Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Laurel Park
Saturday - July 29, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LRL-1   WIN (10/5/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00  10 $11.80 $3.80 48%
    EXA (10/5/4/7)-(10/5/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00  10-4 $25.60 $13.60 113%
LRL-2   TRI (3/4/7)-(3/4/7)-(3/4/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00  3-4-7 $7.60 $4.60 153%
LRL-3   EXA (5/8/10)-(5/8/10/9/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00  5-1 $14.10 $2.10 18%
    TRI (5/8/10)-(5/8/10/9/1)-(5/8/10/9/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00  5-1-9 $48.15 $30.15 168%
LRL-6   WIN (12/8/11/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00  8 $23.80 $15.80 198%

Simulator Race results

 
LRL-1   07/29/2023 5610ft TURF RC6 GOOD Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT-12:25
See original race card.
:24 :481 1:121 1:37   1:432   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  SIR TERRE 6 6 5 4 2nk 1nk 1nk (farrior ant)RUSSELL SHELDON 123 3.50 34% 1.90 4.90 W
GUNSLINGER (IRE) 2 1 1 12 1nk 2nk 2nk (magee kieron)CENTENO E 119 6.00 12% 7.40 2.10 P
BRILLIANT CHASE 4 5 33 33 4 4 3 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 4.50 4.10  
JOHNG 5 7 7 6 53 32 4 (keefe timothy )ROSADO JOHAN 123 10.00 5% 19.00 23.70  
SUPER E 1 2 6 7 7 7 52 (smith hamilt)BARBOSA JEIRON 123 5.00 13.10  
U S CONSTITUTION 3 4 2 22 3½ 5 6 (trombetta m)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 3.00 26% 2.80 1.70  
11  SAMUI SUNSET 7 3 47 56 6 6 7 (walters henry)CRUZ ANGEL 123 12.00 14.20  
SCR  AESTHETICALLY               (dilodovico da)KARAMANOS A 119 6.00    
SCR  BOB MARCO               (magee kieron)KARAMANOS A 123 2.50    
SCR  CURLIN'S MALIBU               (atkins )ORTIZ ORLANDO 123 6.00    
SCR  GUILLAUME               (allen a)ORTIZ ORLANDO 123 20.00    
 
LRL-2   07/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT-12:55
See original race card.
:223 :451 :57     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STREET HUSTLE 2 5 2nk 1   17 1 (eubanks ann)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 1.80 52% 0.90 0.70 W
SHACKINTHEBOX 3 3 4 46   27 2 (dilodovico da)KARAMANOS A 120 4.50 22% 3.50 1.80 P
POMPOUS PRINCE 5 1 1nk 2   4 39 (salzman tim)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 10.00 5% 19.00 12.00 S
ISLAND D'LITE 4 2 32 3   3 413 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 10.00 5.20  
SIR SMOAK 1 4 5 5   59 513¾ (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 116 15.00 14.30  
SCR  CARBONITE               (cash no)ORTIZ ORLANDO 126 2.50    
SCR  SPONSORED               (dilodovico d)BARBOSA JEIRON 126 4.00    
 
LRL-3   07/29/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:24
See original race card.
:24 :471 1:121 1:25   1:383   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNCAPTURED STORM 4 4 1nk 1nk 1nk 1½ 1 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.80 69% 0.50 0.60 W
SALTY HEIR 1 9 6 5 3 3 2 (allen a)ORTIZ ORLANDO 122 6.00 12.60 P
SUPERSTITIEUX 8 1 3.2 2nk 2nk 2½ 3 (serey mar)HERNANDEZ F 122 12.00 16.90 S
OROCOVIX 5 6 8 6 43 4 4 (sanchez-sal)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 3.50 8.70  
TYLER TIME 3 7 7 8 6 5 5 (mcfarla)BRICENO GREGOR 122 20.00 47.60  
NOTION TO TAPIT 6 8 912¼ 9 8 78 6 (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 122 15.00 56.90  
10  WONDER WATER 9 2 5 7 7 6 7 (sillaman richard)CRUZ ANGEL 126 12.00 5% 19.00 5.20  
POLSAR 7 3 4 4 56 89 815½ (moreno-barb)VASQUEZ WILFRED 122 8.00 6% 16.30 5.90  
HE'S ON FIRE 2 5 2nk 3.2 910¾ 914 925½ (mancilla ca)CONCEPCION AXEL 111 30.00 25.40  
SCR  HOP AND SCOTCH               (sillaman ric)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 6.00    
 
LRL-4   07/29/2023 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST Miss Disco Purse ($75K) 3 F PT- 1:53
See original race card.
:23 :452 1:102     1:234   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TALK TO THE JUDGE 2 5 1½ 11   1½ 1nk (montoya m)CARRASCO R 118 4.50 13.20  
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of TALKIN SMACK by TALK NICE)
LIQUIDATOR 6 1 44 4   2½ 2nk (albert lind)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 120 10.00 5% 19.00 2.30 P
  (by DIVINING ROD out of MISSY RULES by PEACE RULES)
ROWSIE EXPRESS 7 2 55 56   55 32 (ness j)LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 15.00 12.30  
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of KRISTA'S PERSONA by NOONMARK)
WILLFUL DESIRE 5 4 3 33   32 4 (jacobson dav)BARBOSA JEIRON 118 8.00 32.70  
  (by FRIESAN FIRE out of WILL DO by ROMAN RULER)
FAST TRACKED 1 8 2½ 21   4 5 (delacour arnaud)RUIZ JORGE 120 3.00 7% 13.30 3.80  
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of SLOW AND STEADY by MALIBU MOON)
SOLVING PROGRESS 8 3 66 68   76 65 (trombetta m)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 118 20.00 5% 19.00 56.00  
  (by MALIBU MOON out of SCAURI by GHOSTZAPPER)
PRECIOUS AVARY 3 6 77 711½   8 7 (shaw j)RUSSELL SHELDON 122 6.00 3.80  
  (by DIVINING ROD out of ALYTANIA by MUTAKDDIM)
MALIBU MOONSHINE 4 7 813 812   66 8 (baker charlton)CRUZ ANGEL 118 1.60 65% 0.50 2.10  
  (by BOURBON COURAGE out of SUNDAY IN MALIBU by MALIBU MOON)
 
LRL-5   07/29/2023 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST Star De Naskra Purse ($75K) 3 ALL PT- 2:21
See original race card.
:232 :462 1:101     1:223   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUPER ACCELERATE 2 5 42 32   2½ 1½ (graham robin )KARAMANOS A 118 8.00 2.30  
  (by ACCELERATE out of BAWLMER HON by SILVER TRAIN)
EASY ACTION 3 2 11 1½   1½ 2½ (casse w)CRUZ ANGEL 118 2.50 37% 1.70 3.30 P
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of SOUTHAMPTON WAY by INTO MISCHIEF)
COFFEEWITHCHRIS 5 4 21 2½   31 3¾ (salzman joh)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 3.00 9% 10.10 3.30 S
  (by RIDE ON CURLIN out of ANDIEMAC by OUTFLANKER)
IT'S VIPER 4 7 7 7   55 44 (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 120 6.00 6.00  
  (by SUPER SAVER out of MORNING STAR by SKY MESA)
FREEZE THE FIRE 6 1 6 42   45 56 (lynch cathal)RUIZ JORGE 118 4.00 33% 2.00 3.30  
  (by FRIESAN FIRE out of SCENARIO ANALYSIS by EXCHANGE RATE)
FEELING WOOZY 1 6 32 6   6 6 (smith hamilto)TOLEDO JEVIAN 120 10.00 5% 19.00 12.10  
  (by IRISH WAR CRY out of STORMY LOVE AFFAIR by STORMY ATLANTIC)
TIZ NO CLOWN 7 3 5 53   710½ 714 (atkins )ORTIZ ORLANDO 118 30.00 61.60  
  (by NO NEVER NO MORE out of SHILOH ROAD by CONGRATS)
SCR  GREAT HEAVENS               (keefe tim)CARRASCO R 118 30.00    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of HEAVEN KNOWS WHAT by HOLY BULL)
SCR  PARKERNESS               (ness j)LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 6.00    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of SHREWSBURY PARK by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
 
LRL-6   07/29/2023 5940ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($25K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:51
See original race card.
:25 :493 1:134 1:384   1:51   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BONDED (IRE) 4 4 67 7 7 5 1 (sanchez-salom)ALVELO C 116 3.50 8% 11.00 10.90 W
NEW YORK PANTHER 1 1 1½ 2nk 1nk 11 2 (mckenzie da)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 15.00 4.30  
12  MR. SHADES OF GRAY 8 8 55 5 5 75 3 (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 126 2.50 57% 0.80 0.90 S
10  INVECTIVE 6 6 7 6 6 3 4 (cibelli j)CARRASCO R 126 4.00 9.80  
DAREDAVITE 3 3 2½ 1nk 2nk 8 5 (albert )BRICENO GREGOR 120 10.00 6% 16.20 10.60  
11  RECONVENE 7 7 8 8 8 65 6 (lawrence jam)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 3.00 7% 12.60 5.00  
SOUTHPAW MIKE 5 5 4 32 32 4 7 (cooney susan )TOLEDO JEVIAN 116 12.00 16.40  
UNORTHODOX 2 2 33 4 4 21 8 (rubley)LOPEZ EDUARDO 126 20.00 39.70  
SCR  BEE MAJOR               (de hora)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 12.00    
SCR  HELLMAN               (farrior ant)RUSSELL SHELDON 126 2.00    
SCR  NORTHERN TICK TOCK               (kee j)KARAMANOS A 126 8.00    
SCR  SUMMER SILENCE               (voss elizab)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 6.00    
 
LRL-7   07/29/2023 5940ft DIRT RC11 FAST Deputed Testamony Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:21
See original race card.
:253 :494 1:133 1:372   1:493   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BE BETTER 1 4 4 3 3 32 1 (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 120 3.50 2.90  
  (by UNCLE MO out of SOCIAL CALL by TOPSIDER)
NIMITZ CLASS 3 1 23 22 21 1nk 2 (kravets bruce)TOLEDO JEVIAN 126 1.40 34% 2.00 0.30 P
  (by MUNNINGS out of FIVE DIAMONDS by FLATTER)
OURNATIONONPARADE 2 2 13 12 11 2nk 3 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 4.00 29% 2.50 6.30 S
  (by CAL NATION out of PARADE OF COLORS by LEADING THE PARADE)
YODEL E. A. WHO 4 3 34 44 4 46 4 (ness j)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 8.00 11.60  
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of LAUGH N YODEL by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
SCR  MISCHIEF AFOOT               (toner j)RUIZ JORGE 120 8.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of W W AMERICAN by QUIET AMERICAN)
SCR  RIDIN WITH BIDEN               (reid robert)WOLFSONT ANDREW 122 4.50    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of ALLEMANDE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
SCR  WISH FOR PEACE               (stites flin)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 30.00    
  (by MSHAWISH out of PALOMA MESA by SKY MESA)
 
LRL-8   07/29/2023 4290ft DIRT RC11 FAST Alma North Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:48
See original race card.
:224 :453 1:092     1:154   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEGUINE 1 1 1 12   13 1 (allard edward)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 2.00 20% 3.90 0.80 W
  (by GUN RUNNER out of SHANANIES SONG by ELTISH)
RESPONSE TIME 5 2 3 22   23 2 (smith hamilt)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 20.00 6% 16.30 3.90 P
  (by MOSLER out of DOMINUS EFFECT by DOMINUS)
DREAMSTER 4 4 4 44   3 3 (lightner mary)RUIZ JORGE 120 10.00 9.80  
  (by JESS'S DREAM out of CRUMB by GRAEME HALL)
GUNNING 2 3 2 3   47 49 (mcpeek kennet)KARAMANOS A 126 3.00 49% 1.10 1.90  
  (by GUN RUNNER out of PUCA by BIG BROWN)
SIX THE HARD WAY 3 5 57 5   512½ 519 (sanchez-sal)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 114 50.00 23.80  
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of SILVER LANTANA by BADGE OF SILVER)
SCR  MOODY WOMAN               (mcmull)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 8.00    
  (by GORMLEY out of A J'S GAL by MONASHEE MOUNTAIN)
SCR  PRINCESS KOKACHIN               (robb j)TBA 124 4.00    
  (by GRAYDAR out of SERENITY HILL by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
SCR  STREET LUTE               (robb j)TBA 120 4.50    
  (by STREET MAGICIAN out of ALOTTALUTE by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
SCR  SWEET GRACIE               (allen ferri)ALVELO C 122 30.00    
  (by BANDBOX out of DULCIFY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
 
LRL-9   07/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Frank Purse ($150K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:16
See original race card.
:214 :443 :564     1:091   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIGHTENING LARRY 4 1 3 2   2 1½ (delgado jorge)CENTENO E 126 1.60 40% 1.50 0.70 W
  (by UNCAPTURED out of MOON AND SUN by MALIBU MOON)
WONDRWHERECRAIGIS 1 2 11 1   1 2½ (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 120 3.50 37% 1.70 1.90 P
  (by MUNNINGS out of SOCIAL ASSASSIN by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
HOLY SYNCHRONICITY 5 4 43 4   4 35 (sanchez-salom)ALVELO C 120 20.00 13.40  
  (by HOLY BOSS out of KUNG FU PEGGY by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
SIR WELLINGTON 2 3 21 32   3 4 (robertson mclea)GOMEZ KEVIN 124 6.00 5% 19.00 6.10  
  (by PALACE out of SCARLET HALL by GRAEME HALL)
THREES OVER DEUCES 3 5 5 5   5 510 (capuano gary)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 8.00 11.10  
  (by FLAT OUT out of CRUELMORE by FORESTRY)
SCR  LADNEEDSAHANDLER               (salzman tim)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 30.00    
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of WHO NEEDS by MONTBROOK)
SCR  SYNTHESIS               (jacobson david)CRUZ ANGEL 120 2.00    
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of TRUST IN HOPE by BERNARDINI)
 
LRL-10   07/29/2023 3630ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:45
See original race card.
:232 :463 :58     1:041   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INSIDE STUNT 4 1 1nk 1nk   1½ 11 (thommen phi)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 4.00 25% 3.00 1.50 W
STIMULUS MAKER 6 7 7 6   6 21 (mcmahon hu)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 126 4.50 7.40  
STAR SHOPPING 3 3 3 3   2½ 3 (robb troy)CRUZ ANGEL 126 3.00 42% 1.40 3.90 S
CLAUDEE BOY 2 6 4 42   42 4 (elamri hass)BELTRAN M 122 3.50 7% 13.40 4.90  
SPEAKERIT 7 2 2nk 2nk   32 5 (kee j)DELGADO A 126 15.00 5% 19.00 25.50  
BOWIE TWO STEP 5 4 5 5   5 6 (garibay and)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 6.00 4.60  
SCOTTY BROWN 1 5 6 7   7 74 (cibelli j)CARRASCO R 122 5.00 6.80  
SCR  LUV YA BYE BYE               (frock charle)BARBOSA JEIRON 126 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.