Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Saratoga
Thursday - August 10, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
SAR-3   EXA (1/3/12)-(1/3/12) 6 $1.00 $6.00  1-12 $11.20 $5.20 87%
SAR-4   WIN (1/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  7 $7.00 $1.00 17%
    DD (1/3/12)-(1/7/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00  1-7 $12.10 $3.10 34%
SAR-5   DD (1/7/2)-(8/9/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00  7-9 $14.60 $2.60 22%
    PK3 (1/3/12)-(1/7/2)-(8/9/3/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00  1-7-9 $44.50 $8.50 24%
SAR-8   DD (1/3)-(5/2/9/4/8) 10 $1.00 $10.00  3-2 $16.10 $6.10 61%
SAR-9   WIN (11/7/4/8/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00  4 $27.20 $17.20 172%
    DD (5/2/9/4/8)-(11/7/4/8/5) 25 $1.00 $25.00  2-4 $46.50 $21.50 86%
    PK3 (1/3)-(5/2/9/4/8)-(11/7/4/8/5) 50 $1.00 $50.00  3-2-4 $67.75 $17.75 36%
SAR-10   DD (11/7/4/8/5)-(11/6/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00  4-11 $28.00 $13.00 87%
    PK3 (5/2/9/4/8)-(11/7/4/8/5)-(11/6/1) 75 $1.00 $75.00  2-4-11 $91.00 $16.00 21%
    PK4 (1/3)-(5/2/9/4/8)-(11/7/4/8/5)-(11/6/1) 150 $0.50 $75.00  3-2-4-11 $106.00 $31.00 41%
    PK5 (3/1/7/2/5)-(1/3)-(5/2/9/4/8)-(11/7/4/8/5)-(11/6/1) 750 $0.50 $375  3-3-2-4-11 $665.25 $290.25 77%
    PK6 (8/9/3/6)-(3/1/7/2/5)-(1/3)-(5/2/9/4/8)-(11/7/4/8/5)-(11/6/1) 3000 $1.00 $3000  9-3-3-2-4-11 $3704.50 $704.50 23%
Simulator Race results
 
SAR-1   08/10/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 2 F PT- 1:10
See original race card.
:224 :461 :584     1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  HONEY DIJON 3 2 2½ 2nk   13 15¾ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 5.00 1.65  
  (by GIRVIN out of ARCHANGELUS by EMPIRE MAKER)
4  INTO STARS 1 4 31 43   43½ 25¾ (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 4.00 26% 2.80 4.20 P
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of STAR BILLING by DYNAFORMER)
5  PERMED 2 3 42 32½   33½ 37¾ (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 119 2.50 42% 1.40 1.55 S
  (by STREET BOSS out of CURLED by CURLIN)
8  SEVEN NATTY PATTY 5 1 1½ 1nk   23 48 (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 119 10.00 10% 8.70 6.30  
  (by MO TOWN out of CAN'T STEAL MY JOY by EXCLUSIVE QUALITY)
7  MY STARSHIP 4 5 56 510   510 516 (romero rafa)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 20.00 35.50  
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of SANDRA'S DAY by MR. GREELEY)
9  BOBBY JEAN 6 6 66½ 610½   611 617¾ (hennig mark)VELAZQUEZ R 119 10.00 12.40  
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of PROMENADE STAR by HAYNESFIELD)
SCR  BUNDCHEN               (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 119 2.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of NO MORE PARTIES by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
SCR  GREAVETTE               (begg jam)SANTANA JR 119 15.00    
  (by ASTERN out of CONVERTIBLE by FORESTRY)
SCR  LUZ DIVINA               (hamm timothy)CARMOUCHE K 119 10.00    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of DIVINA LUZ by WILD EVENT)
 
SAR-2   08/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($43K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:44
See original race card.
:23 :47 :594     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  PHINNEYS HARBOR 7 1 22 1½   11½ 1¼ (hennig mark)DAVIS KATIE 119 5.00 7.30  
5  CAUSE I'M ELEGANT 5 6 76½ 56   44½ 2¼ (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 6.00 5% 19.00 23.70 P
3  TERESA 3 3 54 67   54½ 31¾ (barrera s)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00 29% 2.50 2.50 S
6  STRANGE FRUIT 6 4 32½ 32   32½ 42½ (reynolds pat)TORRES A 114 4.50 7.40  
4  MONTAUK MYSTIQUE 4 2 12 2½   21½ 54¾ (miceli mich)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 3.50 3.35  
1  KNOCKZCATOFFZFENCE 1 5 66 77½   77 69¼ (diodoro )SANTANA JR 119 2.00 46% 1.20 1.65  
2  MAGNOLIA WIND 2 7 43½ 44   66½ 716½ (diprima gre)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 12.00 5% 19.00 37.75  
 
SAR-3   08/10/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($35K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:25 :483 1:124 1:252   1:382   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TALLAHATCHIEBRIDGE 1 3 31½ 31½ 21½ 16 18 (joseph saf)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 3.50 27% 2.70 1.60 W
12  OUR COUNTRY 5 5 55 52½ 31½ 26 28 (hennig mark)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 12.00 18% 4.50 4.50 P
13  ROCK THE WEEKEND 6 4 42 42 53½ 48 39½ (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00 3.60  
8  AMANI'S EAGLE 4 1 11 11 11½ 37 415 (barkley )SANTANA JR 123 15.00 5.10  
4  HONOR LEO JEAN 3 2 21 21 42 510 518½ (hamm timothy)VELAZQUEZ R 120 20.00 10.40  
3  MORE THAN WORK 2 6 6100 6100 6100 6100 6100 (martin f)CARMOUCHE K 125 10.00 25% 3.00 5.00  
SCR  SPLENDID SUMMER               (rodriguez r)GUTIERREZ REYLU 125 12.00    
SCR  SPETTRO               (baker charl)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 15.00    
SCR  PROVISION               (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 120 12.00    
SCR  MY ROMEO LIMA               (camejo m)LEZCANO JOSE 123 6.00    
SCR  BORN A GAMBLER               (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 125 4.50    
SCR  TREASURE KING               (joseph saffi)CASTELLANO J 123 5.00    
SCR  ARRIO               (kantarmaci mertka)SAEZ LUIS 123 12.00    
 
SAR-4   08/10/2023 5940ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($60K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:52
See original race card.
:25 :491 1:131 1:39   1:522   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  TRUCULENT 5 1 21½ 31 2nk 12 15 (kantarmaci mertka)SAEZ LUIS 118 5.00 23% 3.40 2.50 W
3  ROCCO STRONG 3 3 52½ 42½ 31½ 22 25 (giangiulio mich)CARMOUCHE K 118 10.00 5.20  
4  DATESFREEDOM 4 5 42½ 21 42½ 45½ 36½ (delauro edw)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 15.00 8.80  
2  MY FRIENDS BEER 2 4 32 54 54½ 55½ 48½ (baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 120 6.00 19% 4.20 4.60  
1  TWO THIRTY FIVE 1 2 11½ 11 1nk 34 513 (klesaris ro)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 3.00 29% 2.40 1.10  
SCR  DUST DEVIL               (toscano john )SILVERA RUBEN 118 1.20    
SCR  MAXIMUM IMPACT               (ginter raymo)TORRES A 118 8.00    
 
SAR-5   08/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($88K) 2 F PT- 3:26
See original race card.
:222 :46 :582     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  MISS D'OR CHERIE 9 2 21 1½   13½ 13 (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.50 23% 3.40 2.80 W
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of ABOVE FASHION by PADDY O'PRADO)
8  BOOK OF WISDOM 8 1 41½ 33   23½ 23 (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 3.00 54% 0.80 3.20 P
  (by SOLOMINI out of TAPPIN'AT THE DOOR by TAPIT)
2  MY MANE SQUEEZE 2 4 63½ 65½   47½ 38¾ (maker michael)SILVERA RUBEN 119 6.00 11.90  
  (by AUDIBLE out of IN SPITE OF MAMA by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
5  RECENCY 5 9 74½ 44½   57¾ 48¾ (brown chad)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.50 5.80  
  (by TAPIT out of FLIPCUP by MILWAUKEE BREW)
3  EKWANOK 3 6 53 55   68¼ 510¼ (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 119 12.00 5% 19.00 23.20  
  (by MITOLE out of KATS GIRL CALA by LEMON DROP KID)
1  SNARKY 1 3 11 2½   37½ 617 (rodriguez rudy)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 4.50 ★ 5.70  
  (by REDESDALE out of ELBA'S FIRST by TIZ WONDERFUL)
7  PRETTY UP 7 5 31½ 711   715¼ 724¼ (rodriguez rudy)ROSARIO JOEL 119 10.00 4.10  
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of DANCING FOR GLORY by EXCHANGE RATE)
4  REALTA 4 7 96½ 913   818¾ 831¼ (albertrani thomas)SAEZ LUIS 119 15.00 27.25  
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of SOUL OPPOSITION by THUNDER GULCH)
6  SUPERSTARSUSAN 6 8 86 812   920¾ 934¼ (duggan david)CASTELLANO J 119 15.00 5% 19.00 18.40  
  (by HARD SPUN out of ELLIE'S SMILE by TAPIT)
 
SAR-6   08/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($83K) 2 ALL PT- 4:00
See original race card.
:223 :461 :59     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  LE DOM BRO 2 1 2nk 1nk   2nk 1¼ (sano anton)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 2.50 57% 0.70 2.15 W
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
1  WALSTIB 8 2 1nk 2nk   1nk 2¼ (mcpeek kenn)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 3.00 14% 6.00 4.30 P
  (by UNIFIED out of TERESKA by TALE OF THE CAT)
9  FIRST TRUMPET 9 3 32 32   33 34¾ (baker charlton)LEZCANO JOSE 119 8.00 16.80  
  (by CARPE DIEM out of APPEALING IVY by MINESHAFT)
7  SECRET LOVER 6 10 1017 814½   510¼ 47¾ (sano antoni)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 20.00 5% 19.00 34.00  
  (by KHOZAN out of WAVE BYE BYE by CONGRATS)
8  KHANATE 7 9 87½ 610½   611¾ 511½ (pletcher todd )PRAT FLAVIEN 119 4.50 2.75  
  (by HIGHTAIL out of MONGOLIAN SHOPPER by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
2  DON VINO VICI 1 6 53½ 916   813¾ 612 (schettino dominic)SAEZ LUIS 119 20.00 5% 19.00 35.00  
  (by VINO ROSSO out of R NAJA by EXCHANGE RATE)
5  TWENTYEIGHTTOTHREE 4 7 914½ 1016¼   1015¾ 717½ (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 119 15.00 5% 19.00 30.75  
  (by CURLIN out of KETEL TWIST by DIXIE UNION)
4  COWBOY LUKE 3 4 42½ 45   410 820 (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 119 8.00 9.10  
  (by GIRVIN out of SALTY KISS by BIG DRAMA)
6  ALWAYS DIALED 5 8 64½ 58½   712¼ 921¼ (giddings melan)ROSARIO JOEL 119 6.00 7.00  
  (by DIALED IN out of CAROLINA HONEY by CURLIN)
10  GAME MISCONDUCT 10 5 76 711½   915¾ 1023¼ (delauro edwa)CASTELLANO J 119 20.00 15.30  
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of DANALAKE by FRIENDS LAKE)
SCR  STUNNEM               (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 119 3.00    
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of MYBABYBABYSBABY by AWESOME AGAIN)
 
SAR-7   08/10/2023 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($149.5K) 3 F PT- 4:34
See original race card.
:24 :48 1:121 1:39   1:524   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  ALPHA BELLA 1 1 1½ 1½ 11 19 122¾ (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 122 5.00 27% 2.70 1.15 W
1A  VIRTUAL REALITY 2 2 2½ 2½ 21 29 222¾ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 4.00 53% 0.90 0.35 P
SCR  BOLIVIE (IRE)               (walsh brenda)GEROUX FLORENT 120 10.00    
SCR  STEPHANIE'S CHARM               (jimenez jos)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 20.00    
SCR  MY LION (GB)               (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 8.00    
SCR  NO SHOW SAMMY JO (GB)               (motion grah)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.50    
SCR  OLKOVSKHA (FR)               (motion gr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 3.50    
SCR  QUARREL               (ribaudo robe)CASTELLANO J 122 10.00    
SCR  ROOT CAUSE               (brown c)ROSARIO JOEL 122 4.50    
SCR  BEAUTIFULNAVIGATOR (IRE)               (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 122 15.00    
SCR  BE MY SUNSHINE               (joseph saffie )LEZCANO JOSE 120 8.00    
SCR  IDEA GENERATION (IRE)               (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 4.00    
 
SAR-8   08/10/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:10
See original race card.
:23 :46 1:111     1:25   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  MAGICAL WAYS 2 5 1½ 1½   2½ 1hd (jacobson davi)FRANCO MANUEL 124 2.00 19% 4.40 3.85 W
5  MOVING PICTURES 5 1 2½ 2½   1½ 2hd (rodriguez r)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 2.50 28% 2.60 2.50 P
7  PAPI ON ICE 7 8 811 814   711 37¾ (persa)HERNANDEZ OMAR 117 15.00 33.25  
6  SOUNDS SPOOKY 6 3 42½ 57½   59½ 48¼ (jones eduardo )ALVARADO R 120 10.00 14.80  
8  SWAY'SINMYDNA 8 2 52½ 46   36½ 510 (chatterpaul n)CASTILLO AMIN 120 10.00 5% 19.00 16.90  
9  PINE VALLEY 9 4 31 32½   48½ 611 (mosco robert)TORRES A 117 4.50 18% 4.60 2.70  
3  SCOTTO 3 9 915½ 916   811½ 712¼ (jones ed)DAVIS A 122 15.00 32.00  
4  WITH KNOW NAME 4 6 63 68   610 815 (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 118 8.00 7% 14.10 3.30  
1  GINNSU WARRIOR 1 7 75½ 712   914½ 924¼ (ferraro ja)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 115 20.00 43.75  
 
SAR-9   08/10/2023 5610ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:44
See original race card.
:244 :482 1:131 1:262   1:39   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  SUERTE 2 3 42 31½ 41½ 1½ 16 (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 120 10.00 9% 9.60 12.60 W
1  MIGHTY ATLAS 1 10 910¾ 86 53 52 26 (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 118 12.00 24.75  
13  SOUTH STREET 9 6 52½ 42 3½ 2½ 36 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 1.80 3.60  
5  MIRACLE MIKE 3 7 76¾ 75½ 813½ 76¼ 48 (pletcher t)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 12.00 5% 19.00 8.60  
11  KINGFISH STEVENS 7 2 11 11 1nk 3½ 58¾ (martin carlo)CASTELLANO J 118 4.50 37% 1.70 8.60  
7  DEPUTY CONNECT 5 4 62¾ 53 712½ 66 610½ (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 6.00 32% 2.10 1.15  
12  BUCKORTWO 8 1 21 21 2nk 41½ 711¼ (nevin mi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 20.00 30.25  
6  YONO 4 9 1011¼ 107½ 914½ 913¼ 815¼ (hiles je)SANTANA JR 123 20.00 29.25  
14  SKATE TO HEAVEN 10 8 810¼ 97 68 88¾ 916¾ (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 123 5.00 9.00  
8  KINGDOM ON PAWS 6 5 32 64 1015 1021¼ 1038¼ (potts wayne)VELAZQUEZ R 125 12.00 5% 19.00 35.50  
SCR  FRONT MAN               (kantarmaci )ALVARADO JUNIOR 125 8.00    
SCR  SONIC SPEED               (morley thom)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 8.00    
SCR  UNLEASH THE POWER               (stall m)SAEZ LUIS 123 3.00    
SCR  WISECRAKEN               (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 120 15.00    
 
SAR-10   08/10/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:18
See original race card.
:222 :461 :584     1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  PAY ZONE 6 1 2½ 1nk   11 11¾ (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.50 45% 1.20 1.55 W
6  KASIMBA 4 3 1½ 2nk   21 21¾ (david a)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.00 32% 2.10 2.30 P
10  OFF THE CLOCK 5 5 45½ 44   33 33 (hamm timothy)CARMOUCHE K 119 15.00 4.30  
4  DREAMWITHINADREAM 2 4 56 57   46 43½ (hiles je)SANTANA JR 119 20.00 7.70  
5  BOLT D'PLATA 3 6 615 617   612 58 (terranova jo)TORRES A 114 15.00 16.90  
1  THE COMPAS MAN (IRE) 1 2 32 33½   56½ 610 (falcone robert)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 8.00 5% 19.00 5.90  
SCR  NIEUWENDYK               (begg bentle)RIDER TBA 119 15.00    
SCR  MO THAN LUCK               (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 119 15.00    
SCR  LIQUID ADDICTION (IRE)               (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.50    
SCR  INTO IT               (dutrow r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 6.00    
SCR  INSANITY IT SEEMS               (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 4.00    
SCR  RIDE UP               (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 119 1.60    
SCR  COLLECT FROM IKE               (pregman john)CASTELLANO J 119 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.