5 1nk 2½   5 713¼ (kravet)SMITH DANIEL 114 12.00 36.80  
 
PEN-3   08/24/2023 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:58
See original race card.
:232 :473 1:104 1:341   1:40   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPIRITUAL KING 1 1 11 11 13 12 15 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 124 4.00 31% 2.20 1.30 W
CARLOUN (IRE) 2 2 32 42 33 22 25 (brion ker)HERNANDEZ A 120 8.00 3.70  
JO JO KATZ 3 6 6 64 55 44 3 (graci a)AGUILAR M 120 8.00 7.40  
REEL WELL 6 4 21 21 23 3 4 (mcdermott sean)CONNER TYLER 120 10.00 2.00  
BOURBON CURRENCY 5 3 42 5 6 54 5 (wolfe jr)TUNON JORDANO 120 8.00 14% 6.40 10.00  
DEVOTED KITTEN 4 5 53 32 44 6 615 (moreno-barba)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 12.00 17% 5.00 29.30  
SCR  CRISPER               (woolley tim)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 3.00    
SCR  LACCO AMENO               (woolley tim)CORA D 120 3.50    
SCR  OVER AND THUNDER               (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 124 2.50    
SCR  SOUND THE CHARGE               (pino michae)WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 8.00    
 
PEN-4   08/24/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:28
See original race card.
:241 :482 1:133 1:271   1:403   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPINNING MUSICIAN 3 3 11 1½ 1 13 16 (beattie t)RODRIGUEZ R 120 1.80 44% 1.30 0.90 W
CITY OF GOD 2 1 43 31 2 23 26 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 122 2.50 21% 3.80 2.70 P
BENCH PRESS 1 5 6 56 4 35 310½ (agnew nao)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.50 12% 7.40 6.70 S
FLETCHER STATION 4 6 5 45 5 510 420 (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 5.00 4.10  
SPELLED WELL 6 4 21 2½ 3 49 529¼ (moreno tito)ROJAS MARTINA 113 10.00 11.70  
LUCKY LEWIS 5 2 3 6 617½ 620 640¼ (ferreira fe)INIRIO J 120 15.00 36.60  
 
PEN-5   08/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:214 :444 :57     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TUFF CONSTITUTION 1 3 1½ 12   11 1 (crook-de)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 3.00 0.60  
MR SANDMAN 7 1 32 22   21 2 (allen randy)LAPRIDA JEREMY 120 2.50 28% 2.60 2.70 P
TUDOX OPPORTUNITY 5 5 66 67   3 3 (rathman elisha)CONNER TYLER 120 8.00 11% 7.80 12.80 S
MITROPANOS 4 6 55 4   54 412 (zalalas mic)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 4.50 13.00  
SPOOKY ONE 2 2 2½ 33   4 514½ (mcclellan c)CORA D 120 10.00 44.10  
GET DOWN BROWN 3 4 4 5   67 620½ (stites flin)INIRIO J 120 3.50 36% 1.80 7.70  
GOLDEN TREASURE 6 7 716 727   742 761¾ (crook-dem)HERNANDEZ A 118 8.00 23.00  
 
PEN-6   08/24/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:26
See original race card.
:24 :48 1:131 1:263   1:402   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INNUENDO (IRE) 2 1 1 1 13 12 1nk (maymo j)BEATO INOEL 120 4.00 1.70  
MR BOLDACIOUS 3 2 57 5 4 33 2nk (bobadilla j )VILLEGAS JERRY 120 1.80 59% 0.70 1.70 P
BUCK WILD 1 5 33 3 23 22 31 (jacavone john)ROJAS MARTINA 111 2.50 7% 13.80 4.50 S
LONG TOM 7 7 711½ 714½ 610 56 47 (salinas jose)TUNON JORDANO 120 30.00 43.80  
PEAKY BLINKERS 5 6 45 4 36 44 5 (kravets m)RODRIGUEZ E 120 6.00 6.80  
SUPER REIGN 6 4 610½ 613½ 712 6 611 (albrig)SMITH DANIEL 110 10.00 5% 19.00 33.10  
MR. AGRO 4 3 2 2 58 7 731¼ (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 120 6.00 7.70  
 
PEN-7   08/24/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:55
See original race card.
:234 :482 1:142 1:403   1:444   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BONITA LASSIE 3 2 21 2½ 1 1½ 1¼ (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.00 1.80  
CAR LADY 4 5 78 78 65 2½ 2¼ (kravets m)BEATO INOEL 122 4.00 5.80  
DANCE A LITTLE JIG 5 3 53 5 43 4 39 (ferreira fernando)CORA D 124 12.00 41.50  
MI CLEOPATRA AND I 2 6 32 3 2 31 411¼ (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 122 2.50 44% 1.30 1.40  
TEACHER DRAMA 1 1 11 1½ 32 5 518¼ (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 122 5.00 14.40  
ALWAJD 6 4 6 64 7 73 619¼ (graci a)AGUILAR M 122 8.00 5% 19.00 20.70  
LOVE IS STRONG 7 7 4 42 54 6 722½ (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 122 5.00 32% 2.10 4.70  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.