Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Colonial Downs
Saturday - August 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CNL-3   EXA (7/3/9/8)-(7/3/9/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00  8-3 $14.20 $2.20 18%
    DD (2/3/1/5)-(7/3/9/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00  3-8 $16.70 $0.70 4%
CNL-5   EXA (2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00  2-4 $11.70 $5.70 95%
CNL-6   EXA (7/5/3/4)-(7/5/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00  3-7 $17.90 $5.90 49%
    TRI (7/5/3/4)-(7/5/3/4)-(7/5/3/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00  3-7-5 $72.20 $48.20 201%
CNL-8   TRI (8/6/2/4)-(8/6/2/4)-(8/6/2/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00  8-2-6 $27.70 $3.70 15%
    SFT (8/6/2/4)-(8/6/2/4)-(8/6/2/4)-(8/6/2/4) 24 $0.10 $2.40  8-2-6-4 $23.59 $21.19 883%
Simulator Race results
 
CNL-1   08/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:30
See original race card.
:223 :461 :58     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  PENZANCE 4 5 52 41¼   1nk 1½ (stidham mi)SANCHEZ J 119 1.40 38% 1.60 1.00 W
  (by UNCLE MO out of PENWITH by BERNARDINI)
3  RIVOLI 3 2 1½ 11   2nk 2½ (west etha)HERNANDEZ J 119 2.00 23% 3.40 4.20 P
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of HALFCAUSE by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
6  CATALINA EXPRESS 6 3 31 31   34 35¼ (rodriguez ang)CARDOSO DAVID 119 4.00 17% 5.00 1.80 S
  (by ADIOS CHARLIE out of GILDED ARROW by GOLDEN MISSILE)
1  LORD OF MISCHIEF 1 6 63½ 65¼   56¼ 49¾ (munoz carlos)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 8.00 8.60  
  (by LORD NELSON out of TENACIOUS HEART by INTO MISCHIEF)
2  XKUZ 2 1 2½ 21   46 512 (dolan jeann)CASIQUE URBARDO 124 6.00 5% 19.00 42.00  
  (by TAMARKUZ out of STROMBOLIAN by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
5  SENSE OF GOLDEN 5 4 41 53¼   66¾ 622 (cascallare)ALONSO LUIS 124 30.00 21.50  
  (by STREET SENSE out of SMART JILLY by SMART STRIKE)
7  RAMBUNCTIOUS RIDE 7 7 77½ 79¼   713¾ 729¼ (soldo elaine)GOLIBRZUCH S 119 30.00 43.70  
  (by FREE DROP BILLY out of ADIMARIDE by CARNIVALAY)
 
CNL-2   08/19/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 2 ALL PT- 2:00
See original race card.
:24 :492 1:14 1:261   1:383   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  BLUE CREEK 3 5 76½ 76½ 73¾ 31½ 1½ (brion keri)BOYCE FOREST 119 4.50 27% 2.70 1.50 W
  (by DEMARCHELIER out of GRANDMA FRAN by STREET BOSS)
1  SASSE'S CLASS 1 3 11 2nk 2nk 11 2½ (milosevic milan)RUIZ JORGE 119 3.00 13% 6.60 4.80 P
  (by TONALIST out of NO SATIS ACTION by ACTION THIS DAY)
7  STARLIFTER 7 6 54½ 53 52¾ 73¾ 32½ (schoentha)CARRASCO R 119 10.00 15.20  
  (by FIRST MONDAYS out of DEEDS NOT WORDS by STREET SENSE)
2  YAHMO 2 2 32 41½ 41¼ 62¼ 42¾ (stidham )GALLARDO A 119 1.20 38% 1.60 2.50  
  (by CATHOLIC BOY out of LADY GRANTHAM by YANKEE GENTLEMAN)
6  STREET ROCKIN 6 4 42½ 31 3.2 21 52¾ (ashby lynn)FUENTES MARIO 119 15.00 12.90  
  (by STREET MAGICIAN out of NICKYROCKSFORPOPS by ROCK SLIDE)
4  WORK HARD 4 7 64½ 63½ 63¼ 51¾ 64½ (capuano gary )TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 5.00 3.80  
  (by AUDIBLE out of PEARLS by BLACK TIE AFFAIR (IRE))
5  WILMA FLINTSHIRE 5 1 21 1nk 1nk 41½ 78¾ (godsey ka)HERNANDEZ J 116 20.00 5% 19.00 23.20  
  (by FLINTSHIRE out of WEATHER GIRL by ARTIE SCHILLER)
 
CNL-3   08/19/2023 5940ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($34.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:28
See original race card.
:234 :482 1:122 1:363   1:491   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  FINGAL 7 5 83 85¼ 72¾ 3.2 13 (kingsley archi)ASHTON GAVIN 122 30.00 5% 19.00 1.70 W
3  FAST PAYDAY 3 1 41 43½ 41½ 4¼ 23 (manning de)SANCHEZ J 122 4.00 29% 2.50 4.30 P
2  RECONVENE 2 2 1nk 12 1½ 1nk 35 (lawrence )CARRASCO R 122 4.00 8.00  
7  C MY MEISTER 6 6 3½ 32 2½ 2nk 45 (danner k)GALLARDO A 122 2.00 39% 1.60 1.70  
1  JUST DEAL WITH IT 1 8 72¾ 75¼ 83¼ 63½ 56 (escobar alison)RUIZ JORGE 122 15.00 10.20  
9  HOMETOWN HERO 8 4 61¼ 54 61¾ 53¼ 66¼ (morgan carla)JIMENEZ MANNY 122 15.00 8% 11.70 30.60  
4  ASSERT DOMINANCE 4 3 2nk 22 31½ 79½ 716¾ (mcgoey m)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 122 30.00 24.00  
6  ERLAN 5 7 51¼ 64¼ 51¾ 810 820¼ (cascallares n)FUENTES MARIO 122 15.00 32.60  
SCR  GLOBAL SENSATION               (stidham m)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122 2.50    
 
CNL-4   08/19/2023 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($70K) 2 F PT- 3:02
See original race card.
:23 :461 :573     1:032   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  ZO LEE 5 2 2½ 2½   11 11¼ (danner kelsey)RUIZ JORGE 120 4.50 8% 11.00 1.00 W
7  ATMIDNIGHT 6 6 62½ 61¾   21 21¼ (saville niall)TOLEDO JEVIAN 120 15.00 3.90  
4  DETERMINED SAIL 3 3 41½ 41   31½ 35¼ (schoenth)GALLARDO A 118 2.50 51% 0.90 2.60 S
1  MAINSTREAM SELLOUT 1 4 52½ 51½   65 46¼ (saville niall)ASHTON GAVIN 118 30.00 27.00  
2  JUDY ELAINE 2 5 31 31   43 57 (brown paul)SANCHEZ J 120 8.00 24.00  
5  APRIL CLOVER 4 1 1½ 1½   53 611¼ (asmussen )HERNANDEZ J 118 3.50 19% 4.40 4.60  
SCR  MAMA MARGE               (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 1.80    
 
CNL-5   08/19/2023 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 2 ALL PT- 3:35
See original race card.
:221 :451 :572     1:034   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  RUDDY BUDDY 2 4 43 22   1nk 13¼ (werneth rober)FUENTES MARIO 119 1.40 41% 1.50 1.20 W
  (by MSHAWISH out of KATANGA by MAXIOS (GB))
4  DESTIN'S RAINBOW 4 1 11½ 12   2nk 23¼ (meyers madiso)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 3.00 14% 6.30 9.10 P
  (by DESTIN out of BECKY'S RAINBOW by INDYGO SHINER)
5  HYTECK PRINCE 5 3 21½ 32   32 33¼ (lawrence )CARRASCO R 119 5.00 7.00  
  (by MOHAYMEN out of CLASS E HOLIDAY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
1  UNDERSTUDY KITTY 1 5 53¼ 42¼   42¼ 44½ (matz r)RUIZ JORGE 119 4.50 11% 8.10 1.10  
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of THEATRIC by BERNARDINI)
3  CONCENTRATION 3 2 31½ 58¼   510¼ 512¼ (lauer michael)ROCCO S 119 8.00 16.00  
  (by TAMARKUZ out of THREE SPOKES by DAAHER)
6  THANKMYLUCKYMOONS 6 6 69¼ 610¼   612¼ 613½ (cooney s)AVILES YAN 119 15.00 27.00  
  (by MADEFROMLUCKY out of MOON STEPPER by LO BUCKER)
SCR  BLAME THE TUX               (morgan carla)JIMENEZ MANNY 119 12.00    
  (by HOLY BOSS out of BLAME THE DRESS by BLAME)
 
CNL-6   08/19/2023 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($87.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:08
See original race card.
:234 :49 1:132 1:371   1:432   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  DON'T TELL DEREN 3 4 44½ 43 52½ 22 1¼ (robb john)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 6.00 11% 8.10 2.20 W
7  DETERMINED CHARM 7 2 13 12 11 12 2¼ (schoenth)GALLARDO A 123 1.20 33% 2.10 3.40 P
5  NEXT EPISODE 5 1 23 32½ 31½ 32 32½ (saville niall)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 1.80 28% 2.50 2.40 S
1  BEAUTIFUL GORGEOUS 1 5 66½ 65 64½ 43½ 42¾ (george lai)SANCHEZ J 125 10.00 9.30  
2  CAINUDOTHETWIST 2 6 56 53 41½ 63¾ 55½ (kingsley archi)ASHTON GAVIN 125 20.00 10.80  
4  DETERMINED GOLD 4 3 33½ 22 21 53¾ 66¼ (schoentha)CARRASCO R 123 8.00 7% 13.40 5.60  
6  MY BOSS LADY 6 7 77 75½ 75 710¾ 718 (lawrence james)ROCCO S 125 20.00 14.10  
 
CNL-7   08/19/2023 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:221 :444 :564     1:032   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  WAITTILMIDNITEHOUR 2 3 1nk 1nk   11 1½ (trombetta )SANCHEZ J 114 20.00 3.10  
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of CLOCKSTRUCKTWELVE by MALIBU MOON)
8  RENNIE 7 6 52¾ 42½   52¾ 2½ (godsey d)ASHTON GAVIN 124 3.50 8% 10.80 2.10 P
  (by GREAT NOTION out of CAPE COD BAY by CAPE TOWN)
6  LOTHARIO 5 5 73¼ 53   32½ 31 (nagle sarah)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 8.00 12.50  
  (by THE FACTOR out of UBU by SILVER TRAIN)
1  BAND LEADER 1 2 3½ 31½   42½ 41¾ (williams )HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 3.00 7.20  
  (by BANDBOX out of APONI by INDIAN CHARLIE)
7  CECIL THE GREAT 6 1 2nk 2nk   21 54¼ (clement p)ACOSTA D 119 8.00 7.60  
  (by LIMEHOUSE out of PRACTICAL IDEAS by PROSPECT BAY)
5  KAMIKAZE FOX 4 4 42½ 63¼   64¾ 64¾ (morgan carla)JIMENEZ MANNY 119 5.00 16% 5.10 12.90  
  (by BOURBON COURAGE out of SANTOSHA by COLONEL JOHN)
9  CHEATIN SONG 8 7 62¾ 73¼   75¾ 76¾ (aguirre anthony)RUIZ JORGE 124 4.50 38% 1.60 2.90  
  (by TAPIZAR out of IF NOT FOR LUST by NOT FOR LOVE)
4  MANSUETO 3 8 811¼ 815¼   820¾ 822¼ (rawles alcina)AVILES YAN 119 30.00 8% 10.90 32.90  
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of BEST MANNERS by PARTY MANNERS)
SCR  BATTLE OF BASTOGNE               (trombett)GALLARDO A 124 6.00    
  (by STREET MAGICIAN out of VIELSALM by FAIRBANKS)
 
CNL-8   08/19/2023 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:12
See original race card.
:24 :484 1:123 1:354   1:42   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  FULL COUNT FELICIA 8 1 53½ 52 42 2nk 12¼ (russell )GALLARDO A 123 1.00 38% 1.60 0.60 W
2  CUPID'S STRIKE 2 2 11 11 11 1nk 22¼ (farrior antho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 5.00 11% 8.00 4.70 P
6  DREAMSTER 6 7 64½ 73¾ 63¼ 33 33½ (lightner mary)RUIZ JORGE 123 6.00 23% 3.40 6.80 S
4  LALOBA FEROZ 4 6 74¾ 63½ 74¼ 76¾ 44¾ (cascallares n)JIMENEZ MANNY 123 20.00 7% 13.10 52.00  
7  LADY PUCHI 7 4 43½ 42 53 45 55¾ (sanchez-sa)SANCHEZ J 123 2.50 5.00  
5  STAR RULES 5 8 86¾ 84¾ 84¼ 87 66 (huffman ke)ALONSO LUIS 123 30.00 45.50  
3  CHACALOSA 3 3 21 21 21 55¼ 78½ (zook w)AVILES YAN 123 15.00 21.20  
1  MISTY MAUVE 1 5 33 31½ 32 65¼ 812 (sanchez-s)HERNANDEZ J 123 30.00 18.90  
 
CNL-9   08/19/2023 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:40
See original race card.
:214 :442 :561     1:022   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  EMBOLDEN 7 4 63¾ 64   61¼ 1¼ (trombetta )SANCHEZ J 122 5.00 16% 5.40 2.80 W
6  VOCALIZE 5 7 75¼ 74½   71½ 2¼ (de ho)CARRASCO R 122 15.00 8% 11.90 7.10 P
11  WHENIGETTOHEAVEN 8 5 42¼ 31½   1½ 3½ (trombetta micha)GARCIA LUIS 124 3.50 27% 2.70 1.60 S
5  FUN NOTION 4 8 53¼ 53   2½ 4¾ (white alexandr)BOYCE FOREST 118 12.00 8.60  
1  BELLA FUTURE 1 3 85¾ 84½   5¾ 51¼ (cazares )GALLARDO A 122 10.00 13.70  
2  PROUD CIVILIAN 2 2 32 42½   4¾ 61¼ (brinkman bret)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 6.00 6.30  
7  DARK AND FITZY 6 6 22 2½   3½ 74¼ (sillaman richa)ROCCO S 122 4.50 25% 3.00 9.60  
4  BEST DEFENSE 3 1 12 1½   81½ 89¼ (wasiluk jr)ACOSTA D 118 10.00 5% 19.00 15.70  
SCR  JETAROS               (pompay t)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 118 30.00    
SCR  MIDASWELLRUN               (blair jordan)CASTANON L 122 4.50    
SCR  YAMIL               (escobar alison)RUIZ JORGE 118 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.