Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Colonial Downs
Thursday - August 10, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CNL-1   WIN (4/6/1/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00  1 $9.40 $1.40 18%
    EXA (4/6/1/9)-(4/6/1/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00  1-6 $14.20 $2.20 18%
    TRI (4/6/1/9)-(4/6/1/9)-(4/6/1/9) 24 $1.00 $24.00  1-6-4 $47.80 $23.80 99%
CNL-3   WIN (4/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00  4 $12.20 $8.20 205%
CNL-4   DD (4/1)-(1/5/2/8/9) 10 $1.00 $10.00  4-1 $21.60 $11.60 116%
CNL-5   WIN (5/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $8.80 $2.80 47%
    EXA (5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00  3-2 $30.60 $24.60 410%
    TRI (5/3/2)-(5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00  3-2-5 $62.40 $56.40 940%
    DD (1/5/2/8/9)-(5/3/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00  1-3 $19.00 $4.00 27%
    PK3 (4/1)-(1/5/2/8/9)-(5/3/2) 30 $1.00 $30.00  4-1-3 $173.10 $143.10 477%
CNL-6   WIN (2/4/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00  2 $8.80 $0.80 10%
    EXA (2/4/7/6)-(2/4/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00  2-4 $14.00 $2.00 17%
    TRI (2/4/7/6)-(2/4/7/6)-(2/4/7/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00  2-4-7 $24.90 $0.90 4%
    SFT (2/4/7/6)-(2/4/7/6)-(2/4/7/6)-(2/4/7/6) 24 $0.10 $2.40  2-4-7-6 $14.16 $11.76 490%
    DD (5/3/2)-(2/4/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00  3-2 $14.30 $2.30 19%
    PK3 (1/5/2/8/9)-(5/3/2)-(2/4/7/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00  1-3-2 $100.00 $40.00 67%
CNL-7   TRI (12/10/6/11)-(12/10/6/11)-(12/10/6/11) 24 $1.00 $24.00  12-6-11 $34.00 $10.00 42%
    SFT (12/10/6/11)-(12/10/6/11)-(12/10/6/11)-(12/10/6/11) 24 $0.10 $2.40  12-6-11-10 $13.91 $11.51 480%
CNL-8   SFT (13/11/6/1/8)-(13/11/6/1/8)-(13/11/6/1/8)-(13/11/6/1/8) 120 $0.10 $12.00  13-11-8-6 $21.75 $9.75 81%

Simulator Race results

 
CNL-1   08/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 2 ALL PT- 1:30
See original race card.
:222 :461 :584     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEET SODDY J 1 2 2 2nk   1nk 1 (ginter raymond)ASHTON GAVIN 119 8.00 9% 9.80 3.70 W
COPPERLITE 5 3 32 3   33 2 (asmussen )CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 2.00 20% 3.90 2.50 P
IMPERIALTY 4 1 1 1nk   2nk 34 (munoz carlos)MENESES MARCOS 119 1.80 26% 2.90 3.20 S
TIZZY INDY 6 4 53 5   411 411¼ (desormeau)HERNANDEZ J 119 30.00 9.30  
HONG KONG BOY 3 8 816 815¾   721¼ 522 (wasiluk peter )GOLIBRZUCH S 119 30.00 55.40  
JACK CLOUD 8 6 63 48   517 625 (allen ferri)KARAMANOS A 119 8.00 9% 9.80 2.30  
IRON STREETS 2 7 76 610½   621 726 (cascallares)CASIQUE URBARDO 119 10.00 24.40  
SEEKER 7 5 4 710¾   825¼ 835¼ (morgan carla)JIMENEZ MANNY 119 15.00 23.80  
SCR  LOVE IN MAY               (allen fe)SANCHEZ J 119 5.00    
 
CNL-2   08/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 2 F PT- 2:02
See original race card.
:222 :464 :592     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHEILAHS WARCLOUD 7 4 5 5   31 1 (nixon justin)PEREZ XAVIER 119 8.00 12.80  
  (by MADEFROMLUCKY out of SKY LANI by SKY MESA)
CANDY DOLL 3 1 3 21   21 2 (trombetta)CARRASCO R 119 12.00 5.60  
  (by CANDY RIDE out of UN BLESSED by MINESHAFT)
STREETCORNER 4 2 11 11   11 3 (stidham mi)SANCHEZ J 119 5.00 17% 5.00 5.80 S
  (by STREET BOSS out of UNOSTRIKE by MACHO UNO)
STILL TEMPER 5 6 66 7   5 4 (stidham michae)CEDENO CAROL 119 10.00 6% 15.00 2.40  
  (by ARROGATE out of BELVEDERA by AWESOME AGAIN)
VARIEGATE 2 3 21 31   43 59 (munoz ca)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 119 30.00 33.80  
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of ALWAAN by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
THURSDAY GIRL 1 7 76 6   6 612½ (delacour arnaud)RUIZ JORGE 119 4.00 25% 3.10 3.30  
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of SOUPER MISS by ALPHABET SOUP)
12  EDEN'S GIGI 8 5 44 4   7 722¼ (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 4.50 26% 2.90 2.50  
  (by BLAME out of LA PEQUENA GIGI by SKY MESA)
BOSSY BOOTS 6 8 8 8   818¾ 840½ (morgan carla)JIMENEZ MANNY 119 30.00 47.10  
  (by LONG RIVER out of BOSS MAMA by STREET BOSS)
SCR  BUZZAWAY               (cooney s)AVILES YAN 119 15.00    
  (by ALDRIN out of BLAZEAWAY by PROUD CITIZEN)
SCR  FLAGRUNNER               (ginter ra)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of YIPPEE by PERUVIAN)
SCR  HIDDEN VASE               (danner k)GALLARDO A 119 6.00    
  (by BUCCHERO out of ELUSIVELY by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
SCR  MISSY BOSS               (allen ferri)KARAMANOS A 119 12.00    
  (by HOLY BOSS out of ZEENUT by MINGUN)
 
CNL-3   08/10/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:33
See original race card.
:24 :471 1:121 1:384   1:46   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COMMANDER KEITH 2 1 2nk 2 33 2nk 11 (lusk r)FUENTES MARIO 125 8.00 40% 1.50 5.10 W
10  VOLTAMOUR 4 2 31 33 2 3.2 21 (mcgoey monic)MENESES MARCOS 123 30.00 8.40  
CLOSER LOOK 3 3 1nk 1 1 1nk 32 (allen ferris)RUIZ JORGE 123 12.00 0.80  
LIVEFORTHESONG 1 4 42 4 4 431¼ 460½ (bowersock mari)CASTANON L 125 8.00 18% 4.50 1.40  
SCR  NOBLE CONQUEST               (allen fe)SANCHEZ J 123 3.50    
SCR  SAVVY LAYLA               (mcgoey m)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 123 20.00    
SCR  SMILE BRYAN               (ryan s)BOYCE FOREST 123 4.50    
SCR  ERIC THE SALESMAN               (zook w)CARDOSO DAVID 123 20.00    
SCR  CITY PLAN               (zook w)AVILES YAN 123 8.00    
SCR  TEMPLET               (connelly)GALLARDO A 123 4.00    
SCR  AMERICAN NIGHTMARE               (santaella)CARRASCO R 123 30.00    
SCR  BACKWOODS BOOGIE               (eppler e)KARAMANOS A 125 10.00    
 
CNL-4   08/10/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:04
See original race card.
:223 :46 :582     1:043   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STARSTREET 1 2 21 21   1½ 1 (stidham mi)SANCHEZ J 119 2.00 38% 1.60 1.80 W
CITY HUMOR 5 1 11 11   2½ 2 (ochoa ge)GALLARDO A 119 2.50 21% 3.70 1.00 P
GAMING SOUL 2 5 7 7   5 310¼ (garrido ra)URDANETA J 119 8.00 15% 5.60 9.80 S
XKUZ 3 6 5 5   4 413 (dolan jeann)CASIQUE URBARDO 124 20.00 22.20  
WATERMELON CRUSH 6 4 33 43   3 513½ (dion andrew)FUENTES MARIO 124 20.00 20.00  
HIGHJUMP CHARLIE 4 10 8 8   6 614 (duffy sean)JIMENEZ MANNY 124 30.00 48.80  
SOUR PATCH GIRL 8 8 43 33   7 720½ (cooney s)AVILES YAN 114 20.00 5% 19.00 10.80  
13  RECTANGLE 10 7 9 9   913 823½ (cascallare)ALONSO LUIS 124 30.00 55.60  
12  HEAVY WEIGHT 9 3 66 66   812¾ 925¼ (cascallares )MENESES MARCOS 124 20.00 13.80  
OUR DARK COURAGE 7 9 1011¼ 1011¾   1015 1028½ (wasiluk peter )GOLIBRZUCH S 119 30.00 5% 19.00 59.80  
SCR  DENNIS'S PRIDE               (silva pab)CASTANON L 119 15.00    
SCR  MONCRIEF               (allen ferris)RUIZ JORGE 119 5.00    
SCR  REAP WHAT YOU SOW               (white alexandr)BOYCE FOREST 124 10.00    
SCR  RUDY S.               (brion keri)CEDENO CAROL 119 20.00    
 
CNL-5   08/10/2023 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:37
See original race card.
:224 :451 :57     1:031   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WISE AND ELEGANT 2 1 1½ 11   1 1 (cibelli jane)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 6.00 8% 11.70 3.40 W
  (by HARD SPUN out of YOU BETCHA BABE by YES IT'S TRUE)
RUN AROUND SLEW 1 4 42 32   2 2 (cooney s)AVILES YAN 119 5.00 5% 19.00 8.40 P
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of ST. LOUIE SLEW by FLOWER ALLEY)
NINETEENAMENDMENT 3 2 2½ 21   3 3 (trombetta mich)ROSADO JOHAN 119 1.50 64% 0.60 0.60 S
  (by CONSTITUTION out of MAGGER BAGS by INDIAN CHARLIE)
SILLY LILY 6 3 3 42   5 4 (kurtinecz )SANCHEZ J 119 3.00 4.40  
  (by STAR GUITAR out of BEAN PEACEFUL by WAR FRONT)
HOT BOTTOM GIRL 4 6 5 5   4 56 (kelly bl)GALLARDO A 124 8.00 10.50  
  (by BAL A BALI out of LA FLAMME by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
CHALICE 5 5 63 6   6 67 (hendriks )CARRASCO R 119 30.00 32.60  
  (by KANTHAROS out of D' ORSAY by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
SCR  RULER OF THE NIGHT               (gutterson)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 119 10.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of SALT WATER REIGN by SALT LAKE)
SCR  SERIOUS MOMENT               (hester leanne)CASTANON L 124 15.00    
  (by GONE CLUBBING out of PERSUASIVE MOMENT by SINFUL PERSUASION)
SCR  SPECIAL CAP               (duffy sean)MONTERREY R 119 30.00    
  (by BRETHREN out of SNOOKS FIVE by WHEATON)
 
CNL-6   08/10/2023 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($34.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:10
See original race card.
:224 :454 :572     1:032   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SELECTO 2 4 34 33   1nk 11 (nunez ma)GALLARDO A 120 3.00 36% 1.80 3.40 W
STORM TRAPPE 3 2 22 22   2nk 21 (figgins ollie)KARAMANOS A 122 2.00 27% 2.80 2.30 P
MOSLER SAFE 5 7 55 44   4 3 (trombetta)CARRASCO R 122 6.00 15% 5.80 1.30 S
SEIZE THE BREEZE 4 1 12 12   3.2 4 (rodriguez ang)CARDOSO DAVID 120 8.00 5% 19.00 22.50  
STEELE MONEY 7 5 6 65   5 5 (sanchez-salomon )AVILES YAN 118 10.00 4.90  
LOVE ME ARCHIE 1 3 45 55   6 610 (kelly blake)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 30.00 32.40  
ROAD MINISTER 6 6 7 7   711¼ 716½ (chain pearl)ROCCO S 118 30.00 41.90  
SCR  COSMICALITY               (allen ferris)RUIZ JORGE 122 5.00    
SCR  CRAZY ODDS               (bentley fennek)ASHTON GAVIN 122 8.00    
 
CNL-7   08/10/2023 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:223 :453 :574     1:04   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  DULCE KIARA 7 6 4 3   2 1 (demario charl)KARAMANOS A 124 2.50 25% 3.00 0.50 W
SPEAK YOUR MIND 3 1 12 13   1 2 (cooney susan )TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 12.00 15% 5.50 4.30 P
11  ONE NIGHT STAND 6 4 6 4   36 3 (mcgoey m)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 122 10.00 9% 10.70 12.10 S
10  LILLY SIMONE 5 7 7 6   4 4 (magana j)MONTERREY R 122 5.00 25% 3.10 7.40  
ALL ABOUT KATHERN 2 5 53 7   59 510 (tomczak mark)AVILES YAN 122 20.00 21.90  
AWESOME APEAL 4 3 3 5   6 614½ (rodriguez ang)CARDOSO DAVID 122 30.00 5.70  
ADABEL 1 2 22 23   710 727½ (garrido ra)URDANETA J 122 30.00 84.50  
SCR  AMAAZA               (silva p)MENESES MARCOS 122 20.00    
SCR  BEACH HOUSE               (mccutchen jas)JIMENEZ MANNY 122 8.00    
SCR  GOLDEN ISLE               (bowersoc)GALLARDO A 122 6.00    
SCR  LOOPY               (silva pab)CASTANON L 124 4.00    
SCR  MICHEAUX               (clement p)ACOSTA D 124 20.00    
 
CNL-8   08/10/2023 3630ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:08
See original race card.
:221 :442 :561     1:021   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
13  BOAT'S A ROCKIN 9 1 1½ 1½   1nk 1¼ (kulp l)ROSADO JOHAN 122 4.00 44% 1.30 2.30 W
11  REBEL POSSE 8 6 4 5   2nk 2¼ (stidham )GALLARDO A 122 2.50 29% 2.40 4.30 P
BY THE SEY SHORE 6 8 7 7   5 33 (trombetta mic)KARAMANOS A 122 8.00 5% 19.00 3.30 S
SAN COSTANTINO 4 7 65 6   6 4 (bowersock mari)CASTANON L 122 15.00 5% 19.00 19.80  
VALIANT VINNY 3 4 32 3½   32 55 (nuesch patric)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 15.00 5.50  
KINGPIN 2 3 5 42   4 6 (stidham mi)SANCHEZ J 122 5.00 5.30  
CASANOVA KITTEN 5 9 9 8   8 7 (ginter ra)HERNANDEZ J 122 15.00 25.10  
BOSS IS A PAL 1 5 8 9   9 8 (stettinius suzan)CRUZ ANGEL 124 8.00 5% 19.00 12.60  
10  THATSAFACTJACK 7 2 2½ 2½   7 914¾ (cahill steven )GOLIBRZUCH S 122 20.00 25.30  
SCR  E J'S REVENGE               (murtaugh an)MCKENZIE CONNIE 115 30.00    
SCR  GREAT BRITAIN               (bowersock mari)ROCCO S 122 6.00    
SCR  MY BOY BLUE               (kurtinecz)CARRASCO R 122 12.00    
SCR  PERUVIAN LUCKY               (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 124 10.00    
SCR  SLIPPIN JIMMY               (mccutchen jas)JIMENEZ MANNY 122 30.00    
 
CNL-9   08/10/2023 5940ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:37
See original race card.
:244 :493 1:132 1:38   1:511   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILL'S MUSIC 6 8 7 6 3 22 1 (allen ferris)RUIZ JORGE 118 15.00 11.00  
11  GIANTSBANE 10 10 5 2½ 2nk 12 2 (nagle sarah)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 5.00 44% 1.30 2.80 P
ENSIGN SKIP 2 3 10 9 6 47 3 (cazares laur)MENESES MARCOS 118 6.00 24% 3.20 4.40 S
BOURBON STRAIT 4 9 9 10 8 5 4 (kingsley archi)GOLIBRZUCH S 118 20.00 17.00  
SCHMEAR 9 7 2nk 1½ 1nk 34 514¾ (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 118 3.50 3.00  
FOREVER SAUCY 3 4 62 53 54 611½ 615¾ (ochoa ge)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 118 30.00 5% 19.00 28.20  
SYNCOPATED 1 2 8 74 7 713 719¼ (hodsdon danie)KARAMANOS A 124 10.00 5% 19.00 3.90  
JEALOUS RED 5 1 41 84 1010 922 833 (nunez maurici)FUENTES MARIO 124 15.00 79.90  
FROG PRINCE 7 5 3½ 4 4 818 933¼ (stettinius suzan)CRUZ ANGEL 124 6.00 11% 8.40 7.60  
DOLLARS N SENSE 8 6 1nk 31 96 1022½ 1036¼ (stettinius )LYAPUSTINA TAIS 118 15.00 35.00  
SCR  BIG BOULDER               (danner ke)HERNANDEZ J 124 20.00    
SCR  D'ARPINO B C               (neilson kathy)ASHTON GAVIN 118 30.00    
SCR  FLEETS BAY               (boniface k)SANCHEZ J 118 4.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.