Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Colonial Downs
Thursday - August 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CNL-3   WIN (3/10/9/5/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00  9 $12.40 $2.40 24%
    EXA (3/10/9/5/11)-(3/10/9/5/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00  9-3 $24.50 $4.50 23%
    TRI (3/10/9/5/11)-(3/10/9/5/11)-(3/10/9/5/11) 60 $1.00 $60.00  9-3-11 $68.70 $8.70 15%
    SFT (3/10/9/5/11)-(3/10/9/5/11)-(3/10/9/5/11)-(3/10/9/5/11) 120 $0.10 $12.00  9-3-11-5 $32.28 $20.28 169%
CNL-6   EXA (5/3/8/4)-(5/3/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00  3-8 $22.70 $10.70 89%
CNL-8   EXA (3/11/5)-(3/11/5/9/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00  3-9 $15.50 $3.50 29%
    PK3 (5/3/8/4)-(7/1/4/6)-(3/11/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00  3-2/5/6/7-2/3/6 $57.40 $9.40 20%

Simulator Race results

 
CNL-1   08/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 ALL PT- 1:30
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GENUINE PERIL   (munoz carlos)ASHTON GAVIN 116 6.00 4.90  
  (by ENTICED out of SHOYOYA by MACHO UNO)
SIR FLASH   (ochoa gerard)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 3.00 45% 1.20 0.90 P
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of MEADOW BRIDE by RUNAWAY GROOM)
SIR MASON   (munoz ca)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 119 20.00 7.80  
  (by ST PATRICK'S DAY out of AZASECRET by DISCREET CAT)
ADIOS PLUMA   (cazares )GALLARDO A 119 5.00 16% 5.30 2.50  
  (by ADIOS CHARLIE out of TAR AND FEATHER by AWESOME OF COURSE)
SILVER FRONT   (huffman ke)ALONSO LUIS 119 20.00 13.60  
  (by COAL FRONT out of MICA STREET by STREET HERO)
KATRIEL   (ochoa gerard)JIMENEZ MANNY 119 8.00 8% 10.80 12.80  
  (by MALIBU MOON out of COUNTRY DRIVE by SHIROCCO (GER))
SCR  A G DIAMOND   (cascallares)CASIQUE URBARDO 119 1.80    
  (by MAJESTIC CITY out of QUEST FOR CANDY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
SCR  ALBERT FINNIGAN   (allen fe)SANCHEZ J 119 6.00    
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of RENAISSANCE ROSIE by JUMP START)
 
CNL-2   08/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:57
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WRIGHT UP FRONT   (toner j)RUIZ JORGE 119 3.50 16% 5.20 1.20 W
  (by LORD NELSON out of MS. BEDAZZLE by MR. GREELEY)
BONDIVA   (keefe timothy )ROSADO JOHAN 119 6.00 8.90  
  (by BLOFELD out of DIVA MEG by EXCHANGE RATE)
THE GANG THAT SANG   (stidham m)HERNANDEZ J 124 1.40 44% 1.30 1.50 S
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of ARTFULLY by RIGHT CON)
COOKIE BANK   (bedard alan)LAPRIDA JEREMY 119 12.00 8% 11.90 5.90  
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of SOARWITHTHEBIRDS by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
LUNA AMARILLA   (marrero nestor)MENDEZ KEVIN 124 20.00 21.30  
  (by CAPO BASTONE out of PLAYINTHECITY by CITY ZIP)
STORM CREED   (munoz carlos)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 8.00 18.20  
  (by JIMMY CREED out of OFFSHORE LADY by BERNARDINI)
ANNIE'S KINGDOM   (huffman ke)ALONSO LUIS 124 6.00 24.00  
  (by ANIMAL KINGDOM out of MICA STREET by STREET HERO)
SCR  FIRELANE   (lusk r)FUENTES MARIO 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DADDY LONG LEGS out of FLORESTA by FOREST CAMP)
 
CNL-3   08/17/2023 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 F PT- 2:25
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAP CLASSIQUE   (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 4.00 14% 6.30 5.20 W
  (by VINO ROSSO out of SCA DOODLE by SCAT DADDY)
INDEPENDENCEAVENUE   (delacour )CARRASCO R 119 2.00 35% 1.90 2.30 P
  (by MR SPEAKER out of OFF THE ROAD by QUICK ROAD)
11  SMILING ELLIE   (casse ma)GALLARDO A 119 3.50 7% 13.80 2.10 S
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of EMERLAUDE by EL CORREDOR)
THE AMAZING MIZZEN   (asmussen )HERNANDEZ J 119 4.50 9% 10.20 7.90  
  (by MIZZEN MAST out of ZULIA by HENNY HUGHES)
MY SWEETHEART DANI   (crooks jeffrey)CASTANON L 119 10.00 7.70  
  (by ALLIANCE out of SEDATE by MUNNINGS)
10  QUEEN AIKO   (cascallares n)FUENTES MARIO 119 6.00 16% 5.30 8.10  
  (by CAJUN BREEZE out of LOTTERY QUEEN by HEAR NO EVIL)
OSO   (werneth robert)GOLIBRZUCH S 119 30.00 37.90  
  (by DESTIN out of RESERVATION BLUES by INDIAN CHARLIE)
TRANQUILA RUBY   (cascallares)CASIQUE URBARDO 119 30.00 64.60  
  (by MIDNIGHT STORM out of TRANQUIL MOON by MALIBU MOON)
FIFTH CIRCUIT   (mccutchen jas)JIMENEZ MANNY 119 8.00 17.20  
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of NAWLINS KITTY by KITTEN'S JOY)
TALKIN' SASSY   (rodriguez ang)CARDOSO DAVID 119 30.00 67.10  
  (by BACKTALK out of COTTINA by HIGH COTTON)
SCR  SHE'S SPLENDID   (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 119 15.00    
  (by RACE DAY out of STAR SERENADE by CATRAIL)
SCR  TINA BALLERINA   (bedard alan)LAPRIDA JEREMY 119 20.00    
  (by MASTERY out of ANNA PAVLOVA by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
 
CNL-4   08/17/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($40K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:54
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  SEEKINGBYTHESTORM   (mcgoey monica)RUIZ JORGE 118 5.00 1.90  
QUEEN ROCKET   (aro micha)CARRASCO R 118 20.00 14.60  
REES   (howard c)ROSADO JOHAN 124 20.00 49.90  
FROSTY SECRET   (manning de)SANCHEZ J 124 2.50 45% 1.20 3.40  
10  LA VILLAGE LUMIERE   (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 3.50 23% 3.40 3.00  
AMOR SALVAJE   (ochoa ge)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 118 20.00 22.20  
REAL MIKEY   (lusk r)CASTANON L 118 30.00 31.60  
13  BESSIE BLUE   (davis g)BOYCE FOREST 124 12.00 5% 19.00 15.60  
BACK OFF ME   (russo anth)ALONSO LUIS 124 30.00 10.90  
APRIL FIRST   (payne beale)AVILES YAN 118 12.00 31.00  
14  MS EXCUSE   (cascallares)CASIQUE URBARDO 118 20.00 75.80  
11  VIENNA'S TWIRL   (cooney s)ASHTON GAVIN 118 8.00 8% 11.40 13.30  
SCR  GOOD ACCELEBRATE   (williams )HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 15.00    
SCR  LUNAR UNIT   (vitali m)GALLARDO A 118 12.00    
 
CNL-5   08/17/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($34.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:25
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUWANNEE CHICK   (parra her)HERNANDEZ J 123 20.00 50.90  
KIT CAN RUN   (casse ma)GALLARDO A 123 3.50 28% 2.60 1.80 P
BEASTIE GIRL   (rountree cathy)BOYCE FOREST 123 15.00 5% 19.00 12.00 S
PLEASE MARRY ME   (sanchez-sal)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 123 12.00 12.90  
11  REACHING STRIDE   (morzan e)RIQUELME J 123 30.00 41.10  
RIBALDRY (IRE)   (van thom)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 8.00 9% 10.00 5.70  
INSIDE THE BOX   (fout douglas)AVILES YAN 123 10.00 13% 6.80 5.70  
GLOSSAMER   (ashby lynn)SANCHEZ J 123 3.00 26% 2.80 2.10  
STELLARATOR   (zook w)LEON A 123 20.00 32.40  
12  REYNA DE VERANO   (munoz ca)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 123 30.00 61.30  
AMORE MOON   (ochoa gerard)JIMENEZ MANNY 123 15.00 40.90  
SCR  EXCULPATE   (sweezey kent)CAMACHO SAMY 123 4.00    
SCR  HOT CHOICE   (howard da)CARRASCO R 123 20.00    
 
CNL-6   08/17/2023 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:55
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAYA PRINCE   (trombetta mich)ROSADO JOHAN 122 3.50 18% 4.70 3.00 W
POINT LIAM   (pompay terri)RUIZ JORGE 120 2.50 13% 6.50 3.90 P
BLESSED ARION   (rawlings amanda )AVILES YAN 122 30.00 27.30  
MATTA   (trombetta )SANCHEZ J 122 2.00 32% 2.10 1.70  
NOVGOROD THE GREAT   (gulick m)CASTANON L 122 20.00 5.10  
WALT WHITMAN (IRE)   (nunez ma)GALLARDO A 118 6.00 6.80  
BUBBA GRUMP   (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 30.00 44.50  
LET'S GO ALAMO   (kendall e)CARRASCO R 122 8.00 12% 7.10 17.50  
SCR  CATCHTHISWINNER   (munoz carlos)JIMENEZ MANNY 122 15.00    
 
CNL-7   08/17/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($34.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:23
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEAR SANTA   (delacour )CARRASCO R 125 2.50 43% 1.30 1.70 W
BAIL OUT   (de hor)SANCHEZ J 123 2.00 26% 2.80 2.10 P
NEUTRAL   (magee kieron)TOLEDO JEVIAN 120 8.00 6% 16.50 3.90 S
CELTIC SEA   (cooney s)ASHTON GAVIN 123 30.00 51.70  
10  MAKE 'EM TAP   (cazares )GALLARDO A 120 6.00 3.10  
KITTEN'S CLOWN   (mcgoey m)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 123 30.00 20.60  
IMAGOODFELLA   (russo anth)ALONSO LUIS 118 20.00 36.10  
SCR  AND THE OSCAR GOES   (lusk r)FUENTES MARIO 123 30.00    
SCR  LOOKINASSAH   (pompay terri)RUIZ JORGE 118 4.00    
SCR  STEELE MONEY   (sanchez-salomon )AVILES YAN 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
CNL-8   08/17/2023 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($34.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:56
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WALKS LIKE A LADY   (nagle sarah)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 2.50 64% 0.60 1.10 W
DAISY BEE   (sweezey j )SANCHEZ J 122 8.00 5.90 P
BUNTY WINDERMERE   (ryan dere)HERNANDEZ J 122 10.00 5.40  
TAK E LADY   (ashby lynn)AVILES YAN 122 10.00 6.60  
TRIPLET   (gilliam karen )CASTANON L 122 20.00 36.20  
MICHEAUX   (clement rolan)JIMENEZ MANNY 122 30.00 24.10  
WILL I PLAY   (godsey d)ASHTON GAVIN 120 10.00 5% 19.00 18.50  
10  LOVIELEE   (munoz ca)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 122 30.00 24.00  
11  SUPER RENEE   (magee kieron)ROCCO S 122 4.00 11% 7.80 5.10  
SCR  KILLY START   (merryman michael)RUIZ JORGE 122 6.00    
SCR  SPOOKY SPICE   (stidham mi)SANCHEZ J 122 6.00    
 
CNL-9   08/17/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:27
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  GO GREEN   (o'connel)GALLARDO A 118 4.00 5.20  
SUMMER ANTHEM   (brion ker)CARRASCO R 123 2.50 55% 0.80 2.00 P
PURSUING PACE   (magee kieron)TOLEDO JEVIAN 121 3.00 11% 8.00 4.00 S
FROSTY WARRIOR   (wasiluk peter)JIMENEZ MANNY 123 30.00 46.40  
10  VILLAGE PREACHER   (lusk brian)ALONSO LUIS 121 30.00 10% 8.60 19.20  
FIGHTNOMOREFOREVER   (boniface kevin)BOYCE FOREST 120 8.00 4.20  
THANK YA PETE   (cooney su)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 116 20.00 16.20  
FEUILLETON   (chain pearl)ROCCO S 123 15.00 19.80  
CESAR   (bowersock mari)CASTANON L 118 20.00 5% 19.00 6.80  
12  TEMPTING MOMENT   (hester leanne)AVILES YAN 123 20.00 65.40  
ZALFIERRO   (lusk r)CARDOSO DAVID 123 30.00 72.30  
WILD IRISHMAN   (werneth rober)FUENTES MARIO 121 30.00 73.10  
SCR  IT'S ME AGAIN   (santillana fr)FUENTES MARIO 123 30.00    
SCR  MENTALIST   (bentley fennek)ROCCO S 121 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.