Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Colonial Downs
Saturday - July 22, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CNL-1   WIN (2/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/6)-(2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/6)-(5/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/4/6)-(5/3/4)-(4/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
CNL-2   WIN (5/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/4)-(5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/4)-(4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/3/4)-(4/1)-(6/4/5/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CNL-3   WIN (4/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/1)-(4/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/1)-(6/4/5/8) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/1)-(6/4/5/8)-(5/11/8/9/3) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
CNL-4   WIN (6/4/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/5/8)-(6/4/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/5/8)-(6/4/5/8)-(6/4/5/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/4/5/8)-(5/11/8/9/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/4/5/8)-(5/11/8/9/3)-(7/6/10) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CNL-5   WIN (5/11/8/9/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/11/8/9/3)-(5/11/8/9/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/11/8/9/3)-(5/11/8/9/3)-(5/11/8/9/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/11/8/9/3)-(7/6/10) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/11/8/9/3)-(7/6/10)-(6/5/2/4/7) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
CNL-6   WIN (7/6/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/10)-(7/6/10) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/6/10)-(7/6/10)-(7/6/10) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/6/10)-(6/5/2/4/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (7/6/10)-(6/5/2/4/7)-(7/4/6/8) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CNL-7   WIN (6/5/2/4/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/5/2/4/7)-(6/5/2/4/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/5/2/4/7)-(6/5/2/4/7)-(6/5/2/4/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/5/2/4/7)-(7/4/6/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/5/2/4/7)-(7/4/6/8)-(9/4/1/2/8) 100 $1.00 $100 
CNL-8   WIN (7/4/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/6/8)-(7/4/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/6/8)-(7/4/6/8)-(7/4/6/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4/6/8)-(9/4/1/2/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
CNL-9   WIN (9/4/1/2/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/4/1/2/8)-(9/4/1/2/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/4/1/2/8)-(9/4/1/2/8)-(9/4/1/2/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CNL-1   07/22/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($87.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CYNERGY'S ELECTRA Jul02 Jun10 May04 Apr15 Mar10 (cox m)ACOSTA D 118 5.00    
2  FABS May13 Feb24 Jan11 Dec07 Oct26 (brinkman b)SANCHEZ J 122 1.50 33% 2.10    
3  RED PEPPER GRILL Jun27 May24 Nov16 Nov08 Oct31 (wasiluk peter )CASTANON L 122 30.00    
4  CARNELIAN Jun04 May02 Feb04 Jan16 Jul20 (stidham micha)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 3.00 28% 2.60    
5  WOODS HOLE Jun01 May06 Apr08 Mar10 Feb19 (chain pe)GALLARDO A 122 20.00    
6  JUST NORTH Jun23 May20 Mar26 Dec26 Nov20 (russell britta)ROCCO S 118 1.60 17% 5.00    
 
CNL-2   07/22/2023 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LOOK SHARP Jun25 Jun09 May07 Apr13 Feb04 (caramori )HERNANDEZ J 118 5.00    
2  ZINFATUATION Jun26 Jun04 Feb16 Jan28 Dec21 (norris stephani)WHITACRE B 124 30.00    
3  DR. HYDE Jul11 Jun26 Jun05 May16 Nov16 (dickey keith)RIQUELME J 114 2.00 16% 5.20    
4  ROUNDBALL ROCK         (caramori caio)CABRERA DAVID 118 6.00 14% 5.90    
5  ELUSIVE Jul09 May26 Oct15 Aug30 Aug09 (fout dougla)KARAMANOS A 120 1.40 47% 1.10    
SCR  CAINUDOTHETWIST Nov06 Oct29 Oct02 Sep07 Aug22 (kingsley arch)TOLEDO JEVIAN 115 20.00    
7  LUNAR MISSION May19 Sep29 Aug22 Jul19   (williams )HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 117 6.00    
 
CNL-3   07/22/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($34.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FUNNY ENOUGH May21 Apr02 Mar15 Feb17 Feb04 (russo anth)ALONSO LUIS 123 4.00 17% 4.80    
2  LA BRODY Jul13 Jul01 Jun04 May03 Apr15 (cascallares n)JIMENEZ MANNY 123 30.00    
3  BIONDA SUPRISE Mar31 Mar18 Mar03 Feb08 Jan28 (yanez mo)GALLARDO A 123 6.00    
4  TAK E LADY Jul13 Jun10 May24 Dec30 Nov22 (ashby lynn)ACOSTA D 123 2.50 59% 0.70    
5  TOSS A COIN May26 Mar11 Feb11 Jan01 Nov24 (keefe timothy)KARAMANOS A 123 3.00    
SCR  MARYNMIKE Jul01 May06 Apr08     (lusk r)FUENTES MARIO 123 4.50    
SCR  SOME NIGHTS Aug31 Aug10 Jul26     (mccutchen jaso)ASHTON GAVIN 123 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LIZQUEENFLUERDELIS Apr05 Mar22 Feb08 Jan22 Jan08 (yanez moises)MENESES MARCOS 123 5.00    
 
CNL-4   07/22/2023 3630ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TIZ A TALE Apr30 Apr12       (gilliam kare)MENESES MARCOS 119 30.00    
2  NORTH HIGHLAND Jul09 Jun25 Jun02 Apr30 Mar31 (smith hamilto)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 5.00    
3  WALT WHITMAN (IRE) Jun09 May18 Apr21     (nunez ma)GALLARDO A 119 2.50    
4  KAMIKAZE FOX Aug23 Aug08 Jul18     (morgan carla)JIMENEZ MANNY 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  THEOLOVESAWINNER Jul08 Jun16 Jun09 May19 Sep07 (cooney s)ASHTON GAVIN 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  CERTAIN Jun15 Jun09 May19 Mar17 Jan11 (hendriks r)SANCHEZ J 119 1.20 70% 0.40    
7  MO TOWN BLUES Jul01 Jun04 Apr06 Mar15 Mar04 (cascallares)CASIQUE URBARDO 117 30.00    
8  RENNIE Oct30 Oct02 Sep17     (godsey ka)HERNANDEZ J 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
CNL-5   07/22/2023 3630ft TURF RC11 FIRM Andy Guest Purse ($150K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KOTYLE Jun17 Mar15 Feb15     (umarov otabek)PELTROCHE F 118 30.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of YAHTZEE QUEEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
2  MOOR STRENGTH Jun17 May25 Apr20 Mar24 Feb11 (santillana fr)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 30.00    
  (by KLIMT out of MOORED by MR. GREELEY)
3  SASSY BEAST Jun26 Jun17 May11 Apr22 Apr07 (rodriguez ang)CARDOSO DAVID 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by THE BIG BEAST out of I'MCLASSYANDSASSY by MASTER COMMAND)
4  REPASADO Jun24 Oct01 Aug13 Jul03 Jun08 (diodoro r)HERNANDEZ J 122 8.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of D R C'S PRETTY SKY by SKY MESA)
5  RAMBERT Jun15 Oct08 Sep07 Aug02 Jun18 (stidham mi)SANCHEZ J 122 3.00 33% 2.00    
  (by DECLARATION OF WAR out of DANCE PLAY by MALIBU MOON)
6  LEMOS CUNHA Jul07 Jun10 May19 Jan28 Dec03 (caramori eduar)LEZCANO ABEL 122 20.00    
  (by STREET BOSS out of VOLTARRA by GIACOMO)
7  CAN'T BUY LOVE Jun24 May28 Oct23 Oct16 Sep24 (trombetta mic)KARAMANOS A 122 6.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of PAY THE KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
8  FULMINATE Jun17 May20 Apr22 Mar09 Jan15 (cazares laura)RUIZ JORGE 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GET STORMY out of E BUILT THIS CITY by CITY ZIP)
9  TALKIN TIPSY Jun17 May20 Apr22 Mar15 Feb10 (gulick j)GALLARDO A 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GREENPOINTCRUSADER out of TIPSY TOES by L'ENJOLEUR)
10  TREVESS Jun17 May12 Apr22 Mar17 Feb18 (cazares laura)CASTANON L 124 20.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of EAST LAKE CLASSIC by ORIENTATE (GB))
11  TRAIN TO ARTEMUS Jun24 May19 Apr15 Mar11 Feb18 (breen j)JARAMILLO E 126 2.00 32% 2.10    
  (by TAPIZAR out of PAY DAY KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
SCR  GET THE CANDY Jun24 May27 Apr22 Oct15 Sep15 (maker michael)CABRERA DAVID 122 12.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of ROCKIN HEATHER by IN EXCESS (IRE))
 
CNL-6   07/22/2023 3630ft TURF RC11 FIRM Van Clief Purse ($150K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ROCK THE BOAT Jun24 May20 Jan06 Dec11 Oct22 (bailes rober)ROCCO S 122 8.00    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of CINDY S. by LEMON DROP KID)
2  FRONT RUN THE FED Jun10 Apr22 Dec31 Nov05 Sep10 (caramori caio)CABRERA DAVID 124 5.00    
  (by FED BIZ out of LAWLESS MISS by POSSE)
SCR  WITTY Jul01 May25 Apr24 Apr13 Mar08 (hendriks mclan)CEDENO CAROL 122 2.50    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of ZEEZEE ZOOMZOOM by CONGRATS)
4  YES AND YES Jul04 Jun10 May06 Apr13 Nov25 (donk david)BOYCE FOREST 122 8.00    
  (by SIDNEY'S CANDY out of ABERDEEN ALLEY by DISTORTED HUMOR)
SCR  EAMONN May27 Apr09 Mar10 Feb11 Sep14 (orseno f)RUIZ JORGE 122 30.00    
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of SUPER ESPRESSO by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
6  YES I AM FREE Jun18 Apr29 Mar18 Feb11 Jan19 (cazares laura)JARAMILLO E 126 8.00 18% 4.60    
  (by UNCAPTURED out of YES IT'S VALID by YES IT'S TRUE)
7  GEAR JOCKEY Nov25 Oct08 Jun11 May06 Apr09 (arnold george)LYNCH FEARGAL 122 4.00 49% 1.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of SWITCHING GEARS by TAPIT)
SCR  ALOGON Jun18 May25 Jan20 Dec30 Nov20 (allard edw)SANCHEZ J 122 20.00    
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of SCAMPER by SCAT DADDY)
9  CAROTARI May06 Mar18 Feb11 Dec24 Sep24 (lynch bri)HERNANDEZ J 122 12.00    
  (by ARTIE SCHILLER out of SOOTHER by RAHY)
10  SMOKIN' JAY Jul01 May26 Apr22 Mar04 Aug02 (danner kelsey)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 6.00 9% 10.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of HOW NICE by TALINUM)
 
CNL-7   07/22/2023 3630ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 2 F PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUEEN AIKO         (cascallares n)FUENTES MARIO 119 10.00    
2  ONE COOL CHICK         (santillana fr)MARTIN MATTIE 112 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  SIPPIN' TIME         (smith hamilto)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 6.00    
4  WILMA FLINTSHIRE         (godsey ka)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  MY SWEETHEART DANI Jul07 Jun10 May13 May04 Apr12 (crooks je)SCAMPTON BRITTANY 112 3.00 8% 12.10    
6  ATMIDNIGHT         (stidham mi)SANCHEZ J 119 2.00 44% 1.30    
7  BOSSY BOOTS         (morgan carla)JIMENEZ MANNY 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  BOOMIN' BELLE Jun25 May12       (casse mark)JARAMILLO E 119 8.00    
SCR  MAS VICTORIA         (munoz carlos)RUIZ JORGE 119 6.00    
 
CNL-8   07/22/2023 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUPITER BLUES Jun30 Jun10 May28 Jan13 Nov26 (mcgoey monica)FUENTES MARIO 124 30.00    
2  I'M MONEY Jun30 Mar12 Feb17 Feb05 Dec16 (cahill steven )GOLIBRZUCH S 124 15.00    
SCR  FORT FORTITUDE Jun15 Jun02 May13 Apr22 Mar17 (pickett crystal )ACOSTA D 124 30.00    
4  BOURBON AND ICE May28 May20 Apr16 Aug20 Aug10 (magee kieron)KARAMANOS A 124 2.00 26% 2.90    
5  FROSTED ARMOUR Jun25 May06 Feb25 Jan01 Dec08 (cazares )GALLARDO A 124 3.00    
6  INDEFATIGABLE Jul05 May31 May07 Dec17 Dec04 (allen fe)SANCHEZ J 124 10.00 5% 18.30    
7  SLIPPIN JIMMY May25 Sep23 Sep07 Jul20   (nagle sarah)RUIZ JORGE 124 1.80 47% 1.10    
8  ELEVATED FOREVER Jun15 Jun02 Jan28 Jan13 Dec21 (garrido raul)MARTIN MATTIE 117 30.00 5% 19.00    
9  BOONDOGGLE Jul15 Feb05 Jan16 Jan01 Dec18 (hester leanne)CASTANON L 124 10.00    
 
CNL-9   07/22/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOLLY BY GOLLY Jun03 May13       (smith hamilto)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 5.00 10% 9.40    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of JE SUIS TIZZY by TIZNOW)
2  ELFUEGOMASBRILANTE Jul08 Jun21 Jun02 May26 May06 (shuman mark)KARAMANOS A 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MR SPEAKER out of MISSTREATED by DEHERE)
3  HOLEY MOLEY Jun17         (delacour a)SANCHEZ J 118 6.00    
  (by HOLY BOSS out of KISSER N RUN by PLEASANT TAP)
4  KING COVEE Jul08         (godsey d)ROCCO S 118 3.00 11% 8.50    
  (by ANIMAL KINGDOM out of REGAL ROMA by REGAL RANSOM)
5  BAYTOWN BEAVER Jul10 Jun04 May07 Apr15 Feb16 (cain crystal)WHITACRE B 118 30.00    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of TRES LINDA by MARQUETRY)
6  CAESAR'S GHOST May06 Feb17 Dec31 Dec02 Nov09 (caramori eduar)LEZCANO ABEL 118 8.00    
  (by TU BRUTUS out of WISH I UNDERSTOOD by CONCORD POINT)
7  CHEATIN SONG Jul15         (aguirre anth)MENESES MARCOS 124 6.00    
  (by TAPIZAR out of IF NOT FOR LUST by NOT FOR LOVE)
8  HERE'S LIAM Jun16 May20 Apr15 Nov21 Oct23 (cooney s)ASHTON GAVIN 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of STAY HERE by DEHERE)
9  OCCASIONAL MOON Jul07 Jun21 May29 May05 Mar31 (maldonado jonath)ACOSTA D 118 2.50 53% 0.90    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of OCCASIONALLY by TIZNOW)
10  KICKS LIKE TUCKER         (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 118 10.00    
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of READING ROOM by INDIAN CHARLIE)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.