The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Colonial Downs
Saturday - August 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CNL-1   Win (4/3/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $4.00 $4.00 -4.00
    Exacta (4/3/6/2)-(4/3/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 4-3 2 1 $7.60 $7.60 -4.40
    Trifecta (4/3/6/2)-(4/3/6/2)-(4/3/6/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 4-3-6 3 1 $9.40 $9.40 -14.60
CNL-2   Win (2/3/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $5.00 $5.00 -3.00
    Exacta (2/3/1/5)-(2/3/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 3-1 2 1 $11.80 $11.80 -0.20
    Trifecta (2/3/1/5)-(2/3/1/5)-(2/3/1/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 3-1-7 3 0 $106.40 -24.00
    Daily Double (4/3/6/2)-(2/3/1/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 4-3 2 1 $8.70 $8.70 -7.30
CNL-3   Win (7/3/9/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $5.40 $5.40 -2.60
    Exacta (7/3/9/8)-(7/3/9/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 8-3 2 1 $14.20 $14.20 2.20
    Trifecta (7/3/9/8)-(7/3/9/8)-(7/3/9/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 8-3-2 3 0 $56.30 -24.00
    Daily Double (2/3/1/5)-(7/3/9/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 3-8 2 1 $16.70 $16.70 0.70
    Pick Three (4/3/6/2)-(2/3/1/5)-(7/3/9/8) 64 $1.00 $64.00 4-3-8 3 1 $26.20 $26.20 -37.80
CNL-4   Win (4/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $4.00 $4.00 -2.00
    Exacta (4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 6-7 2 0 $5.80 -6.00
    Trifecta (4/5/6)-(4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 6-7-4 3 0 $10.90 -6.00
    Daily Double (7/3/9/8)-(4/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 8-6 2 1 $7.80 $7.80 -4.20
    Pick Three (2/3/1/5)-(7/3/9/8)-(4/5/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 3-8-3/6 3 1 $29.50 $29.50 -18.50
CNL-5   Win (2/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $4.40 $4.40 -1.60
    Exacta (2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 2-4 2 1 $11.70 $11.70 5.70
    Trifecta (2/4/1)-(2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 2-4-5 3 0 $48.20 -6.00
    Daily Double (4/5/6)-(2/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 6-2 2 1 $5.00 $5.00 -4.00
    Pick Three (7/3/9/8)-(4/5/6)-(2/4/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 8-3/6-2 3 1 $14.20 $14.20 -21.80
CNL-6   Win (7/5/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $6.40 $6.40 -1.60
    Exacta (7/5/3/4)-(7/5/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 3-7 2 1 $17.90 $17.90 5.90
    Trifecta (7/5/3/4)-(7/5/3/4)-(7/5/3/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 3-7-5 3 1 $72.20 $72.20 48.20
    Daily Double (2/4/1)-(7/5/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 2-3 2 1 $9.50 $9.50 -2.50
    Pick Three (4/5/6)-(2/4/1)-(7/5/3/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 3/6-2-3 3 1 $26.00 $26.00 -10.00
CNL-7   Win (9/5/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 0 $8.20 -8.00
    Exacta (9/5/8/4)-(9/5/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 2-8 2 0 $18.90 -12.00
    Trifecta (9/5/8/4)-(9/5/8/4)-(9/5/8/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 2-8-6 3 0 $141.30 -24.00
    Daily Double (7/5/3/4)-(9/5/8/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 3-2 2 0 $32.40 -16.00
    Pick Three (2/4/1)-(7/5/3/4)-(9/5/8/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 2-3-2 3 0 $73.90 -48.00
CNL-8   Win (8/6/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $3.20 $3.20 -4.80
    Exacta (8/6/2/4)-(8/6/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 8-2 2 1 $6.60 $6.60 -5.40
    Trifecta (8/6/2/4)-(8/6/2/4)-(8/6/2/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 8-2-6 3 1 $27.70 $27.70 3.70
    Daily Double (9/5/8/4)-(8/6/2/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 2-8 2 0 $8.30 -16.00
    Pick Three (7/5/3/4)-(9/5/8/4)-(8/6/2/4) 64 $1.00 $64.00 3-2-8 3 0 $43.00 -64.00
CNL-9   Win (11/7/8/6/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 8 1 1 $7.60 $7.60 -2.40
    Exacta (11/7/8/6/4)-(11/7/8/6/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 8-6 2 1 $18.20 $18.20 -1.80
    Trifecta (11/7/8/6/4)-(11/7/8/6/4)-(11/7/8/6/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 8-6-11 3 1 $58.20 $58.20 -1.80
    Daily Double (8/6/2/4)-(11/7/8/6/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 8-3 2 0 $1.50 -20.00
    Daily Double (8/6/2/4)-(11/7/8/6/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 8-8 2 1 $11.30 $11.30 -8.70
    Pick Three (9/5/8/4)-(8/6/2/4)-(11/7/8/6/4) 80 $1.00 $80.00 2-8-8 3 0 $54.80 -80.00

Simulator Race results

 
CNL-1   08/19/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:30
:223 :461 :58     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PENZANCE 4 5 52 4   1nk 1½ (stidham mich)SANCHEZ J 119 1.40 38% 1.60 1.00 W
RIVOLI 3 2 1½ 11   2nk 2½ (west ethan )HERNANDEZ J 119 2.00 23% 3.40 4.20 P
CATALINA EXPRESS 6 3 31 31   34 3(rodriguez angel)CARDOSO DAVID 119 4.00 17% 5.00 1.80 S
LORD OF MISCHIEF 1 6 6 6   54(munoz carlos)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 8.00 8.60  
XKUZ 2 1 2½ 21   46 512 (dolan jeanne )CASIQUE URBARDO 124 6.00 5% 19.00 42.00  
SENSE OF GOLDEN 5 4 41 5   6622 (cascallares )ALONSO LUIS 124 30.00 21.50  
RAMBUNCTIOUS RIDE 7 7 7 7   713¾ 729¼ (soldo elaine)GOLIBRZUCH S 119 30.00 43.70  
 
CNL-2   08/19/2023 5280ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 2 ALL PT- 2:00
:24 :492 1:14 1:261   1:383   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLUE CREEK 3 5 7 7 7 31½ (brion keri)BOYCE FOREST 119 4.50 27% 2.70 1.50 W
SASSE'S CLASS 1 3 11 2nk 2nk 11 2½ (milosevic milan)RUIZ JORGE 119 3.00 13% 6.60 4.80 P
STARLIFTER 7 6 5 53 5 73(schoenthal )CARRASCO R 119 10.00 15.20  
YAHMO 2 2 32 4 4 64(stidham mi)GALLARDO A 119 1.20 38% 1.60 2.50  
STREET ROCKIN 6 4 4 31 3.2 21 5(ashby lynn)FUENTES MARIO 119 15.00 12.90  
WORK HARD 4 7 6 6 6 56(capuano a)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 5.00 3.80  
WILMA FLINTSHIRE 5 1 21 1nk 1nk 47(godsey kare)HERNANDEZ J 116 20.00 5% 19.00 23.20  
 
CNL-3   08/19/2023 5940ft TURF FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($34.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:28
:234 :482 1:122 1:363   1:491   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FINGAL 7 5 83 8 7 3.2 13 (kingsley archiba)ASHTON GAVIN 122 30.00 5% 19.00 1.70 W
FAST PAYDAY 3 1 41 4 4 4¼ 23 (manning denn)SANCHEZ J 122 4.00 29% 2.50 4.30 P
RECONVENE 2 2 1nk 12 1½ 1nk 35 (lawrence ja)CARRASCO R 122 4.00 8.00  
C MY MEISTER 6 6 3½ 32 2½ 2nk 45 (danner kel)GALLARDO A 122 2.00 39% 1.60 1.70  
JUST DEAL WITH IT 1 8 7 7 8 656 (escobar alison)RUIZ JORGE 122 15.00 10.20  
HOMETOWN HERO 8 4 6 54 6 56(morgan carla)JIMENEZ MANNY 122 15.00 8% 11.70 30.60  
ASSERT DOMINANCE 4 3 2nk 22 3 7716¾ (mcgoey mon)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 122 30.00 24.00  
ERLAN 5 7 5 6 5 810 820¼ (cascallares nes)FUENTES MARIO 122 15.00 32.60  
SCR  GLOBAL SENSATION               (stidham mic)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122 2.50    
 
CNL-4   08/19/2023 3630ft TURF FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($70K) 2 F PT- 3:02
:23 :461 :573     1:032   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ZO LEE 5 2 2½ 2½   11 1(danner kelsey)RUIZ JORGE 120 4.50 8% 11.00 1.00 W
ATMIDNIGHT 6 6 6 6   21 2(saville niall)TOLEDO JEVIAN 120 15.00 3.90  
DETERMINED SAIL 3 3 4 41   33(schoenthal)GALLARDO A 118 2.50 51% 0.90 2.60 S
MAINSTREAM SELLOUT 1 4 5 5   65 4(saville niall)ASHTON GAVIN 118 30.00 27.00  
JUDY ELAINE 2 5 31 31   43 57 (brown h)SANCHEZ J 120 8.00 24.00  
APRIL CLOVER 4 1 1½ 1½   53 611¼ (asmussen st)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.50 19% 4.40 4.60  
SCR  MAMA MARGE               (contreras)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 1.80    
 
CNL-5   08/19/2023 3630ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 2 ALL PT- 3:35
:221 :451 :572     1:034   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUDDY BUDDY 2 4 43 22   1nk 1(werneth robert )FUENTES MARIO 119 1.40 41% 1.50 1.20 W
DESTIN'S RAINBOW 4 1 1 12   2nk 2(meyers madison )TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 3.00 14% 6.30 9.10 P
HYTECK PRINCE 5 3 2 32   32 3(lawrence ja)CARRASCO R 119 5.00 7.00  
UNDERSTUDY KITTY 1 5 5 4   44(matz r)RUIZ JORGE 119 4.50 11% 8.10 1.10  
CONCENTRATION 3 2 3 5   510¼ 512¼ (lauer michael)ROCCO S 119 8.00 16.00  
THANKMYLUCKYMOONS 6 6 6 610¼   612¼ 613½ (cooney s)AVILES YAN 119 15.00 27.00  
SCR  BLAME THE TUX               (morgan carla)JIMENEZ MANNY 119 12.00    
 
CNL-6   08/19/2023 5610ft TURF FIRM Allowance Purse ($87.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:08
:234 :49 1:132 1:371   1:432   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DON'T TELL DEREN 3 4 4 43 5 22 1¼ (robb j)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 6.00 11% 8.10 2.20 W
DETERMINED CHARM 7 2 13 12 11 12 2¼ (schoenthal)GALLARDO A 123 1.20 33% 2.10 3.40 P
NEXT EPISODE 5 1 23 3 3 32 3(saville niall)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 1.80 28% 2.50 2.40 S
BEAUTIFUL GORGEOUS 1 5 6 65 6 44(george laird)SANCHEZ J 125 10.00 9.30  
CAINUDOTHETWIST 2 6 56 53 4 65(kingsley archiba)ASHTON GAVIN 125 20.00 10.80  
DETERMINED GOLD 4 3 3 22 21 56(schoenthal )CARRASCO R 123 8.00 7% 13.40 5.60  
MY BOSS LADY 6 7 77 7 75 710¾ 718 (lawrence l)ROCCO S 125 20.00 14.10  
 
CNL-7   08/19/2023 3630ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
:221 :444 :564     1:032   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WAITTILMIDNITEHOUR 2 3 1nk 1nk   11 1½ (trombetta mi)SANCHEZ J 114 20.00 3.10  
RENNIE 7 6 5 4   52½ (godsey den)ASHTON GAVIN 124 3.50 8% 10.80 2.10 P
LOTHARIO 5 5 7 53   331 (nagle sarah)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 8.00 12.50  
BAND LEADER 1 2 3½ 3   44(williams ga)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 3.00 7.20  
CECIL THE GREAT 6 1 2nk 2nk   21 5(clement p)ACOSTA D 119 8.00 7.60  
KAMIKAZE FOX 4 4 4 6   66(morgan carla)JIMENEZ MANNY 119 5.00 16% 5.10 12.90  
CHEATIN SONG 8 7 6 7   77(aguirre anthony)RUIZ JORGE 124 4.50 38% 1.60 2.90  
MANSUETO 3 8 811¼ 815¼   820¾ 822¼ (rawles alcina)AVILES YAN 119 30.00 8% 10.90 32.90  
SCR  BATTLE OF BASTOGNE               (trombetta )GALLARDO A 124 6.00    
 
CNL-8   08/19/2023 5610ft TURF FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:12
:24 :484 1:123 1:354   1:42   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FULL COUNT FELICIA 8 1 5 52 42 2nk 1(russell br)GALLARDO A 123 1.00 38% 1.60 0.60 W
CUPID'S STRIKE 2 2 11 11 11 1nk 2(farrior anthony)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 5.00 11% 8.00 4.70 P
DREAMSTER 6 7 6 7 6 33 3(lightner mary)RUIZ JORGE 123 6.00 23% 3.40 6.80 S
LALOBA FEROZ 4 6 7 6 7 74(cascallares nes)JIMENEZ MANNY 123 20.00 7% 13.10 52.00  
LADY PUCHI 7 4 4 42 53 45 5(sanchez-salo)SANCHEZ J 123 2.50 5.00  
STAR RULES 5 8 8 8 8 87 66 (huffman kenn)ALONSO LUIS 123 30.00 45.50  
CHACALOSA 3 3 21 21 21 57(zook w)AVILES YAN 123 15.00 21.20  
MISTY MAUVE 1 5 33 3 32 6812 (sanchez-sal)HERNANDEZ J 123 30.00 18.90  
 
CNL-9   08/19/2023 3630ft TURF FIRM Allowance Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:40
:214 :442 :561     1:022   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EMBOLDEN 7 4 6 64   61¼ (trombetta mi)SANCHEZ J 122 5.00 16% 5.40 2.80 W
VOCALIZE 5 7 7 7   72¼ (de hora)CARRASCO R 122 15.00 8% 11.90 7.10 P
11  WHENIGETTOHEAVEN 8 5 4 3   1½ 3½ (trombetta michael)GARCIA LUIS 124 3.50 27% 2.70 1.60 S
FUN NOTION 4 8 5 53   2½ 4¾ (white alexandra)BOYCE FOREST 118 12.00 8.60  
BELLA FUTURE 1 3 8 8   5¾ 5(cazares la)GALLARDO A 122 10.00 13.70  
PROUD CIVILIAN 2 2 32 4   4¾ 6(brinkman brett)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 6.00 6.30  
DARK AND FITZY 6 6 22 2½   3½ 7(sillaman richard)ROCCO S 122 4.50 25% 3.00 9.60  
BEST DEFENSE 3 1 12 1½   88(wasiluk jr)ACOSTA D 118 10.00 5% 19.00 15.70  
SCR  JETAROS               (pompay ter)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 118 30.00    
SCR  MIDASWELLRUN               (blair jordan)CASTANON L 122 4.50    
SCR  YAMIL               (escobar alison)RUIZ JORGE 118 30.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.