Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Evangeline Downs
Thursday - May 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

EVD-2   WIN (11/2/10/3/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00  3 $60.60 $50.60 506%
    EXA (11/2/10/3/1)-(11/2/10/3/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00  3-11 $136.60 $116.60 583%
EVD-3   DD (11/2/10/3/1)-(3/7) 10 $1.00 $10.00  3-3 $52.50 $42.50 425%
EVD-4   WIN (3/4/1/10/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00  1 $15.80 $5.80 58%
    EXA (3/4/1/10/2)-(3/4/1/10/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00  1-4 $39.20 $19.20 96%
    TRI (3/4/1/10/2)-(3/4/1/10/2)-(3/4/1/10/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00  1-4-3 $87.55 $57.55 192%
    DD (3/7)-(3/4/1/10/2) 10 $1.00 $10.00  3-1 $11.10 $1.10 11%
    PK3 (11/2/10/3/1)-(3/7)-(3/4/1/10/2) 50 $0.50 $25.00  3-3-1 $183.60 $158.60 634%
EVD-5   WIN (6) 1 $2.00 $2.00  6 $6.80 $4.80 240%
    DD (3/4/1/10/2)-(6) 5 $1.00 $5.00  1-6 $22.00 $17.00 340%
    PK3 (3/7)-(3/4/1/10/2)-(6) 10 $0.50 $5.00  3-1-6 $20.45 $15.45 309%
    PK4 (11/2/10/3/1)-(3/7)-(3/4/1/10/2)-(6) 50 $0.50 $25.00  3-2/3/6-1-6 $479.20 $454.20 1817%
EVD-6   WIN (7/1/9/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00  5 $30.40 $22.40 280%
    DD (6)-(7/1/9/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00  6-5 $41.80 $37.80 945%
    PK3 (3/4/1/10/2)-(6)-(7/1/9/5) 20 $0.50 $10.00  1-6-5 $235.95 $225.95 2260%
EVD-7   DD (7/1/9/5)-(9/3/6/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00  5-9 $46.80 $30.80 193%
    PK3 (6)-(7/1/9/5)-(9/3/6/8) 16 $0.50 $8.00  6-5-9 $51.05 $43.05 538%
EVD-8   PK3 (7/1/9/5)-(9/3/6/8)-(5/8/4/1) 64 $0.50 $32.00  5-9-5 $68.60 $36.60 114%
    PK4 (6)-(7/1/9/5)-(9/3/6/8)-(5/8/4/1) 64 $0.50 $32.00  6-5-9-2/5 $182.30 $150.30 470%
    PK5 (3/4/1/10/2)-(6)-(7/1/9/5)-(9/3/6/8)-(5/8/4/1) 320 $0.50 $160  1-6-5-9-2/5 $1532 $1372 858%

Simulator Race results

 
EVD-1   05/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:30
See original race card.
:25 :494 1:15 1:281   1:42   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LAST OF THE NILE 4 2 21 2½ 2nk 2nk 1¼ (flint steve)MELANCON G 118 2.00 1.90  
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of ENCHANTRESS by MALIBU MOON)
LIGHTENING MO 1 3 11 1½ 1nk 1nk 2¼ (calhoun willia)THORNTON G 115 2.50 54% 0.90 1.60 P
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of BAMA MO by UNCLE MO)
SURREY 6 5 5 4 3.2 3 3 (delany sara)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 5.00 2.00  
  (by UNKNOWN out of DOVECOTE by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
LA VILLANA 3 4 32 53 5 46 4 (escobar alis)BARRERA J 113 12.00 9.00  
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of MUJAAZY by NEW APPROACH (IRE))
LAST PENALTY 5 1 42 3 4 5 514½ (larrosa juan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 15.00 21% 3.70 28.10  
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of PENALTY DUE by RED BULLET)
EASY ACES 2 6 6 64 6 617½ 633¼ (ladner herman)MCMAHON J 120 20.00 28.00  
  (by HARD ACES out of EASY LIMIT by STORM CAT)
SCR  DIVERGENCE               (bourgeo)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 8.00    
  (by FROSTED (GB) out of DIVERGENT THINKING by MIZZEN MAST)
SCR  SHE'S WAYNE'S               (devereux patr)VARGAS P 120 4.50    
  (by MO TOM out of HOLY HAZAAM by SUN BULL)
SCR  UNION GRAD               (delany sarah)ROSENDO J 123 20.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of TRENSITA by CURLIN)
 
EVD-2   05/11/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:57
See original race card.
1:263         1:263   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ASHLEY'S GIRL 3 10 1014½ 1011¾   6 1hd (zenon shelto)BARRERA J 118 12.00 11% 8.50 29.30 W
11  PICKIN ANA GRINNIN 11 3 4 3.2   12 2hd (jeansonne justi)ROSENDO J 123 3.00 26% 2.80 1.20 P
MARDI GRAS ALARM 1 8 5 4   32 3 (breaux samuel)MCMAHON J 118 12.00 5% 17.40 9.10 DQ↓5
REINA ACES 5 9 911 8   4 44 (gonzal)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 15.00 39.00  
10  JULIO CHOICE 10 4 7 5   53 56 (mojica edith )VARGAS P 123 4.00 16% 5.40 10.40  
MACEE 2 5 11 1nk   22 6 (david b)THORNTON G 123 2.50 19% 4.40 4.00  
EASY ACT 7 11 1116½ 1116¾   10 7 (segura )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 20.00 40.90  
MOR KISSES 9 6 65 6   8 810¾ (delany sara)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 10.00 6.40  
STOP SHOP N DROP 6 7 8 9   9 915¾ (castille rickey )FUSILIER C 123 20.00 57.90  
MOONLIGHTMADDY 8 2 21 2nk   7 1016 (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 8.00 6.30  
CONTINENTAL RED 4 1 31 7   11100 11100 (richards c)ALBERT S 113 15.00 78.10  
 
EVD-3   05/11/2023 3300ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:24
See original race card.
:22 :453       :581   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SASSY BEAST 2 3 3½ 3   2nk 1 (rodriguez ang)CARDOSO DAVID 123 2.00 54% 0.90 0.80 W
SWEET TEMPERAMENT 5 1 1nk 1½   1nk 2 (bourgeo)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 117 4.00 25% 3.10 1.20 P
BROKE FINANCING 3 5 58 510   5 310¼ (jackson dway)MAGNON H 120 20.00 15.80  
CONDESA'S HANDMAID 4 4 4 46   4 410¼ (shamsie rand)NIEVES EMANUEL 117 15.00 21.40  
LADY HOPPER 1 2 2nk 2½   3 517 (ludwig b)THORNTON G 117 5.00 7.30  
SCR  CHARLIE T               (thomas lee)MARQUEZ L 120 1.80    
SCR  EXPECT OURS               (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 117 8.00    
 
EVD-4   05/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:51
See original race card.
:242 :482 1:142 1:281   1:424   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CRIDER CHASE 1 5 1nk 1nk 1½ 12 1 (zenon shelt)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 4.50 9% 9.80 6.90 W
BOSTON LUCILLE 4 8 9 910 66 3 2 (roberts kenn)BARRERA J 118 8.00 19% 4.40 3.80 P
THE GREY BEAUTY 3 4 2nk 2nk 2½ 22 3 (terre d)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 3.00 30% 2.40 4.90 S
MYLIES STAR 6 6 5 4 54 43 4 (dussette a)ALBERT S 118 5.00 17.30  
10  LUCKY DEAL 10 1 8 88 76 7 5 (delany sarah)ROSENDO J 123 10.00 6% 16.30 8.70  
KAITLYN'S COURT 9 10 1012¼ 1013½ 1011½ 98 6 (constantine car)MCMAHON J 123 20.00 41.90  
IRON BANNER 5 2 3.2 3.2 3 6 7 (brinkm)GUERRERO ANDRES 123 15.00 10.10  
KAPPA HILL 7 7 7 7 8 8 8 (patt jr)FUSILIER C 123 20.00 40.10  
BRI 8 9 6 5 43 56 911¼ (broberg karl)THORNTON G 123 2.50 2.60  
RESPOSADO 2 3 4 6 99 1011½ 1014¼ (thomas lee)BALTHAZAR JARED 123 15.00 5% 19.00 6.10  
SCR  MILA'S KAT               (breaux samuel)MCMAHON J 123 12.00    
SCR  OVERLY SWEET               (zeno benjamin)MELANCON G 123 20.00    
 
EVD-5   05/11/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:18
See original race card.
:22 :46       :584   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOUBLE BARREL MAN 5 8 86 7   4 1 (landry ray)STOKES J 117 2.50 78% 0.30 2.40 W
MUCHO MARVIN 8 5 42 4¾   1½ 2 (ramirez eduar)VARGAS P 117 4.00 0.90  
MINISTER'S MEDAL 3 6 3 3.2   3½ 34 (sanchez jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 8.00 13.60 S
10  MAD GOLD 9 9 64 6   6 4 (gonzal)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 6.00 10.00  
QUEST FOR AVETTE 6 1 2½ 1nk   2½ 5 (ney joh)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 117 15.00 15.50  
LOVEU AND PROUDOFU 2 4 75 8   8 6 (richards coral)THORNTON G 117 3.00 8.90  
B B MOODY 7 3 5 5   7 7 (west henry)RIVERA JOSEAN 117 15.00 40.80  
TOOL BOX 4 2 1½ 2nk   5 89 (broussard je)NIEVES EMANUEL 117 10.00 17.20  
PAT ME DOWN 1 7 9 9   911¾ 914 (west henry)ALBERT S 112 20.00 83.20  
SCR  I'M LOOKING UP               (zenon shelton)POMPELL L 120 20.00    
 
EVD-6   05/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:46
See original race card.
:242 :483 1:141 1:281   1:424   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PAYOFF CYCLE 5 2 12 1 1 12 1¾ (demouchet ricky)POMPELL L 115 15.00 10% 9.00 14.20 W
NEPHI 6 6 22 2 2 22 2¾ (west henry)RIVERA JOSEAN 123 8.00 12.50  
MY UNCLE BILLY 2 7 8 710 5 4 3 (gelner scott)BARRERA J 113 20.00 14.00  
BUCK'S GLORY 7 1 4 3 4 33 4 (landry r)THORNTON G 115 2.00 38% 1.60 3.70  
SHOETRICK 1 5 7 68 6 5 5 (brinkman bre)MAGNON H 123 4.50 14% 6.40 2.10  
APRIORITY ROCKET 8 8 6 5 34 65 6 (thomas lee)VARGAS P 115 2.50 5.70  
BASTI BLUE 9 9 9 912¼ 813 717 719¾ (landry jacoby)FUSILIER C 120 5.00 12% 7.20 3.00  
CAMEO TRICK 4 3 5 810¼ 916 817¼ 820½ (holden mark)STOKES J 120 20.00 35.20  
UNCLE JETT 3 4 32 4 7 919¾ 926 (sanchez jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 12.00 19.70  
 
EVD-7   05/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:13
See original race card.
:214 :451 :573     1:042   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EASY RUNNER 8 4 43 21   1nk 1 (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 3.50 46% 1.20 1.60 W
HOLY BAYOU 3 3 1 11   2nk 2 (klanfer alan)FUSILIER C 113 2.50 17% 5.00 1.20 P
PESO PESADO 7 7 7 7   56 3 (schwandt emile)MCMAHON J 113 5.00 5% 17.30 4.80 S
HALF MAGIC 5 1 2 31   3 411 (terre d)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 10.00 16.40  
LUCAS ZIP IT 6 2 5 57   67 513¾ (journet al)ALBERT S 113 8.00 7% 13.60 22.90  
MIZSPELT 1 5 3 4   44 615½ (delany sara)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 12.00 27.00  
WIN WON DOBBS 2 8 68 69   79 717¾ (mojica edith)NIEVES EMANUEL 118 4.00 33.10  
SMOOTH RIVER 4 6 814 815¾   816 820¾ (latour nicholas)STOKES J 118 15.00 23.60  
SCR  HEARTTHROB HALO               (jeansonne justi)ROSENDO J 118 15.00    
 
EVD-8   05/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:40
See original race card.
1:074         1:074   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SABERFIGHT 4 4 42 31   12 1 (averett ron)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 2.50 48% 1.10 2.50 W
ZONG WAVE 8 3 32 4   3 2 (dison phill)MELANCON JANSEN 123 4.50 6.50  
KASENS TRIBE 7 9 1013 9   67 3 (shamsie randy)STOKES A 123 4.00 19% 4.20 10.80 S
SPARKLE CITY 3 2 2½ 1nk   22 4 (silva )GUERRERO ANDRES 123 6.00 8% 11.80 2.60  
11  GRACE'S SOLDIER 10 8 7 64   57 5 (zenon shelto)MAGNON H 118 15.00 10.20  
SUM CHARM 2 7 64 53   45 6 (ney joh)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 12.00 19.50  
10  A. P. STYLE 9 10 9 8   710½ 7 (dison phil)WEATHERLY BAILEY 118 20.00 8.00  
SWEET SASSICAIA 1 11 1113½ 11   812½ 814¼ (thomas lee)BALTHAZAR JARED 123 12.00 5% 19.00 17.20  
12  SEEMYVALENTINE 11 5 53 7   1114¼ 916½ (west henry)RIVERA JOSEAN 123 20.00 10.80  
BEAT THE DOUBLE 6 6 8 10   913½ 1017¼ (zeno benjamin)ROSIER R 123 20.00 53.40  
CAT HAIR FLYING 5 1 1½ 2nk   1014 1120¾ (averett ronn)BARRERA J 118 20.00 42.50  
SCR  VALERIE LOUISE               (zeno benjami)NIEVES EMANUEL 123 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.