Handicappers' Race Results
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Charles Town
Friday - July 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
CT-1   Win (2/1/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 0 $17.80  
CT-2   Win (3/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $2.40 $2.40  
CT-3   Win (7/4/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 0 $5.60  
CT-4   Win (1/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $3.60 $3.60  
CT-5   Win (2/1/4/9/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 1 $6.60 $6.60  
CT-6   Win (2/6/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 0 $10.60  
CT-7   Win (4/5/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $12.40 $12.40 4.40
CT-8   Win (6/8/5/1/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 6 1 1 $4.40 $4.40  
Simulator Race results
 
CT-1   07/14/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
See original race card.
:232 :482 1:144     1:294   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  LOOKING FOR FLARE 3 4 24½ 2½   13 13¾ (butts e)LARROSA G 120 3.50 7.90  
2  WAVERLEY 2 1 36½ 1½   23 23¾ (bailes robe)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 2.00 50% 1.00 1.60 P
1  SHADES OF BLUE 1 2 610 56½   38 37 (fulmer alli)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 3.00 23% 3.40 4.00 S
7  SNOOZE BUTTON 7 6 46½ 44½   410 411¾ (mcmahon i)CRUZ ANGEL 120 4.50 3.80  
5  GERMANY JAYVO 5 3 59½ 67   510 515 (hillegass a)BOCACHICA J 110 6.00 5% 19.00 3.40  
6  MORE TAJ 6 7 714½ 714   615 618¾ (dollinger-sthr )RIVERA JAVIER 124 30.00 5% 19.00 39.70  
4  UNBRIDLED IRISH 4 5 14½ 31   721 733¾ (pickett g)BOCACHICA O 124 8.00 15.00  
 
CT-2   07/14/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
See original race card.
:22 :462       :524   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  DRINKWITHTHESTARS 3 1 11½     12½ 11¼ (brown ro)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 1.00 51% 1.00 0.20 W
2  DOC ELM 2 5 56½     33 21¼ (brown ronney )CONCEPCION AXEL 117 5.00 5% 19.00 7.90 P
5  BARB'S PRIDE 5 2 44     53¼ 33¾ (frock charles)RAMGEET R 118 15.00 35.10  
7  PRIMETIME JET 6 3 21½     22½ 46¼ (patterson kevin)ACOSTA D 122 1.80 25% 3.00 3.80  
1  UNCLE REMI 1 6 31½     43 58 (smith lawre)BOCACHICA J 112 12.00 17.00  
4  MOTIVATED SPEAKER 4 4 614½     610¼ 612½ (covello a)RODRIGUEZ V 122 20.00 46.10  
SCR  JUST GO WITH IT               (kee j)RAMGEET R 122 30.00    
 
CT-3   07/14/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
See original race card.
:24 :481 1:14 1:422   1:494   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  HAPPY CHAMP 2 1 1nk 2nk 1nk 18 15¾ (brown w)CRUZ ANGEL 120 3.00 1.80  
3  MAKE WAY 3 2 37 313½ 318 38½ 25¾ (barber dona)BOCACHICA J 112 30.00 41.30  
7  CHARLIE POTATOES 7 7 713 622½ 420 411 36½ (hurley jack)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 2.50 45% 1.20 5.20 S
4  RIGHTEOUS MAN 4 4 510½ 521 523½ 512½ 410¼ (kirlew lenworth)RIVERA JAVIER 122 12.00 10% 8.70 10.30  
6  FIND YOUR BOAZ 6 8 813½ 824 626½ 617½ 514¼ (geris j)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 30.00 8% 11.10 79.00  
1  LIQUID LOUIE 1 3 612 723 729 718½ 618½ (jackson l)CULLUM W 122 2.00 5.00  
8  LANTAU 8 5 2nk 1nk 2nk 28 718¾ (bailes robe)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 3.50 1.60  
5  ENVISION SUCCESS 5 6 49½ 420 837 833½ 850 (hummer richard )ADAMS L 113 20.00 6% 16.90 30.20  
 
CT-4   07/14/2023 2970ft DIRT RC6 MUDDY Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($21.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:32
See original race card.
:213 :453       :522   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIZ THE REASON 1 5 1½     12 13¼ (brown ro)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 1.80 36% 1.70 0.80 W
5  REIGN ON AND ON 4 4 33½     32½ 23¼ (huet k)MARRERO CARLOS 120 6.00 6.60  
6  DING DING 5 1 2½     22 34½ (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 120 8.00 11.10  
3  BACKSTREET AFFAIR 3 3 59     56 44½ (lee a)CECIL Y 120 15.00 8.50  
2  MY JUBA 2 6 611     69 55½ (sanchez-salomon ro)CRUZ ANGEL 120 2.50 25% 3.00 3.60  
7  TRUE HEIRESS 6 2 45½     45½ 65¾ (gazzier kri)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 5.00 17% 5.00 5.80  
SCR  CASTLE LIGHTS               (brown ron)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 6.00    
 
CT-5   07/14/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($29.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:02
See original race card.
:232 :48 1:142     1:291   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUMPIN JACK BRASS 1 2 44 42   22 11¼ (runco jeff )BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 2.50 24% 3.20 2.30 W
10  JUST HAVE FAITH 10 10 915 815½   58½ 21¼ (collins tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 15.00 24.80  
3  XTENDED STREAK 3 1 13 1½   12 32½ (lucas anthony)BOCACHICA O 118 8.00 21.60  
4  SHEWEARSSTILETTOS 4 5 23 31   43½ 43 (brown ronney )CONCEPCION AXEL 113 4.00 8% 11.50 8.20  
6  CANDY LOVES HONEY 6 7 54½ 57   68¾ 59¼ (dillow h)RODRIGUEZ V 118 12.00 5% 19.00 41.00  
2  JUBASLILBALLERINA 2 3 33½ 2½   32 69½ (sigler g)LARROSA G 118 1.60 46% 1.20 0.70  
5  HARLAN'S VALENTINE 5 4 65 611½   712¼ 710¾ (contreras jav)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 30.00 52.80  
8  RUMORGOINGAROUND 8 8 89½ 714½   826¼ 837 (pickett crystal )MONTANO JOSE 124 30.00 43.10  
7  LIME STAR 7 6 78½ 916½   1033¾ 965¾ (conn p)ESQUILIN J 118 30.00 72.50  
9  AFIRE 9 9 1016½ 1020   929¾ 1073½ (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 118 10.00 5% 19.00 11.60  
SCR  PORTIA'S HOPE               (dixon geoffrey )SIMPSON JASON 118 15.00    
 
CT-6   07/14/2023 5610ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($27.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
See original race card.
:24 :481 1:133 1:413   1:482   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIDNIGHT ACT 1 3 66¾ 46 35 2½ 1¼ (stites flint )CONCEPCION AXEL 115 4.00 4.30  
3  UNCAPTURED STORM 3 2 46 57 66½ 41½ 2¼ (farrior ant)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 116 6.00 5.80  
6  MAXIMUM IMPACT 6 7 76¾ 68 45½ 51½ 33¾ (cash norman)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 2.00 14% 6.20 1.80 S
5  GOODLUCKCHUCK 5 5 11 14½ 14½ 1½ 45 (magee ki)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 6.00 14% 6.20 3.90  
7  ACE NINE NINE 7 6 21 24½ 24½ 31 56¼ (dove jr)BOCACHICA O 120 12.00 8.30  
2  MR HOOVER 2 1 56½ 79½ 56½ 69½ 619¾ (brown w)MONTANO JOSE 120 2.50 40% 1.50 6.50  
4  MISSIONSNINETYNINE 4 4 31 35½ 714½ 717½ 740¼ (brown w)CRUZ ANGEL 120 10.00 7% 13.50 11.00  
 
CT-7   07/14/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($26.7K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
See original race card.
:24 :473 1:134     1:204   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  SHAMELESS RISK 7 5 42 41½   1nk 11½ (brown ronney )CONCEPCION AXEL 115 6.00 5% 19.00 5.20 W
5  BAAGY 5 6 53 52½   4¼ 21½ (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 3.00 28% 2.50 1.90 P
6  FROG TOWN 6 4 32 31½   3.2 32 (farrior ant)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 116 3.50 2.70  
4  ODIE 4 2 11 1½   2nk 42 (patterson kevin)ACOSTA D 120 1.60 47% 1.10 2.50  
1  FEARNOUGHT 1 3 78½ 79   63½ 52¾ (clatterbuck frede)RODRIGUEZ V 120 20.00 5% 19.00 42.70  
2  PRINCE OF FENTON 2 1 21 2½   5½ 65½ (brown ro)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 8.00 9.00  
3  STRONG HEART 3 7 65 65½   73½ 78 (smith osb)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 20.00 29.80  
SCR  OVERLY CRITICAL               (viands stacey )MARRERO CARLOS 122 15.00    
 
CT-8   07/14/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT-10:32
See original race card.
:221 :463       :532   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  CHURCH KEY 5 3 1½     12½ 11½ (harrison gl)BOCACHICA J 114 1.60 46% 1.20 1.20 W
1  GREAT DEVOTION 1 5 2½     22½ 21½ (viands stacey )MARRERO CARLOS 122 8.00 5% 19.00 13.10 P
4  BESTLA 3 8 53½     34½ 33¾ (sandoval mi)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 15.00 5% 19.00 13.30 S
7  MOJO MATTERS 6 4 99     99 43¾ (davis e)MONTANO JOSE 122 12.00 18.60  
8  SISTER JOANN 7 6 64½     76½ 54¼ (hess g)MORALES KELVIN 122 3.00 17% 5.00 2.00  
5  WOODSONG'S CASTLE 4 7 87     66½ 64½ (shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 124 12.00 11% 7.90 37.80  
3  MIDNIGHT PASS 2 9 75½     87½ 76¼ (racanelli mark )SIMPSON JASON 120 12.00 26.70  
9  RISKSRHIGHPAYISLOW 8 1 42½     56 87½ (atkins michael )LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 20.00 35.30  
10  I'M A TOTAL DIVA 9 2 31½     45½ 911¾ (mckee cynthi)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 6.00 5.20  
SCR  HARPER'S DO               (serey jr)WHITACRE GRANT 122 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.