Handicappers' Racing Form

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Saratoga
Thursday - August 10, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

SAR-1   Win (5/4/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-2   Win (1/3/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-3   Win (1/3/12) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-4   Win (1/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-5   Win (8/9/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-6   Win (3/1/2/5/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00
SAR-7   Win (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00
SAR-8   Win (5/2/9/4/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00
SAR-9   Win (11/7/4/8/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00
SAR-10   Win (11/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
SAR-1   08/10/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 2 F PT- 1:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LUZ DIVINA         (hamm timothy)CARMOUCHE K 119 10.00    
SCR  GREAVETTE Jul07         (begg james)SANTANA JR 119 15.00    
SCR  BUNDCHEN Apr28         (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 119 2.00    
INTO STARS         (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 4.00 26% 2.80    
PERMED Jul07 Jun02       (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 119 2.50 42% 1.40    
HONEY DIJON Jul13         (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 5.00    
MY STARSHIP Jul18 Jul08       (romero rafael)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 20.00    
SEVEN NATTY PATTY Jul08         (rodriguez rudy )FRANCO MANUEL 119 10.00 10% 8.70    
BOBBY JEAN         (hennig mark)RIDER TBA 119 10.00    
 
SAR-2   08/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($43K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KNOCKZCATOFFZFENCE         (diodoro ro)SANTANA JR 119 2.00 46% 1.20    
MAGNOLIA WIND Jul16 Jun03 May12 Mar24 Mar03 (diprima grego)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
TERESA         (barrera s)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00 29% 2.50    
MONTAUK MYSTIQUE Jul15 Jun16       (miceli michae)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 3.50    
CAUSE I'M ELEGANT Jul16 Jun15 Feb12 Jan28 Nov19 (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
STRANGE FRUIT Jul16 Jun01 May06 Apr23 Mar31 (reynolds patri)TORRES A 114 4.50    
PHINNEYS HARBOR Jun15 May04 Apr08 Mar12   (hennig mark)DAVIS KATIE 119 5.00    
 
SAR-3   08/10/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($35K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TALLAHATCHIEBRIDGE Feb04 Dec23 Sep05 Aug07 Jul02 (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 3.50 27% 2.70    
SCR  BORN A GAMBLER Jul13 Jun25 Jun04 May14 Apr22 (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 125 4.50    
MORE THAN WORK Jul14 Jul01 Jun04 May21 Apr22 (martin f)CARMOUCHE K 125 10.00 25% 3.00    
HONOR LEO JEAN Jul10 Apr26 Apr01 Feb17 Jan22 (hamm timothy)VELAZQUEZ R 120 20.00    
SCR  SPLENDID SUMMER Jun22 May14 Apr22 Aug07 Jul10 (rodriguez rud)GUTIERREZ REYLU 125 12.00    
SCR  TREASURE KING Jul01 May25 Sep30 Jul30 Jul03 (joseph saffie )CASTELLANO J 123 5.00    
SCR  SPETTRO Jul09 Jun15 May26 Dec09 Nov05 (baker charlto)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 15.00    
AMANI'S EAGLE Jun29 May26 May12 Apr13 Nov12 (barkley ja)SANTANA JR 123 15.00    
SCR  PROVISION Jul02 Jun15 Mar31 Mar24 Dec30 (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 120 12.00    
SCR  ARRIO Jun22 May29 Nov12 Oct09 Sep24 (kantarmaci mertkan)SAEZ LUIS 123 12.00    
SCR  MY ROMEO LIMA May28 Apr15 Mar09 Feb11 Dec17 (camejo m)LEZCANO JOSE 123 6.00    
12  OUR COUNTRY Jul14 May11 Mar09 Feb09 Jan12 (hennig mark)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 12.00 18% 4.50    
13  ROCK THE WEEKEND Jul19 Jun10 May14 Apr22 Mar11 (atras rob)RIDER TBA 120 6.00    
 
SAR-4   08/10/2023 5940ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($60K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:52
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TWO THIRTY FIVE Jul13 Jun25 May21 Apr29 Mar30 (klesaris robe)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 3.00 29% 2.40    
MY FRIENDS BEER Jun25 May27 Apr14 Mar19 Mar04 (baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 120 6.00 19% 4.20    
ROCCO STRONG Jun25 May27 Oct15 Aug25 Apr22 (giangiulio michel)CARMOUCHE K 118 10.00    
DATESFREEDOM Jul03 Jun13 May27 May05 Apr14 (delauro edwar)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 15.00    
SCR  DUST DEVIL Jul13 Jun25 May27 Apr14 Mar25 (toscano t)SILVERA RUBEN 118 1.20    
SCR  MAXIMUM IMPACT Jul14 May26 Apr21 Jan20 Jan14 (ginter raymond)TORRES A 118 8.00    
TRUCULENT Jun24 Jun16 Mar26 Feb26 Jan22 (kantarmaci mertkan)SAEZ LUIS 118 5.00 23% 3.40    
 
SAR-5   08/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($88K) 2 F PT- 3:26
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SNARKY         (rodriguez r)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 4.50    
MY MANE SQUEEZE         (maker j)SILVERA RUBEN 119 6.00    
EKWANOK         (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
REALTA         (albertrani thomas)SAEZ LUIS 119 15.00    
RECENCY         (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.50    
SUPERSTARSUSAN         (duggan p)CASTELLANO J 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
PRETTY UP         (rodriguez r)ROSARIO JOEL 119 10.00    
BOOK OF WISDOM Jul14         (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 3.00 54% 0.80    
MISS D'OR CHERIE         (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.50 23% 3.40    
 
SAR-6   08/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($83K) 2 ALL PT- 4:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WALSTIB         (mcpeek kennet)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 3.00 14% 6.00    
SCR  STUNNEM         (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 119 3.00    
DON VINO VICI         (schettino dominick )SAEZ LUIS 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
LE DOM BRO Jul21 Jun17       (sano antonio)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 2.50 57% 0.70    
COWBOY LUKE         (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 119 8.00    
TWENTYEIGHTTOTHREE         (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
ALWAYS DIALED         (giddings melanie)ROSARIO JOEL 119 6.00    
SECRET LOVER         (sano antonio)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
KHANATE         (pletcher a)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 4.50    
FIRST TRUMPET Jul09         (baker charlton)LEZCANO JOSE 119 8.00    
10  GAME MISCONDUCT Jul09         (delauro edward)CASTELLANO J 119 20.00    
 
SAR-7   08/10/2023 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($149.5K) 3 F PT- 4:34
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  VIRTUAL REALITY Jul13 May28       (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 4.00 53% 0.90    
SCR  IDEA GENERATION (IRE) Jul09 Nov05 Sep01 Jul24   (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 4.00    
SCR  NO SHOW SAMMY JO (GB) Jun24 May12       (motion graham)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.50    
SCR  OLKOVSKHA (FR) Jul04         (motion grah)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 3.50    
ALPHA BELLA May13 Apr08 Mar11 Feb04 Dec11 (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 122 5.00 27% 2.70    
SCR  STEPHANIE'S CHARM Jul14 Jun22 May13 Mar11 Feb04 (jimenez jose )ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 20.00    
SCR  MY LION (GB)         (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 8.00    
SCR  BOLIVIE (IRE) May12 Mar25       (walsh brendan )GEROUX FLORENT 120 10.00    
SCR  BEAUTIFULNAVIGATOR (IRE) Apr08 Mar11 Feb05 Dec09 Aug14 (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 122 15.00    
SCR  ROOT CAUSE Jun22 May12 Mar19 Aug14   (brown c)ROSARIO JOEL 122 4.50    
SCR  QUARREL Jul14 Jun22 May27 Nov19 Oct27 (ribaudo robert)CASTELLANO J 122 10.00    
SCR  BE MY SUNSHINE Jul01 Apr27 Mar12 Jan08   (joseph a)LEZCANO JOSE 120 8.00    
 
SAR-8   08/10/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GINNSU WARRIOR Jul19 Jul07 Jun04 May14 Apr29 (ferraro jame)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 115 20.00    
MAGICAL WAYS Jul03 May13 Apr21 Mar03 Jan08 (jacobson david)FRANCO MANUEL 124 2.00 19% 4.40    
SCOTTO Jul07 Jun24 Jun15 Jun01 Sep17 (jones edua)DAVIS A 122 15.00    
WITH KNOW NAME Oct30 Sep22 Aug26 Jul29   (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 118 8.00 7% 14.10    
MOVING PICTURES Jul07 May26 May20 Oct08 Aug22 (rodriguez rud)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 2.50 28% 2.60    
SOUNDS SPOOKY Jul28 Mar31 Mar11 Mar05 Feb17 (jones e)ALVARADO R 120 10.00    
PAPI ON ICE Jul19 Jun24 Jun01 May06 Apr07 (persaud)HERNANDEZ OMAR 117 15.00    
SWAY'SINMYDNA Jul16 Jun25 Jun18 May26 May14 (chatterpaul nai)CASTILLO AMIN 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
PINE VALLEY Jul12 Jun27 Jun14 May30 Apr18 (mosco robert)TORRES A 117 4.50 18% 4.60    
 
SAR-9   08/10/2023 5610ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIGHTY ATLAS Jul09 Jun10 May05 Mar31 Oct27 (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 118 12.00    
SCR  WISECRAKEN Jul02 Dec01 Oct23 Sep25   (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 120 15.00    
SCR  FRONT MAN Jul13 Jun17 Oct23 Sep30 Jul23 (kantarmaci me)ALVARADO JUNIOR 125 8.00    
SUERTE May24 Apr21 Mar22 Feb11 Jan21 (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 120 10.00 9% 9.60    
MIRACLE MIKE Jul01 May13 Mar26 Feb09 Jul17 (pletcher tod)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
YONO Jul22 May12 Apr20 Mar04 Feb11 (hiles jeff)SANTANA JR 123 20.00    
DEPUTY CONNECT Jul22 Jun29 Mar02 Jan27 May03 (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 6.00 32% 2.10    
KINGDOM ON PAWS Jul23 Jun10 Oct30 Oct06 Sep10 (potts wayne)VELAZQUEZ R 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  UNLEASH THE POWER Jul13 Jun01 Apr29 Mar02 Feb04 (stall m)SAEZ LUIS 123 3.00    
SCR  SONIC SPEED Jul14 Jun22 May28 Dec16 Oct29 (morley thomas)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 8.00    
11  KINGFISH STEVENS Jul13 Jul01 May20 Apr16 Apr02 (martin carlos )CASTELLANO J 118 4.50 37% 1.70    
12  BUCKORTWO Jun24 May19 Jul30 Jun19 May21 (nevin mich)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 20.00    
13  SOUTH STREET Jul01 Jun02 May06 May15 Apr16 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 1.80    
14  SKATE TO HEAVEN Jul08 Jun10 Jul04 Apr16 Mar19 (rice linda)RIDER TBA 123 5.00    
 
SAR-10   08/10/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE COMPAS MAN (IRE) Jun18 May14 Apr07     (falcone n)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MO THAN LUCK Mar10 Feb11 Jan06 Dec10   (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 119 15.00    
SCR  COLLECT FROM IKE Jul02 May26 Apr14     (pregman j)CASTELLANO J 119 8.00    
DREAMWITHINADREAM Jul16 Jun04 Jan27 Jan14 Nov26 (hiles jeff)SANTANA JR 119 20.00    
BOLT D'PLATA         (terranova john)TORRES A 114 15.00    
KASIMBA Jul09 Jun18 May21 Apr27   (david a)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.00 32% 2.10    
SCR  INSANITY IT SEEMS Jul15         (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 4.00    
SCR  LIQUID ADDICTION (IRE) Jun24 Apr26 Mar25     (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.50    
SCR  INTO IT Jun17 Apr08 Mar18 Jan28   (dutrow ric)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 6.00    
10  OFF THE CLOCK         (hamm timothy)CARMOUCHE K 119 15.00    
11  PAY ZONE Jul21 May25 Apr15     (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.50 45% 1.20    
SCR  NIEUWENDYK Jun04 May14 Apr21 Mar24 Feb24 (begg bentley)RIDER TBA 119 15.00    
SCR  RIDE UP Jul14 Jun17 May20 Apr22 Mar25 (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 119 1.60    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.