Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Colonial Downs
Thursday - August 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CNL-3   WIN (3/10/9/5/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00  9 $12.40 $2.40 24%
    EXA (3/10/9/5/11)-(3/10/9/5/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00  9-3 $24.50 $4.50 23%
    TRI (3/10/9/5/11)-(3/10/9/5/11)-(3/10/9/5/11) 60 $1.00 $60.00  9-3-11 $68.70 $8.70 15%
    SFT (3/10/9/5/11)-(3/10/9/5/11)-(3/10/9/5/11)-(3/10/9/5/11) 120 $0.10 $12.00  9-3-11-5 $32.28 $20.28 169%
CNL-6   EXA (5/3/8/4)-(5/3/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00  3-8 $22.70 $10.70 89%
CNL-8   EXA (3/11/5)-(3/11/5/9/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00  3-9 $15.50 $3.50 29%
    PK3 (5/3/8/4)-(7/1/4/6)-(3/11/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00  3-2/5/6/7-2/3/6 $57.40 $9.40 20%
Simulator Race results
 
CNL-1   08/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 ALL PT- 1:30
See original race card.
:214 :452 :574     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  GENUINE PERIL 5 5 43 31   21 11¼ (munoz carlos)ASHTON GAVIN 116 6.00 4.90  
  (by ENTICED out of SHOYOYA by MACHO UNO)
2  SIR FLASH 2 4 21½ 1nk   11 21¼ (ochoa gerard)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 3.00 45% 1.20 0.90 P
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of MEADOW BRIDE by RUNAWAY GROOM)
7  SIR MASON 6 3 53½ 56   46½ 34½ (munoz ca)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 119 20.00 7.80  
  (by ST PATRICK'S DAY out of AZASECRET by DISCREET CAT)
1  ADIOS PLUMA 1 1 11½ 2nk   32½ 46½ (cazares )GALLARDO A 119 5.00 16% 5.30 2.50  
  (by ADIOS CHARLIE out of TAR AND FEATHER by AWESOME OF COURSE)
4  SILVER FRONT 4 2 33 42   57 513 (huffman ke)ALONSO LUIS 119 20.00 13.60  
  (by COAL FRONT out of MICA STREET by STREET HERO)
3  KATRIEL 3 6 616½ 628   642 660 (ochoa gerard)JIMENEZ MANNY 119 8.00 8% 10.80 12.80  
  (by MALIBU MOON out of COUNTRY DRIVE by SHIROCCO (GER))
SCR  A G DIAMOND               (cascallares)CASIQUE URBARDO 119 1.80    
  (by MAJESTIC CITY out of QUEST FOR CANDY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
SCR  ALBERT FINNIGAN               (allen fe)SANCHEZ J 119 6.00    
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of RENAISSANCE ROSIE by JUMP START)
 
CNL-2   08/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:57
See original race card.
:223 :461 :58     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  WRIGHT UP FRONT 2 4 1½ 11   11 13¼ (toner j)RUIZ JORGE 119 3.50 16% 5.20 1.20 W
  (by LORD NELSON out of MS. BEDAZZLE by MR. GREELEY)
1  BONDIVA 1 1 31 21   21 23¼ (keefe timothy )ROSADO JOHAN 119 6.00 8.90  
  (by BLOFELD out of DIVA MEG by EXCHANGE RATE)
5  THE GANG THAT SANG 4 3 2½ 31   36 310½ (stidham m)HERNANDEZ J 124 1.40 44% 1.30 1.50 S
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of ARTFULLY by RIGHT CON)
6  COOKIE BANK 5 5 62½ 54½   59 412½ (bedard alan)LAPRIDA JEREMY 119 12.00 8% 11.90 5.90  
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of SOARWITHTHEBIRDS by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
3  LUNA AMARILLA 3 2 52 43   48 513¼ (marrero nestor)MENDEZ KEVIN 124 20.00 21.30  
  (by CAPO BASTONE out of PLAYINTHECITY by CITY ZIP)
7  STORM CREED 6 6 74½ 68½   614 622 (munoz carlos)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 8.00 18.20  
  (by JIMMY CREED out of OFFSHORE LADY by BERNARDINI)
8  ANNIE'S KINGDOM 7 7 41½ 712½   721 734¾ (huffman ke)ALONSO LUIS 124 6.00 24.00  
  (by ANIMAL KINGDOM out of MICA STREET by STREET HERO)
SCR  FIRELANE               (lusk r)FUENTES MARIO 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DADDY LONG LEGS out of FLORESTA by FOREST CAMP)
 
CNL-3   08/17/2023 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 F PT- 2:25
See original race card.
:222 :46 :573     1:033   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  CAP CLASSIQUE 8 5 42 31   2½ 11¼ (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 4.00 14% 6.30 5.20 W
  (by VINO ROSSO out of SCA DOODLE by SCAT DADDY)
3  INDEPENDENCEAVENUE 3 1 11 1nk   1½ 21¼ (delacour )CARRASCO R 119 2.00 35% 1.90 2.30 P
  (by MR SPEAKER out of OFF THE ROAD by QUICK ROAD)
11  SMILING ELLIE 10 3 21 2nk   3½ 37 (casse ma)GALLARDO A 119 3.50 7% 13.80 2.10 S
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of EMERLAUDE by EL CORREDOR)
5  THE AMAZING MIZZEN 4 9 94¼ 74½   68¼ 410½ (asmussen )HERNANDEZ J 119 4.50 9% 10.20 7.90  
  (by MIZZEN MAST out of ZULIA by HENNY HUGHES)
1  MY SWEETHEART DANI 1 2 32 42   46½ 510½ (crooks jeffrey)CASTANON L 119 10.00 7.70  
  (by ALLIANCE out of SEDATE by MUNNINGS)
10  QUEEN AIKO 9 7 63 53   58 610¾ (cascallares n)FUENTES MARIO 119 6.00 16% 5.30 8.10  
  (by CAJUN BREEZE out of LOTTERY QUEEN by HEAR NO EVIL)
8  OSO 7 10 84¼ 84¾   811¼ 718¾ (werneth robert)GOLIBRZUCH S 119 30.00 37.90  
  (by DESTIN out of RESERVATION BLUES by INDIAN CHARLIE)
2  TRANQUILA RUBY 2 8 105¼ 97¼   912¾ 819 (cascallares)CASIQUE URBARDO 119 30.00 64.60  
  (by MIDNIGHT STORM out of TRANQUIL MOON by MALIBU MOON)
7  FIFTH CIRCUIT 6 6 52½ 63½   710¼ 920½ (mccutchen jas)JIMENEZ MANNY 119 8.00 17.20  
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of NAWLINS KITTY by KITTEN'S JOY)
6  TALKIN' SASSY 5 4 74 107¼   1014¼ 1023¾ (rodriguez ang)CARDOSO DAVID 119 30.00 67.10  
  (by BACKTALK out of COTTINA by HIGH COTTON)
SCR  SHE'S SPLENDID               (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 119 15.00    
  (by RACE DAY out of STAR SERENADE by CATRAIL)
SCR  TINA BALLERINA               (bedard alan)LAPRIDA JEREMY 119 20.00    
  (by MASTERY out of ANNA PAVLOVA by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
 
CNL-4   08/17/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($40K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:54
See original race card.
:223 :473 1:124 1:251   1:373   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  SEEKINGBYTHESTORM 10 2 21 25½ 31½ 22 11½ (mcgoey monica)RUIZ JORGE 118 5.00 1.90  
9  QUEEN ROCKET 7 3 42½ 46½ 2½ 12 21½ (aro micha)CARRASCO R 118 20.00 14.60  
4  REES 3 8 87¼ 98½ 104¼ 35½ 33½ (howard c)ROSADO JOHAN 124 20.00 49.90  
6  FROSTY SECRET 5 10 65½ 78¼ 83¼ 56 45¾ (manning de)SANCHEZ J 124 2.50 45% 1.20 3.40  
10  LA VILLAGE LUMIERE 8 5 54 58 52 46 56 (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 3.50 23% 3.40 3.00  
2  AMOR SALVAJE 2 7 107¾ 109 73¼ 86¾ 66 (ochoa ge)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 118 20.00 ★ 22.20  
8  REAL MIKEY 6 12 97¾ 88¼ 62¼ 98¾ 76½ (lusk r)CASTANON L 118 30.00 31.60  
13  BESSIE BLUE 11 11 128½ 1211 127¾ 1210 89 (davis g)BOYCE FOREST 124 12.00 5% 19.00 15.60  
5  BACK OFF ME 4 9 75¾ 68 41½ 76¼ 910¼ (russo anth)ALONSO LUIS 124 30.00 10.90  
1  APRIL FIRST 1 6 118 1111 116¼ 109¾ 1011¼ (payne beale)AVILES YAN 118 12.00 31.00  
14  MS EXCUSE 12 4 11 15½ 1½ 66¼ 1113¼ (cascallares)CASIQUE URBARDO 118 20.00 75.80  
11  VIENNA'S TWIRL 9 1 31 36 93¾ 1110 1219 (cooney s)ASHTON GAVIN 118 8.00 8% 11.40 13.30  
SCR  GOOD ACCELEBRATE               (williams )HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 15.00    
SCR  LUNAR UNIT               (vitali m)GALLARDO A 118 12.00    
 
CNL-5   08/17/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($34.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:25
See original race card.
:223 :464 1:113 1:364   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  SUWANNEE CHICK 9 3 34 34 51¾ 2nk 1½ (parra her)HERNANDEZ J 123 20.00 50.90  
5  KIT CAN RUN 5 11 911 1011 85¾ 52½ 2½ (casse ma)GALLARDO A 123 3.50 28% 2.60 1.80 P
8  BEASTIE GIRL 8 8 1011 910½ 96 63 31 (rountree cathy)BOYCE FOREST 123 15.00 5% 19.00 12.00 S
2  PLEASE MARRY ME 2 1 1½ 1½ 1nk 1nk 42¾ (sanchez-sal)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 123 12.00 12.90  
11  REACHING STRIDE 10 6 77 77½ 73¾ 31½ 53 (morzan e)RIQUELME J 123 30.00 41.10  
7  RIBALDRY (IRE) 7 5 2½ 2½ 2nk 42 63¼ (van thom)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 8.00 9% 10.00 5.70  
3  INSIDE THE BOX 3 2 55½ 55 41¼ 73¼ 74 (fout douglas)AVILES YAN 123 10.00 13% 6.80 5.70  
1  GLOSSAMER 1 4 44½ 44 31 83¾ 84½ (ashby lynn)SANCHEZ J 123 3.00 26% 2.80 2.10  
4  STELLARATOR 4 10 1113 1111½ 116 94¼ 94½ (zook w)LEON A 123 20.00 32.40  
12  REYNA DE VERANO 11 9 89 89½ 106 116¼ 105 (munoz ca)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 123 30.00 61.30  
6  AMORE MOON 6 7 66½ 65½ 63¾ 105¼ 117¾ (ochoa gerard)JIMENEZ MANNY 123 15.00 40.90  
SCR  EXCULPATE               (sweezey kent)CAMACHO SAMY 123 4.00    
SCR  HOT CHOICE               (howard da)CARRASCO R 123 20.00    
 
CNL-6   08/17/2023 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:55
See original race card.
:221 :443 :562     1:02   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  MAYA PRINCE 3 7 73¼ 73½   71½ 13½ (trombetta mich)ROSADO JOHAN 122 3.50 18% 4.70 3.00 W
8  POINT LIAM 7 4 51¾ 41¾   41 23½ (pompay terri)RUIZ JORGE 120 2.50 13% 6.50 3.90 P
9  BLESSED ARION 8 2 1nk 1nk   2nk 33¾ (rawlings amanda )AVILES YAN 122 30.00 27.30  
5  MATTA 5 1 2nk 2nk   1nk 45 (trombetta )SANCHEZ J 122 2.00 32% 2.10 1.70  
7  NOVGOROD THE GREAT 6 5 61¾ 51¾   51¼ 55½ (gulick m)CASTANON L 122 20.00 5.10  
1  WALT WHITMAN (IRE) 1 6 41¼ 62   61¼ 66½ (nunez ma)GALLARDO A 118 6.00 6.80  
2  BUBBA GRUMP 2 8 84¾ 84½   86½ 78¾ (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 30.00 44.50  
4  LET'S GO ALAMO 4 3 3.2 3.2   3½ 89 (kendall e)CARRASCO R 122 8.00 12% 7.10 17.50  
SCR  CATCHTHISWINNER               (munoz carlos)JIMENEZ MANNY 122 15.00    
 
CNL-7   08/17/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($34.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:23
See original race card.
:241 :483 1:123 1:362   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  DEAR SANTA 4 1 11½ 13½ 11½ 11½ 13 (delacour )CARRASCO R 125 2.50 43% 1.30 1.70 W
1  BAIL OUT 1 3 54½ 55½ 32½ 21½ 23 (de hor)SANCHEZ J 123 2.00 26% 2.80 2.10 P
4  NEUTRAL 3 6 64½ 66 56 511½ 311¾ (magee kieron)TOLEDO JEVIAN 120 8.00 6% 16.50 3.90 S
9  CELTIC SEA 6 4 21½ 23½ 21½ 49½ 412¼ (cooney s)ASHTON GAVIN 123 30.00 51.70  
10  MAKE 'EM TAP 7 7 43 44½ 42½ 39½ 512¼ (cazares )GALLARDO A 120 6.00 3.10  
8  KITTEN'S CLOWN 5 2 32½ 34½ 66½ 714¾ 617¾ (mcgoey m)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 123 30.00 20.60  
3  IMAGOODFELLA 2 5 77½ 79½ 77 614½ 718 (russo anth)ALONSO LUIS 118 20.00 36.10  
SCR  AND THE OSCAR GOES               (lusk r)FUENTES MARIO 123 30.00    
SCR  LOOKINASSAH               (pompay terri)RUIZ JORGE 118 4.00    
SCR  STEELE MONEY               (sanchez-salomon )AVILES YAN 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
CNL-8   08/17/2023 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($34.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:56
See original race card.
:214 :442 :563     1:023   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  WALKS LIKE A LADY 2 6 65 75¾   32 11½ (nagle sarah)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 2.50 64% 0.60 1.10 W
9  DAISY BEE 7 5 53½ 54½   52¼ 21½ (sweezey j )SANCHEZ J 122 8.00 ★ 5.90 P
7  BUNTY WINDERMERE 5 2 2nk 2nk   11½ 33 (ryan dere)HERNANDEZ J 122 10.00 5.40  
1  TAK E LADY 1 7 87¾ 87¾   84¾ 43¾ (ashby lynn)AVILES YAN 122 10.00 6.60  
4  TRIPLET 3 3 43 44   42 54¼ (gilliam karen )CASTANON L 122 20.00 36.20  
8  MICHEAUX 6 4 31½ 31½   62¼ 65¼ (clement rolan)JIMENEZ MANNY 122 30.00 24.10  
5  WILL I PLAY 4 8 75¼ 64¾   74¼ 76 (godsey d)ASHTON GAVIN 120 10.00 5% 19.00 18.50  
10  LOVIELEE 8 1 1nk 1nk   21½ 86¾ (munoz ca)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 122 30.00 ★ 24.00  
11  SUPER RENEE 9 9 99¾ 911¾   910¾ 913¾ (magee kieron)ROCCO S 122 4.00 11% 7.80 5.10  
SCR  KILLY START               (merryman michael)RUIZ JORGE 122 6.00    
SCR  SPOOKY SPICE               (stidham mi)SANCHEZ J 122 6.00    
 
CNL-9   08/17/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:27
See original race card.
:231 :472 1:112 1:234   1:364   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  GO GREEN 11 5 72¾ 75½ 63 21 1¼ (o'connel)GALLARDO A 118 4.00 ★ 5.20  
1  SUMMER ANTHEM 1 1 3½ 31½ 2½ 11 2¼ (brion ker)CARRASCO R 123 2.50 55% 0.80 2.00 P
9  PURSUING PACE 9 11 115 107¼ 94¾ 43 3¾ (magee kieron)TOLEDO JEVIAN 121 3.00 11% 8.00 4.00 S
3  FROSTY WARRIOR 3 6 93½ 85¾ 84¾ 105 43¾ (wasiluk peter)JIMENEZ MANNY 123 30.00 46.40  
10  VILLAGE PREACHER 10 10 104 96¾ 105 64½ 54 (lusk brian)ALONSO LUIS 121 30.00 10% 8.60 19.20  
2  FIGHTNOMOREFOREVER 2 12 128 1210¾ 128 117 66 (boniface kevin)BOYCE FOREST 120 8.00 4.20  
5  THANK YA PETE 5 2 1nk 11½ 1½ 31 76 (cooney su)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 116 20.00 16.20  
7  FEUILLETON 7 9 83 118¾ 118 128 87¾ (chain pearl)ROCCO S 123 15.00 19.80  
4  CESAR 4 8 62¼ 53½ 53 95 98 (bowersock mari)CASTANON L 118 20.00 5% 19.00 6.80  
12  TEMPTING MOMENT 12 3 42 64 73¼ 74¾ 109¾ (hester leanne)AVILES YAN 123 20.00 65.40  
8  ZALFIERRO 8 4 2nk 21½ 31½ 53½ 1110¼ (lusk r)CARDOSO DAVID 123 30.00 72.30  
6  WILD IRISHMAN 6 7 52¼ 43 42 84¾ 1212 (werneth rober)FUENTES MARIO 121 30.00 73.10  
SCR  IT'S ME AGAIN               (santillana fr)FUENTES MARIO 123 30.00    
SCR  MENTALIST               (bentley fennek)ROCCO S 121 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.