Handicappers' Race Results

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Colonial Downs
Thursday - August 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CNL-1   Win (2/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $11.80  
CNL-2   Win (5/2/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $4.40 $4.40  
CNL-3   Win (3/10/9/5/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 9 1 1 $12.40 $12.40 2.40
CNL-4   Win (6/10/11/13) 4 $2.00 $8.00 12 1 0 $5.80  
CNL-5   Win (5/1/3/7/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 9 1 0 $103.80  
CNL-6   Win (5/3/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $8.00 $8.00  
CNL-7   Win (7/1/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $5.40 $5.40  
CNL-8   Win (3/11/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $4.20 $4.20  
CNL-9   Win (1/9/10/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 11 1 0 $12.40  

Simulator Race results

 
CNL-1   08/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 ALL PT- 1:30
See original race card.
:214 :452 :574     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GENUINE PERIL 5 5 43 31   21 1 (munoz carlos)ASHTON GAVIN 116 6.00 4.90  
SIR FLASH 2 4 2 1nk   11 2 (ochoa gerard)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 3.00 45% 1.20 0.90 P
SIR MASON 6 3 5 56   4 3 (munoz carl)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 119 20.00 7.80  
ADIOS PLUMA 1 1 1 2nk   3 4 (cazares la)GALLARDO A 119 5.00 16% 5.30 2.50  
SILVER FRONT 4 2 33 42   57 513 (huffman kenn)ALONSO LUIS 119 20.00 13.60  
KATRIEL 3 6 616½ 628   642 660 (ochoa gerard)JIMENEZ MANNY 119 8.00 8% 10.80 12.80  
SCR  A G DIAMOND               (cascallares n)CASIQUE URBARDO 119 1.80    
SCR  ALBERT FINNIGAN               (allen ferr)SANCHEZ J 119 6.00    
 
CNL-2   08/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:57
See original race card.
:223 :461 :58     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WRIGHT UP FRONT 2 4 1½ 11   11 1 (toner j)RUIZ JORGE 119 3.50 16% 5.20 1.20 W
BONDIVA 1 1 31 21   21 2 (keefe l)ROSADO JOHAN 119 6.00 8.90  
THE GANG THAT SANG 4 3 2½ 31   36 310½ (stidham mic)HERNANDEZ J 124 1.40 44% 1.30 1.50 S
COOKIE BANK 5 5 6 5   59 412½ (bedard alan)LAPRIDA JEREMY 119 12.00 8% 11.90 5.90  
LUNA AMARILLA 3 2 52 43   48 513¼ (marrero nestor)MENDEZ KEVIN 124 20.00 21.30  
STORM CREED 6 6 7 6   614 622 (munoz carlos)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 8.00 18.20  
ANNIE'S KINGDOM 7 7 4 712½   721 734¾ (huffman kenn)ALONSO LUIS 124 6.00 24.00  
SCR  FIRELANE               (lusk r)FUENTES MARIO 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
CNL-3   08/17/2023 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 F PT- 2:25
See original race card.
:222 :46 :573     1:033   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAP CLASSIQUE 8 5 42 31   2½ 1 (russell brittan)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 4.00 14% 6.30 5.20 W
INDEPENDENCEAVENUE 3 1 11 1nk   1½ 2 (delacour ar)CARRASCO R 119 2.00 35% 1.90 2.30 P
11  SMILING ELLIE 10 3 21 2nk   3½ 37 (casse mark)GALLARDO A 119 3.50 7% 13.80 2.10 S
THE AMAZING MIZZEN 4 9 9 7   6 410½ (asmussen st)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.50 9% 10.20 7.90  
MY SWEETHEART DANI 1 2 32 42   4 510½ (crooks s)CASTANON L 119 10.00 7.70  
10  QUEEN AIKO 9 7 63 53   58 610¾ (cascallares nes)FUENTES MARIO 119 6.00 16% 5.30 8.10  
OSO 7 10 8 8   811¼ 718¾ (werneth a)GOLIBRZUCH S 119 30.00 37.90  
TRANQUILA RUBY 2 8 10 9   912¾ 819 (cascallares n)CASIQUE URBARDO 119 30.00 64.60  
FIFTH CIRCUIT 6 6 5 6   710¼ 920½ (mccutchen jason)JIMENEZ MANNY 119 8.00 17.20  
TALKIN' SASSY 5 4 74 10   1014¼ 1023¾ (rodriguez angel)CARDOSO DAVID 119 30.00 67.10  
SCR  SHE'S SPLENDID               (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 119 15.00    
SCR  TINA BALLERINA               (bedard alan)LAPRIDA JEREMY 119 20.00    
 
CNL-4   08/17/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($40K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:54
See original race card.
:223 :473 1:124 1:251   1:373   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  SEEKINGBYTHESTORM 10 2 21 2 3 22 1 (mcgoey monica)RUIZ JORGE 118 5.00 1.90  
QUEEN ROCKET 7 3 4 4 2½ 12 2 (aro michael)CARRASCO R 118 20.00 14.60  
REES 3 8 8 9 10 3 3 (howard c)ROSADO JOHAN 124 20.00 49.90  
FROSTY SECRET 5 10 6 7 8 56 4 (manning denn)SANCHEZ J 124 2.50 45% 1.20 3.40  
10  LA VILLAGE LUMIERE 8 5 54 58 52 46 56 (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 3.50 23% 3.40 3.00  
AMOR SALVAJE 2 7 10 109 7 8 66 (ochoa gera)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 118 20.00 22.20  
REAL MIKEY 6 12 9 8 6 9 7 (lusk r)CASTANON L 118 30.00 31.60  
13  BESSIE BLUE 11 11 12 1211 12 1210 89 (davis g)BOYCE FOREST 124 12.00 5% 19.00 15.60  
BACK OFF ME 4 9 7 68 4 7 910¼ (russo anthon)ALONSO LUIS 124 30.00 10.90  
APRIL FIRST 1 6 118 1111 11 10 1011¼ (payne beale)AVILES YAN 118 12.00 31.00  
14  MS EXCUSE 12 4 11 1 1½ 6 1113¼ (cascallares n)CASIQUE URBARDO 118 20.00 75.80  
11  VIENNA'S TWIRL 9 1 31 36 9 1110 1219 (cooney s)ASHTON GAVIN 118 8.00 8% 11.40 13.30  
SCR  GOOD ACCELEBRATE               (williams ga)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 15.00    
SCR  LUNAR UNIT               (vitali mar)GALLARDO A 118 12.00    
 
CNL-5   08/17/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($34.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:25
See original race card.
:223 :464 1:113 1:364   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUWANNEE CHICK 9 3 34 34 5 2nk 1½ (parra herna)HERNANDEZ J 123 20.00 50.90  
KIT CAN RUN 5 11 911 1011 8 5 2½ (casse mark)GALLARDO A 123 3.50 28% 2.60 1.80 P
BEASTIE GIRL 8 8 1011 910½ 96 63 31 (rountree cathy)BOYCE FOREST 123 15.00 5% 19.00 12.00 S
PLEASE MARRY ME 2 1 1½ 1½ 1nk 1nk 4 (sanchez-salom)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 123 12.00 12.90  
11  REACHING STRIDE 10 6 77 7 7 3 53 (morzan e)RIQUELME J 123 30.00 41.10  
RIBALDRY (IRE) 7 5 2½ 2½ 2nk 42 6 (van thomas)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 8.00 9% 10.00 5.70  
INSIDE THE BOX 3 2 5 55 4 7 74 (fout douglas)AVILES YAN 123 10.00 13% 6.80 5.70  
GLOSSAMER 1 4 4 44 31 8 8 (ashby lynn)SANCHEZ J 123 3.00 26% 2.80 2.10  
STELLARATOR 4 10 1113 1111½ 116 9 9 (zook w)LEON A 123 20.00 32.40  
12  REYNA DE VERANO 11 9 89 8 106 11 105 (munoz carl)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 123 30.00 61.30  
AMORE MOON 6 7 6 6 6 10 11 (ochoa gerard)JIMENEZ MANNY 123 15.00 40.90  
SCR  EXCULPATE               (sweezey kent)CAMACHO SAMY 123 4.00    
SCR  HOT CHOICE               (howard davi)CARRASCO R 123 20.00    
 
CNL-6   08/17/2023 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:55
See original race card.
:221 :443 :562     1:02   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAYA PRINCE 3 7 7 7   7 1 (trombetta michae)ROSADO JOHAN 122 3.50 18% 4.70 3.00 W
POINT LIAM 7 4 5 4   41 2 (pompay terri)RUIZ JORGE 120 2.50 13% 6.50 3.90 P
BLESSED ARION 8 2 1nk 1nk   2nk 3 (rawlings co)AVILES YAN 122 30.00 27.30  
MATTA 5 1 2nk 2nk   1nk 45 (trombetta mi)SANCHEZ J 122 2.00 32% 2.10 1.70  
NOVGOROD THE GREAT 6 5 6 5   5 5 (gulick m)CASTANON L 122 20.00 5.10  
WALT WHITMAN (IRE) 1 6 4 62   6 6 (nunez maur)GALLARDO A 118 6.00 6.80  
BUBBA GRUMP 2 8 8 8   8 7 (contreras)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 30.00 44.50  
LET'S GO ALAMO 4 3 3.2 3.2   3½ 89 (kendall eli)CARRASCO R 122 8.00 12% 7.10 17.50  
SCR  CATCHTHISWINNER               (munoz carlos)JIMENEZ MANNY 122 15.00    
 
CNL-7   08/17/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($34.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:23
See original race card.
:241 :483 1:123 1:362   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEAR SANTA 4 1 1 1 1 1 13 (delacour ar)CARRASCO R 125 2.50 43% 1.30 1.70 W
BAIL OUT 1 3 5 5 3 2 23 (de horac)SANCHEZ J 123 2.00 26% 2.80 2.10 P
NEUTRAL 3 6 6 66 56 511½ 311¾ (magee kieron)TOLEDO JEVIAN 120 8.00 6% 16.50 3.90 S
CELTIC SEA 6 4 2 2 2 4 412¼ (cooney s)ASHTON GAVIN 123 30.00 51.70  
10  MAKE 'EM TAP 7 7 43 4 4 3 512¼ (cazares la)GALLARDO A 120 6.00 3.10  
KITTEN'S CLOWN 5 2 3 3 6 714¾ 617¾ (mcgoey mon)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 123 30.00 20.60  
IMAGOODFELLA 2 5 7 7 77 614½ 718 (russo anthon)ALONSO LUIS 118 20.00 36.10  
SCR  AND THE OSCAR GOES               (lusk r)FUENTES MARIO 123 30.00    
SCR  LOOKINASSAH               (pompay terri)RUIZ JORGE 118 4.00    
SCR  STEELE MONEY               (sanchez-salomon ro)AVILES YAN 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
CNL-8   08/17/2023 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($34.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:56
See original race card.
:214 :442 :563     1:023   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WALKS LIKE A LADY 2 6 65 7   32 1 (nagle sarah)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 2.50 64% 0.60 1.10 W
DAISY BEE 7 5 5 5   5 2 (sweezey ke)SANCHEZ J 122 8.00 5.90 P
BUNTY WINDERMERE 5 2 2nk 2nk   1 33 (ryan derek )HERNANDEZ J 122 10.00 5.40  
TAK E LADY 1 7 8 8   8 4 (ashby lynn)AVILES YAN 122 10.00 6.60  
TRIPLET 3 3 43 44   42 5 (gilliam a)CASTANON L 122 20.00 36.20  
MICHEAUX 6 4 3 3   6 6 (clement roland )JIMENEZ MANNY 122 30.00 24.10  
WILL I PLAY 4 8 7 6   7 76 (godsey den)ASHTON GAVIN 120 10.00 5% 19.00 18.50  
10  LOVIELEE 8 1 1nk 1nk   2 8 (munoz carl)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 122 30.00 24.00  
11  SUPER RENEE 9 9 9 911¾   910¾ 913¾ (magee kieron)ROCCO S 122 4.00 11% 7.80 5.10  
SCR  KILLY START               (merryman michael)RUIZ JORGE 122 6.00    
SCR  SPOOKY SPICE               (stidham mich)SANCHEZ J 122 6.00    
 
CNL-9   08/17/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:27
See original race card.
:231 :472 1:112 1:234   1:364   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  GO GREEN 11 5 7 7 63 21 1¼ (o'connell )GALLARDO A 118 4.00 5.20  
SUMMER ANTHEM 1 1 3½ 3 2½ 11 2¼ (brion keri)CARRASCO R 123 2.50 55% 0.80 2.00 P
PURSUING PACE 9 11 115 10 9 43 3¾ (magee kieron)TOLEDO JEVIAN 121 3.00 11% 8.00 4.00 S
FROSTY WARRIOR 3 6 9 8 8 105 4 (wasiluk j)JIMENEZ MANNY 123 30.00 46.40  
10  VILLAGE PREACHER 10 10 104 9 105 6 54 (lusk r)ALONSO LUIS 121 30.00 10% 8.60 19.20  
FIGHTNOMOREFOREVER 2 12 128 1210¾ 128 117 66 (boniface c)BOYCE FOREST 120 8.00 4.20  
THANK YA PETE 5 2 1nk 1 1½ 31 76 (cooney susa)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 116 20.00 16.20  
FEUILLETON 7 9 83 11 118 128 8 (chain pearl)ROCCO S 123 15.00 19.80  
CESAR 4 8 6 5 53 95 98 (bowersock maria)CASTANON L 118 20.00 5% 19.00 6.80  
12  TEMPTING MOMENT 12 3 42 64 7 7 10 (hester leanne)AVILES YAN 123 20.00 65.40  
ZALFIERRO 8 4 2nk 2 3 5 1110¼ (lusk r)CARDOSO DAVID 123 30.00 72.30  
WILD IRISHMAN 6 7 5 43 42 8 1212 (werneth robert )FUENTES MARIO 121 30.00 73.10  
SCR  IT'S ME AGAIN               (santillana fran)FUENTES MARIO 123 30.00    
SCR  MENTALIST               (bentley fenneka)ROCCO S 121 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.