Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Evangeline Downs
Thursday - May 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
EVD-1   WIN (2/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/8)-(2/8/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/8)-(2/8/4)-(2/8/4) 4 $1.00 $2.00 
    DD (2/8)-(11/2/10/3/1) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (2/8)-(11/2/10/3/1)-(3/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
EVD-2   WIN (11/2/10/3/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (11/2/10/3/1)-(11/2/10/3/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (11/2/10/3/1)-(11/2/10/3/1)-(11/2/10/3/1) 60 $1.00 $30.00 
    DD (11/2/10/3/1)-(3/7) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (11/2/10/3/1)-(3/7)-(3/4/1/10/2) 50 $1.00 $50.00 
EVD-3   WIN (3/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/7)-(3/7/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (3/7)-(3/7/5)-(3/7/5) 4 $1.00 $2.00 
    DD (3/7)-(3/4/1/10/2) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (3/7)-(3/4/1/10/2)-(6) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
EVD-4   WIN (3/4/1/10/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/4/1/10/2)-(3/4/1/10/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/4/1/10/2)-(3/4/1/10/2)-(3/4/1/10/2) 60 $1.00 $30.00 
    DD (3/4/1/10/2)-(6) 5 $1.00 $5.00 
    PK3 (3/4/1/10/2)-(6)-(7/1/9/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
EVD-5   WIN (6) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (6)-(6/5/4/7/10) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (6)-(6/5/4/7/10)-(6/5/4/7/10) 12 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (6)-(7/1/9/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (6)-(7/1/9/5)-(9/3/6/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
EVD-6   WIN (7/1/9/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/9/5)-(7/1/9/5/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/1/9/5)-(7/1/9/5/8)-(7/1/9/5/8) 48 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (7/1/9/5)-(9/3/6/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/1/9/5)-(9/3/6/8)-(5/8/4/1) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
EVD-7   WIN (9/3/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/3/6/8)-(9/3/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/3/6/8)-(9/3/6/8)-(9/3/6/8) 24 $1.00 $12.00 
    DD (9/3/6/8)-(5/8/4/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
EVD-8   WIN (5/8/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/4/1)-(5/8/4/1/12) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/8/4/1)-(5/8/4/1/12)-(5/8/4/1/12) 48 $1.00 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
EVD-1   05/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SHE'S WAYNE'S Feb11 Jan27 Dec20 Sep12 Jun03 (devereux patr)VARGAS P 120 4.50    
  (by MO TOM out of HOLY HAZAAM by SUN BULL)
2  LIGHTENING MO Mar25 Feb18       (calhoun willia)THORNTON G 115 2.50 54% 0.90    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of BAMA MO by UNCLE MO)
SCR  DIVERGENCE         (bourgeo)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 8.00 ★    
  (by FROSTED (GB) out of DIVERGENT THINKING by MIZZEN MAST)
4  EASY ACES Mar10 Jan27 Jan14 Nov25 Jun18 (ladner herman)MCMAHON J 120 20.00 ★    
  (by HARD ACES out of EASY LIMIT by STORM CAT)
5  LA VILLANA Mar24 Mar01       (escobar alis)BARRERA J 113 12.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of MUJAAZY by NEW APPROACH (IRE))
6  LAST OF THE NILE Apr27 Apr08 Feb09 Dec23 Jul07 (flint steve)MELANCON G 118 2.00    
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of ENCHANTRESS by MALIBU MOON)
SCR  UNION GRAD Nov25 Oct28 Jul15 Jun09 May20 (delany sarah)ROSENDO J 123 20.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of TRENSITA by CURLIN)
8  LAST PENALTY Apr15 Mar19       (larrosa juan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 15.00 21% 3.70    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of PENALTY DUE by RED BULLET)
9  SURREY Apr08 Feb24 Feb09 Dec15 Mar09 (delany sara)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 5.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of DOVECOTE by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
 
EVD-2   05/11/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARDI GRAS ALARM Apr21 Mar12 Feb02 Jan12 Dec10 (breaux samuel)MCMAHON J 118 12.00 5% 17.40    
2  MACEE Apr27 Mar08 Feb12 Dec22 Jun15 (david b)THORNTON G 123 2.50 19% 4.40    
3  ASHLEY'S GIRL Apr26 Apr07 Mar15 Feb02 Jan14 (zenon shelto)BARRERA J 118 12.00 11% 8.50    
4  CONTINENTAL RED Apr21 Apr07 Mar16 Feb04 Dec23 (richards c)ALBERT S 113 15.00    
5  REINA ACES Apr19 Mar23 Mar10 Feb17 Feb03 (gonzal)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 15.00    
6  STOP SHOP N DROP Apr12 Feb24 Feb02 Jan07 Dec15 (castille rickey )FUSILIER C 123 20.00    
7  EASY ACT Apr07 Feb28 Feb10 Jan19 Dec02 (segura )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 20.00    
8  MOONLIGHTMADDY Apr20 Feb28 Feb10 Jan13 Dec10 (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 8.00    
9  MOR KISSES Apr22 Jan13 Dec02 Oct08   (delany sara)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 10.00    
10  JULIO CHOICE Apr27 Jan06 Nov03 Oct07 Aug27 (mojica edith )VARGAS P 123 4.00 16% 5.40    
11  PICKIN ANA GRINNIN Apr15 Mar10 Feb17 Feb05 Jan01 (jeansonne justi)ROSENDO J 123 3.00 26% 2.80    
 
EVD-3   05/11/2023 3300ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADY HOPPER Apr12 Mar26 Feb17 Feb04 Jan12 (ludwig b)THORNTON G 117 5.00    
SCR  CHARLIE T Apr21 Mar26 Mar11 Feb11 Jan14 (thomas lee)MARQUEZ L 120 1.80    
3  SASSY BEAST Apr22 Apr07 Feb18 Jan06 Dec23 (rodriguez ang)CARDOSO DAVID 123 2.00 54% 0.90    
4  BROKE FINANCING Apr27 Apr12 Mar12 Jan27 Aug19 (jackson dway)MAGNON H 120 20.00    
5  CONDESA'S HANDMAID Apr27 Jul12 May29 Apr23 Mar27 (shamsie rand)NIEVES EMANUEL 117 15.00 ★    
SCR  EXPECT OURS Sep23 Sep05 Jul19 Jun07   (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 117 8.00    
7  SWEET TEMPERAMENT Apr12 Feb24 Jan06 Dec17 Jul21 (bourgeo)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 117 4.00 25% 3.10    
 
EVD-4   05/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CRIDER CHASE Apr13 Mar19 Feb15 Feb01 Jan18 (zenon shelt)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 4.50 9% 9.80    
2  RESPOSADO Feb26 Jan05 Nov25 Aug26 Aug06 (thomas lee)BALTHAZAR JARED 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  THE GREY BEAUTY Apr20 Mar26 Feb02 Dec22 Nov27 (terre d)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 3.00 30% 2.40    
4  BOSTON LUCILLE Apr20 Feb15 Jan18 Dec16 Dec01 (roberts kenn)BARRERA J 118 8.00 19% 4.40    
5  IRON BANNER Apr22 Dec23 Dec03 Nov04 Oct05 (brinkm)GUERRERO ANDRES 123 15.00    
6  MYLIES STAR Apr28 Apr12 Mar11 Feb23 Jan27 (dussette a)ALBERT S 118 5.00    
7  KAPPA HILL Apr20 Jul28 Jul01 May27 May11 (patt jr)FUSILIER C 123 20.00    
8  BRI Apr13 Feb28 Jan26 Dec15 Nov03 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 123 2.50    
9  KAITLYN'S COURT Apr13 Mar19 Feb15 Feb05 Jan15 (constantine car)MCMAHON J 123 20.00    
10  LUCKY DEAL Apr13 Mar11 Feb23 Dec29 Dec19 (delany sarah)ROSENDO J 123 10.00 6% 16.30    
SCR  MILA'S KAT Feb28 Feb02 Jan20 Jan04 Dec15 (breaux samuel)MCMAHON J 123 12.00    
SCR  OVERLY SWEET Apr28 Mar11 Feb22 Jan19 Jan06 (zeno benjamin)MELANCON G 123 20.00    
 
EVD-5   05/11/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PAT ME DOWN Apr14 Mar15 Feb21 Feb09 Jan27 (west henry)ALBERT S 112 20.00    
SCR  I'M LOOKING UP Feb02 Jan18 Jan04 Dec21 Nov22 (zenon shelton)POMPELL L 120 20.00    
3  LOVEU AND PROUDOFU Apr14 Mar15 Feb16 Jan12 Dec19 (richards coral)THORNTON G 117 3.00    
4  MINISTER'S MEDAL Apr21 Jul07 Mar24 Feb24 Feb02 (sanchez jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 8.00 ★    
5  TOOL BOX Feb16 Dec28 Nov30 Nov10 Oct15 (broussard je)NIEVES EMANUEL 117 10.00 ★    
6  DOUBLE BARREL MAN Nov30 Oct13 Aug06 May28 May06 (landry ray)STOKES J 117 2.50 78% 0.30    
7  QUEST FOR AVETTE Apr21 Mar15 Feb21 Jan12 Dec19 (ney joh)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 117 15.00 ★    
8  B B MOODY Apr08 Mar24 Feb16 Feb02 Jan13 (west henry)RIVERA JOSEAN 117 15.00    
9  MUCHO MARVIN Apr21 Mar15 Mar01 Feb04 Jan20 (ramirez eduar)VARGAS P 117 4.00    
10  MAD GOLD Apr14 Feb23 Feb10 Jan27 Jan14 (gonzal)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 6.00 ★    
 
EVD-6   05/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHOETRICK Apr21 Jan19 Dec19 Nov22 Oct21 (brinkman bre)MAGNON H 123 4.50 14% 6.40    
2  MY UNCLE BILLY Apr21 Feb17       (gelner scott)BARRERA J 113 20.00    
3  UNCLE JETT Apr22 Mar22       (sanchez jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 12.00    
4  CAMEO TRICK         (holden mark)STOKES J 120 20.00    
5  PAYOFF CYCLE Apr13 Mar10 Feb18 Jan25 Jan11 (demouchet ricky)POMPELL L 115 15.00 10% 9.00    
6  NEPHI Apr07 Feb20 Jan19 Nov26   (west henry)RIVERA JOSEAN 123 8.00    
7  BUCK'S GLORY Apr22 Mar22 Feb17 Jan27 Jan13 (landry r)THORNTON G 115 2.00 38% 1.60    
8  APRIORITY ROCKET Apr19 Mar26 Mar02 Feb01   (thomas lee)VARGAS P 115 2.50 ★    
9  BASTI BLUE Apr21 Apr07 Dec11 Nov24 Oct26 (landry jacoby)FUSILIER C 120 5.00 12% 7.20    
 
EVD-7   05/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIZSPELT Apr08 Mar08 Feb15 Jan11 Dec27 (delany sara)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 12.00    
2  WIN WON DOBBS Mar31 Mar19 Feb10 Jan22 Dec28 (mojica edith)NIEVES EMANUEL 118 4.00    
3  HOLY BAYOU Apr12 Mar11 Feb18 Jan11 Dec15 (klanfer alan)FUSILIER C 113 2.50 17% 5.00    
4  SMOOTH RIVER Dec21 Dec02 Feb25 Feb10   (latour nicholas)STOKES J 118 15.00    
5  HALF MAGIC Mar09 Jan27 Dec11 Apr29 Apr08 (terre d)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 10.00    
6  LUCAS ZIP IT Nov25 Oct26 Oct05 Sep03 Jul22 (journet al)ALBERT S 113 8.00 7% 13.60    
SCR  HEARTTHROB HALO Apr28 Mar02 Jan22 Jan06 Dec16 (jeansonne justi)ROSENDO J 118 15.00    
8  PESO PESADO Apr22 Mar22 Feb24 Feb10 Dec10 (schwandt emile)MCMAHON J 113 5.00 5% 17.30    
9  EASY RUNNER Apr15 Mar18 Feb23 Feb02 Jan08 (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 3.50 46% 1.20    
 
EVD-8   05/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET SASSICAIA         (thomas lee)BALTHAZAR JARED 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  VALERIE LOUISE Apr20 Apr07 Mar18 Feb02 Aug26 (zeno benjami)NIEVES EMANUEL 123 8.00    
3  SUM CHARM Feb20 Feb04 Jun24     (ney joh)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 12.00    
4  SPARKLE CITY Apr19 Feb18       (silva )GUERRERO ANDRES 123 6.00 8% 11.80    
5  SABERFIGHT Apr26 Jan28 Dec29 Dec02 Nov18 (averett ron)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 2.50 48% 1.10    
6  CAT HAIR FLYING Jan28         (averett ronn)BARRERA J 118 20.00    
7  BEAT THE DOUBLE Apr26 Apr15 Feb15     (zeno benjamin)ROSIER R 123 20.00    
8  KASENS TRIBE Aug27 Aug18 Aug06 Jun29 Apr30 (shamsie randy)STOKES A 123 4.00 19% 4.20    
9  ZONG WAVE Apr26 Feb23 Dec29 Dec19   (dison phill)MELANCON JANSEN 123 4.50    
10  A. P. STYLE Apr20 Feb18 Jan20 Jan05 Dec08 (dison phil)WEATHERLY BAILEY 118 20.00    
11  GRACE'S SOLDIER Apr26 Apr12 Mar16 Feb24 Jan26 (zenon shelto)MAGNON H 118 15.00    
12  SEEMYVALENTINE Jan28 Dec19 Nov25 Nov11 Oct06 (west henry)RIVERA JOSEAN 123 20.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.