Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Charles Town
Friday - July 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-7   WIN (4/5/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00  8 $12.40 $4.40 55%
    EXA (4/5/8/1)-(4/5/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00  8-5 $17.70 $5.70 48%
CT-8   TRI (6/8/5/1/4)-(6/8/5/1/4)-(6/8/5/1/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00  6-1-4 $123.50 $63.50 106%
    DD (4/5/8/1)-(6/8/5/1/4) 20 $2.00 $40.00  8-6 $44.40 $4.40 11%
Simulator Race results
 
CT-1   07/14/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  LOOKING FOR FLARE   (butts e)LARROSA G 120 3.50 7.90  
2  WAVERLEY   (bailes ro)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 2.00 50% 1.00 1.60 P
1  SHADES OF BLUE   (fulmer al)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 3.00 23% 3.40 4.00 S
7  SNOOZE BUTTON   (mcmahon i)CRUZ ANGEL 120 4.50 3.80  
5  GERMANY JAYVO   (hillegass)BOCACHICA J 110 6.00 5% 19.00 3.40  
6  MORE TAJ   (dollinger-sth)RIVERA JAVIER 124 30.00 5% 19.00 39.70  
4  UNBRIDLED IRISH   (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 124 8.00 15.00  
 
CT-2   07/14/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  DRINKWITHTHESTARS   (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 1.00 51% 1.00 0.20 W
2  DOC ELM   (brown ronne)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 5.00 5% 19.00 7.90 P
5  BARB'S PRIDE   (frock charl)RAMGEET R 118 15.00 35.10  
7  PRIMETIME JET   (patterson kevin)ACOSTA D 122 1.80 25% 3.00 3.80  
1  UNCLE REMI   (smith law)BOCACHICA J 112 12.00 17.00  
4  MOTIVATED SPEAKER   (covello andrea )RODRIGUEZ V 122 20.00 46.10  
SCR  JUST GO WITH IT   (kee willie )RAMGEET R 122 30.00    
 
CT-3   07/14/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  HAPPY CHAMP   (brown w)CRUZ ANGEL 120 3.00 1.80  
3  MAKE WAY   (barber do)BOCACHICA J 112 30.00 41.30  
7  CHARLIE POTATOES   (hurley jack)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 2.50 45% 1.20 5.20 S
4  RIGHTEOUS MAN   (kirlew lenwor)RIVERA JAVIER 122 12.00 10% 8.70 10.30  
6  FIND YOUR BOAZ   (geris samuel )LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 30.00 8% 11.10 79.00  
1  LIQUID LOUIE   (jackson l)CULLUM W 122 2.00 5.00  
8  LANTAU   (bailes ro)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 3.50 1.60  
5  ENVISION SUCCESS   (hummer richar)ADAMS L 113 20.00 6% 16.90 30.20  
 
CT-4   07/14/2023 2970ft DIRT RC6 MUDDY Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($21.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:32
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIZ THE REASON   (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 1.80 36% 1.70 0.80 W
5  REIGN ON AND ON   (huet k)MARRERO CARLOS 120 6.00 6.60  
6  DING DING   (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 120 8.00 11.10  
3  BACKSTREET AFFAIR   (lee a)CECIL Y 120 15.00 8.50  
2  MY JUBA   (sanchez-salomon )CRUZ ANGEL 120 2.50 25% 3.00 3.60  
7  TRUE HEIRESS   (gazzier k)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 5.00 17% 5.00 5.80  
SCR  CASTLE LIGHTS   (brown r)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 6.00    
 
CT-5   07/14/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($29.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:02
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUMPIN JACK BRASS   (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 2.50 24% 3.20 2.30 W
  (by JUMP START out of BIT OF BRASS by DIXIE BRASS)
10  JUST HAVE FAITH   (collins t)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 15.00 24.80  
  (by WEIGELIA out of AWESOME MARKIZA by AWESOME AGAIN)
3  XTENDED STREAK   (lucas anthony)BOCACHICA O 118 8.00 21.60  
  (by UNBRIDLED ENERGY out of SNOW FROLIC by ARTAX)
4  SHEWEARSSTILETTOS   (brown ronne)CONCEPCION AXEL 113 4.00 8% 11.50 8.20  
  (by EXCLUSIVE QUALITY out of SECRET TRACKER by CIMARRON SECRET)
6  CANDY LOVES HONEY   (dillow h)RODRIGUEZ V 118 12.00 5% 19.00 41.00  
  (by EVANGELISM out of UNVEXED by ALBERTUS MAXIMUS)
2  JUBASLILBALLERINA   (sigler g)LARROSA G 118 1.60 46% 1.20 0.70  
  (by JUBA out of MISTY BALLERINA by INTO MISCHIEF)
5  HARLAN'S VALENTINE   (contreras j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 30.00 52.80  
  (by ALDRIN out of HARLAN'S TREASURE by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
8  RUMORGOINGAROUND   (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 124 30.00 43.10  
  (by WINDSOR CASTLE out of WISH AHEAD by DEFRERE)
7  LIME STAR   (conn linda )ESQUILIN J 118 30.00 72.50  
  (by LIMEHOUSE out of MIDNIGHT STAR by BOLD BADGETT)
9  AFIRE   (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 118 10.00 5% 19.00 11.60  
  (by FRIESAN FIRE out of HOT SAUCE by PRIZED)
SCR  PORTIA'S HOPE   (dixon geoffre)SIMPSON JASON 118 15.00    
  (by BALLADO'S GOLD out of LEGENDARY RIDGE by CACTUS RIDGE)
 
CT-6   07/14/2023 5610ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($27.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIDNIGHT ACT   (stites flin)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 4.00 4.30  
3  UNCAPTURED STORM   (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 116 6.00 5.80  
6  MAXIMUM IMPACT   (cash norm)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 2.00 14% 6.20 1.80 S
5  GOODLUCKCHUCK   (magee )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 6.00 14% 6.20 3.90  
7  ACE NINE NINE   (dove jr)BOCACHICA O 120 12.00 8.30  
2  MR HOOVER   (brown w)MONTANO JOSE 120 2.50 40% 1.50 6.50  
4  MISSIONSNINETYNINE   (brown w)CRUZ ANGEL 120 10.00 7% 13.50 11.00  
 
CT-7   07/14/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($26.7K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  SHAMELESS RISK   (brown ronne)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 6.00 5% 19.00 5.20 W
5  BAAGY   (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 3.00 28% 2.50 1.90 P
6  FROG TOWN   (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 116 3.50 2.70  
4  ODIE   (patterson kevin)ACOSTA D 120 1.60 47% 1.10 2.50  
1  FEARNOUGHT   (clatterbuck fre)RODRIGUEZ V 120 20.00 5% 19.00 42.70  
2  PRINCE OF FENTON   (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 8.00 9.00  
3  STRONG HEART   (smith o)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 20.00 29.80  
SCR  OVERLY CRITICAL   (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 122 15.00    
 
CT-8   07/14/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT-10:32
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  CHURCH KEY   (harrison )BOCACHICA J 114 1.60 46% 1.20 1.20 W
1  GREAT DEVOTION   (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 122 8.00 5% 19.00 13.10 P
4  BESTLA   (sandoval )HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 15.00 5% 19.00 13.30 S
7  MOJO MATTERS   (davis russell )MONTANO JOSE 122 12.00 18.60  
8  SISTER JOANN   (hess g)MORALES KELVIN 122 3.00 17% 5.00 2.00  
5  WOODSONG'S CASTLE   (shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 124 12.00 11% 7.90 37.80  
3  MIDNIGHT PASS   (racanelli mar)SIMPSON JASON 120 12.00 26.70  
9  RISKSRHIGHPAYISLOW   (atkins michae)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 20.00 35.30  
10  I'M A TOTAL DIVA   (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 6.00 5.20  
SCR  HARPER'S DO   (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 122 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.