Handicappers' Race Results

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Saratoga
Thursday - August 10, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

SAR-1   Win (5/4/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $5.30  
SAR-2   Win (1/3/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 0 $16.60  
SAR-3   Win (1/3/12) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $5.20 $5.20  
SAR-4   Win (1/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $7.00 $7.00 1.00
SAR-5   Win (8/9/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 1 $7.60 $7.60  
SAR-6   Win (3/1/7/2/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 3 1 1 $6.30 $6.30  
SAR-7   Win (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 1 $4.30 $4.30 0.30
SAR-8   Win (5/2/9/4/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 2 1 1 $9.70 $9.70  
SAR-9   Win (11/7/4/8/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 4 1 1 $27.20 $27.20 17.20
SAR-10   Win (11/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 11 1 1 $5.10 $5.10  

Simulator Race results

 
SAR-1   08/10/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 2 F PT- 1:10
See original race card.
:224 :461 :584     1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HONEY DIJON 3 2 2½ 2nk   13 1 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 5.00 1.65  
INTO STARS 1 4 31 43   4 2 (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 4.00 26% 2.80 4.20 P
PERMED 2 3 42 3   3 3 (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 119 2.50 42% 1.40 1.55 S
SEVEN NATTY PATTY 5 1 1½ 1nk   23 48 (rodriguez rudy )FRANCO MANUEL 119 10.00 10% 8.70 6.30  
MY STARSHIP 4 5 56 510   510 516 (romero rafael)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 20.00 35.50  
BOBBY JEAN 6 6 6 610½   611 617¾ (hennig mark)VELAZQUEZ R 119 10.00 12.40  
SCR  BUNDCHEN               (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 119 2.00    
SCR  GREAVETTE               (begg james)SANTANA JR 119 15.00    
SCR  LUZ DIVINA               (hamm timothy)CARMOUCHE K 119 10.00    
 
SAR-2   08/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($43K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:44
See original race card.
:23 :47 :594     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PHINNEYS HARBOR 7 1 22 1½   1 1¼ (hennig mark)DAVIS KATIE 119 5.00 7.30  
CAUSE I'M ELEGANT 5 6 7 56   4 2¼ (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 6.00 5% 19.00 23.70 P
TERESA 3 3 54 67   5 3 (barrera s)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00 29% 2.50 2.50 S
STRANGE FRUIT 6 4 3 32   3 4 (reynolds patri)TORRES A 114 4.50 7.40  
MONTAUK MYSTIQUE 4 2 12 2½   2 5 (miceli michae)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 3.50 3.35  
KNOCKZCATOFFZFENCE 1 5 66 7   77 6 (diodoro ro)SANTANA JR 119 2.00 46% 1.20 1.65  
MAGNOLIA WIND 2 7 4 44   6 716½ (diprima grego)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 12.00 5% 19.00 37.75  
 
SAR-3   08/10/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($35K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:25 :483 1:124 1:252   1:382   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TALLAHATCHIEBRIDGE 1 3 3 3 2 16 18 (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 3.50 27% 2.70 1.60 W
12  OUR COUNTRY 5 5 55 5 3 26 28 (hennig mark)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 12.00 18% 4.50 4.50 P
13  ROCK THE WEEKEND 6 4 42 42 5 48 3 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00 3.60  
AMANI'S EAGLE 4 1 11 11 1 37 415 (barkley ja)SANTANA JR 123 15.00 5.10  
HONOR LEO JEAN 3 2 21 21 42 510 518½ (hamm timothy)VELAZQUEZ R 120 20.00 10.40  
MORE THAN WORK 2 6 6100 6100 6100 6100 6100 (martin f)CARMOUCHE K 125 10.00 25% 3.00 5.00  
SCR  SPLENDID SUMMER               (rodriguez rud)GUTIERREZ REYLU 125 12.00    
SCR  SPETTRO               (baker charlto)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 15.00    
SCR  PROVISION               (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 120 12.00    
SCR  MY ROMEO LIMA               (camejo m)LEZCANO JOSE 123 6.00    
SCR  BORN A GAMBLER               (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 125 4.50    
SCR  TREASURE KING               (joseph saffie )CASTELLANO J 123 5.00    
SCR  ARRIO               (kantarmaci mertkan)SAEZ LUIS 123 12.00    
 
SAR-4   08/10/2023 5940ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($60K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:52
See original race card.
:25 :491 1:131 1:39   1:522   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRUCULENT 5 1 2 31 2nk 12 15 (kantarmaci mertkan)SAEZ LUIS 118 5.00 23% 3.40 2.50 W
ROCCO STRONG 3 3 5 4 3 22 25 (giangiulio michel)CARMOUCHE K 118 10.00 5.20  
DATESFREEDOM 4 5 4 21 4 4 3 (delauro edwar)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 15.00 8.80  
MY FRIENDS BEER 2 4 32 54 5 5 4 (baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 120 6.00 19% 4.20 4.60  
TWO THIRTY FIVE 1 2 1 11 1nk 34 513 (klesaris robe)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 3.00 29% 2.40 1.10  
SCR  DUST DEVIL               (toscano t)SILVERA RUBEN 118 1.20    
SCR  MAXIMUM IMPACT               (ginter raymond)TORRES A 118 8.00    
 
SAR-5   08/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($88K) 2 F PT- 3:26
See original race card.
:222 :46 :582     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS D'OR CHERIE 9 2 21 1½   1 13 (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.50 23% 3.40 2.80 W
BOOK OF WISDOM 8 1 4 33   2 23 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 3.00 54% 0.80 3.20 P
MY MANE SQUEEZE 2 4 6 6   4 3 (maker j)SILVERA RUBEN 119 6.00 11.90  
RECENCY 5 9 7 4   5 4 (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.50 5.80  
EKWANOK 3 6 53 55   6 510¼ (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 119 12.00 5% 19.00 23.20  
SNARKY 1 3 11 2½   3 617 (rodriguez r)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 4.50 5.70  
PRETTY UP 7 5 3 711   715¼ 724¼ (rodriguez r)ROSARIO JOEL 119 10.00 4.10  
REALTA 4 7 9 913   818¾ 831¼ (albertrani thomas)SAEZ LUIS 119 15.00 27.25  
SUPERSTARSUSAN 6 8 86 812   920¾ 934¼ (duggan p)CASTELLANO J 119 15.00 5% 19.00 18.40  
 
SAR-6   08/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($83K) 2 ALL PT- 4:00
See original race card.
:223 :461 :59     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LE DOM BRO 2 1 2nk 1nk   2nk 1¼ (sano antonio)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 2.50 57% 0.70 2.15 W
WALSTIB 8 2 1nk 2nk   1nk 2¼ (mcpeek kennet)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 3.00 14% 6.00 4.30 P
FIRST TRUMPET 9 3 32 32   33 3 (baker charlton)LEZCANO JOSE 119 8.00 16.80  
SECRET LOVER 6 10 1017 814½   510¼ 4 (sano antonio)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 20.00 5% 19.00 34.00  
KHANATE 7 9 8 610½   611¾ 511½ (pletcher a)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 4.50 2.75  
DON VINO VICI 1 6 5 916   813¾ 612 (schettino dominick )SAEZ LUIS 119 20.00 5% 19.00 35.00  
TWENTYEIGHTTOTHREE 4 7 914½ 1016¼   1015¾ 717½ (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 119 15.00 5% 19.00 30.75  
COWBOY LUKE 3 4 4 45   410 820 (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 119 8.00 9.10  
ALWAYS DIALED 5 8 6 5   712¼ 921¼ (giddings melanie)ROSARIO JOEL 119 6.00 7.00  
10  GAME MISCONDUCT 10 5 76 711½   915¾ 1023¼ (delauro edward)CASTELLANO J 119 20.00 15.30  
SCR  STUNNEM               (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 119 3.00    
 
SAR-7   08/10/2023 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($149.5K) 3 F PT- 4:34
See original race card.
:24 :48 1:121 1:39   1:524   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALPHA BELLA 1 1 1½ 1½ 11 19 122¾ (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 122 5.00 27% 2.70 1.15 W
1A  VIRTUAL REALITY 2 2 2½ 2½ 21 29 222¾ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 4.00 53% 0.90 0.35 P
SCR  BOLIVIE (IRE)               (walsh brendan )GEROUX FLORENT 120 10.00    
SCR  STEPHANIE'S CHARM               (jimenez jose )ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 20.00    
SCR  MY LION (GB)               (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 8.00    
SCR  NO SHOW SAMMY JO (GB)               (motion graham)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.50    
SCR  OLKOVSKHA (FR)               (motion grah)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 3.50    
SCR  QUARREL               (ribaudo robert)CASTELLANO J 122 10.00    
SCR  ROOT CAUSE               (brown c)ROSARIO JOEL 122 4.50    
SCR  BEAUTIFULNAVIGATOR (IRE)               (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 122 15.00    
SCR  BE MY SUNSHINE               (joseph a)LEZCANO JOSE 120 8.00    
SCR  IDEA GENERATION (IRE)               (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 4.00    
 
SAR-8   08/10/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:10
See original race card.
:23 :46 1:111     1:25   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAGICAL WAYS 2 5 1½ 1½   2½ 1hd (jacobson david)FRANCO MANUEL 124 2.00 19% 4.40 3.85 W
MOVING PICTURES 5 1 2½ 2½   1½ 2hd (rodriguez rud)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 2.50 28% 2.60 2.50 P
PAPI ON ICE 7 8 811 814   711 3 (persaud)HERNANDEZ OMAR 117 15.00 33.25  
SOUNDS SPOOKY 6 3 4 5   5 4 (jones e)ALVARADO R 120 10.00 14.80  
SWAY'SINMYDNA 8 2 5 46   3 510 (chatterpaul nai)CASTILLO AMIN 120 10.00 5% 19.00 16.90  
PINE VALLEY 9 4 31 3   4 611 (mosco robert)TORRES A 117 4.50 18% 4.60 2.70  
SCOTTO 3 9 915½ 916   811½ 712¼ (jones edua)DAVIS A 122 15.00 32.00  
WITH KNOW NAME 4 6 63 68   610 815 (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 118 8.00 7% 14.10 3.30  
GINNSU WARRIOR 1 7 7 712   914½ 924¼ (ferraro jame)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 115 20.00 43.75  
 
SAR-9   08/10/2023 5610ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:44
See original race card.
:244 :482 1:131 1:262   1:39   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUERTE 2 3 42 3 4 1½ 16 (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 120 10.00 9% 9.60 12.60 W
MIGHTY ATLAS 1 10 910¾ 86 53 52 26 (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 118 12.00 24.75  
13  SOUTH STREET 9 6 5 42 3½ 2½ 36 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 1.80 3.60  
MIRACLE MIKE 3 7 7 7 813½ 7 48 (pletcher tod)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 12.00 5% 19.00 8.60  
11  KINGFISH STEVENS 7 2 11 11 1nk 3½ 5 (martin carlos )CASTELLANO J 118 4.50 37% 1.70 8.60  
DEPUTY CONNECT 5 4 6 53 712½ 66 610½ (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 6.00 32% 2.10 1.15  
12  BUCKORTWO 8 1 21 21 2nk 4 711¼ (nevin mich)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 20.00 30.25  
YONO 4 9 1011¼ 10 914½ 913¼ 815¼ (hiles jeff)SANTANA JR 123 20.00 29.25  
14  SKATE TO HEAVEN 10 8 810¼ 97 68 8 916¾ (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 123 5.00 9.00  
KINGDOM ON PAWS 6 5 32 64 1015 1021¼ 1038¼ (potts wayne)VELAZQUEZ R 125 12.00 5% 19.00 35.50  
SCR  FRONT MAN               (kantarmaci me)ALVARADO JUNIOR 125 8.00    
SCR  SONIC SPEED               (morley thomas)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 8.00    
SCR  UNLEASH THE POWER               (stall m)SAEZ LUIS 123 3.00    
SCR  WISECRAKEN               (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 120 15.00    
 
SAR-10   08/10/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:18
See original race card.
:222 :461 :584     1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  PAY ZONE 6 1 2½ 1nk   11 1 (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.50 45% 1.20 1.55 W
KASIMBA 4 3 1½ 2nk   21 2 (david a)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.00 32% 2.10 2.30 P
10  OFF THE CLOCK 5 5 4 44   33 33 (hamm timothy)CARMOUCHE K 119 15.00 4.30  
DREAMWITHINADREAM 2 4 56 57   46 4 (hiles jeff)SANTANA JR 119 20.00 7.70  
BOLT D'PLATA 3 6 615 617   612 58 (terranova john)TORRES A 114 15.00 16.90  
THE COMPAS MAN (IRE) 1 2 32 3   5 610 (falcone n)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 8.00 5% 19.00 5.90  
SCR  NIEUWENDYK               (begg bentley)RIDER TBA 119 15.00    
SCR  MO THAN LUCK               (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 119 15.00    
SCR  LIQUID ADDICTION (IRE)               (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.50    
SCR  INTO IT               (dutrow ric)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 6.00    
SCR  INSANITY IT SEEMS               (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 4.00    
SCR  RIDE UP               (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 119 1.60    
SCR  COLLECT FROM IKE               (pregman j)CASTELLANO J 119 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.