The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Charles Town
Friday - July 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CT-1   Win (1/2/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 0 $17.80 -8.00
    Exacta (1/2/5/6)-(1/2/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 3-2 2 0 $38.60 -12.00
    Trifecta (1/2/5/6)-(1/2/5/6)-(1/2/5/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 3-2-1 3 0 $121.00 -24.00
CT-2   Win (2/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $2.40 $2.40 -3.60
    Exacta (2/3/7)-(2/3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 3-2 2 1 $4.10 $4.10 -1.90
    Trifecta (2/3/7)-(2/3/7)-(2/3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 3-2-5 3 0 $28.00 -6.00
    Daily Double (1/2/5/6)-(2/3/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 3-3 2 0 $48.00 -24.00
CT-3   Win (4/5/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 0 $5.60 -8.00
    Exacta (4/5/6/7)-(4/5/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 2-3 2 0 $56.20 -12.00
    Trifecta (4/5/6/7)-(4/5/6/7)-(4/5/6/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 2-3-7 3 0 $225.30 -24.00
    Daily Double (2/3/7)-(4/5/6/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 3-2 2 0 $9.80 -24.00
    Pick Three (1/2/5/6)-(2/3/7)-(4/5/6/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 3-3-2 3 0 $81.70 -48.00
CT-4   Win (1/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $3.60 $3.60 -2.40
    Exacta (1/2/7)-(1/2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 1-5 2 0 $8.20 -6.00
    Trifecta (1/2/7)-(1/2/7)-(1/2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 1-5-6 3 0 $75.10 -6.00
    Daily Double (4/5/6/7)-(1/2/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 2-1 2 0 $13.00 -24.00
    Pick Three (2/3/7)-(4/5/6/7)-(1/2/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 3-2-1 3 0 $10.40 -36.00
CT-5   Win (1/2/4/6/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 1 $6.60 $6.60 -3.40
    Exacta (1/2/4/6/9)-(1/2/4/6/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 1-10 2 0 $68.90 -20.00
    Trifecta (1/2/4/6/9)-(1/2/4/6/9)-(1/2/4/6/9) 60 $1.00 $60.00 1-10-3 3 0 $817.00 -60.00
    Daily Double (1/2/7)-(1/2/4/6/9) 15 $2.00 $30.00 1-1 2 1 $14.60 $14.60 -15.40
    Pick Three (4/5/6/7)-(1/2/7)-(1/2/4/6/9) 60 $1.00 $60.00 2-1-1 3 0 $28.50 -60.00
CT-6   Win (2/4/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 0 $10.60 -8.00
    Exacta (2/4/5/6)-(2/4/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 1-3 2 0 $32.80 -12.00
    Trifecta (2/4/5/6)-(2/4/5/6)-(2/4/5/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 1-3-6 3 0 $77.50 -24.00
    Daily Double (1/2/4/6/9)-(2/4/5/6) 20 $2.00 $40.00 1-1 2 0 $42.20 -40.00
    Pick Three (1/2/7)-(1/2/4/6/9)-(2/4/5/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 1-1-1 3 0 $46.60 -60.00
CT-7   Win (1/4/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $12.40 $12.40 4.40
    Exacta (1/4/5/8)-(1/4/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 8-5 2 1 $17.70 $17.70 5.70
    Trifecta (1/4/5/8)-(1/4/5/8)-(1/4/5/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 8-5-6 3 0 $56.80 -24.00
    Daily Double (2/4/5/6)-(1/4/5/8) 16 $2.00 $32.00 1-8 2 0 $96.80 -32.00
    Pick Three (1/2/4/6/9)-(2/4/5/6)-(1/4/5/8) 80 $1.00 $80.00 1-1-8 3 0 $288.70 -80.00
CT-8   Win (1/4/5/6/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 6 1 1 $4.40 $4.40 -5.60
    Exacta (1/4/5/6/8)-(1/4/5/6/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 6-1 2 1 $19.10 $19.10 -0.90
    Trifecta (1/4/5/6/8)-(1/4/5/6/8)-(1/4/5/6/8) 60 $1.00 $60.00 6-1-4 3 1 $123.50 $123.50 63.50
    Daily Double (1/4/5/8)-(1/4/5/6/8) 20 $2.00 $40.00 8-6 2 1 $44.40 $44.40 4.40
    Pick Three (2/4/5/6)-(1/4/5/8)-(1/4/5/6/8) 80 $1.00 $80.00 1-8-6 3 0 $149.90 -80.00

Simulator Race results

 
CT-1   07/14/2023 4620ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
:232 :482 1:144     1:294   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOOKING FOR FLARE 3 4 2 2½   13 1(butts e)LARROSA G 120 3.50 7.90  
WAVERLEY 2 1 3 1½   23 2(bailes robe)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 2.00 50% 1.00 1.60 P
SHADES OF BLUE 1 2 610 5   38 37 (fulmer alli)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 3.00 23% 3.40 4.00 S
SNOOZE BUTTON 7 6 4 4   410 411¾ (mcmahon i)CRUZ ANGEL 120 4.50 3.80  
GERMANY JAYVO 5 3 5 67   510 515 (hillegass a)BOCACHICA J 110 6.00 5% 19.00 3.40  
MORE TAJ 6 7 714½ 714   615 618¾ (dollinger-sthr )RIVERA JAVIER 124 30.00 5% 19.00 39.70  
UNBRIDLED IRISH 4 5 1 31   721 733¾ (pickett g)BOCACHICA O 124 8.00 15.00  
 
CT-2   07/14/2023 2970ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
:22 :462       :524   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DRINKWITHTHESTARS 3 1 1     11(brown ro)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 1.00 51% 1.00 0.20 W
DOC ELM 2 5 5     33 2(brown ronney )CONCEPCION AXEL 117 5.00 5% 19.00 7.90 P
BARB'S PRIDE 5 2 44     53(frock charles)RAMGEET R 118 15.00 35.10  
PRIMETIME JET 6 3 2     24(patterson kevin)ACOSTA D 122 1.80 25% 3.00 3.80  
UNCLE REMI 1 6 3     43 58 (smith lawre)BOCACHICA J 112 12.00 17.00  
MOTIVATED SPEAKER 4 4 614½     610¼ 612½ (covello a)RODRIGUEZ V 122 20.00 46.10  
SCR  JUST GO WITH IT               (kee j)RAMGEET R 122 30.00    
 
CT-3   07/14/2023 5610ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
:24 :481 1:14 1:422   1:494   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAPPY CHAMP 2 1 1nk 2nk 1nk 18 1(brown w)CRUZ ANGEL 120 3.00 1.80  
MAKE WAY 3 2 37 313½ 318 32(barber dona)BOCACHICA J 112 30.00 41.30  
CHARLIE POTATOES 7 7 713 622½ 420 411 3(hurley jack)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 2.50 45% 1.20 5.20 S
RIGHTEOUS MAN 4 4 510½ 521 523½ 512½ 410¼ (kirlew lenworth)RIVERA JAVIER 122 12.00 10% 8.70 10.30  
FIND YOUR BOAZ 6 8 813½ 824 626½ 617½ 514¼ (geris j)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 30.00 8% 11.10 79.00  
LIQUID LOUIE 1 3 612 723 729 718½ 618½ (jackson l)CULLUM W 122 2.00 5.00  
LANTAU 8 5 2nk 1nk 2nk 28 718¾ (bailes robe)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 3.50 1.60  
ENVISION SUCCESS 5 6 4 420 837 833½ 850 (hummer richard )ADAMS L 113 20.00 6% 16.90 30.20  
 
CT-4   07/14/2023 2970ft DIRT MUDDY Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($21.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:32
:213 :453       :522   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIZ THE REASON 1 5 1½     12 1(brown ro)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 1.80 36% 1.70 0.80 W
REIGN ON AND ON 4 4 3     32(huet k)MARRERO CARLOS 120 6.00 6.60  
DING DING 5 1 2½     22 3(contreras javier)HO WESLEY 120 8.00 11.10  
BACKSTREET AFFAIR 3 3 59     56 4(lee a)CECIL Y 120 15.00 8.50  
MY JUBA 2 6 611     69 5(sanchez-salomon ro)CRUZ ANGEL 120 2.50 25% 3.00 3.60  
TRUE HEIRESS 6 2 4     46(gazzier kri)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 5.00 17% 5.00 5.80  
SCR  CASTLE LIGHTS               (brown ron)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 6.00    
 
CT-5   07/14/2023 4620ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($29.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:02
:232 :48 1:142     1:291   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUMPIN JACK BRASS 1 2 44 42   22 1(runco jeff )BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 2.50 24% 3.20 2.30 W
10  JUST HAVE FAITH 10 10 915 815½   52(collins tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 15.00 24.80  
XTENDED STREAK 3 1 13 1½   12 3(lucas anthony)BOCACHICA O 118 8.00 21.60  
SHEWEARSSTILETTOS 4 5 23 31   443 (brown ronney )CONCEPCION AXEL 113 4.00 8% 11.50 8.20  
CANDY LOVES HONEY 6 7 5 57   65(dillow h)RODRIGUEZ V 118 12.00 5% 19.00 41.00  
JUBASLILBALLERINA 2 3 3 2½   32 6(sigler g)LARROSA G 118 1.60 46% 1.20 0.70  
HARLAN'S VALENTINE 5 4 65 611½   712¼ 710¾ (contreras jav)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 30.00 52.80  
RUMORGOINGAROUND 8 8 8 714½   826¼ 837 (pickett crystal )MONTANO JOSE 124 30.00 43.10  
LIME STAR 7 6 7 916½   1033¾ 965¾ (conn p)ESQUILIN J 118 30.00 72.50  
AFIRE 9 9 1016½ 1020   929¾ 1073½ (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 118 10.00 5% 19.00 11.60  
SCR  PORTIA'S HOPE               (dixon geoffrey )SIMPSON JASON 118 15.00    
 
CT-6   07/14/2023 5610ft DIRT MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($27.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
:24 :481 1:133 1:413   1:482   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIDNIGHT ACT 1 3 6 46 35 2½ 1¼ (stites flint )CONCEPCION AXEL 115 4.00 4.30  
UNCAPTURED STORM 3 2 46 57 6 42¼ (farrior ant)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 116 6.00 5.80  
MAXIMUM IMPACT 6 7 7 68 4 53(cash norman)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 2.00 14% 6.20 1.80 S
GOODLUCKCHUCK 5 5 11 1 1 1½ 45 (magee ki)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 6.00 14% 6.20 3.90  
ACE NINE NINE 7 6 21 2 2 31 5(dove jr)BOCACHICA O 120 12.00 8.30  
MR HOOVER 2 1 5 7 5 6619¾ (brown w)MONTANO JOSE 120 2.50 40% 1.50 6.50  
MISSIONSNINETYNINE 4 4 31 3 714½ 717½ 740¼ (brown w)CRUZ ANGEL 120 10.00 7% 13.50 11.00  
 
CT-7   07/14/2023 4290ft DIRT MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($26.7K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
:24 :473 1:134     1:204   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHAMELESS RISK 7 5 42 4   1nk 1(brown ronney )CONCEPCION AXEL 115 6.00 5% 19.00 5.20 W
BAAGY 5 6 53 5   4¼ 2(joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 3.00 28% 2.50 1.90 P
FROG TOWN 6 4 32 3   3.2 32 (farrior ant)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 116 3.50 2.70  
ODIE 4 2 11 1½   2nk 42 (patterson kevin)ACOSTA D 120 1.60 47% 1.10 2.50  
FEARNOUGHT 1 3 7 79   65(clatterbuck frede)RODRIGUEZ V 120 20.00 5% 19.00 42.70  
PRINCE OF FENTON 2 1 21 2½   5½ 6(brown ro)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 8.00 9.00  
STRONG HEART 3 7 65 6   778 (smith osb)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 20.00 29.80  
SCR  OVERLY CRITICAL               (viands stacey )MARRERO CARLOS 122 15.00    
 
CT-8   07/14/2023 2970ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT-10:32
:221 :463       :532   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHURCH KEY 5 3 1½     11(harrison gl)BOCACHICA J 114 1.60 46% 1.20 1.20 W
GREAT DEVOTION 1 5 2½     22(viands stacey )MARRERO CARLOS 122 8.00 5% 19.00 13.10 P
BESTLA 3 8 5     33(sandoval mi)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 15.00 5% 19.00 13.30 S
MOJO MATTERS 6 4 99     99 4(davis e)MONTANO JOSE 122 12.00 18.60  
SISTER JOANN 7 6 6     75(hess g)MORALES KELVIN 122 3.00 17% 5.00 2.00  
WOODSONG'S CASTLE 4 7 87     66(shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 124 12.00 11% 7.90 37.80  
MIDNIGHT PASS 2 9 7     87(racanelli mark )SIMPSON JASON 120 12.00 26.70  
RISKSRHIGHPAYISLOW 8 1 4     56 8(atkins michael )LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 20.00 35.30  
10  I'M A TOTAL DIVA 9 2 3     4911¾ (mckee cynthi)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 6.00 5.20  
SCR  HARPER'S DO               (serey jr)WHITACRE GRANT 122 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.