Handicappers' Race Results
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Colonial Downs
Saturday - July 22, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
CNL-1   Win (2/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $9.20 $9.20 3.20
CNL-2   Win (5/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $3.80 $3.80  
CNL-3   Win (4/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $7.60 $7.60 1.60
CNL-4   Win (6/4/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 0 $7.40  
CNL-5   Win (5/11/8/9/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 3 1 1 $30.80 $30.80 20.80
CNL-6   Win (7/6/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $8.00  
CNL-7   Win (6/5/7/2/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 6 1 1 $6.60 $6.60  
CNL-8   Win (7/4/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $4.20 $4.20  
CNL-9   Win (9/4/1/2/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 1 $12.40 $12.40 2.40
Simulator Race results
 
CNL-1   07/22/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($87.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:30
See original race card.
:233 :463 1:111     1:241   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  FABS 2 1 1½ 1nk   12 12 (brinkman bre)SANCHEZ J 122 1.50 33% 2.10 3.60 W
4  CARNELIAN 4 2 2½ 2nk   22 22 (stidham michael)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 3.00 28% 2.60 2.20 P
1  CYNERGY'S ELECTRA 1 5 41 43½   45 35¼ (cox m)ACOSTA D 118 5.00 3.50  
5  WOODS HOLE 5 3 31 3½   33 45¾ (chain pear)GALLARDO A 122 20.00 7.40  
3  RED PEPPER GRILL 3 6 53 64¼   56 57¾ (wasiluk jr)CASTANON L 122 30.00 14.40  
6  JUST NORTH 6 4 63¼ 54   610 612¼ (russell brittany)ROCCO S 118 1.60 17% 5.00 2.40  
 
CNL-2   07/22/2023 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:08
See original race card.
:243 :493 1:134 1:391   1:453   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  ELUSIVE 4 2 32½ 41¾ 41¼ 2½ 12¾ (fout douglas)KARAMANOS A 120 1.40 47% 1.10 0.90 W
7  LUNAR MISSION 5 1 42½ 3.2 2nk 1½ 22¾ (williams ga)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 117 6.00 6.30  
3  DR. HYDE 2 5 54 54¾ 53¾ 41½ 33¼ (dickey keith)RIQUELME J 114 2.00 16% 5.20 2.00 S
4  ROUNDBALL ROCK 3 3 21 1nk 1nk 31½ 46½ (caramori caio)CABRERA DAVID 118 6.00 14% 5.90 5.50  
2  ZINFATUATION 1 4 11 2nk 3.2 54 512 (norris stephani)WHITACRE B 124 30.00 10.30  
SCR  CAINUDOTHETWIST               (kingsley archib)TOLEDO JEVIAN 115 20.00    
SCR  LOOK SHARP               (caramori ca)HERNANDEZ J 118 5.00    
 
CNL-3   07/22/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($34.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:38
See original race card.
:243 :481 1:114 1:242   1:364   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FUNNY ENOUGH 1 1 32½ 42 31½ 2½ 12¼ (russo anthon)ALONSO LUIS 123 4.00 17% 4.80 2.80 W
4  TAK E LADY 4 3 11 1½ 1nk 1½ 22¼ (ashby lynn)ACOSTA D 123 2.50 59% 0.70 1.60 P
2  LA BRODY 2 2 21 2½ 2nk 31 34¾ (cascallares nes)JIMENEZ MANNY 123 30.00 21.60  
3  BIONDA SUPRISE 3 4 53 52¼ 53¼ 45 48 (yanez mois)GALLARDO A 123 6.00 5.70  
5  TOSS A COIN 5 5 43 32 43 56½ 515¼ (keefe l)KARAMANOS A 123 3.00 1.60  
SCR  LIZQUEENFLUERDELIS               (yanez r)MENESES MARCOS 123 5.00    
SCR  MARYNMIKE               (lusk r)FUENTES MARIO 123 4.50    
SCR  SOME NIGHTS               (mccutchen jason)ASHTON GAVIN 123 30.00 5% 19.00    
 
CNL-4   07/22/2023 3630ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:08
See original race card.
:221 :454 :574     1:04   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  WALT WHITMAN (IRE) 2 6 54¼ 52¾   1½ 13 (nunez maur)GALLARDO A 119 2.50 2.70  
6  CERTAIN 5 2 42¾ 42½   3½ 23 (hendriks ric)SANCHEZ J 119 1.20 70% 0.40 1.10 P
5  THEOLOVESAWINNER 4 1 32½ 32   41 34¼ (cooney s)BOYCE FOREST 117 8.00 5% 19.00 13.40 S
4  KAMIKAZE FOX 3 4 1nk 1nk   2½ 44¾ (morgan carla)JIMENEZ MANNY 119 6.00 5% 19.00 7.30  
2  NORTH HIGHLAND 1 7 74¾ 65¾   64¼ 59 (smith hamilton )TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 5.00 11.60  
8  RENNIE 7 5 2nk 2nk   54 615¼ (godsey kare)HERNANDEZ J 124 15.00 5% 19.00 4.60  
7  MO TOWN BLUES 6 3 64¾ 76¼   76¾ 716 (cascallares n)CASIQUE URBARDO 117 30.00 28.90  
SCR  TIZ A TALE               (gilliam karen )MENESES MARCOS 119 30.00    
 
CNL-5   07/22/2023 3630ft TURF RC11 FIRM Andy Guest Purse ($150K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:39
See original race card.
:214 :444 :563     1:023   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  SASSY BEAST 3 1 1½ 1½   12 1¾ (rodriguez angel)CARDOSO DAVID 122 20.00 5% 19.00 14.40 W
7  CAN'T BUY LOVE 7 6 916 95¼   43½ 2¾ (trombetta micha)KARAMANOS A 122 6.00 5.00  
11  TRAIN TO ARTEMUS 11 4 32 32   22 32¾ (breen j)JARAMILLO E 126 2.00 32% 2.10 1.20 S
9  TALKIN TIPSY 9 3 714½ 64½   33½ 44 (gulick jam)GALLARDO A 124 10.00 5% 19.00 10.10  
6  LEMOS CUNHA 6 10 1120 119¼   108¾ 55 (caramori eduardo)LEZCANO ABEL 122 20.00 50.60  
5  RAMBERT 5 9 514 54   53¾ 65 (stidham mich)SANCHEZ J 122 3.00 33% 2.00 3.80  
2  MOOR STRENGTH 2 7 1019 108¼   97¼ 75¼ (santillana fran)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 30.00 59.60  
8  FULMINATE 8 11 815½ 85   86¾ 85¼ (cazares laura)RUIZ JORGE 122 12.00 5% 19.00 7.30  
1  KOTYLE 1 2 413 42½   64¼ 96¾ (umarov otabek)ACOSTA D 118 30.00 70.00  
4  REPASADO 4 8 2½ 2½   74¾ 1011¼ (diodoro rob)HERNANDEZ J 122 8.00 12.60  
10  TREVESS 10 5 614½ 74½   1110¾ 1111½ (cazares laura)CASTANON L 124 20.00 65.60  
SCR  GET THE CANDY               (maker j)CABRERA DAVID 122 12.00    
 
CNL-6   07/22/2023 3630ft TURF RC11 FIRM Van Clief Purse ($150K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:10
See original race card.
:214 :434 :554     1:021   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  FRONT RUN THE FED 1 3 65¼ 62¾   41¼ 1¼ (caramori caio)CABRERA DAVID 124 5.00 3.00  
4  YES AND YES 2 4 32 31½   31 2¼ (donk david)BOYCE FOREST 122 8.00 9.50  
9  CAROTARI 5 2 2nk 2nk   2nk 31¼ (lynch brian)HERNANDEZ J 122 12.00 6.90  
6  YES I AM FREE 3 1 1nk 1nk   1nk 42¾ (cazares laura)JARAMILLO E 126 8.00 18% 4.60 1.20  
10  SMOKIN' JAY 6 6 42¼ 52¼   55¼ 59¼ (danner kelsey)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 6.00 9% 10.00 5.30  
7  GEAR JOCKEY 4 5 52¼ 42   65¾ 611¼ (arnold r)LYNCH FEARGAL 122 4.00 49% 1.00 5.50  
SCR  ALOGON               (allard edwar)SANCHEZ J 122 20.00    
SCR  EAMONN               (orseno f)RUIZ JORGE 122 30.00    
SCR  ROCK THE BOAT               (bailes robert)ROCCO S 122 8.00    
SCR  WITTY               (hendriks mclane)CEDENO CAROL 122 2.50    
 
CNL-7   07/22/2023 3630ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 2 F PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:222 :454 :581     1:042   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  ATMIDNIGHT 6 4 31 2nk   12 13½ (stidham mich)SANCHEZ J 119 2.00 44% 1.30 2.30 W
1  QUEEN AIKO 1 7 52 52¼   33½ 23½ (cascallares nes)FUENTES MARIO 119 10.00 16.90  
8  BOOMIN' BELLE 8 5 41 1nk   22 35½ (casse mark)JARAMILLO E 119 8.00 1.70  
4  WILMA FLINTSHIRE 4 6 64 63¾   57 49¾ (godsey kare)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00 5% 19.00 16.80  
2  ONE COOL CHICK 2 3 1½ 3.2   44 59¾ (santillana fran)MARTIN MATTIE 112 15.00 5% 19.00 38.00  
3  SIPPIN' TIME 3 8 89½ 89   610 613¼ (smith hamilton )TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 6.00 6.80  
7  BOSSY BOOTS 7 2 76 78¾   811 715¾ (morgan carla)JIMENEZ MANNY 119 12.00 5% 19.00 22.10  
5  MY SWEETHEART DANI 5 1 2½ 4¼   710½ 817½ (crooks jeff)SCAMPTON BRITTANY 112 3.00 8% 12.10 3.00  
SCR  MAS VICTORIA               (munoz carlos)RUIZ JORGE 119 6.00    
 
CNL-8   07/22/2023 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:08
See original race card.
:222 :452 :57     1:03   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  SLIPPIN JIMMY 6 4 53 41½   2nk 12 (nagle sarah)RUIZ JORGE 124 1.80 47% 1.10 1.10 W
6  INDEFATIGABLE 5 3 31½ 2½   1nk 22 (allen ferr)SANCHEZ J 124 10.00 5% 18.30 5.70 P
4  BOURBON AND ICE 3 8 64 52½   41½ 35 (magee kieron)KARAMANOS A 124 2.00 26% 2.90 2.20 S
1  JUPITER BLUES 1 1 21 31½   52 48 (mcgoey monica)FUENTES MARIO 124 30.00 28.50  
9  BOONDOGGLE 8 6 74¼ 62¾   64 58¼ (hester leanne)CASTANON L 124 10.00 16.20  
2  I'M MONEY 2 2 11 1½   3½ 610¼ (cahill f)GOLIBRZUCH S 124 15.00 32.30  
5  FROSTED ARMOUR 4 7 84¼ 74¾   74¼ 710¼ (cazares la)GALLARDO A 124 3.00 5.50  
8  ELEVATED FOREVER 7 5 43 86¼   89¼ 814¼ (garrido raul)MARTIN MATTIE 117 30.00 5% 19.00 73.00  
SCR  FORT FORTITUDE               (pickett g)ACOSTA D 124 30.00    
 
CNL-9   07/22/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:37
See original race card.
:224 :47 1:122 1:364   1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOLLY BY GOLLY 1 2 54 56½ 41½ 3.2 11¼ (smith hamilton )TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 5.00 10% 9.40 5.20 W
3  HOLEY MOLEY 3 3 21 32 1½ 1nk 21¼ (delacour arn)SANCHEZ J 118 6.00 11.50  
4  KING COVEE 4 8 86 78¼ 72 2nk 31½ (godsey den)ROCCO S 118 3.00 11% 8.50 2.20 S
8  HERE'S LIAM 8 5 42 44½ 61¾ 45¼ 44½ (cooney s)RIQUELME J 118 30.00 5% 19.00 67.80  
6  CAESAR'S GHOST 6 6 64½ 66¾ 51¾ 56¼ 58 (caramori eduardo)LEZCANO ABEL 118 8.00 6.70  
2  ELFUEGOMASBRILANTE 2 1 75 88¼ 84 66¼ 610 (shuman mark)KARAMANOS A 118 20.00 5% 19.00 21.40  
10  KICKS LIKE TUCKER 10 9 107½ 109 94 811¼ 712¾ (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 118 10.00 3.50  
7  CHEATIN SONG 7 10 97 98¾ 105½ 911¾ 815½ (aguirre anthon)MENESES MARCOS 124 6.00 12.90  
9  OCCASIONAL MOON 9 7 32 22 2½ 78¼ 916¾ (maldonado jonathan)ACOSTA D 118 2.50 53% 0.90 4.70  
5  BAYTOWN BEAVER 5 4 11 12 3½ 1023¾ 1036¾ (cain crystal)WHITACRE B 118 30.00 56.10  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.